FC Dallas Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 4.5 to 44.8%
37 points   10-7-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
San Jose 3 Vancouver 1 -3.0
-0.1
-0.1
RSL 2 Colorado 0 -1.2
-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
FC Dallas vs Houston+17.8-4.4-14.9
+0.9-0.3-0.6
No-0.0+0.0
+0.8-0.2-0.7
LAFC vs LA Galaxy+1.0+0.1-1.0
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/31100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas vs Cincinnati+16.5-5.0-13.2
+0.9-0.3-0.6
No-0.0+0.0
+0.7-0.2-0.6
Portland vs RSL-3.2+0.9+2.5
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
San Jose vs Orlando-2.3+0.5+1.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
LAFC vs Minnesota+1.4+0.3-1.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Sporting KC vs Houston-1.3+1.6+0.3
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Seattle vs LA Galaxy-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
NY Red Bulls vs Colorado+0.1+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well FC Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
587-0-0InNo8019100No4,069,292
566-1-0InNo484110100No17,260,925
556-0-1100.0%No3345193000No25,913,591
545-2-0100.0No14403411100No34,519,374
535-1-1100.0No62839225000No103,627,943
525-0-299.9No215353313200No77,720,449
4-3-099.9No111323617300No38,352,823
514-2-199.2No04193730910No172,640,547
504-1-296.6No019283820300No259,037,461
3-4-095.3No006244025500No25,555,596
493-3-186.5No0011135391300No153,405,718
4-0-389.8No0031637341000No129,539,904
483-2-270.4No0004224427200No345,291,509
2-5-067.8No00319463020No10,224,298
473-1-348.7No001103842900No345,395,974
2-4-144.2No00073647900No76,698,541
462-3-224.0No000222542110No230,147,107
3-0-428.5No000325492020No129,558,349
1-6-025.0No00223571810No2,272,323
452-2-310.2No000104837600No345,260,945
1-5-19.5No00095036500No20,441,801
442-1-43.4No000333491500No259,019,940
1-4-22.9No00335491300No76,682,252
0-7-03.5No0340471000No216,528
431-3-30.7No00119522710No153,402,126
2-0-51.0No00119502920No77,728,791
0-6-10.7No0122532310No2,272,533
421-2-40.1No008434350No172,627,050
0-5-20.1No09464140No10,220,668
411-1-50.0No032956120No103,600,846
0-4-30.0No033255100No25,558,396
400-3-40.0No011758232No38,348,713
1-0-60.0No0115592410.0%25,914,064
390-2-50.0No007523750.034,525,193
380-1-6OutNo02405080.017,264,137
370-0-7OutNo02559160.14,066,101
Total:44.8%No12571218241910200.0%3,548,381,808

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well FC Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeRSLSeattleLA GalaxyMinnesotaSan JosePortlandSporting KCHoustonColoradoVancouver
587-0-012.4%9900000000
566-1-011.88922222100
556-0-111.178444442000
545-2-09.554898884000
535-1-18.13411111112106000
525-0-26.417121212131171000
4-3-05.81212131213127000
514-2-14.0410101010106100
504-1-22.41777764100
3-4-01.90565653000
494-0-31.20333332000
3-3-10.80222221000
483-2-20.30111110000
2-5-00.20010100000
473-1-30.100000000000
2-4-10.00000000000
463-0-40.00000000000
2-3-20.00000000000
1-6-00.000000000
452-2-30.0000000000
1-5-10.00000000
442-1-40.000000000
1-4-20.00000000
0-7-0No
432-0-5No000
1-3-3No0
0-6-1No
37-42No
Total:1.2%3.42.12.22.12.22.01.20.10.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/24100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose 3 Vancouver 1 +0.2
RSL 2 Colorado 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
FC Dallas vs Houston-1.5+0.4+1.3
LAFC vs LA Galaxy-0.1-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/31100.0*Lottery seed
FC Dallas vs Cincinnati-1.4+0.4+1.1
LAFC vs Minnesota-0.1-0.0+0.1
San Jose vs Orlando+0.1-0.1-0.1
Portland vs RSL+0.1-0.1-0.1
Sporting KC vs Houston+0.1-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
587-0-06020190100
566-1-017313561001000
556-0-1626321319030000
545-2-01131822322110100
535-1-10682034522050000
525-0-2022132793211302000
4-3-0011102110351170300
514-2-100049103432909010
504-1-2000126226381200300
3-4-000014177391250500
493-3-1000016531339013000
4-0-3000021063523401000
483-2-200001317543127200
2-5-00001213644230200
473-1-300001653444290000
2-4-10000034315469000
462-3-200001215751222000
3-0-400001219648212000
1-6-0000021495320200
452-2-300000454138101000
1-5-1000036423810100
442-1-400001322432461000
1-4-2000122243257100
0-7-00132442236100
431-3-30000172936206100
2-0-50000193236174000
0-6-100182936205100
421-2-40001123034194000
0-5-2001123035184000
411-1-5000315333314200
0-4-3000213323515200
400-3-400031636331110
1-0-600041937309100
390-2-500005234125500
380-1-60011035401310
370-0-700219452940
Total:01123262102162211485421000