San Jose Earthquakes Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.5 to 81.3%
17 points   5-2-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/17100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sporting KC 4 Revolution 2 -0.8
-0.1
+0.2
-0.1
Orlando 4 Galaxy 0 +0.7
+0.1
+0.0
Union 1 DC United 0 +0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Earthquakes vs Orlando+4.8-3.5-7.8
+0.8-0.6-1.3
+1.7-1.5-2.4
-0.1+0.0+0.2
+0.4-0.3-0.6
Toronto FC vs Timbers+0.5+0.0-1.3
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Timbers vs DC United-0.9+0.4+0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.3+0.1-0.5
Real Salt Lake vs NYCFC-0.6+0.5+0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Sounders vs Rapids+0.3+0.0-1.1
-0.4+0.4+0.7
Sounders vs Sporting KC+0.3-0.0-0.9
+0.0+0.0-0.2
-0.4+0.4+0.5
Galaxy vs Dynamo-0.2+0.6-0.3
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Galaxy vs Real Salt Lake-0.2+0.6-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Rapids vs Whitecaps-0.4+0.4+0.2
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
Impact vs FC Dallas+0.2+0.0-0.4
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Red Bulls vs Union-0.2+0.2+0.4
Revolution vs DC United+0.1+0.2-0.4
Crew vs Fire-0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
76-86In100.0%100No396,199*
7518-4-1In99.91000No23,989*
7418-3-2In99.81000No52,183*
7318-2-3In99.61000No107,214*
7217-4-2In99.41000No210,850*
7117-3-3In99.09910No403,955*
7016-5-2In98.39910No734,704*
6916-4-3In97.29820No1,305,269*
6816-3-4In95.49730No2,235,135*
6715-5-3In92.99640No3,679,048*
6615-4-4In89.39460No5,910,351*
6514-6-3In84.491900No9,165,032*
6414-5-4In77.8871300No13,785,641*
6314-4-5In69.6821810No20,146,213*
6213-6-4In59.8762310No28,543,840*
6113-5-5In48.86830200No39,280,244*
6013-4-6In37.25937400No52,563,614*
5912-6-5In26.25043700No68,273,035*
5812-5-6In16.6404812100No86,240,937*
5711-7-5100.0%9.33050182000No105,932,694*
5611-6-6100.04.42149264000No126,458,617*
5511-5-7100.01.71345347000No146,855,507*
5410-7-6100.00.573641141000No165,880,416*
5310-6-7100.00.142644223000No182,198,308*
5210-5-8100.00.0217423281000No194,667,735*
519-7-799.90.0193439152000No202,271,870*
509-6-899.60.0042341256000No204,357,785*
499-5-998.30.001133635122000No200,738,131*
488-7-894.8No0062740225000No191,687,805*
478-6-987.1No00216373211200No177,908,153*
467-8-873.9No0017283821500No160,398,089*
457-7-956.1No00031736311110No140,460,035*
447-6-1037.2No001828382140No119,412,994*
436-8-921.2No00031837311010.0%98,519,434*
426-7-1010.3No001930381930.078,816,732*
416-6-114.2No000420402960.061,122,242*
405-8-101.5No001123539130.045,905,228*
395-7-110.4No00062745220.133,355,870*
385-6-120.1No0021846330.423,447,321*
374-8-110.0No0011143461.315,902,259*
364-7-120.0No00636583.410,417,678*
354-6-130.0No00328697.46,572,597*
343-8-120.0No001217813.93,986,951*
333-7-13OutNo01148522.62,321,850*
323-6-14OutNo0099033.11,296,400*
312-8-13OutNo0069444.3690,500*
302-7-14OutNo049655.6350,752*
292-6-15OutNo029865.8169,721*
282-5-16OutNo19974.977,587*
271-7-15OutNo19981.933,289*
261-6-16OutNo010088.213,320*
251-5-17OutNo010092.45,025*
