San Jose Earthquakes Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 1 to 73.2%
6 points   2-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Earthquakes 3 Whitecaps 2 +6.4
+0.8
+2.1
-0.8
+0.5
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 +0.8
+0.1
+0.1
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 -0.6
-0.1
-0.1
-0.0
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.5
+0.1
+0.0
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 +0.4
+0.1
+0.0
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0 +0.4
+0.1
+0.1
Galaxy 0 Timbers 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.2
-0.1
Impact 2 Sounders 2 +0.1
Union 2 Toronto FC 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando+0.1+0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sporting KC vs Earthquakes-4.1+0.9+9.4
-0.6+0.1+1.5
-1.8-0.1+4.8
+0.3-0.1-0.6
-0.3+0.1+0.8
Sounders vs Red Bulls-0.7+0.4+0.8
-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.4
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC-0.6+0.4+0.8
-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs Revolution-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.2+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Rapids vs Minnesota-0.2+0.5*-0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy-0.2+0.5-0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Timbers vs Dynamo-0.1+0.2-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
Atlanta vs Fire+0.0+0.1-0.2
NYCFC vs Impact-0.1+0.1+0.1
Orlando vs Union-0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
79-102In100.0%100No42,908*
7822-6-4In99.91000No4,727*
7722-5-5In100.0100No8,555*
7621-7-4In99.91000No14,972*
7521-6-5In99.91000No25,643*
7421-5-6In99.81000No42,981*
7320-7-5In99.71000No69,869*
7220-6-6In99.61000No112,291*
7119-8-5In99.31000No175,192*
7019-7-6In98.81000No267,473*
6919-6-7In98.09910No401,555*
6818-8-6In97.09910No590,077*
6718-7-7In95.39820No849,365*
6618-6-8In92.99730No1,198,994*
6517-8-7In89.495500No1,653,892*
6417-7-8In84.793700No2,242,708*
6316-9-7In78.4901000No2,972,717*
6216-8-8In70.4861410No3,863,073*
6116-7-9In60.78019100No4,921,428*
6015-9-8In49.67324200No6,144,612*
5915-8-9In37.865314000No7,529,188*
5815-7-10In26.355377100No9,037,300*
5714-9-9In16.4454212100No10,636,511*
5614-8-10100.0%8.83544183000No12,261,862*
5514-7-11100.03.92544256100No13,875,645*
5413-9-10100.01.4164032112000No15,383,522*
5313-8-11100.00.4103336174000No16,711,307*
5212-10-1099.90.1524372581000No17,791,830*
5112-9-1199.70.02153332143000No18,560,240*
5012-8-1298.90.01825352371000No18,989,981*
4911-10-1196.60.004163230143000No19,013,382*
4811-9-1291.4No01925342371000No18,677,138*
4711-8-1381.7No004163130153000No17,949,950*
4610-10-1266.9No00182434248100No16,898,284*
4510-9-1348.9No000315303116400No15,570,680*
4410-8-1431.2No0017233425910No14,049,559*
439-10-1317.2No000314303216400.0%12,408,350*
429-9-148.1No0017233526810.010,713,952*
419-8-153.2No00031432331520.09,049,976*
408-10-141.1No0001825372450.17,474,640*
398-9-150.3No0003173633100.66,037,374*
388-8-160.1No0001103140172.24,760,104*
377-10-150.0No00052444265.83,670,138*
367-9-160.0No00317443612.32,756,953*
357-8-170.0No00111414721.72,020,371*
346-10-160.0No0006365833.11,445,938*
336-9-17OutNo004296745.71,005,481*
326-8-18OutNo002227657.8681,829*
315-10-17OutNo01178368.7450,373*
305-9-18OutNo00128877.5288,574*
295-8-19OutNo0089284.5179,847*
284-10-18OutNo0059589.6109,214*
274-9-19OutNo039793.463,762*
264-8-20OutNo029895.736,276*
253-10-19OutNo019997.519,766*
243-9-20OutNo19998.210,497*
233-8-21OutNo010099.15,347*
223-7-22OutNo010099.42,516*
