FC Dallas Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 76.1%
9 points   2-3-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
New England 0 FC Dallas 1 +10.3
+1.3
+1.9
-0.8
+0.8
Chicago 0 LA Galaxy 1 -1.2
-0.2
-0.1
Colorado 2 Toronto FC 0 -0.5
-0.1
-0.0
San Jose 2 Houston 2 +0.5
+0.1
Sporting KC 2 Seattle 2 +0.3
+0.2
Atlanta 2 NYCFC 2 +0.2
DC United 1 Columbus 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sporting KC vs Vancouver+0.1+0.2-0.5
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas vs Philadelphia+4.6-4.1-8.4
+0.7-0.6-1.2
+1.5-1.5-2.4
-0.2+0.1+0.4
+0.4-0.4-0.7
Houston vs Toronto FC-0.5+0.5+0.9
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Orlando vs San Jose+0.4*-0.0-1.0
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
LA Galaxy vs Atlanta-0.6+0.3+0.7
-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Portland vs NYCFC-0.7+0.2+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.6+0.2-0.8
Montreal vs LAFC+0.4+0.0-0.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Minnesota+0.1+0.2-0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs RSL-0.2+0.5+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
RSL vs Colorado-0.1+0.3-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Columbus vs New England+0.0+0.1-0.2
NY Red Bulls vs Chicago-0.1+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well FC Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
83-96In100.0%100No406,898*
8223-4-2In99.91000No6,471*
8123-3-3In99.91000No13,509*
8022-5-2In99.81000No26,595*
7922-4-3In99.81000No51,444*
7822-3-4In99.71000No96,217*
7721-5-3In99.51000No174,991*
7621-4-4In99.21000No308,179*
7520-6-3In98.81000No530,192*
7420-5-4In98.11000No886,923*
7320-4-5In97.210000No1,447,523*
7219-6-4In95.910000No2,306,613*
7119-5-5In94.010000No3,578,188*
7019-4-6In91.699100No5,424,005*
6918-6-5In88.29910No8,034,976*
6818-5-6In83.998200No11,617,133*
6717-7-5In78.597300No16,416,759*
6617-6-6In71.895500No22,688,394*
6517-5-7In63.993700No30,658,408*
6416-7-6In54.9901000No40,528,585*
6316-6-7In45.18614100No52,419,038*
6216-5-8In35.18019100No66,347,277*
6115-7-7In25.473242000No82,156,608*
6015-6-8In16.965314000No99,593,252*
5914-8-7100.0%10.1553771000No118,177,333*
5814-7-8100.05.34542121000No137,294,002*
5714-6-9100.02.33444183000No156,175,453*
5613-8-8100.00.824442561000No173,966,345*
5513-7-9100.00.2163932112000No189,654,494*
5413-6-10100.00.0932371840000No202,487,632*
5312-8-999.90.0523372681000No211,695,427*
5212-7-1099.60.021432331530000No216,656,580*
5112-6-1198.60.01724352481000No217,048,397*
5011-8-1095.8No031531311540000No212,855,293*
4911-7-1189.4No01723342492000No204,275,884*
4811-6-1277.7No0031429311751000No191,919,154*
4710-8-1160.6No0016213326112000No176,408,130*
4610-7-1241.0No0002112732206100No158,591,996*
459-9-1123.5No0001518322913300No139,471,948*
449-8-1211.2No000029253322710No119,935,909*
439-7-134.4No000416313115300.0%100,829,607*
428-9-121.4No00018243524710.082,836,910*
418-8-130.4No000031533331420.066,472,459*
408-7-140.1No0001826372340.152,098,490*
397-9-130.0No0000418373290.439,864,090*
387-8-140.0No0001103240161.629,754,622*
377-7-150.0No00052545244.521,665,443*
366-9-140.0No00031745359.815,370,151*
356-8-150.0No000111424518.010,627,875*
346-7-16OutNo0007375628.67,144,791*
335-9-15OutNo0004316640.64,674,475*
325-8-16OutNo002247452.72,974,672*
315-7-17OutNo01188164.01,834,316*
304-9-16OutNo00138673.81,100,813*
294-8-17OutNo0099181.5639,682*
284-7-18OutNo069487.4357,684*
274-6-19OutNo049691.7194,484*
263-8-18OutNo039794.8101,943*
253-7-19OutNo029896.751,353*
243-6-20OutNo19997.924,536*
232-8-19OutNo19999.011,408*
222-7-20OutNo010099.15,066*
