Los Angeles Galaxy Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Timbers 0-1, playoff odds down 6.4 to 40.9%
0 points   0-0-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Galaxy 0 Timbers 1 -7.2
-0.7
-1.2
+2.1
-0.5
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 -0.8
-0.1
-0.1
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 +0.7
+0.1
+0.0
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.6
+0.1
+0.0
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 +0.6
+0.1
+0.0
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0 +0.4
+0.1
Impact 2 Sounders 2 +0.2
+0.0
Earthquakes 3 Whitecaps 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando+0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy-7.2-2.0+8.7
-0.7-0.2+0.8
-0.8-0.4+1.0
+2.6+0.5-3.0
-0.5-0.1+0.6
Sounders vs Red Bulls-0.8+0.2+0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC-0.8+0.2+0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs Revolution-0.8+0.2+0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Rapids vs Minnesota-0.2+0.4-0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Sporting KC vs Earthquakes-0.2+0.4-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Timbers vs Dynamo-0.1+0.3-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Orlando vs Union-0.1-0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs Impact-0.1-0.1+0.1
DC United vs Crew+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Galaxy finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
74-96In100.0%100No14,978*
7323-4-5In99.81000No2,066*
7222-6-4In99.31000No3,626*
7122-5-5In99.21000No6,102*
7021-7-4In98.6991No10,095*
6921-6-5In97.8991No16,499*
6821-5-6In96.89820No26,172*
6720-7-5In95.39820No40,354*
6620-6-6In92.89640No61,775*
6519-8-5In89.49550No91,535*
6419-7-6In84.892800No133,306*
6319-6-7In78.5891100No192,383*
6218-8-6In70.8851510No270,123*
6118-7-7In61.57919100No374,398*
6018-6-8In50.77225300No508,913*
5917-8-7In39.16431500No676,707*
5817-7-8In27.655378100No887,038*
5716-9-7In17.5444212100No1,139,011*
5616-8-8100.0%9.73444183000No1,434,092*
5516-7-9100.04.52443256100No1,778,601*
5415-9-8100.01.616393211200No2,171,302*
5315-8-9100.00.493236184000No2,593,231*
5215-7-1099.90.15233626910000No3,048,421*
5114-9-999.50.02143232154000No3,520,126*
5014-8-1098.40.01824342381000No3,996,618*
4914-7-1195.6No03153130154100No4,451,132*
4813-9-1089.3No01823332492000No4,885,427*
4713-8-1178.2No004152931175100No5,253,301*
4612-10-1062.4No001722322510200No5,555,660*
4512-9-1144.3No000313283218510No5,771,282*
4412-8-1227.3No000162032271120No5,884,601*
4311-10-1114.4No000212283319500.0%5,901,573*
4211-9-126.5No00161934281110.05,805,800*
4111-8-132.5No00021229351930.05,605,165*
4010-10-120.8No001621372870.15,316,251*
3910-9-130.2No003143436130.64,949,018*
3810-8-140.1No00182842212.24,520,290*
379-10-130.0No00042144315.94,051,366*
369-9-140.0No00214434212.53,560,208*
359-8-150.0No0018385321.93,069,202*
348-10-140.0No0005326333.52,592,360*
338-9-15OutNo003257246.12,145,809*
328-8-16OutNo001198058.11,738,542*
317-10-15OutNo01148669.01,383,124*
307-9-16OutNo00109077.71,073,502*
297-8-17OutNo0079384.6815,871*
286-10-16OutNo0049689.7605,511*
276-9-17OutNo039793.3438,911*
266-8-18OutNo029895.8311,832*
255-10-17OutNo019997.4215,790*
245-9-18OutNo19998.4145,317*
235-8-19OutNo0010099.195,784*
224-10-18OutNo010099.561,129*
214-9-19OutNo010099.738,088*
204-8-20OutNo010099.822,802*
193-10-19OutNo010099.913,377*
183-9-20OutNo010099.97,471*
173-8-21OutNo010099.94,107*
0-16OutNo100100.016,633*
Total:40.9%2.0%46778910111113158.0%109,303,708

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Galaxy finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeTimbersDynamoEarthquakesFC DallasRapidsSporting KCSoundersWhitecapsReal Salt LakeMinnesota
65-9612.3%Yes
6419-7-612.41000
6319-6-712.5100000
6218-8-612.5100000000000
6118-7-712.51000000000000
6018-6-812.51000000000000
5917-8-712.51000000000000
5817-7-812.5990000000000
5716-9-712.4980000000000
17-6-912.4980000000000
5616-8-812.3970000000000
17-5-1012.2970000000000
5516-7-912.1931111111111
15-10-712.0931111111111
5415-9-811.7872222111111
16-6-1011.7872221111111
5315-8-911.0783332222222
14-11-711.0763333322222
16-5-1111.1783332222222
5215-7-1010.3654444333333
14-10-810.2634444433333
16-4-1210.1644444433333
5114-9-99.0495555554444
15-6-119.1505555544444
13-12-78.9476665554444
5014-8-107.8347776655555
13-11-87.6317776665555
15-5-127.7337776665555
4914-7-116.4207777665555
13-10-96.1197777665555
12-13-76.2187777665555
4813-9-104.7106666655555
14-6-124.8106666655555
12-12-84.596666655555
4713-8-113.345555544444
12-11-93.145555444443
14-5-133.345555544444
4613-7-122.013333333333
12-10-101.913333333332
4512-9-111.102222221111
13-6-131.002222221111
4412-8-120.501111111111
4311-10-110.200000000000
4211-9-120.100000000000
4111-8-130.000000000000
4010-10-120.00000000000
3910-9-130.00000000000
3810-8-140.00000000000
379-10-130.0000000000
0-36No
Total:3.0%16.41.81.81.81.71.61.51.41.41.41.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/11100.0*Lottery seed
Galaxy 0 Timbers 1 +1.1
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 +0.1
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 -0.0
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 -0.0
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 -0.0
Impact 2 Sounders 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy+1.1+0.3-1.3
Sounders vs Red Bulls+0.1-0.0-0.0
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.0-0.0
FC Dallas vs Revolution+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
75-96100
7423-5-41000
7323-4-510000
7222-6-49900
7122-5-59900
7021-7-49911
6921-6-59811
6821-5-697220
6720-7-595220
6620-6-693440
6519-8-5895500
6419-7-68587000
6319-6-7781011000
6218-8-6711415010
6118-7-762181901000
6018-6-851222513000
5917-8-739253015000
5817-7-8282734380100
5716-9-718273661201000
5616-8-81024341018130000
5516-7-9420281524260100
5415-9-821419202841102000
5315-8-909102127917140000
5215-7-1005419221523290100000
5114-9-902113131925715040000
5014-8-1001085192113212801000
4914-7-1100311412192471504100
4813-9-1000108419191421292000
4713-8-11000311410202381651000
4612-10-100001073191616221230000
4512-9-1100000311272121211030000
4412-8-1200001062181425211030000
4311-10-110000201161826211030000
4211-9-1200010629212722103000
4111-8-1300002031022282110200
4010-10-12000101412242920820
3910-9-1300000151527291851
3810-8-140000017193028132
379-10-13000002102534236
369-9-1400001416333312
359-8-15000029274022
348-10-14000004194234
338-9-150002124046
328-8-1600173458
317-10-1500042769
307-9-160022078
297-8-17011585
286-10-16001090
276-9-1700793
266-8-1800496
255-10-170397
245-9-180298
235-8-190199
224-10-180199
214-9-1900100
204-8-200100
193-10-190100
183-9-200100
173-8-210100
12-16100
111-8-23298
0-10100
Total:2233334444445555666678