San Jose Earthquakes Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.8 to 82.1%
25 points   7-4-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Earthquakes 3 Galaxy 1 +8.8
+1.2
+1.5
-0.2
+0.6
Timbers 4 Sounders 1 -1.2
-0.1
+0.5
Real Salt Lake 2 Crew 2 +0.5
FC Dallas 2 Dynamo 0 -0.5
-0.1
Sporting KC 2 Rapids 0 -0.4
-0.1
-0.1
-0.0
Revolution 1 Whitecaps 2 -0.4
-0.2
-0.3
-0.1
Toronto FC 0 DC United 0 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Timbers vs Earthquakes-4.7+0.8+8.9
-0.9+0.1+1.8
-2.0-0.4+4.7
-0.4+0.0+0.8
Galaxy vs Toronto FC-1.1+0.8+1.7
-0.2+0.1+0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs Revolution-1.2+0.8+1.6
-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Dynamo vs Fire-0.7+0.6+1.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Orlando-0.7+0.3+0.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Sounders vs DC United-0.4+0.2+0.6
-0.2+0.1+0.2
+0.1+0.3-0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Rapids vs Whitecaps+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.6+0.3-0.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Crew vs Red Bulls+0.1+0.0-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
77-79In100.0%100No10,561,084*
7617-0-1In100.01000No22,457
7516-2-0In100.0100No109,482
7416-1-1In99.91000No308,968
7315-3-0In100.01000No691,106*
7215-2-1In99.91000No1,990,099
7115-1-2In99.81000No4,188,352*
7014-3-1In99.710000No9,168,762*
6914-2-2In99.410000No19,423,907*
6813-4-1In98.99910No36,434,856*
6713-3-2In97.89910No69,270,785*
6613-2-3In96.098200No122,984,133*
6512-4-2In92.996400No206,843,046*
6412-3-3In88.093700No341,555,454*
6311-5-2In81.1891100No532,055,759*
6211-4-3In71.48217100No799,989,277*
6111-3-4In59.57424200No1,165,205,404*
6010-5-3In46.063333000No1,619,439,863*
5910-4-4In32.151417000No2,180,169,057*
5810-3-5In19.8384713100No2,831,956,901*
579-5-4100.0%10.32649223000No3,533,957,420*
569-4-5100.04.41645327000No4,271,209,142*
558-6-4100.01.583640142000No4,977,090,613*
548-5-5100.00.332543245000No5,590,046,730*
538-4-6100.00.1114383511100No6,074,570,529*
527-6-599.80.0062840214000No6,364,376,594*
517-5-699.20.00217393210100No6,433,044,495*
507-4-797.10.0018304019300No6,283,218,949*
496-6-691.80.00031840318000No5,913,811,589*
486-5-781.6No0019324017200No5,367,529,617*
476-4-866.4No0003204329500No4,699,290,971*
465-6-748.0No0011037401110No3,959,172,409*
455-5-830.4No000426472120No3,211,000,897*
445-4-916.6No000115453350No2,505,443,205*
434-6-87.7No000738431100.0%1,876,424,056*
424-5-93.1No00327492010.01,348,469,297*
414-4-101.0No00117493120.0928,578,116*
403-6-90.3No0009434250.0611,023,281*
393-5-100.1No0043452100.1383,730,550*
383-4-110.0No0022457170.6229,462,222*
372-6-100.0No011659252.1130,146,776*
362-5-110.0No00955355.669,766,929*
352-4-120.0No005494612.035,236,878*
341-6-11OutNo02415721.716,644,381*
331-5-12OutNo01326734.17,301,863*
321-4-13OutNo00247647.72,956,001*
311-3-14OutNo0178361.01,087,295*
300-5-13OutNo0128872.7356,893*
290-4-14OutNo079381.9102,820*
280-3-15OutNo49688.724,550*
270-2-16OutNo29893.24,363
260-1-17OutNo29896.7516
250-0-18OutNo010098.110,544,621
Total:82.1%6.0%101415161513106200.0%84,787,993,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeWhitecapsSporting KCSoundersTimbersGalaxyFC DallasDynamoReal Salt LakeRapids
67-7912.5%Yes
6613-2-312.510000
6512-4-212.5100000000
6412-3-312.5100000000000
6311-5-212.5100000000000
6211-4-312.5100000000000
6111-3-412.5100000000000
10-6-212.5100000000000
6010-5-312.5100000000000
11-2-512.5100000000000
5910-4-412.5100000000000
9-7-212.5100000000000
5810-3-512.599000000000
9-6-312.599000000000
579-5-412.497000111000
10-2-612.497000111000
569-4-512.292111211000
8-7-312.293111211000
558-6-411.884122333000
9-3-611.884122333000
548-5-511.170345655110
9-2-711.171345655110
7-8-311.271344655110
538-4-610.153477988110
7-7-410.153477988110
9-1-810.153467988110
527-6-58.6345910121110210
8-3-78.7355910121110210
6-9-38.7356910121110220
517-5-67.01961011141212320
6-8-46.91961011141212320
8-2-87.01961012141312320
507-4-75.2951011141211320
6-7-55.1851011141211320
496-6-63.5348911109320
7-3-83.534810121010320
486-5-72.11367877210
5-8-52.11366877210
476-4-81.10134544110
5-7-61.10134544110
465-6-70.50122222000
455-5-80.20011111000
445-4-90.10000000000
434-6-80.00000000000
424-5-90.0000000000
414-4-100.0000000000
403-6-90.0000000000
393-5-100.000000000
383-4-11No00000
25-37No
Total:6.8%38.72.54.34.96.25.45.11.20.80.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/26100.0*Lottery seed
Earthquakes 3 Galaxy 1 -1.1
Revolution 1 Whitecaps 2 +0.1
Sporting KC 2 Rapids 0 +0.1
FC Dallas 2 Dynamo 0 +0.0
Real Salt Lake 2 Crew 2 -0.0
Timbers 4 Sounders 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/3100.0*Lottery seed
Timbers vs Earthquakes+0.7-0.1-1.5
Sounders vs DC United+0.1-0.1-0.1
FC Dallas vs Revolution+0.1-0.1-0.1
Galaxy vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.1-0.1
Rapids vs Whitecaps-0.1-0.0+0.1
Dynamo vs Fire+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
7918-0-0100
7717-1-01000
7617-0-110000
7516-2-01000
7416-1-110000
7315-3-010000
7215-2-110000
7115-1-210000
7014-3-1100000
6914-2-299000
6813-4-199110
6713-3-2981100
6613-2-39622000
6512-4-29334000
6412-3-38857000
6311-5-281811000
6211-4-371111701000
6111-3-460152402000
6010-5-3461832130000
5910-4-43219401700000
5810-3-520194431301000
579-5-4101643622030000
569-4-5411369310700000
558-6-417251138114020000
548-5-503131139324050000
538-4-601593263401101000
527-6-5002520839121040000
517-5-6000297353320100100
507-4-7000135246391190300
496-6-60000121263733108000
486-5-7000014527540117200
476-4-80000012146402295000
465-6-7000015532540111000
455-5-80000013197452230000
445-4-900000187403481000
434-6-8000002528421830000
424-5-900003153931112000
414-4-100000162636227100
403-6-900000213313217400
393-5-10000052034281120
383-4-1100001926352261
372-6-100003163332142
362-5-11000182537246
352-4-120000315353512
341-6-1100018284222
331-5-120003194434
321-4-13001114048
311-3-1400063361
300-5-130032573
290-4-14011782
280-3-15001189
270-2-160793
260-1-17397
250-0-180298
Total:6410313214213112195211000