San Jose Earthquakes Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.1 to 5.1%
25 points   6-7-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Union 4 Earthquakes 2 -2.6
-0.1
+0.5
-0.2
Timbers 2 Sounders 4 +1.0
+0.1
Galaxy 2 Whitecaps 0 +0.9
+0.0
New England 1 Chivas USA 0 -0.1
+0.0
Red Bulls 4 Impact 2 -0.4
Crew 3 Dynamo 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sporting KC vs Dynamo-0.1+0.0+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake+3.3-1.2-2.5
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-1.3+0.1+1.3
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Whitecaps vs Timbers-0.9+1.0+0.8
Sounders vs Rapids+0.3+0.0-0.9
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Galaxy vs Rapids+0.3-0.0-0.9
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Fire vs FC Dallas+0.1-0.0-0.1
Chivas USA vs Sounders+0.3-0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Chivas USA vs Galaxy+0.3+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Impact vs Crew+1.2-0.3-0.8

What If

Chances based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
5811-0-0In5.5%12503440No2,741,950
5610-1-0In0.322452211No290,199
5510-0-1100.0%0.0013473450No426,736
549-2-0100.00.0053746120No1,514,492
539-1-199.90.0022351240No4,427,303
528-3-099.6No0012484000No7,927,870*
518-2-198.4No005385520No20,516,430
508-1-295.2No02256850No39,383,855*
497-3-189.5No0014751000No70,134,710*
487-2-280.0No007732000No134,366,343*
477-1-366.8No02653210No214,196,099*
466-3-251.5No015145400No338,147,530*
456-2-333.5No0033571000No403,642,844
5-5-140.4No004053700No119,062,607
445-4-222.2No0022591810No423,537,017
6-1-417.7No0018592210No296,484,582*
435-3-39.6No010543340No800,241,394
4-6-110.3No010543340No179,717,697*
425-2-43.0No033948110No846,892,535
4-5-24.5No4434480No423,772,887*
414-4-31.0No12553210No983,139,823
5-1-50.7No12253230No531,504,870*
404-3-40.1No011493820.0%1,378,481,853
3-6-20.2No01451331No273,787,649
5-0-60.1No09474220.0112,535,859*
394-2-50.0No04375540.01,154,396,517
3-5-30.0No05395240.0786,841,649*
383-4-40.0No012465100.01,334,702,602
4-1-60.0No01236790.0534,615,668
2-7-20.0No02276290.0114,407,498*
373-3-50.0No001270170.01,480,734,707
2-6-30.0No001369170.0370,248,125
4-0-70.0No001172170.0109,983,320*
363-2-6OutNo0568270.11,021,791,825
2-5-4OutNo0566290.1796,266,049*
352-4-5OutNo0258410.41,059,232,233
3-1-7OutNo0259390.4502,749,232*
342-3-6OutNo0047521.6968,201,926
1-6-4OutNo0047531.4315,320,907*
332-2-7OutNo0037634.1566,148,466
1-5-5OutNo034664.1412,753,063*
321-4-6OutNo024769.2454,815,455
2-1-8OutNo025758.6225,005,413*
311-3-7OutNo0158517.2443,694,235*
301-2-8OutNo99128.0262,846,223*
290-4-7OutNo49640.8134,599,168*
280-3-8OutNo19954.861,656,913*
270-2-9OutNo010067.524,242,341
260-1-10OutNo010078.16,424,972
250-0-11OutNo10088.33,487,191
Total:5.1%0.0%00005132140211.9%20,752,040,832

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeSoundersGalaxyReal Salt LakeFC DallasWhitecapsTimbersRapidsChivas USA
5811-0-012.2%9600310000
5610-1-011.178111451000
5510-0-19.9602321122000
549-2-08.6423532162000
539-1-17.1254737234000
528-3-05.9124746254000
9-0-25.8125940285010
518-2-14.955945295010
508-1-24.025942305010
7-4-04.124849285010
497-3-13.404843284010
8-0-33.305936305110
487-2-22.804836273010
6-5-03.004844263000
477-1-32.104727232000
6-4-12.404734232000
466-3-21.703624181000
7-0-41.503518171000
5-6-02.003631191000
456-2-31.102414120000
5-5-11.302420140000
445-4-20.70131080000
6-1-40.6012770000
4-7-00.9231590000
435-3-30.311440000
4-6-10.412650000
6-0-50.211230000
425-2-40.100110000
4-5-20.10122
3-8-00.20132
414-4-30.00000
5-1-50.00000
3-7-10.10011
404-3-40.00000
3-6-20.00000
5-0-60.00000
2-9-00.00000
393-5-30.00000
4-2-50.00000
2-8-10.00000
383-4-40.00000
4-1-60.00000
2-7-20.00000
1-10-0No0
373-3-50.00000
2-6-3No0000
4-0-7No0
1-9-1No
25-36No
Total:0.2%0.00.30.62.21.80.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/23100.0*Lottery seed
Union 4 Earthquakes 2 +0.6
Timbers 2 Sounders 4 -0.1
Galaxy 2 Whitecaps 0 -0.0
Crew 3 Dynamo 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sporting KC vs Dynamo-0.0+0.0+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/30100.0*Lottery seed
Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake-0.8+0.2+0.7
Fire vs FC Dallas+0.1-0.0-0.1
Sounders vs Rapids-0.0+0.0+0.1
Chivas USA vs Galaxy+0.1-0.0-0.1
Chivas USA vs Sounders+0.1-0.0-0.1
Galaxy vs Rapids-0.0+0.0+0.1
Union vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.0-0.1
New England vs Sporting KC+0.1-0.0-0.0
DC United vs Red Bulls-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819
5811-0-06746534040
5610-1-0011775212101
5510-0-1007546134050
549-2-00023353460120
539-1-100012035102400
528-3-00009347140000
518-2-10003237255020
508-1-2001123368050
497-3-100001137421000
487-2-20004269520000
477-1-300115410322000
466-3-2000034174260000
456-2-3000161749162000
5-5-1000172343142000
445-4-2000517392891000
6-1-4000513423091000
435-3-3001925362261000
4-6-100192436226100
425-2-4003113034184000
4-5-204102933184000
414-4-301315323214200
5-1-501315323214200
404-3-400052036299100
3-6-20015203628910
5-0-600052036299100
394-2-500018273922300
3-5-300018273922400
383-4-400021336371110
4-1-60002143836910
2-7-200021337371010
373-3-50000425452230
2-6-30000424452330
4-0-70000526462030
363-2-6000113433580
2-5-4000112423690
352-4-500043145190
3-1-700053344170
342-3-60011947322
1-6-40011947321
332-2-70001041454
1-5-5000939484
321-4-600328599
2-1-800430579
311-3-701176417
301-2-80096328
290-4-70035641
280-3-8014455
270-2-9003268
260-1-1002278
250-0-111288
Total:000000003267811151916112