SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

What might
today bring

San Jose Earthquakes Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.5 to 71.3%

6 points 2-0-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 3/11	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win MLS Cup	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Earthquakes 3 Whitecaps 2	+8.3		+1.0		+2.7		-1.2		+0.6
Dynamo 3 Crew 1	-0.8		-0.1		-0.1				-0.1
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6	+0.6		+0.1						+0.0
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0	+0.6		+0.1						+0.0
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0	+0.6		+0.1		-0.1				+0.0
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0	+0.4		+0.1		+0.1
Impact 2 Sounders 2	+0.2				+0.1				+0.0
Galaxy 0 Timbers 1	-0.1				-0.1
Union 2 Toronto FC 2					+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando					+0.1+0.1-0.1

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win MLS Cup	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Sporting KC vs Earthquakes	-6.4-1.4+7.4		-0.9-0.2+1.1		-2.7-1.1+3.5		+0.7+0.1-0.7		-0.5-0.1+0.6
Sounders vs Red Bulls	-0.7+0.2+0.6		-0.1+0.0+0.1		+0.1+0.2-0.3				-0.1+0.0+0.0
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC	-0.7+0.2+0.6		-0.1+0.0+0.1		*-0.0+0.1-0.1				-0.1+0.0+0.0
FC Dallas vs Revolution	-0.7+0.2+0.6		-0.1+0.0+0.1		-0.1+0.1+0.0				-0.1+0.0+0.0
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy	-0.1+0.4-0.2		-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.0+0.1*+0.0
Rapids vs Minnesota	-0.2+0.4-0.1		-0.0+0.1*-0.0		-0.1+0.1+0.0
Timbers vs Dynamo	-0.1+0.3-0.1		-0.0+0.1-0.0		-0.1+0.2-0.1
Orlando vs Union					-0.1+0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Fire					-0.0+0.1-0.1
NYCFC vs Impact					-0.1+0.1*+0.0
DC United vs Crew					-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Supporters		Chance will finish regular season at seed											Wooden
TP		W	-	D	-	L	playoffs		Shield		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	Spoon		Count

77	-102						In		100.0	%	100											No		26,808	*
76		21	-	7	-	4	In		99.9		100	0										No		10,198	*
75		21	-	6	-	5	In		99.8		100	0										No		16,502	*
74		21	-	5	-	6	In		99.8		100	0										No		25,794	*
73		20	-	7	-	5	In		99.6		100	0										No		40,261	*
72		20	-	6	-	6	In		99.5		100	0										No		61,318	*
71		19	-	8	-	5	In		99.2		100	0										No		91,476	*
70		19	-	7	-	6	In		98.6		99	1	0									No		134,249	*
69		19	-	6	-	7	In		97.9		99	1										No		191,528	*
68		18	-	8	-	6	In		96.8		99	1	0									No		271,273	*
67		18	-	7	-	7	In		95.1		98	2	0									No		374,734	*
66		18	-	6	-	8	In		92.6		97	3	0									No		508,247	*
65		17	-	8	-	7	In		89.2		95	5	0									No		676,571	*
64		17	-	7	-	8	In		84.4		93	7	0	0								No		885,669	*
63		16	-	9	-	7	In		78.1		90	10	0	0								No		1,135,636	*
62		16	-	8	-	8	In		70.2		86	13	1	0	0							No		1,435,778	*
61		16	-	7	-	9	In		60.5		81	18	1	0	0							No		1,778,142	*
60		15	-	9	-	8	In		49.7		74	24	2	0	0							No		2,167,494	*
59		15	-	8	-	9	In		38.0		66	30	4	0	0	0						No		2,594,980	*
58		15	-	7	-	10	In		26.6		56	36	7	1	0	0						No		3,050,680	*
57		14	-	9	-	9	In		16.7		46	41	11	1	0	0						No		3,523,023	*
56		14	-	8	-	10	100.0	%	9.1		36	44	17	3	0	0	0					No		3,999,061	*
55		14	-	7	-	11	100.0		4.1		26	44	24	6	1	0	0					No		4,456,532	*
54		13	-	9	-	10	100.0		1.4		17	40	31	10	2	0	0	0				No		4,883,603	*
53		13	-	8	-	11	100.0		0.4		10	33	36	17	4	0	0	0	0			No		5,253,533	*
52		12	-	10	-	10	99.9		0.1		5	24	37	25	8	1	0	0	0			No		5,556,056	*
51		12	-	9	-	11	99.6		0.0		2	15	33	31	15	3	0	0	0			No		5,773,998	*
50		12	-	8	-	12	98.6		0.0		1	8	25	34	23	8	1	0	0	0		No		5,886,460	*
49		11	-	10	-	11	95.9		0.0		0	4	16	31	30	14	4	0	0	0		No		5,894,803	*
48		11	-	9	-	12	90.0		No		0	1	9	24	33	23	8	2	0	0	0	No		5,803,904	*
47		11	-	8	-	13	79.4		No		0	0	4	15	30	30	16	4	1	0	0	No		5,606,712	*
46		10	-	10	-	12	63.9		No		0	0	1	8	22	32	24	10	2	0	0	No		5,312,550	*
45		10	-	9	-	13	45.7		No		0	0	0	3	14	28	31	18	5	1	0	No		4,950,573	*
44		10	-	8	-	14	28.5		No		0	0	0	1	7	21	32	26	11	2	0	No		4,515,173	*
43		9	-	10	-	13	15.2		No			0	0	0	3	12	28	33	19	5	0	No		4,054,088	*
42		9	-	9	-	14	7.0		No				0	0	1	6	20	34	28	10	1	0.0	%	3,557,472	*
41		9	-	8	-	15	2.7		No				0	0	0	2	12	29	34	18	3	0.0		3,068,845	*
40		8	-	10	-	14	0.9		No					0	0	1	6	22	37	27	7	0.1		2,593,401	*
39		8	-	9	-	15	0.3		No					0	0	0	3	14	34	36	13	0.7		2,146,474	*
38		8	-	8	-	16	0.1		No						0	0	1	8	28	42	21	2.5		1,740,474	*
37		7	-	10	-	15	0.0		No						0	0	0	4	21	44	30	6.4		1,384,299	*
36		7	-	9	-	16	0.0		No						0	0	0	2	14	43	41	13.2		1,074,478	*
35		7	-	8	-	17	0.0		No							0	0	1	9	38	52	22.8		814,581	*
34		6	-	10	-	16	Out		No								0	0	5	32	63	34.6		605,726	*
33		6	-	9	-	17	Out		No								0	0	3	26	72	47.0		438,983	*
32		6	-	8	-	18	Out		No									0	1	20	79	59.1		311,400	*
31		5	-	10	-	17	Out		No									0	1	14	85	69.8		216,221	*
30		5	-	9	-	18	Out		No									0	0	10	90	78.5		145,654	*
29		5	-	8	-	19	Out		No									0	0	7	93	85.1		95,592	*
28		4	-	10	-	18	Out		No										0	4	96	89.9		60,883	*
27		4	-	9	-	19	Out		No										0	3	97	93.6		37,706	*
26		4	-	8	-	20	Out		No											2	98	95.9		22,434	*
25		3	-	10	-	19	Out		No										0	1	99	97.6		13,297	*
24		3	-	9	-	20	Out		No											1	99	98.7		7,688	*
23		3	-	8	-	21	Out		No											0	100	99.0		4,097	*
22		3	-	7	-	22	Out		No											0	100	99.4		2,197	*
6	-21						Out		No												100	Yes		14,399	*

