San Jose Earthquakes Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 76.4%
20 points   5-5-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/29100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Impact 3 Galaxy 2 +0.1
+0.1
+0.2
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Timbers vs Earthquakes-5.7+1.1+10.1
-0.7-0.0+1.5
-0.9-0.3+2.0
+0.2-0.1-0.3
-0.3+0.0+0.7
DC United vs Sounders+0.6+0.0-1.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Galaxy vs Sporting KC+0.4+0.1-1.5
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
FC Dallas vs Dynamo+0.4+0.1-1.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
NYCFC vs Real Salt Lake+0.4+0.0-0.6
+0.2+0.0-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Union vs Crew-0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
77-83In100.0%100No2,056,090*
7618-2-1In99.91000No7,513
7518-1-2In99.91000No18,127*
7417-3-1In99.81000No45,330*
7317-2-2In99.61000No107,011*
7216-4-1In99.4991No230,658*
7116-3-2In99.09910No498,958*
7016-2-3In98.29820No1,011,022*
6915-4-2In96.99730No1,965,508*
6815-3-3In95.09550No3,731,726*
6714-5-2In92.093700No6,719,289*
6614-4-3In87.9891100No11,751,325*
6514-3-4In82.2841600No19,884,821*
6413-5-3In74.97722100No32,330,711*
6313-4-4In65.96929200No51,073,125*
6213-3-5In55.45936400No78,061,252*
6112-5-4In44.04843800No115,311,621*
6012-4-5In32.6384813100No165,465,648*
5911-6-4In22.1275020200No229,871,650*
5811-5-5In13.5194828500No309,600,545*
5711-4-6In7.2114336910No404,973,634*
5610-6-5100.0%3.36344216200No513,374,489*
5510-5-6100.01.23254424400No631,506,495*
5410-4-7100.00.311642337000No754,373,015*
539-6-6100.00.109354114100No873,766,311*
529-5-7100.00.0052645222000No982,306,102*
518-7-699.80.0021743325000No1,071,845,272*
508-6-799.20.00110374111100No1,134,023,676*
498-5-897.60.00052746192000No1,164,079,978*
487-7-793.9No0021745296000No1,158,802,437*
477-6-886.6No0019383812100No1,117,772,060*
467-5-975.1No004284321400No1,045,116,768*
456-7-859.9No002174131810No946,313,233*
446-6-942.9No000933381620No829,325,172*
436-5-1027.3No004234126600.0%703,188,743*
425-7-915.1No0021436351210.0576,421,055*
415-6-107.3No000728402130.0456,213,390*
405-5-113.0No00318403170.1348,555,555*
394-7-101.0No001103540140.5256,659,117*
384-6-110.3No00052646232.2181,901,399*
374-5-120.1No0021746346.3123,957,466*
363-7-110.0No00110424714.081,057,902*
353-6-120.0No0005355925.350,746,347*
343-5-130.0No003277038.930,373,364*
332-7-120.0No001207953.117,327,445*
322-6-13OutNo00138666.19,379,521*
312-5-14OutNo0089176.74,815,793*
301-7-13OutNo059584.92,322,338*
291-6-14OutNo039790.61,049,380*
281-5-15OutNo029894.4441,419*
271-4-16OutNo019996.8170,192*
260-6-15OutNo010098.160,084*
250-5-16OutNo010099.018,706*
240-4-17OutNo010099.65,087*
230-3-18OutNo010099.61,133*
21-22OutNo100Yes244*
200-0-21OutNo0100100.02,052,468
Total:76.4%2.4%3713182016117420.4%16,504,038,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeRapidsFC DallasGalaxyReal Salt LakeWhitecapsTimbersSporting KCSoundersDynamo
68-8312.5%Yes
6714-5-212.510000000
6614-4-312.5100000000000
6514-3-412.5100000000000
6413-5-312.5100000000000
6313-4-412.5100000000000
6213-3-512.5100000000000
6112-5-412.5100000000000
6012-4-512.599000000000
5911-6-412.498010100000
5811-5-512.395011210000
5711-4-612.190122311000
10-7-412.190121311000
5610-6-511.782143521110
11-3-711.884143521110
5510-5-611.272265842111
9-8-411.273264842111
5410-4-710.6602871052211
9-7-510.5593871152211
539-6-69.64441191473222
10-3-89.74731191373222
8-9-49.64541191573222
529-5-78.531413121794322
8-8-58.530413111894332
10-2-98.733413111694322
518-7-67.2185151319105333
9-4-87.4204151319105333
508-6-75.9104151319115433
9-3-96.1114151319115433
7-9-56.0105151320115433
498-5-84.754141318105433
7-8-64.754141319105433
487-7-73.42312111684333
8-4-93.52312111694333
477-6-82.312981263222
8-3-102.412991363222
467-5-91.40166842211
6-8-71.50166942211
456-7-80.80143521111
446-6-90.40022310000
436-5-100.20011100000
425-7-90.10000100000
415-6-100.00000000000
405-5-110.0000000000
394-7-100.0000000000
384-6-110.0000000000
374-5-120.000000000
364-4-130.00000
353-6-12No00
20-34No
Total:5.1%23.12.07.36.59.75.02.41.71.51.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/29100.0*Lottery seed
Impact 3 Galaxy 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Timbers vs Earthquakes+0.7-0.0-1.3
NYCFC vs Real Salt Lake-0.1-0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs Dynamo+0.0-0.1-0.0
Galaxy vs Sporting KC+0.0-0.1-0.0
DC United vs Sounders-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
79-83100
7819-1-11000
7718-3-01000
7618-2-110000
7518-1-210000
7417-3-110000
7317-2-210000
7216-4-19901
7116-3-299010
7016-2-398020
6915-4-297030
6815-3-395050
6714-5-2921700
6614-4-388111000
6514-3-482116000
6413-5-3752220100
6313-4-4663290200
6213-3-55543604000
6112-5-44444308000
6012-4-5335480130100
5911-6-4225500200200
5811-5-51354712805000
5711-4-6744123609010
5610-6-5333234201602000
5510-5-6122144402404000
5410-4-70112441133070000
539-6-60064333400140100
529-5-7002322444122020000
518-7-6001112541232050000
508-6-7000155325410110100
498-5-80000132074421902000
487-7-700002984062906000
477-6-800001372811372121000
467-5-900001414143762140000
456-7-8000025132813291010000
446-6-900000181519321951000
436-5-100000451826291430000
425-7-900001112153025113000
415-6-100000007620302310200
405-5-1100003210243122810
394-7-100001031327311951
384-6-110000015173130132
374-5-1200000182436256
363-7-1100000314333614
353-6-120000016254325
343-5-1300002164339
332-7-12000193853
322-6-1300043066
312-5-140022177
301-7-130011485
291-6-1400991
281-5-1500694
271-4-160397
260-6-150298
250-5-16199
240-4-170100
230-3-180100
21-22100
200-0-210100
Total:217111115216412485332110