San Jose Earthquakes Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.08 to 4.9%
26 points   6-8-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Earthquakes 1 Real Salt Lake 1 -1.2
-0.0
+0.1
-0.1
Whitecaps 0 Timbers 3 +0.8
Sounders 1 Rapids 0 +0.3
+0.0
Fire 1 FC Dallas 0 +0.1
Chivas USA 0 Galaxy 3 -0.4
+0.1
Impact 2 Crew 0 +1.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Galaxy vs Rapids+0.3-0.0-0.9
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Chivas USA vs Sounders+1.0-0.1-0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Timbers vs Earthquakes-2.8-0.0+6.9
-0.1-0.0+0.2
NoNo+0.0
+1.4-0.5-2.7
-0.2+0.0+0.5
Whitecaps vs Earthquakes-2.9-0.2+6.7
-0.1-0.0+0.2
No-0.0+0.0
+1.4-0.4-2.7
-0.2+0.0+0.5
Whitecaps vs DC United-1.2+0.3+1.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Crew vs Chivas USA-0.3+0.1+1.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Dynamo vs Impact-1.0-0.1+2.1
Impact vs Galaxy+2.3-0.1-1.1
New England vs Fire-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
5610-0-0In0.1%01560231No1,701,817
549-1-0100.0%0.0023749130No428,726
539-0-1100.0No12253240No642,786
528-2-0100.0No01149400No2,080,695
518-1-199.8No0541540No6,209,230
507-3-099.2No02287010No10,542,571*
497-2-197.1No01178030No26,370,587
487-1-291.6No0983800No49,938,923*
476-3-183.1No03801700No83,778,400*
466-2-267.4No016630200No156,094,059*
456-1-344.5No004447800No138,660,624
5-4-155.9No00564050No100,764,412
445-3-231.5No031521510No293,727,987
6-0-427.3No027531910No62,305,568*
435-2-313.4No013503340No426,057,011
4-5-120.8No021522520No103,568,634
424-4-26.8No7414480No374,552,130
5-1-44.3No43649110No314,479,547*
414-3-31.4No12355210No718,867,834
5-0-50.8No11956240No88,325,839
3-6-12.7No32952160No70,178,633
404-2-40.2No09513910.0%772,000,163
3-5-20.4No012533410.0304,866,710*
393-4-30.0No04405420.0719,259,802
4-1-50.0No03395620.0469,993,543*
383-3-40.0No01256950.01,021,394,877
2-6-20.0No01286740.0150,660,661
4-0-60.0No01257050.0104,337,668*
373-2-50.0No001376100.1865,246,899
2-5-30.0No001576100.1434,194,096*
362-4-4OutNo0676180.4751,010,244
3-1-6OutNo0776170.4404,711,747
1-7-2OutNo0777160.342,456,277*
352-3-5OutNo0269291.5840,810,775
1-6-3OutNo0370271.2138,977,431
3-0-7OutNo0371261.481,421,673*
342-2-6OutNo0159404.4584,587,652
1-5-4OutNo159403.9296,154,360*
331-4-5OutNo046549.6403,593,193
2-1-7OutNo048519.7249,919,294*
321-3-6OutNo0336719.1370,757,198
0-6-4OutNo0356517.885,971,035*
311-2-7OutNo0227832.2217,407,415
0-5-5OutNo227830.476,554,994
300-4-6OutNo128846.387,106,018
1-1-8OutNo148647.073,845,881
290-3-7OutNo69462.578,528,058*
280-2-8OutNo29876.934,041,402
270-1-9OutNo010087.610,103,670
260-0-10OutNo10095.13,000,349
Total:4.9%0.0%00005102147183.6%12,702,189,098

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeSoundersGalaxyReal Salt LakeFC DallasTimbersWhitecapsRapidsChivas USA
5610-0-010.9%750111130000
549-1-08.4391327290100
539-0-17.1232431381100
528-2-05.9112439420100
518-1-15.152439461200
507-3-04.322443471200
8-0-24.422437492300
497-2-13.812439481200
487-1-23.302435461200
6-4-03.402441461100
476-3-12.902435431100
7-0-32.702428411200
466-2-22.202326350100
5-5-02.602334390100
456-1-31.501216240000
5-4-11.801323290000
445-3-21.01212170000
6-0-40.8118130000
4-6-01.41219220000
435-2-30.401570000
4-5-10.7118110000
424-4-20.20024
5-1-40.10012
3-7-00.40155
414-3-30.00001
3-6-10.10011
5-0-50.00000
404-2-40.00000
3-5-20.00000
2-8-00.00000
393-4-30.00000
4-1-50.00000
2-7-10.00000
383-3-40.00000
2-6-20.00000
4-0-60.00000
1-9-0No
372-5-30.00000
3-2-5No000
1-8-1No
26-36No
Total:0.2%0.00.10.21.92.60.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/30100.0*Lottery seed
Earthquakes 1 Real Salt Lake 1 +0.2
Fire 1 FC Dallas 0 +0.1
Chivas USA 0 Galaxy 3 -0.1
Sounders 1 Rapids 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Galaxy vs Rapids-0.0+0.0+0.1
Chivas USA vs Sounders+0.1-0.0-0.1
Union vs Toronto FC+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Whitecaps vs Earthquakes+0.5+0.0-1.2
Timbers vs Earthquakes+0.5-0.0-1.2
New England vs Fire-0.0+0.0+0.1
Dynamo vs Impact+0.1-0.1-0.1
Whitecaps vs DC United+0.1-0.0-0.1
Red Bulls vs Sporting KC+0.1-0.0-0.1
Red Bulls vs DC United+0.1-0.0-0.1
Crew vs Chivas USA-0.0-0.0+0.1
Impact vs Galaxy+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819
5610-0-0001226002301
549-1-00011361490130
539-0-100211530240
528-2-0001014804000
518-1-100414015400
507-3-0001127169010
497-2-100015279130
487-1-200728038000
476-3-1002271916100
466-2-2000149182930000
456-1-3000242042121000
5-4-100026303391000
445-3-200824352581000
6-0-400720372781000
435-2-30011222342271000
4-5-1002192031217100
424-4-20782533216100
5-1-40482633216100
414-3-301211273420500
5-0-501211283419400
3-6-103110273420500
404-2-4000213313416200
3-5-2000213313516200
393-4-300003173733900
4-1-500004183732800
383-3-40001626442220
2-6-20000626442310
4-0-60001728432010
373-2-50000113423950
2-5-30000112423950
362-4-400043053130
3-1-600053151120
1-7-20043054110
352-3-50011756252
1-6-30011758231
3-0-70011956221
342-2-6000750384
1-5-4000751374
331-4-5002385010
2-1-7003394810
321-3-601245619
0-6-4001265618
311-2-700135532
0-5-50135630
300-4-6064846
1-1-8064747
290-3-7023662
280-2-802377
270-1-901288
260-0-10595
Total:00000000224569131824134