San Jose Earthquakes Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.2 to 83.8%
38 points   11-5-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Earthquakes 1 Galaxy 0 +10.4
+1.5
+0.9
+0.6
Dynamo 2 Whitecaps 0 -1.3
+0.4
Sounders 2 Timbers 1 -1.0
+0.1
+0.0
FC Dallas 2 Real Salt Lake 0 -0.3
-0.3
-0.1
Rapids 2 Sporting KC 1 +0.2
+0.1
+0.1
Red Bulls 3 DC United 0 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Earthquakes vs Union+6.8-5.4-12.7
+1.2-1.1-2.0
+1.1-1.2-1.6
No-0.0+0.0
+0.5-0.4-0.8
Sounders vs Toronto FC-2.1+1.5+3.1
-0.2+0.1+0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Timbers vs Sporting KC-1.6+0.8+1.6
-0.0+0.2-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Whitecaps vs Rapids+0.3+0.1-1.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.4+0.5
Crew vs FC Dallas+0.3-0.1-0.5
+0.2+0.0-0.4
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
628-0-0In89.5%9820No25,392,179
607-1-0In64.1831610No125,400,823
597-0-1In48.37127200No146,788,746
586-2-0In26.85041900No293,677,234
576-1-1In14.4334817100No666,920,900
565-3-0In4.2164633500No385,169,443
6-0-2In5.1174632500No363,417,422
555-2-1100.0%1.16334514100No1,277,070,092
545-1-2100.00.22194629400No1,357,743,522
4-4-0100.00.12194827400No310,310,384
534-3-1100.00.007364313100No1,338,745,464
5-0-3100.00.007344314100No463,538,309
524-2-299.90.002204628300No2,088,875,143
3-5-099.90.002204628400No157,604,923
514-1-399.20.0007364411100No1,399,683,796
3-4-199.20.0008364312100No831,502,600
503-3-296.0No002204826400No1,696,330,475
4-0-495.9No002194926400No340,909,314
2-6-095.1No002184629500No49,389,050
493-2-387.7No000839401210No1,676,431,798
2-5-185.8No00737411310No306,471,043
483-1-470.8No002234526300No804,949,387
2-4-269.1No002224527400No767,882,802
1-7-063.8No01184431500No8,743,857
472-3-347.8No001037411100No996,478,972
3-0-548.1No001038411000No150,689,559
1-6-142.2No00834431410No62,146,995
462-2-426.9No00324492220No708,274,431
1-5-222.9No00320472730No183,893,198
0-8-018.6No0217463140No670,719
451-4-39.9No0019414180No294,164,410
2-1-511.2No0110443960No262,187,235
0-7-17.0No0073645110No5,356,077
441-3-43.2No0032951161No275,415,495
2-0-63.3No0032950161No39,592,839
0-6-22.0No022352221No18,224,992
431-2-50.6No011551303No151,318,077
0-5-30.4No001149364No34,527,545
421-1-60.1No00640469No45,274,721
0-4-40.1No0053847100.0%39,961,270
410-3-50.0No022554200.028,988,384
1-0-70.0No022453210.05,700,108
400-2-60.0No001352350.012,896,217
390-1-7OutNo0440550.03,222,423
380-0-8OutNo0123760.32,859,307
Total:83.8%2.0%4915192115105100.0%20,204,791,680

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeWhitecapsGalaxyFC DallasSporting KCTimbersSoundersDynamoRapidsReal Salt Lake
628-0-012.5%Yes
607-1-012.5100000000000
597-0-112.5100000000000
586-2-012.5100000000000
576-1-112.499000000000
565-3-012.395002110000
6-0-212.395011110000
555-2-111.885114431100
545-1-211.067248862100
4-4-011.169239762100
534-3-19.643461513115210
5-0-39.441471415105210
524-2-27.722591818147310
3-5-07.722572017147410
514-1-35.785101920148310
3-4-15.88582019157410
503-3-23.82471817126310
4-0-43.72491717117310
2-6-03.62351915126310
493-2-32.2035131274210
2-5-12.1024131174210
483-1-41.10137732100
2-4-21.00138632100
1-7-00.80127531100
472-3-30.40114311000
3-0-50.40113311000
1-6-10.30013210000
462-2-40.10001100000
1-5-20.10001100000
0-8-00.1001000000
452-1-50.0000000000
1-4-30.00000000000
0-7-10.0000000000
441-3-40.0000000000
2-0-60.0000000000
0-6-20.0000000000
431-2-50.000000000
0-5-30.00000000
421-1-60.00000
0-4-40.00000
38-41No
Total:5.9%27.92.64.610.410.07.03.61.60.50.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/28100.0*Lottery seed
Earthquakes 1 Galaxy 0 -1.2
FC Dallas 2 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.1
Rapids 2 Sporting KC 1 -0.1
Sounders 2 Timbers 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Lottery seed
Earthquakes vs Union-0.9+0.8+1.5
Crew vs FC Dallas-0.1-0.0+0.2
Sounders vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.1-0.1
Timbers vs Sporting KC+0.0-0.1+0.0
Whitecaps vs Rapids+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
628-0-0908200
607-1-06419160100
597-0-148222702000
586-2-0272340190000
576-1-114194531701000
565-3-04123883305000
6-0-25124063205000
555-2-1152594411401000
545-1-2021184332904000
4-4-0029104352704000
534-3-10025288421130100
5-0-30034296430140100
524-2-200011374422803000
3-5-000011194342804000
514-1-3000034315440110100
3-4-1000035297421120100
503-3-200002137462260400
4-0-400001136472260400
2-6-000001108433290500
493-2-300000443554001210
2-5-10000353164101310
483-1-40000217645026300
2-4-20000216744127400
1-7-0000111743131500
472-3-3000055362411100
3-0-5000065361411000
1-6-1000034332431410
462-2-4000122124922200
1-5-2000121824727300
0-8-00001152463140
451-4-300000724141800
2-1-500018244396000
0-7-10005236451100
441-3-400021285117100
2-0-600021295017100
0-6-20011235222100
431-2-500001550314000
0-5-30000114736500
421-1-60005374512100
0-4-400043446141000
410-3-50011946275000
1-0-70012048274000
400-2-6007354015300
390-1-702184129810
380-0-800628402240
Total:2262133172192150105100000