San Jose Earthquakes Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.9 to 3.5%
34 points   7-13-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Galaxy 2 Sounders 4 -1.7
-0.1
Crew 2 Revolution 0 +0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Impact vs Earthquakes-2.4-0.8+7.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
+0.7-0.5-1.1
-0.3+0.0+0.7
Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake+2.8-2.1-3.0
-1.1+0.1+2.0
+0.4-0.2-0.5
Rapids vs Timbers+0.7-0.1-1.6
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Sounders vs Fire-0.8+0.6+1.4
-0.6-0.1+1.8
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Revolution vs Sporting KC+0.8-0.1-0.9
Dynamo vs NYCFC-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Crew vs Fire-0.3-0.1+0.8
DC United vs Crew-0.2+0.1+0.6
Toronto FC vs Orlando-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Whitecaps vs Sounders+0.7-0.0-1.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Dynamo vs Rapids-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
Orlando vs Impact+0.1-0.0-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
495-0-0100.0%No08494020No124,607,756
474-1-089.3No544401010No637,063,588
464-0-161.4No16453270No1,095,526,720
453-2-033.6No62844220No1,339,959,356
443-1-110.6No110404720No4,500,478,744
433-0-22.7No3276550No3,727,360,783
2-3-02.9No328654No1,335,389,131
422-2-10.3No0972181No6,516,309,809
412-1-2OutNo1563760.0%10,387,464,637
1-4-0OutNo1603450.0623,856,829
402-0-3OutNo04444110.05,379,299,763
1-3-1OutNo04047130.03,893,025,761
391-2-2OutNo01750330.08,841,722,324
0-5-0OutNo1550360.0109,635,466
381-1-3OutNo742510.18,578,048,007
0-4-1OutNo742510.1817,886,861
371-0-4OutNo332651.22,950,667,318
0-3-2OutNo128711.52,355,694,173
360-2-3OutNo14866.33,248,343,372
350-1-4OutNo79314.92,127,092,377
340-0-5OutNo49631.8537,444,185
Total:3.5%No0001373330271.1%69,126,876,960

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeFC DallasRapidsGalaxyReal Salt LakeSporting KCSoundersTimbersDynamo
495-0-06.3%803941131950
474-1-01.8016279610
464-0-10.5002112
453-2-00.2014
443-1-10.00000
34-43No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.10.60.10.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/25100.0*Lottery seed
Galaxy 2 Sounders 4 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Impact vs Earthquakes+0.6-0.1-1.5
Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake-0.9+0.5+1.1
Dynamo vs NYCFC+0.1-0.1-0.2
Toronto FC vs Orlando-0.1+0.0+0.2
Revolution vs Sporting KC+0.1-0.0-0.1
Crew vs Fire+0.1-0.1-0.1
DC United vs Crew-0.0-0.0+0.1
Rapids vs Timbers-0.0+0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs DC United-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Lottery seed
Dynamo vs Rapids+0.1-0.1-0.2
Orlando vs Impact+0.1-0.1-0.1
Whitecaps vs Sounders+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
495-0-0000842740020
474-1-0324314001010
464-0-11424503270
453-2-0422714422000
443-1-1009140472000
433-0-221276470000
2-3-02127646000
422-2-100861264000
412-1-213541194000
1-4-013740184000
402-0-3014353315300
1-3-1011313518500
391-2-2021230351940
0-5-01927362250
381-1-303153435130
0-4-102133237150
371-0-40052142301
0-3-20031742371
360-2-30529606
350-1-401156915
340-0-50056332
Total:000000102072216141413101