FC Dallas Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 4.3 to 52.5%
37 points   10-7-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
San Jose 3 Vancouver 1 -3.2
-0.1
-0.1
RSL 2 Colorado 0 -1.0
-0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
FC Dallas vs Houston+12.5-10.7-20.8
+0.6-0.6-0.9
NoNo+0.0
+0.5-0.4-0.9
LAFC vs LA Galaxy+0.6-0.8-2.3
+0.1-0.1-0.3
+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/31100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas vs Cincinnati+9.1-13.5-21.9
+0.5-0.7-1.0
NoNo+0.0
+0.4-0.5-0.9
San Jose vs Orlando-3.3+2.6+5.3
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
LAFC vs Minnesota+0.9-0.6-3.2
+0.1-0.0-0.3
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Portland vs RSL-1.6+1.0+2.3
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Sporting KC vs Houston-0.6+1.1+0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Seattle vs LA Galaxy+0.1*-0.0-0.4
-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well FC Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
587-0-0InNo8217100No17,721,534
566-1-0InNo49419100No79,433,383
556-0-1100.0%No3245193000No122,617,718
545-2-0100.0No14413310100No159,349,082
535-1-1100.0No52639236100No479,801,062
525-0-299.9No112333515300No352,007,748
4-3-099.8No110313618300No173,049,302
514-2-198.6No031635321210No760,780,971
504-1-294.8No016253925500No1,083,538,873
3-4-093.3No005213928700No109,845,333
493-3-181.7No001931411800No626,598,472
4-0-386.2No0021234381400No497,221,198
483-2-263.6No000317433510No1,298,726,873
2-5-059.9No00215433820No40,845,050
473-1-343.8No00183550600No1,153,474,525
2-4-137.4No0005325670No283,159,347
462-3-219.3No00118641600No759,505,992
3-0-425.3No000323591610No368,153,867
1-6-018.6No0011766150No8,240,702
452-2-38.0No00086030200No980,451,350
1-5-16.5No0006593220No66,701,997
442-1-42.8No0034446700No605,922,305
1-4-21.9No0024547700No217,197,080
0-7-01.9No02474650No697,072
431-3-30.4No0029561500No362,750,410
2-0-50.7No00127551700No142,753,449
0-6-10.4No0029571400No6,407,310
421-2-40.0No0014553010No326,112,855
0-5-20.0No0014563010No24,339,445
411-1-50.0No05444830No149,070,440
0-4-30.0No06464620No49,374,807
400-3-40.0No02306080No57,490,445
1-0-60.0No01286380No26,970,479
390-2-5OutNo01567171No38,268,856
380-1-6OutNo06642920.0%13,432,488
370-0-7OutNo1504450.03,093,140
Total:52.5%No1369132029144000.0%11,445,104,960

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well FC Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeRSLSeattleLA GalaxyMinnesotaPortlandSan JoseSporting KCHoustonColoradoVancouver
587-0-012.5%9900000000
566-1-012.19112222100
556-0-111.577444443000
545-2-010.25579877600
535-1-18.23110121111118000
525-0-26.01411121211129000
4-3-05.5111013121111900
514-2-13.238999970000
504-1-21.615565540000
3-4-01.3045454300
494-0-30.60223222000
3-3-10.40122221000
483-2-20.100000100000
2-5-00.1000000000
473-1-30.00000000000
2-4-10.00000000000
463-0-40.00000000000
2-3-20.0000000000
1-6-00.000000000
452-2-30.000000000
1-5-10.00000000
442-1-40.000000000
1-4-2No000000
0-7-0No
432-0-5No00
1-3-3No
0-6-1No
37-42No
Total:1.4%4.52.42.72.62.52.52.00.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/24100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose 3 Vancouver 1 +0.1
RSL 2 Colorado 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
FC Dallas vs Houston-1.0+0.9+1.7
LAFC vs LA Galaxy-0.1+0.1+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/31100.0*Lottery seed
FC Dallas vs Cincinnati-0.7+1.1+1.7
San Jose vs Orlando+0.2-0.1-0.2
LAFC vs Minnesota-0.1+0.0+0.3
Portland vs RSL+0.1-0.1-0.1
Sporting KC vs Houston+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
587-0-041411611000
566-1-0842291290100
556-0-1230252119030000
545-2-00141229312100100
535-1-10552133623060100
525-0-201111258350150300
4-3-0010102110361180300
514-2-100038934232012010
504-1-200124213380250500
3-4-000014174380280700
493-3-100001632914101800
4-0-300001933413801400
483-2-200001115243035200
2-5-00001112342138200
473-1-30000052332506000
2-4-10000032293567000
462-3-20001114462171000
3-0-4000001119358161000
1-6-0000011256317100
452-2-3000004453335100
1-5-1000003351357100
442-1-40000123244184000
1-4-2000012944205100
0-7-0002294320500
431-3-30000113433174000
2-0-500001143832133000
0-6-100010323518400
421-2-4000316323215300
0-5-2000213323516200
411-1-5000418363210000
0-4-3000315353411100
400-3-40004204130400
1-0-60016244125300
390-2-5001732471310
380-1-6002175326300
370-0-700542421110
Total:01124281131191261153210000