How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Greenville 4 North Texas 0 +9.1
+0.8
South Georgia 3 Tucson 1 -0.1
Fort Lauderdale 2 Richmond 1 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
North Carolina vs Greenville-7.3-1.8+8.5
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Richmond vs South Georgia-0.1+0.4-0.2
Tucson vs Madison-0.1+0.4-0.1
New England II vs Omaha-0.2+0.4-0.1
North Texas vs Chattanooga-0.1+0.4-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Greenville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs123456789101112Count
67-84In10036,139*
6619-3-4In100010,805*
6518-5-3In100018,369*
6418-4-4In100030,334*
6318-3-5In100049,550*
6217-5-4In100078,210*
6117-4-5In1000120,644*
6016-6-4In991182,320*
5916-5-5In9910266,940*
5816-4-6In9820383,967*
5715-6-5In9730538,835*
5615-5-6In96400738,705*
5515-4-7In94600992,201*
5414-6-6In909001,304,581*
5314-5-7In86140001,673,453*
5213-7-6In79191002,109,139*
5113-6-7In71262002,596,923*
5013-5-8In613450003,128,511*
4912-7-7In504091003,692,161*
4812-6-8In3845152004,270,467*
4712-5-9100.0%26462440004,832,019*
4611-7-8100.01541331010005,357,144*
4511-6-9100.08323918300005,817,959*
4411-5-1099.93203929910006,180,319*
4310-7-999.7110303718400006,436,305*
4210-6-1098.3031836301120006,569,047*
4110-5-1193.601726372361006,552,239*
409-7-1081.00021332341630006,395,487*
399-6-1158.6004193630101006,113,016*
388-8-1032.7001725372361005,718,511*
378-7-1113.40002123135173005,226,480*
368-6-124.0000418363111104,670,835*
357-8-110.90017263823504,084,283*
347-7-120.200021434351313,489,634*
337-6-130.0001624402552,910,058*
326-8-120.0002133737112,371,506*
316-7-130.000162845211,882,074*
306-6-140.000031846331,457,129*
295-8-13Out0011142461,097,996*
285-7-14Out0063559805,993*
275-6-15Out0032770574,985*
264-8-14Out012079399,246*
254-7-15Out001386268,531*
244-6-16Out00991175,879*
234-5-17Out0694110,441*
223-7-16Out039768,071*
213-6-17Out029839,408*
203-5-18Out019922,723*
192-7-17Out19912,119*
182-6-18Out01006,311*
172-5-19Out01002,983*
162-4-20Out01001,443*
6-15Out10024,252*
Total:67.0%1613111098776543111,896,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs