FC Dallas Playoff Chances

Beat Chicago 3-1, playoff odds up 0.8 to 99.5%
38 points   11-5-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas 3 Chicago 1 +0.7
+0.4
+2.0
No
+0.2
New England 2 LA Galaxy 3 -0.3
-0.1
Minnesota 3 RSL 2 +0.2
DC United 3 Vancouver 1 +0.1
Colorado 0 Houston 0 +0.0
NY Red Bulls 3 Sporting KC 2 +0.1
-0.4
+0.0
NYCFC 2 Columbus 0 -0.5
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
LAFC vs Portland-0.2+0.3+0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs Seattle-0.8+1.1+1.8
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Houston vs FC Dallas-0.2+0.1+0.4
-0.3+0.1+0.6
-2.6-0.5+6.4
+0.0NoNo
-0.2+0.0+0.4
RSL vs Colorado-0.1+0.1+0.1
Philadelphia vs LA Galaxy+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
LAFC vs LA Galaxy+0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
-0.3+0.3+0.5
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Seattle vs Vancouver+0.0+0.0-0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Portland vs Montreal-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
Minnesota vs LAFC+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Orlando vs NYCFC+1.1+0.6-1.0
Atlanta vs DC United-0.8+1.1+1.7
DC United vs NY Red Bulls+0.9+0.4-1.0
NY Red Bulls vs New England-0.6+0.7+1.1

What If

Chances based on how well FC Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
8315-0-0In100.0%100No2,824,471
8114-1-0In99.91000No241,747
8014-0-1In99.91000No365,432
7913-2-0In99.81000No1,126,039
7813-1-1In99.51000No3,389,465
7712-3-0In98.91000No5,749,857*
7612-2-1In98.01000No14,430,291
7512-1-2In96.310000No27,613,761*
7411-3-1In93.410000No47,770,474*
7311-2-2In89.39910No90,966,683*
7211-1-3In83.29910No144,915,475*
7110-3-2In75.09820No228,703,626*
7010-2-3In65.297300No356,613,948*
699-4-2In53.795500No500,461,950*
689-3-3In41.692800No698,503,093*
679-2-4In30.1881200No933,436,477*
668-4-3In19.9831700No1,166,735,275*
658-3-4In11.97623100No1,435,137,643*
648-2-5In7.16830200No882,894,254
7-5-3In5.76631200No797,099,255*
637-4-4In3.057384000No1,871,424,901*
627-3-5In1.247458000No2,032,993,966*
616-5-4In0.4355014100No1,093,820,544
7-2-6In0.5374913100No1,008,415,471*
606-4-5In0.1245122200No1,453,679,705
7-1-7In0.1265121200No628,977,689*
596-3-6100.0%0.01647316000No1,269,085,719
5-6-4100.00.01648315000No729,830,356*
585-5-5100.00.09404011100No1,022,026,451
6-2-7100.00.010403811100No805,230,172*
575-4-6100.00.04304420200No1,602,544,559*
565-3-7100.00.021943306000No1,354,549,818*
554-5-6100.00.0111363912100No1,089,363,338*
544-4-799.90.005264322300No838,778,121*
534-3-899.6No021641338000No619,236,381*
523-5-798.5No018334116100No433,360,839*
513-4-895.8No003224327400No288,936,099*
503-3-990.2No0011339379100No183,404,246*
492-5-880.8No0006304417200No109,523,585*
482-4-967.4No002194628400No61,756,764*
472-3-1051.6No0011140381000No32,774,833*
461-5-935.6No005304518200No16,112,803*
451-4-1021.7No002204529400No7,342,522*
441-3-1111.5No01113939910No3,077,930*
431-2-125.3No005304618200No1,160,032*
420-4-112.0No02194628400No382,720*
410-3-120.7No011040391010No110,319*
400-2-130.1No00429461920No25,305
390-1-14OutNo218463040No3,795
380-0-150.0No00104139900.0%2,801,131
Total:99.5%8.3%3829179420000000.0%25,899,709,330

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well FC Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeLAFCPortlandSporting KCLA GalaxyHoustonRSLVancouverMinnesotaSeattleColoradoSan Jose
71-8312.5%Yes
7010-2-312.51000
699-4-212.510000000
689-3-312.5100000000
679-2-412.5100000000000
8-5-212.5100000000000
668-4-312.5100000000000
9-1-512.5100000000000
658-3-412.510000000000000
7-6-212.510000000000000
648-2-512.510000000000000
7-5-312.510000000000000
637-4-412.510000000000000
8-1-612.510000000000000
627-3-512.510000000000000
6-6-312.510000000000000
616-5-412.59900000000000
7-2-612.59900000000000
606-4-512.49700011000000
7-1-712.49800011000000
5-7-312.49800011000000
596-3-612.39401122100000
5-6-412.39400121100000
585-5-512.08811243100000
6-2-712.18811233100000
575-4-611.67713466210000
4-7-411.77912465300000
6-1-811.77912456200000
565-3-710.96424699410000
4-6-511.06424699410000
554-5-610.0473791313610000
5-2-810.1493791213510000
544-4-78.73149111516721000
3-7-58.93248111516721000
534-3-87.418510131718821000
3-6-67.418410131718921000
523-5-75.99510131718821000
513-4-84.4349111517721000
503-3-93.013791113621000
492-5-81.90256810410000
482-4-91.1013456210000
472-3-100.5012223100000
461-5-90.2001112000000
451-4-100.1000001000000
441-3-110.000000000000
431-2-120.0000000000
420-4-110.0000000
410-3-12No000
400-2-13No0
38-39No
Total:11.6%84.60.81.72.33.33.31.50.40.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 7/14100.0*Lottery seed
FC Dallas 3 Chicago 1 -0.5
New England 2 LA Galaxy 3 +0.1
NY Red Bulls 3 Sporting KC 2 -0.0
Minnesota 3 RSL 2 -0.0
Colorado 0 Houston 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
LAFC vs Portland+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/21100.0*Lottery seed
Houston vs FC Dallas+0.4-0.1-0.8
Minnesota vs LAFC-0.1-0.1+0.2
Portland vs Montreal+0.1-0.1-0.1
LAFC vs LA Galaxy+0.1-0.1-0.1
Philadelphia vs LA Galaxy-0.0-0.0+0.1
Houston vs Philadelphia+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223
8315-0-01000
8114-1-010000
8014-0-110000
7913-2-010000
7813-1-110000
7712-3-09910
7612-2-198200
7512-1-2964000
7411-3-1936000
7311-2-28910100
7211-1-38316100
7110-3-275232000
7010-2-3653230000
699-4-2544150000
689-3-3425071000
679-2-43058102000
668-4-32063125000
658-3-4126414910000
648-2-5761151520000
7-5-3661141720000
637-4-43541325410000
627-3-51451134620000
6-6-31451035620000
616-5-4034743861000
7-2-6136841851000
606-4-5025546111120000
596-3-60162451219600000
5-6-40162461120500000
585-5-50913911291101000
6-2-701013911271101000
575-4-6040298361912000
565-3-702019538282600000
554-5-6010113343451201000
544-4-700051253592203000
534-3-8002016291232180000
523-5-7001081914392160100
513-4-800031013385260400
503-3-90001493183719100
492-5-8000015201042217200
482-4-90000291040528500
472-3-1000013731937111000
461-5-900014181241203000
451-4-1000002812373191000
441-3-110012826371951000
431-2-1200015143330144100
420-4-110025213226113000
410-3-120011923312310200
400-2-13000311253121810
390-1-140141527301851
380-0-150001618312813300
Total:83062351281402000000000000