San Jose Earthquakes Playoff Chances

Tied Galaxy 1-1, playoff odds down 0.6 to 2%
28 points   6-10-11

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Earthquakes 1 Galaxy 1 -0.6
-0.0
-0.2
-0.0
FC Dallas 2 Whitecaps 1 +0.4
Rapids 2 Timbers 2 +0.2
+0.0
New England 2 Impact 1 -0.5
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Real Salt Lake vs Rapids+0.1+0.0-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Impact vs Earthquakes-1.3-0.7+2.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
+1.4-0.7-1.2
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Timbers vs Whitecaps+0.1+0.5-0.8
Toronto FC vs Chivas USA-0.2+0.1+0.8
+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
497-0-098.2%No010882No12,635,991
476-1-090.3No0189100No54,452,372
466-0-175.2No00752410No86,655,488
455-2-063.3No633520No154,416,778
445-1-140.5No415190No485,309,352
435-0-219.5No1955241No378,039,556
4-3-024.5No2457180No238,689,426
424-2-19.2No9493930No1,110,661,940
414-1-22.2No23156110No1,706,881,491
3-4-03.2No338527No217,258,957
403-3-10.4No01763190No1,329,971,857
4-0-30.3No01461250No865,847,421
393-2-20.0No05563800.0%3,023,845,955
2-5-00.0No0861310No116,482,048
383-1-30.0No01405900.03,024,232,484
2-4-10.0No02465200.0879,462,995
372-3-2OutNo0297000.02,629,428,284
3-0-4OutNo0257410.01,121,926,359
1-6-0OutNo366400.034,076,144
362-2-3OutNo0158310.03,889,266,070
1-5-1OutNo198110.0304,742,819
352-1-4OutNo69040.02,844,569,353
1-4-2OutNo88930.01,123,507,108
0-7-0OutNo118720.04,200,943
341-3-3OutNo38980.22,185,320,036
2-0-5OutNo287110.3822,621,626
0-6-1OutNo49050.143,272,948
331-2-4OutNo182170.92,364,435,514
0-5-2OutNo187130.4188,890,048
321-1-5OutNo069313.41,348,762,468
0-4-3OutNo74262.3453,232,458
310-3-4OutNo56448.2645,183,729
1-0-6OutNo505011.7316,837,456
300-2-5OutNo386219.6544,852,924
290-1-6OutNo208038.5252,709,147
280-0-7OutNo49665.454,233,569
Total:2.0%No0027246071.2%34,856,913,114

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeSoundersGalaxyReal Salt LakeFC DallasWhitecapsTimbersRapids
497-0-03.4%0014550100
476-1-02.80024048000
466-0-12.30022944000
455-2-01.9012735
445-1-11.2011525
435-0-20.601613
4-3-00.8011014
424-2-10.30036
414-1-20.10011
3-4-00.10012
403-3-10.00000
4-0-30.00000
393-2-20.00000
2-5-00.00000
383-1-30.00000
2-4-10.00000
28-37No
Total:0.1%0.00.00.10.71.20.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/13100.0*Lottery seed
Earthquakes 1 Galaxy 1 +0.1
Fire 1 Toronto FC 1 -0.0
Rapids 2 Timbers 2 -0.0
New England 2 Impact 1 -0.0
Dynamo 2 Crew 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Real Salt Lake vs Rapids-0.1+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/20100.0*Lottery seed
Impact vs Earthquakes+0.5+0.1-0.7
Fire vs DC United+0.1-0.0-0.1
Union vs Dynamo-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819
497-0-00073863200
476-1-0000162279000
466-0-10003540213000
455-2-0135122123000
445-1-13382025132000
435-0-201911292911100
4-3-00248263010100
424-2-10921636288100
414-1-20205244024500
3-4-0030425412240
403-3-10001934401410
4-0-30001933391620
393-2-20002164233700
2-5-0000218443060
383-1-30000530461900
2-4-10000632451700
372-3-200116473500
3-0-400115473600
1-6-00119483200
362-2-3006375610
1-5-1007385410
352-1-401237240
1-4-202247130
0-7-002267020
341-3-300117990
2-0-5001077120
0-6-100138160
331-2-40475201
0-5-20480150
321-1-50161353
0-4-3166302
310-3-4045468
1-0-60385012
300-2-50255520
290-1-6105139
280-0-713365
Total:000002124814233971