Total:							71.3	%	9.2	%	16	14	12	11	10	9	8	7	6	5	3	1.4	%	109,303,708

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:									Chance will play in first round
TP		W	-	D	-	L	Win Cup		Bye	Timbers	Dynamo	FC Dallas	Rapids	Sporting KC	Sounders	Whitecaps	Real Salt Lake	Galaxy	Minnesota

65	-102						12.5	%	Yes
64		17	-	7	-	8	12.5		100		0								0
63		16	-	9	-	7	12.6		100	0	0	0	0	0		0	0	0	0
62		16	-	8	-	8	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
61		16	-	7	-	9	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
60		15	-	9	-	8	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
59		15	-	8	-	9	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		14	-	11	-	7	12.6		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
58		15	-	7	-	10	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		14	-	10	-	8	12.4		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
57		14	-	9	-	9	12.4		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		15	-	6	-	11	12.4		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
56		14	-	8	-	10	12.3		97	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		13	-	11	-	8	12.3		97	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
55		14	-	7	-	11	12.2		94	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
		13	-	10	-	9	12.1		93	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
54		13	-	9	-	10	11.7		87	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
		14	-	6	-	12	11.8		88	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
		12	-	12	-	8	11.7		88	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
53		13	-	8	-	11	11.2		79	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
		12	-	11	-	9	11.1		78	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
		14	-	5	-	13	11.2		80	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
52		12	-	10	-	10	10.2		65	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3
		13	-	7	-	12	10.3		67	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
		11	-	13	-	8	10.3		66	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3
51		12	-	9	-	11	9.2		50	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4
		13	-	6	-	13	9.3		52	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4
		11	-	12	-	9	9.1		49	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4
50		12	-	8	-	12	7.9		35	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	5
		11	-	11	-	10	7.7		33	7	7	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	5
		13	-	5	-	14	8.0		35	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	5
49		11	-	10	-	11	6.3		20	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	6	5	5
		12	-	7	-	13	6.4		22	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	6	5	5
		10	-	13	-	9	6.3		20	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	6	5	5
48		11	-	9	-	12	4.8		10	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	5
		12	-	6	-	14	4.8		10	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	5
47		11	-	8	-	13	3.4		5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4
		10	-	11	-	11	3.3		4	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4
46		10	-	10	-	12	2.1		1	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
45		10	-	9	-	13	1.1		0	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1
44		10	-	8	-	14	0.5		0	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
43		9	-	10	-	13	0.2		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
42		9	-	9	-	14	0.1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
41		9	-	8	-	15	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
40		8	-	10	-	14	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
39		8	-	9	-	15	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
38		8	-	8	-	16	0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
37		7	-	10	-	15	No				0			0
36		8	-	6	-	18	No												0
6	-35						No

