San Jose Earthquakes Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.2 to 6.1%
17 points   4-5-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas 2 New England 0 -0.5
-0.0
Red Bulls 1 Earthquakes 1 -0.3
-0.0
-0.5
-0.0
DC United 3 Chivas USA 1 +0.1
-0.1
+0.0
Real Salt Lake 1 Whitecaps 1 +0.1
Sporting KC 2 Galaxy 1 +0.1
Crew 2 Impact 1 -0.9
Dynamo 2 Toronto FC 2 -0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Earthquakes vs Fire+2.6-1.7-3.0
+0.2-0.1-0.2
-4.0+1.9+5.4
+0.2-0.2-0.3
Real Salt Lake vs Impact-0.3+0.3+0.6
-0.9+0.2+3.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Fire vs Whitecaps+0.4+0.0-0.7
+0.2-0.1-0.2
New England vs Rapids+0.5+0.1-0.7
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Red Bulls-0.4+0.2+0.6
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Rapids vs Chivas USA-0.3+0.4+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Impact vs Timbers+0.3+0.1-0.4
+2.2-0.6-1.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Whitecaps vs FC Dallas-0.2+0.3-0.1
Sounders vs Galaxy+0.1-0.0-0.2
Sporting KC vs Union-0.1+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
6817-0-0In96.1%982No2,637,016
6616-1-0In87.4928No207
6516-0-1In82.48911No307
6415-2-0In71.882170No1,783
6315-1-1In62.376230No5,314
6214-3-0In50.368320No13,489*
6114-2-1In38.359401No42,242
6014-1-2In26.4495010No99,056*
5913-3-1In16.4385930No241,897*
5813-2-2In9.2286560No565,511*
5712-4-1In4.319691200No1,177,367*
5612-3-2In1.712681910No2,487,415*
5512-2-3100.0%0.576229300No4,903,294*
5411-4-2100.00.135239600No9,190,466*
5311-3-3100.00.01394612100No16,895,906*
5210-5-299.90.00264922300No29,339,897*
5110-4-399.60.00154533700No49,220,520*
5010-3-498.40.007354115200No80,023,332*
499-5-394.9No03224426500No124,254,004*
489-4-487.1No0111373712100No186,944,870*
479-3-572.7No004254324400No271,669,187*
468-5-453.1No0011339361010No379,350,857*
458-4-532.5No00527442120No513,113,469*
448-3-616.0No00115423570No669,808,082*
437-5-56.3No00063145161No842,309,197*
427-4-61.9No0021947294No1,024,999,797*
416-6-50.4No0009404190.0%1,202,791,842*
406-5-60.1No0032949180.01,360,443,058*
396-4-70.0No0011851290.0859,121,461
5-7-50.0No0011851300.0627,500,106*
385-6-60.0No0001046430.1830,289,048
6-3-80.0No0001047430.0734,213,749*
375-5-70.0No00539570.31,585,174,486*
365-4-80.0No00230681.1855,910,516
4-7-60.0No00228701.3691,894,754*
354-6-70.0No00120793.7785,018,099
5-3-9OutNo0121793.2666,974,240*
344-5-8OutNo0013878.11,307,688,346*
334-4-9OutNo0089215.31,130,720,070*
323-6-8OutNo049625.1935,378,230*
313-5-9OutNo029836.6739,214,988*
303-4-10OutNo019948.8557,567,971*
292-6-9OutNo0010060.7399,512,961*
282-5-10OutNo0010071.4271,075,874*
272-4-11OutNo010080.2173,817,317*
261-6-10OutNo010087.2104,502,491*
251-5-11OutNo010092.258,552,642*
241-4-12OutNo010095.630,401,487*
231-3-13OutNo010097.714,423,838*
17-22OutNo10099.412,024,210*
Total:6.1%0.0%0012371324509.5%20,143,506,266

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeSoundersGalaxyReal Salt LakeRapidsFC DallasWhitecapsTimbersChivas USA
61-6812.5%Yes
6014-1-212.310000
5913-3-112.41000000
5813-2-212.610000000000
5712-4-112.510000000000
5612-3-212.59900000000
5512-2-312.49700111100
5411-4-212.29401111100
12-1-412.19301122100
5311-3-311.88701333300
10-6-111.88701333300
5210-5-211.27603555411
11-2-411.17403555511
5110-4-310.26115888711
11-1-510.05715999821
9-7-110.26105988711
5010-3-48.842171211121022
9-6-28.943171211111022
499-5-37.426191514141332
10-2-57.224191514141332
8-8-17.326191514141322
489-4-45.713191615151432
8-7-25.713191615151432
10-1-65.411191615151443
479-3-54.05081413141342
8-6-34.05081413141232
7-9-13.95091513141232
10-0-73.73081413131242
468-5-42.61061110111032
9-2-62.41061110101032
7-8-22.5106111011922
458-4-51.4004767621
7-7-31.4004767621
9-1-71.3003666621
447-6-40.7002333311
8-3-60.6002333311
6-9-20.6002333311
437-5-50.2001111100
8-2-70.2001111100
6-8-30.2001111100
427-4-60.1000000000
6-7-40.1000000000
416-6-50.0000000000
406-5-60.000000000
396-4-70.000000000
385-6-60.000000000
375-5-70.00000000
365-4-8No00000
354-6-7No00
17-34No
Total:0.4%1.00.00.61.11.01.01.00.20.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 7/19100.0*Lottery seed
DC United 3 Chivas USA 1 -0.0
Dynamo 2 Toronto FC 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Earthquakes vs Fire-0.7+0.4+0.9
Real Salt Lake vs Impact-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/26100.0*Lottery seed
Sporting KC vs Union-0.0+0.0+0.1
Rapids vs Chivas USA-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819
6817-0-09612
6616-1-08748
6516-0-182711
6415-2-072111700
6315-1-162142300
6214-3-050183100
6114-2-138213911
6014-1-2262247310
5913-3-11622536300
5813-2-29195411600
5712-4-1415511712000
5612-3-22104324190100
5512-2-31631302713000
5411-4-20320323546000
5311-3-3011029398120100
5210-5-20042236132203000
5110-4-30011427183217000
5010-3-400071619383150200
499-5-3003716377260500
489-4-400129271136112100
479-3-5000041412394234000
468-5-4000015831735111000
458-4-5000141710412340000
448-3-600001683536122000
437-5-5000001521402571000
427-4-60000293035185100
416-6-5000002163230154000
406-5-60000520332812200
396-4-7000018243524700
385-6-60000021230361720
375-5-70000419383170
365-4-80000193143151
354-6-70000032047273
344-5-800011042398
334-4-900004324815
323-6-80001225225
313-5-9000135037
303-4-100074449
292-6-90043661
282-5-100022771
272-4-11011980
261-6-10001387
251-5-1100892
241-4-120496
231-3-130298
220-5-120199
210-4-130100
200-3-140100
190-2-150100
180-1-160100
170-0-17100
Total:00000011215778101317169