212-6-21OutNo010099.72,154*
202-5-22OutNo010099.9838*
9-19OutNo100100.0401,807*
Total:76.1%5.7%171513121087643210.4%3,711,371,824

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well FC Dallas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeSporting KCLAFCColoradoLA GalaxyVancouverHoustonSan JoseMinnesotaPortlandRSLSeattle
71-9612.5%Yes
7019-4-612.51000
6918-6-512.5Yes
6818-5-612.51000
6717-7-512.510000000
6617-6-612.51000000000000
6517-5-712.510000000000000
6416-7-612.510000000000000
6316-6-712.510000000000000
6216-5-812.510000000000000
6115-7-712.510000000000000
16-4-912.510000000000000
6015-6-812.510000000000000
14-9-612.510000000000000
5914-8-712.59900000000000
15-5-912.59900000000000
5814-7-812.59900000000000
15-4-1012.59900000000000
5714-6-912.49700000000000
13-9-712.49700000000000
5613-8-812.39311111110000
14-5-1012.39411111110000
5513-7-912.08722221111110
14-4-1112.08812221111110
12-10-712.08812221111110
5413-6-1011.57833332222211
12-9-811.67833332222211
5312-8-910.86444454333221
13-5-1110.96544444332221
5212-7-109.74866665544321
11-10-89.84866665444331
13-4-129.95056665443321
5112-6-118.33277776654432
11-9-98.33277786555432
5011-8-106.51777887655532
12-5-126.71977887655532
4911-7-114.7867776554432
10-10-94.8967776555432
4811-6-123.1355555443331
4710-8-111.7133333322221
4610-7-120.8012221111111
4510-6-130.3011111100000
449-8-120.1000000000000
439-7-130.0000000000000
429-6-140.0000000000000
418-8-130.0000000000000
408-7-140.000000000000
398-6-150.000000000000
388-5-160.00000
9-37No
Total:7.3%46.12.42.62.62.82.32.01.81.71.61.20.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/14100.0*Lottery seed
New England 0 FC Dallas 1 -1.7
Chicago 0 LA Galaxy 1 +0.1
Sporting KC 2 Seattle 2 -0.1
Colorado 2 Toronto FC 0 +0.1
San Jose 2 Houston 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sporting KC vs Vancouver+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/21100.0*Lottery seed
FC Dallas vs Philadelphia-0.8+0.7+1.4
Montreal vs LAFC-0.1-0.0+0.1
LA Galaxy vs Atlanta+0.1-0.0-0.1
RSL vs Colorado-0.0-0.0+0.1
Houston vs Toronto FC+0.0-0.1-0.1
Orlando vs San Jose-0.0-0.0+0.1
Portland vs NYCFC+0.1-0.0-0.0
Vancouver vs RSL+0.0-0.1-0.0
Seattle vs Minnesota-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223
85-96100
8424-3-21000
8324-2-3100
8223-4-210000
8123-3-310000
8022-5-210000
7922-4-310000
7822-3-410000
7721-5-39900
7621-4-49910
7520-6-39910
7420-5-49820
7320-4-597300
7219-6-496400
7119-5-5946000
7019-4-69281000
6918-6-58811100
6818-5-684142000
6717-7-579183000
6617-6-672245000
6517-5-7642970000
6416-7-65535100000
6316-6-745411311000
6216-5-835451721000
6115-7-72548213200000
6015-6-81748247400000
5914-8-7104525117010000
5814-7-85402418111100000
5714-6-92322025162300000
5613-8-812414302066010000
5513-7-90168312112101200000
5413-6-100932818191624000000
5312-8-90512212251968010000
5212-7-10020146271913141300000
5112-6-1101072221421195801000
5011-8-10003014724201114140000
4911-7-11001072211519204920000
4811-6-1200003013722211116510000
4710-8-1100010621814182213410000
4610-7-1200000201172121221131000
459-9-11000010521614262211310000
449-8-120000020961927221131000
439-7-130000004292128221131000
428-9-120000010311222821103000
418-8-1300000014122328219200
408-7-140000001514252819710
397-9-13000000161728281540
387-8-1400000028213126102
377-7-15000003122733204
366-9-1400001619343010
356-8-1500000211303818
346-7-1600016234229
335-9-150003154241
325-8-1600193753
315-7-1700053164
304-9-160022474
294-8-170011781
284-7-18001287
274-6-1900892
263-8-180595
253-7-190397
243-6-200298
232-8-19199
222-7-20199
212-6-210100
202-5-220100
191-7-210100
9-18100
Total:6126106856555444332221110