Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

FC Dallas Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Atlanta 2-1, playoff odds up 7 to 82%
16 points   5-1-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta 1 FC Dallas 2 +6.7
+1.0
+2.4
-0.3
+0.6
Orlando 1 Vancouver 0 +0.7
Columbus 1 Portland 3 -0.6
+0.1
Chicago 4 Colorado 1 +0.5
San Jose 4 Sporting KC 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Minnesota vs LA Galaxy-0.5+0.2+0.3
*-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.3+0.2-0.5
Seattle vs San Jose+0.3+0.3-0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.4+0.2+0.3
LAFC vs Seattle*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
DC United vs NYCFC-0.2+0.1+0.2
Columbus vs DC United+0.0+0.1-0.1
New England vs Montreal+0.0+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas vs San Jose+6.2-1.0-5.5
+1.1-0.3-0.9
+3.2-1.1-2.5
-0.2*-0.0+0.2
+0.6-0.1-0.5
Sporting KC vs New England-0.7+0.2+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Minnesota vs DC United-0.7+0.2+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Toronto FC vs Portland+0.5+0.2-0.6
-0.3+0.1+0.2
Vancouver vs Philadelphia-0.6+0.2+0.5
+0.1+0.1-0.1
LA Galaxy vs RSL+0.4+0.3-0.5
-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.5+0.2+0.3
Houston vs Columbus-0.5+0.1+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.2+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Colorado+0.3+0.1-0.4
Colorado vs Vancouver+0.1+0.3-0.3
Seattle vs LAFC-0.1+0.1*-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Philadelphia vs Cincinnati-0.1+0.1+0.1
Montreal vs Chicago-0.0+0.1*-0.0
NYCFC vs Orlando+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well FC Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
82-94In100.0%100No16,189*
8121-2-3In99.71000No615*
8020-4-2In99.9100No1,178*
7920-3-3In99.81000No2,330*
7819-5-2In99.91000No4,336*
7719-4-3In99.91000No7,801*
7619-3-4In99.71000No13,854*
7518-5-3In99.61000No23,907*
7418-4-4In99.41000No39,961*
7318-3-5In99.09910No64,853*
7217-5-4In98.49910No102,201*
7117-4-5In97.69820No159,432*
7016-6-4In96.29730No239,535*
6916-5-5In94.39640No352,310*
6816-4-6In91.493600No508,987*
6715-6-5In87.590900No713,622*
6615-5-6In82.5871300No981,690*
6515-4-7In75.98217100No1,319,403*
6414-6-6In67.77623200No1,736,381*
6314-5-7In58.06828300No2,234,237*
6213-7-6In47.36034600No2,820,021*
6113-6-7In36.150409100No3,476,900*
6013-5-8In25.4414414200No4,198,034*
5912-7-7In16.23145203000No4,958,918*
5812-6-8In9.02244277100No5,744,437*
5712-5-9In4.315393311200No6,506,043*
5611-7-8100.0%1.693238184000No7,226,570*
5511-6-9100.00.5524382571000No7,850,985*
5411-5-10100.00.12163532132000No8,356,870*
5310-7-9100.00.0192836215100No8,702,814*
5210-6-1099.90.00419352811200No8,880,880*
5110-5-1199.50.002112934185100No8,872,478*
509-7-1098.2No016213527102000No8,664,429*
499-6-1195.1No002133033174000No8,287,508*
488-8-1088.8No001622342692000No7,747,224*
478-7-1178.1No0003133032174000No7,093,561*
468-6-1263.1No00172234269200No6,342,931*
457-8-1146.1No000313303217400No5,549,372*
447-7-1229.8No0017223426910No4,732,946*
437-6-1317.0No00031431331630No3,950,146*
426-8-128.5No00017243625710.0%3,214,384*
416-7-133.7No00031633321320.02,551,248*
406-6-141.4No001927372140.11,974,828*
395-8-130.5No000520383070.31,488,092*
385-7-140.1No002133538131.31,093,817*
375-6-150.0No00172943203.8779,926*
364-8-140.0No00042245298.5540,326*
354-7-150.0No00215443916.1364,147*
344-6-16OutNo0110414926.0236,985*
334-5-17OutNo006355937.5149,170*
323-7-16OutNo003296849.890,999*
313-6-17OutNo002237561.153,384*
303-5-18OutNo01178271.030,496*
292-7-17OutNo0128779.516,260*