Total:							6.6	%	42.2	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.2	2.1	1.9	1.9	1.9	1.8	1.8

Points (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/11	100.0*	Lottery seed
Earthquakes 3 Whitecaps 2	-1.3
Dynamo 3 Crew 1	+0.1
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0	-0.1
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0	-0.1
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0	-0.0
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6	-0.0
Impact 2 Sounders 2	-0.0
Galaxy 0 Timbers 1	+0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18	100.0*	Lottery seed
Sporting KC vs Earthquakes	+1.0+0.3-1.3
FC Dallas vs Revolution	+0.1-0.0-0.1
Sounders vs Red Bulls	+0.1-0.0-0.0
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC	+0.1-0.0-0.0
Rapids vs Minnesota	+0.0-0.1+0.0
Timbers vs Dynamo	+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22

80	-102						100
79		23	-	4	-	5	100	0
78		22	-	6	-	4	100	0
77		22	-	5	-	5	100	0
76		21	-	7	-	4	100	0	0
75		21	-	6	-	5	100	0	0
74		21	-	5	-	6	100	0	0
73		20	-	7	-	5	100	0	0
72		20	-	6	-	6	99	0	0
71		19	-	8	-	5	99	0	0
70		19	-	7	-	6	99	1	1		0
69		19	-	6	-	7	98	1	1
68		18	-	8	-	6	97	2	1		0
67		18	-	7	-	7	95	3	2	0	0
66		18	-	6	-	8	93	4	3	0	0
65		17	-	8	-	7	89	6	5	0	0
64		17	-	7	-	8	84	9	7	0	0		0
63		16	-	9	-	7	78	12	10	0	0		0
62		16	-	8	-	8	70	16	13	0	1		0		0
61		16	-	7	-	9	61	20	18	0	1	0	0		0
60		15	-	9	-	8	50	24	23	1	2	0	0		0
59		15	-	8	-	9	38	28	28	2	4	0	0		0		0
58		15	-	7	-	10	27	30	32	4	7	0	1		0		0
57		14	-	9	-	9	17	30	34	7	11	0	1	0	0		0
56		14	-	8	-	10	9	27	32	12	17	1	3	0	0	0	0		0
55		14	-	7	-	11	4	22	26	17	22	2	6	0	1	0	0		0
54		13	-	9	-	10	1	16	18	22	26	5	10	0	2	0	0		0	0
53		13	-	8	-	11	0	10	9	23	26	10	16	1	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
52		12	-	10	-	10	0	5	4	20	20	17	22	3	8	0	1	0	0	0	0
51		12	-	9	-	11	0	2	1	14	11	21	24	8	14	1	3	0	0	0	0
50		12	-	8	-	12	0	1	0	8	4	21	19	15	20	2	8	0	1	0	0	0
49		11	-	10	-	11	0	0	0	4	1	15	10	21	22	8	14	1	4	0	0	0
48		11	-	9	-	12		0	0	1	0	9	4	20	17	16	20	3	8	2	0	0	0
47		11	-	8	-	13		0		0	0	4	1	15	8	21	21	9	15	5	1	0	0	0
46		10	-	10	-	12		0		0	0	1	0	8	3	20	15	18	20	12	3	0	0	0	0
45		10	-	9	-	13		0		0		0	0	3	0	13	6	22	20	20	11	3	1	0	0	0
44		10	-	8	-	14		0		0		0	0	1	0	7	2	19	12	23	21	11	3	1	0	0	0
43		9	-	10	-	13				0		0		0	0	3	0	12	5	17	26	22	11	3	1	0	0
42		9	-	9	-	14						0		0	0	1	0	6	1	8	19	27	23	11	3	1	0	0
41		9	-	8	-	15						0		0		0	0	2	0	2	9	21	28	22	11	3	0	0
40		8	-	10	-	14								0		0	0	1	0	0	3	11	23	29	21	9	2	0
39		8	-	9	-	15								0		0		0	0	0	1	4	14	26	30	19	6	1
38		8	-	8	-	16										0		0	0	0	0	1	6	18	30	29	14	2
37		7	-	10	-	15										0		0		0	0	0	2	9	24	34	24	6
36		7	-	9	-	16										0		0		0	0	0	1	4	16	33	34	13
35		7	-	8	-	17												0			0	0	0	1	9	27	40	23
34		6	-	10	-	16																0	0	0	4	19	42	35
33		6	-	9	-	17																	0	0	2	12	39	47
32		6	-	8	-	18																	0	0	1	7	34	59
31		5	-	10	-	17																		0	0	3	27	70
30		5	-	9	-	18																		0	0	2	20	78
29		5	-	8	-	19																			0	1	14	85
28		4	-	10	-	18																			0	0	10	90
27		4	-	9	-	19																				0	6	94
26		4	-	8	-	20																				0	4	96
25		3	-	10	-	19																				0	2	98
24		3	-	9	-	20																				0	1	99
23		3	-	8	-	21																					1	99
22		3	-	7	-	22																					1	99
6	-21																											100

Total:							9	7	8	6	7	5	6	5	5	4	5	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	1