San Jose Earthquakes Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 3.4 to 49.8%
26 points   6-8-6

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sporting KC 3 Sounders 0 -1.3
-0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/31100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Dynamo vs Earthquakes-7.6+0.2+15.9
-0.5-0.1+1.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
+0.3-0.1-0.4
-0.3+0.0+0.7
Earthquakes vs NYCFC+8.9-6.8-13.4
+0.6-0.5-0.8
+0.1-0.1-0.1
-0.3+0.1+0.7
+0.4-0.3-0.6
Rapids vs Whitecaps+1.3-0.3-4.2
+0.0+0.0-0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs Whitecaps+1.5-0.2-4.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Fire-1.3+1.1+2.3
-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Toronto FC vs Real Salt Lake+0.9-0.1-2.1
+0.1+0.0-0.3
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Union vs Real Salt Lake+0.9-0.1-2.2
+0.1-0.0-0.3
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Sporting KC vs Timbers-0.6+1.4-0.5
-0.1+0.1-0.0
Impact vs Dynamo+0.4+0.0-1.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Sounders vs Galaxy-0.8+0.2+0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Toronto FC vs Crew-0.0+0.0+0.1
Fire vs Red Bulls+0.1-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
6814-0-0In96.3%9640No6,112,052
6613-1-0In89.289110No78,602
6513-0-1In82.9831710No125,332
6412-2-0In75.0752410No487,164
6312-1-1In64.3653230No1,540,416
6211-3-0In52.2534160No3,029,267*
6111-2-1In39.240471210No8,531,303
6011-1-2In26.828502120No17,803,272*
5910-3-1In16.317483150No35,078,426*
5810-2-2In8.71040401000No73,155,151*
5710-1-3In3.9530471800No128,281,687*
569-3-2In1.4220482910No224,838,957*
559-2-3100.0%0.41114442200No380,671,016*
548-4-2100.00.1053553600No584,206,809*
538-3-3100.00.002246212000No887,733,652*
528-2-4100.00.001146320100No1,277,004,420*
517-4-399.90.000757324000No1,722,140,501*
507-3-499.50.000346429100No2,269,073,946*
497-2-598.0No001324718200No1,418,811,947
6-5-398.0No001314818200No1,405,624,516*
486-4-494.1No00194629600No3,341,015,220*
476-3-585.6No009373913100No2,597,848,819
5-6-386.2No009374013100No1,226,952,767*
465-5-471.5No004244425400No2,216,240,244
6-2-672.1No004254324400No1,925,708,086*
455-4-552.5No011339371000No3,001,573,660
6-1-754.0No011339361000No1,279,504,637*
445-3-633.0No00528442120No2,665,031,127
4-6-433.3No00528452120No1,588,882,712*
434-5-516.5No00115433550No2,272,122,758
5-2-717.4No00216433450No1,727,521,711*
424-4-66.6No00633471310.0%2,478,558,793
3-7-47.1No00734461200.01,108,491,495*
414-3-72.1No00221512420.01,821,376,927
3-6-52.0No00221522320.01,253,988,294*
403-5-60.5No00010483650.02,488,785,224*
393-4-70.1No0043747110.11,913,313,405*
383-3-80.0No0012553200.41,396,636,678*
372-5-70.0No001553321.7955,968,982*
362-4-80.0No00847455.2616,181,999*
352-3-9OutNo04385812.3373,199,296*
341-5-8OutNo02287023.4208,850,525*
331-4-9OutNo01198037.4108,068,744*
321-3-10OutNo00128852.351,498,706*
311-2-11OutNo079366.221,901,409*
300-4-10OutNo039777.58,195,262*
290-3-11OutNo029885.92,678,229*
280-2-12OutNo019991.5696,142
270-1-13OutNo010095.0117,407
260-0-14OutNo010097.36,115,586
Total:49.8%0.1%01212161819181040.5%49,101,353,280

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeGalaxyRapidsFC DallasReal Salt LakeSporting KCWhitecapsTimbersDynamoSounders
66-6812.5%Yes
6513-0-112.410000
6412-2-012.410000000
6312-1-112.51000000000
6211-3-012.5100000000000
6111-2-112.599000000000
6011-1-212.498000100000
5910-3-112.395000210100
5810-2-212.190000421200
5710-1-311.882001842300
9-4-111.882001832300
569-3-211.3700111363500
559-2-310.6561121895700
8-5-110.6561221984800
548-4-29.840124241161001
9-1-49.94212423126901
538-3-38.926235291481111
7-6-18.926245301371201
9-0-59.028225261581011
528-2-48.016337311791211
7-5-27.915346331681311
517-4-36.873473317101311
8-1-56.983383119111211
6-7-16.87357351691411
507-3-45.733373218101211
6-6-25.73347341791311
8-0-65.833383019111211
497-2-54.513272817101111
6-5-34.41336301691211
486-4-43.2022524147911
7-1-63.3022522158811
5-7-23.30235261371011
476-3-52.1011317116611
5-6-32.101231895701
7-0-72.2021417116611
465-5-41.201121163400
6-2-61.201121074400
4-8-21.301121263400
455-4-50.50001532200
6-1-70.60001542200
4-7-30.60001631200
445-3-60.20000221100
4-6-40.20000211100
434-5-50.10000100000
424-4-60.0000000000
414-3-70.0000000000
403-5-60.0000000000
393-4-70.0000000000
383-3-80.000000
26-37No
Total:2.0%3.10.91.02.110.66.13.34.10.30.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 7/24100.0*Lottery seed
Sporting KC 3 Sounders 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/31100.0*Lottery seed
Dynamo vs Earthquakes+0.6-0.0-1.4
Earthquakes vs NYCFC-0.8+0.6+1.2
Rapids vs Whitecaps-0.1+0.0+0.2
Union vs Real Salt Lake-0.1-0.0+0.2
FC Dallas vs Whitecaps-0.1-0.0+0.2
Real Salt Lake vs Fire+0.1-0.1-0.1
Toronto FC vs Real Salt Lake-0.1-0.0+0.2
Sporting KC vs Timbers+0.0-0.1+0.0
Impact vs Dynamo-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sounders vs Galaxy+0.1-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
6814-0-096040
6613-1-0890110
6513-0-18301710
6412-2-07502410
6312-1-164032030
6211-3-052041060
6111-2-13914701210
6011-1-22715002120
5910-3-116148031050
5810-2-2914004001000
5710-1-34130047018000
569-3-21120048029010
559-2-300111440420200
548-4-200513505306000
538-3-30020241620120000
528-2-40000131630200100
517-4-300006156132040000
507-3-400002143342090100
497-2-500001285461180200
6-5-300001256471180200
486-4-40000126433290600
476-3-500004531639013100
5-6-30004530739113100
465-5-400013159413254000
6-2-600013178412244000
455-4-500015832636101000
445-3-600014189422230000
4-6-4000141711412230000
434-5-500001693536101000
5-2-70000179373591000
424-4-600001522412361000
3-7-400001522412361000
414-3-7000002103334164000
3-6-50000283135185100
403-5-600000216333114300
4-2-800000318342912200
393-4-700006223426910
383-3-8000021027352150
372-5-700003153333132
362-4-8000162438265
352-3-9000213353812
341-5-80006254523
331-4-90002154537
321-3-1000084052
311-2-110033166
300-4-100012178
290-3-11001486
280-2-1200891
270-1-130595
260-0-140397
Total:0000201121431531612864311