17-24OutNo10099.9379,892*
Total:81.3%5.1%10151716131086420.1%3,035,670,240

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeSoundersFC DallasWhitecapsSporting KCDynamoTimbersGalaxyRapidsReal Salt Lake
66-8612.5%Yes
6514-6-312.510000
6414-5-412.510000000000
6314-4-512.5100000000000
6213-6-412.5100000000000
6113-5-512.5100000000000
6013-4-612.5100000000000
12-7-412.5100000000000
5912-6-512.5100000000000
13-3-712.5100000000000
5812-5-612.599000000000
11-8-412.599000000000
5711-7-512.498000000000
12-4-712.498000000000
5611-6-612.396001110000
12-3-812.496001110000
5511-5-712.292011211111
10-8-512.292011211111
5410-7-611.985123321111
11-4-811.985123321111
5310-6-711.375134542222
9-9-511.374234542222
11-3-911.374235542222
5210-5-810.660257754333
9-8-610.560257754333
519-7-79.4443791075444
10-4-99.4443791075444
8-10-59.3423791075444
509-6-88.02849111296555
8-9-67.92749111296555
10-3-107.92749111296655
499-5-96.415491212107665
8-8-76.314491212107666
488-7-84.7748111196655
9-4-104.7648111296655
7-10-64.5638111196655
478-6-93.12379975544
7-9-73.02368975544
467-8-81.81246653333
8-5-101.81246653333
457-7-90.90123432222
447-6-100.40012211111
436-8-90.10001100000
426-7-100.00000000000
416-6-110.00000000000
405-8-100.0000000000
395-7-110.0000000000
385-6-120.0000000000
375-5-130.000000
17-36No
Total:7.1%42.11.63.74.85.14.02.82.42.22.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/17100.0*Lottery seed
Sporting KC 4 Revolution 2 +0.1
Orlando 4 Galaxy 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/22100.0*Lottery seed
Earthquakes vs Orlando-0.8+0.6+1.2
Impact vs FC Dallas-0.1-0.0+0.1
Rapids vs Whitecaps-0.0-0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Timbers-0.0-0.0+0.1
Timbers vs DC United+0.1-0.0-0.1
Real Salt Lake vs NYCFC+0.0-0.0-0.1
Galaxy vs Dynamo-0.0-0.1+0.1
Sounders vs Sporting KC+0.0-0.0+0.1
Sounders vs Rapids+0.0-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
79-86100
7820-1-21000
7719-3-11000
7619-2-21000
7518-4-110000
7418-3-210000
7318-2-310000
7217-4-29900
7117-3-3990100
7016-5-298110
6916-4-397120
6816-3-4952300
6715-5-3933400
6615-4-4894600
6514-6-38469000
6414-5-478913000
6314-4-57012170100
6213-6-46016230100
6113-5-549192912000
6013-4-637223514000
5912-6-5262440370000
5812-5-617234261201000
5711-7-5920401018020000
5611-6-64163415251400000
5511-5-72112519313700000
5410-7-617152134713010000
5310-6-7047193212211300000
5210-5-80231424182938010000
519-7-70118142032715020000
509-6-80004618281324160000
499-5-9000121218183141202000
488-7-80000681830102215000
478-6-9000023132115303112000
467-8-800011711173172150000
457-7-9000003413241230122000
447-6-1000001171415332361000
436-8-900000351228321530000
426-7-100000118183426102000
416-6-1100000482633206100
405-8-1000001315313015400
395-7-110000172233261020
385-6-12000021228331950
374-8-11000015193430111
364-7-120002102837203
354-6-13000041938307
343-8-12000211343914
333-7-130016264523
323-6-14003184633
312-8-13001124344
302-7-140073756
292-6-150043066
282-5-16022375
271-7-15011782
261-6-16001188
251-5-170892
241-4-180595
230-6-17397
220-5-181298
19-21100
170-0-230100
Total:5596116105948265321100