212-9-21OutNo010099.91,184*
202-8-22OutNo010099.8529*
6-19OutNo100Yes37,862*
Total:73.2%8.1%15141312119875421.0%331,770,264

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeTimbersDynamoFC DallasSporting KCRapidsSoundersReal Salt LakeWhitecapsMinnesotaGalaxy
66-10212.5%Yes
6517-8-712.410000
6417-7-812.510000000000
6316-9-712.51000000000000
6216-8-812.51000000000000
6116-7-912.51000000000000
6015-9-812.51000000000000
5915-8-912.51000000000000
14-11-712.51000000000000
5815-7-1012.5990000000000
14-10-812.5990000000000
5714-9-912.5990000000000
15-6-1112.5990000000000
5614-8-1012.4970000000000
13-11-812.4970000000000
5514-7-1112.3941111111100
13-10-912.2931111111100
5413-9-1012.0881222111111
14-6-1212.0881122111111
12-12-811.9871222111111
5313-8-1111.5792333222211
12-11-911.4783333322211
14-5-1311.5792333222211
5212-10-1010.7654444433322
13-7-1210.8674444433322
11-13-810.7664444433322
5112-9-119.7505666554432
13-6-139.8525666544422
11-12-99.5496666655433
5012-8-128.3357777765533
11-11-108.1337777766533
13-5-148.3357777765533
4911-10-116.5207888766544
12-7-136.6217888766544
4811-9-124.8106777766544
12-6-145.0117777766544
10-12-104.696777766543
4711-8-133.245666655433
10-11-113.145666555433
4610-10-121.813444433322
4510-9-130.902222222211
4410-8-140.401111111111
439-10-130.100000000000
429-9-140.000000000000
419-8-150.000000000000
408-10-140.000000000000
398-9-150.00000000000
388-8-160.00000000000
378-7-170.0000000000
6-36No
Total:6.7%41.72.52.72.82.82.62.22.11.91.31.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/11100.0*Lottery seed
Earthquakes 3 Whitecaps 2 -1.0
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 +0.1
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0 -0.1
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 -0.1
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 -0.0
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 -0.0
Impact 2 Sounders 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
Sporting KC vs Earthquakes+0.7-0.1-1.6
FC Dallas vs Revolution+0.1-0.1-0.1
Sounders vs Red Bulls+0.1-0.0-0.1
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.0-0.1
Rapids vs Minnesota+0.0-0.1-0.0
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy+0.0-0.1-0.0
Timbers vs Dynamo+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
81-102100
8023-5-41000
7923-4-51000
7822-6-410000
7722-5-51000
7621-7-410000
7521-6-510000
7421-5-610000
7320-7-510000
7220-6-610000
7119-8-59900
7019-7-69910
6919-6-798110
6818-8-697210
6718-7-795320
6618-6-8934300
6517-8-78965000
6417-7-88587000
6316-9-7781110000
6216-8-87015140100
6116-7-961191801000
6015-9-850242412000
5915-8-93827292400000
5815-7-102629334701000
5714-9-916293571201000
5614-8-10926321217130000
5514-7-114212618232601000
5413-9-101151822275100200000
5313-8-11099232611161400000
5212-10-100542020172238010000
5112-9-1102114112224814130000
5012-8-1201084211916203701000
4911-10-11000411510222281313000
4811-9-1200109421171719371000
4711-8-13000411592321101441000
4610-10-120001083211519191030000
4510-9-130000301472419191030000
4410-8-140001072211222201031000
439-10-1300000301451725211131000
429-9-1400010718192722113000
419-8-1500003021022282210300
408-10-140000101312242920820
398-9-1500000151527291851
388-8-1600000017193028132
377-10-150000002102534236
367-9-1600001416333312
357-8-17000029274022
346-10-16000004204233
336-9-17002134046
326-8-1800173458
315-10-1700042769
305-9-180022177
295-8-19011584
284-10-180001090
274-9-1900693
264-8-200496
253-10-190297
243-9-20298
233-8-21199
223-7-22199
212-9-210100
202-8-220100
6-19100
Total:8786766555554433332221