How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Impact 2 Sounders 2 -4.3
-0.4
-0.5
+1.5
-0.3
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 -1.1
-0.1
-0.1
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 -0.7
-0.1
-0.0
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 -0.6
-0.1
-0.0
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 +0.5
+0.0
Union 2 Toronto FC 2 +0.4
NYCFC 4 DC United 0 -0.2
+0.1
Galaxy 0 Timbers 1 -0.1
-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando-0.2+0.4-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
NYCFC vs Impact-4.6+0.8+12.1
-0.4+0.1+1.2
-0.4-0.0+1.2
+1.4-0.4-3.4
-0.3+0.1+0.9
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC+0.5*+0.0-1.1
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs Revolution+0.4-0.0-1.1
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Sounders vs Red Bulls+0.4*-0.0-0.7
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
DC United vs Crew-0.2+0.5-0.2
+0.0-0.1+0.1
Orlando vs Union-0.1+0.4-0.2
-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Fire-0.2+0.4*-0.0
Sporting KC vs Earthquakes+0.0+0.0-0.1
Timbers vs Dynamo-0.0+0.1-0.0
Rapids vs Minnesota-0.1-0.0+0.3
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy-0.1-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Impact finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
73-97In100.0%100No41,938*
7222-5-5In99.51000No4,108*
7121-7-4In99.31000No7,293*
7021-6-5In98.71000No13,099*
6921-5-6In98.0991No22,217*
6820-7-5In96.89910No37,386*
6720-6-6In95.19820No60,963*
6620-5-7In92.59730No97,504*
6519-7-6In89.09640No154,409*
6419-6-7In84.194600No236,970*
6318-8-6In77.791900No359,032*
6218-7-7In69.7871200No530,849*
6118-6-8In59.98217100No768,689*
6017-8-7In48.87523200No1,090,846*
5917-7-8In37.16729400No1,518,057*
5817-6-9In25.858357000No2,063,638*
5716-8-8In15.9484011100No2,753,412*
5616-7-9100.0%8.53744173000No3,606,578*
5515-9-8100.03.72644246100No4,622,286*
5415-8-9100.01.3174031102000No5,804,731*
5315-7-10100.00.3103336174000No7,158,315*
5214-9-999.90.1524372581000No8,642,173*
5114-8-1099.60.021532321540000No10,225,720*
5014-7-1198.40.01824342481000No11,876,293*
4913-9-1095.40.0031531311641000No13,497,111*
4813-8-1188.6No01823332592000No15,048,211*
4713-7-1276.6No003132931185100No16,442,215*
4612-9-1159.6No001620322711200No17,610,381*
4512-8-1240.6No000211273220610No18,477,214*
4411-10-1123.7No0001518322913300.0%19,000,439*
4311-9-1211.7No000210263422610.019,128,825*
4211-8-134.8No000141733311320.018,864,272*
4110-10-121.7No0002927362240.018,228,344*
4010-9-130.5No0000419373190.117,239,729*
3910-8-140.1No0002113239160.715,971,822*
389-10-130.0No00162544252.314,466,541*
379-9-140.0No0031744365.912,824,979*
369-8-150.0No000111414712.311,127,495*
358-10-140.0No0006355821.59,439,021*
348-9-15OutNo003286832.87,828,278*
338-8-16OutNo002227645.06,338,442*
327-10-15OutNo001168357.05,008,313*
317-9-16OutNo00118867.63,869,675*
307-8-17OutNo0089276.52,916,306*
296-10-16OutNo0059583.52,142,698*
286-9-17OutNo0039788.81,532,266*
276-8-18OutNo029892.61,068,283*
265-10-17OutNo019995.3727,157*
255-9-18OutNo019997.1478,912*
245-8-19OutNo0010098.2306,858*
234-10-18OutNo010098.9190,832*
224-9-19OutNo010099.3115,167*
214-8-20OutNo010099.667,069*
203-10-19OutNo010099.837,798*
193-9-20OutNo010099.920,729*
183-8-21OutNo010099.910,744*
1-17OutNo100100.047,632*
Total:38.1%1.3%35678910111214157.2%331,770,264

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Impact finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeRed BullsFireOrlandoNYCFCAtlantaToronto FCUnionDC UnitedRevolutionCrew
65-9712.6%Yes
6419-6-712.61000
6318-8-612.5100000
6218-7-712.61000000000000
6118-6-812.51000000000000
6017-8-712.51000000000000
5917-7-812.51000000000000
5817-6-912.51000000000000
5716-8-812.5990000000000
17-5-1012.5990000000000
5616-7-912.4970000000000
15-10-712.4970000000000
5515-9-812.2941111111100
16-6-1012.2941111111000
5415-8-911.9881111111111
16-5-1111.9891111111111
14-11-711.9881211111111
5315-7-1011.4792322222211
14-10-811.4782333322221
5214-9-910.5654444433322
15-6-1110.6674444433322
13-12-710.5654444433322
5114-8-109.4495655554433
13-11-89.3486666654443
15-5-129.5505555554433
5014-7-117.9347777765544
13-10-97.7327777765544
15-4-137.8337777765544
4913-9-105.9187777766554
14-6-126.1207777766554
12-12-85.9187777766554
4813-8-114.296666665544
12-11-94.086666665544
14-5-134.296766665544
4713-7-122.645555544433
12-10-102.534555544433
11-13-82.535555544433
4612-9-111.413333332222
13-6-131.413333333222
4512-8-120.601222211111
4412-7-130.201111111100
4311-9-120.100000000000
4211-8-130.000000000000
4111-7-140.000000000000
4010-9-130.000000000000
3910-8-140.00000000000
389-10-130.00000000000
3712-0-20No
369-8-15No0
1-35No
Total:2.7%14.31.71.71.71.71.71.51.41.31.21.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/11100.0*Lottery seed
Impact 2 Sounders 2 +0.7
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 +0.1
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.1
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 +0.1
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
NYCFC vs Impact+0.7-0.1-1.8
FC Dallas vs Revolution-0.0-0.0+0.1
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
75-97100
7423-4-51000
7322-6-41000
7222-5-510000
7121-7-49900
7021-6-59910
6921-5-69811
6820-7-597210
6720-6-6953200
6620-5-7935300
6519-7-6897400
6419-6-784106000
6318-8-678139000
6218-7-7701712000
6118-6-860221701000
6017-8-749272212000
5917-7-837302724000
5817-6-92632314600000
5716-8-816323381101000
5616-7-9828311316130000
5515-9-84232519222501000
5415-8-9116172326510020000
5315-7-100109242511161400000
5214-9-90532019182238010000
5114-8-10021141122238141400000
5014-7-1101084201915213801000
4913-9-100003114102123815141000
4813-8-1100107319171621392000
4713-7-12000031138202291761000
4612-9-110001062181517221341000
4512-8-120000201162021231231000
4411-10-11000010521613252311310000
4311-9-12000020951727231241000
4211-8-13000010418202823113100
4110-10-12000002021022282311300
4010-9-130000000311242921920
3910-8-14000000141427301861
389-10-130000016183128132
379-9-14000002102534236
369-8-15000001416333312
358-10-140000029284022
348-9-1500004204333
338-8-160002134045
327-10-15000173557
317-9-1600042868
307-8-170022177
296-10-160011684
286-9-17001189
276-8-1800793
265-10-1700595
255-9-180397
245-8-190298
234-10-180199
224-9-190199
214-8-2000100
203-10-190100
193-9-200100
183-8-210100
173-7-220100
162-9-21100
152-8-220100
13-14100
121-8-23199
1-11100
Total:1223333444455566667777