282-6-18OutNo099185.58,425*
272-5-19OutNo079389.24,228*
261-7-18OutNo049693.41,994*
251-6-19OutNo39795.8842*
241-5-20OutNo29897.9381*
22-23OutNo100Yes179*
210-5-21OutNo79392.914*
19-20OutNo100Yes6*
160-0-26OutNo0100100.015,660
Total:82.0%7.8%1113141312109753210.3%151,101,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well FC Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeLA GalaxyLAFCSeattleHoustonMinnesotaSporting KCRSLSan JosePortlandVancouverColorado
69-9412.6%Yes
6816-4-612.510000
6715-6-512.510000000000
6615-5-612.51000000000000
6515-4-712.510000000000000
6414-6-612.510000000000000
6314-5-712.510000000000000
6213-7-612.510000000000000
14-4-812.510000000000000
6113-6-712.59900000000000
14-3-912.59900000000000
6013-5-812.49800000000000
12-8-612.49800000000000
5912-7-712.39601110000000
13-4-912.39600010000000
5812-6-812.09311111110000
11-9-612.09211111110000
13-3-1012.19311111110000
5712-5-911.78722221111000
11-8-711.68722222111100
5611-7-811.17833332221110
12-4-1011.27933332221110
5511-6-910.36744454332110
10-9-710.36545554332111
12-3-1110.56844454332110
5411-5-109.55466675443221
10-8-89.35266675453221
5310-7-98.23777786564221
11-4-118.43977786554221
9-10-78.13678886664321
5210-6-107.02488897664321
9-9-86.82388897664321
11-3-127.12588897664321
5110-5-115.81488897664331
9-8-95.51388897664331
509-7-104.2677786654321
10-4-124.3677786654321
499-6-113.0355565443221
8-9-92.9255565443221
489-5-121.8133343332111
478-7-111.0022222221110
468-6-120.5011111110000
458-5-130.2000000000000
447-7-120.1000000000000
437-6-130.0000000000000
427-5-140.0000000000000
416-7-130.000000000000
406-6-140.000000000
395-8-13No00
16-38No
Total:6.3%38.03.03.23.23.62.82.52.51.61.11.00.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/20100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta 1 FC Dallas 2 -1.2
Orlando 1 Vancouver 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Seattle vs San Jose+0.0-0.1-0.0
Minnesota vs LA Galaxy+0.0-0.1+0.0
LAFC vs Seattle+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/27100.0*Lottery seed
FC Dallas vs San Jose-1.2+0.3+1.0
Houston vs Columbus+0.1-0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs DC United+0.1-0.0-0.1
Sporting KC vs New England+0.1-0.0-0.1
LA Galaxy vs RSL+0.0-0.1+0.0
Seattle vs LAFC+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
83-94100
8221-3-21000
8121-2-310000
8020-4-21000
7920-3-310000
7819-5-210000
7719-4-310000
7619-3-410000
7518-5-310000
7418-4-49900
7318-3-599010
7217-5-498010
7117-4-598120
7016-6-496130
6916-5-594140
6816-4-69126000
6715-6-58839000
6615-5-682413000
6515-4-7766170100
6414-6-6688220200
6314-5-758102803000
6213-7-647123406000
6113-6-7361439190100
6013-5-82515422140200
5912-7-7161541420030000
5812-6-891338627070100
5712-5-94103093211102000
5611-7-827211235318040000
5511-6-90411123352507010000
5411-5-100251126931113020000
5310-7-90127161232420050100
5210-6-1000047122782711102000
5110-5-11000229171330418050100
509-7-10001057142692511002000
499-6-110000221115142851704000
488-8-10000106616231124292000
478-7-1100000311213172661751000
468-6-120001065172014231120000
457-8-1100000311210202420820000
447-7-12000107319172518820000
437-6-13000003113821261882000
426-8-12000010731223261882000
416-7-130000314142527187200
406-6-14000101616262716610
395-8-1300000271928261340
385-7-140000031023312391
375-6-15000014142831184
364-8-1400000172134289
354-7-150000313313716
344-6-160017244226
334-5-170003174238
323-7-16001103950
313-6-170063361
303-5-180032671
292-7-17011980
282-6-18001485
272-5-1901189
261-7-180693
251-6-190496
241-5-20298
22-23100
210-5-21793
19-20100
160-0-260100
Total:841031031039373634322211110