San Jose Earthquakes Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 1.1 to 59.2%
15 points   4-3-3

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/8100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Galaxy 4 Revolution 2 -0.3
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Earthquakes vs Dynamo+7.9-4.8-11.7
+0.8-0.6-1.2
+0.7-0.6-0.9
-0.8+0.3+1.3
+0.5-0.3-0.7
Toronto FC vs Whitecaps+0.7-0.0-1.9
+0.1+0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Whitecaps vs Fire-1.1+0.8+1.5
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Rapids vs Sporting KC+0.5+0.0-1.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs Timbers-0.3+0.8-0.2
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake-0.4+0.6+0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs Sounders-0.3+0.7-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Union vs Galaxy+0.2+0.0-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Crew vs Rapids+0.2+0.0-0.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Impact vs Union+0.0+0.1-0.1
Revolution vs Fire+0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/15100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sporting KC vs Orlando-1.2+0.8+1.6
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Revolution vs FC Dallas+0.8+0.1-1.6
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Timbers vs NYCFC-1.0+0.7+1.3
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Sounders vs Rapids-1.1+0.6+1.1
-0.1+0.1+0.0
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Fire vs Dynamo+0.6+0.1-1.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Sporting KC vs Real Salt Lake-0.8+0.7+0.8
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs Red Bulls-0.0-0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Crew-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs NYCFC-0.1+0.1+0.1
Union vs DC United-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Orlando vs Impact+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
77-87In100.0%100No711,310*
7619-4-1In99.91000No2,391*
7519-3-2In99.81000No5,804*
7419-2-3In99.81000No12,888*
7318-4-2In99.71000No27,754*
7218-3-3In99.41000No58,873*
7117-5-2In99.09910No118,298*
7017-4-3In98.39910No231,258*
6917-3-4In97.29820No435,999*
6816-5-3In95.69730No795,888*
6716-4-4In93.19550No1,413,145*
6615-6-3In89.692800No2,432,615*
6515-5-4In84.8891100No4,062,429*
6415-4-5In78.6841610No6,593,774*
6314-6-4In70.67821100No10,381,886*
6214-5-5In61.27127200No15,897,226*
6114-4-6In50.56234400No23,696,442*
6013-6-5In39.35240700No34,352,439*
5913-5-6In28.3424512100No48,472,605*
5812-7-5In18.6324818200No66,604,249*
5712-6-6100.0%10.92347254000No89,037,332*
5612-5-7100.05.51544338000No115,974,412*
5511-7-6100.02.393740131000No147,092,953*
5411-6-7100.00.852843213000No181,632,732*
5311-5-8100.00.221842307100No218,497,986*
5210-7-799.90.01113538142000No255,987,259*
5110-6-899.60.0052641235000No291,998,647*
5010-5-998.70.002163832101000No324,423,362*
499-7-895.90.00183038194000No350,934,744*
489-6-989.8No0032038299100No369,499,704*
478-8-878.7No00111313618400No378,742,577*
468-7-962.9No0005213727910No377,696,421*
458-6-1044.7No0021231351730No366,421,715*
447-8-927.8No0005223727810.0%345,702,673*
437-7-1015.0No00021333351520.0317,020,002*
427-6-116.9No001624392550.0282,463,254*
416-8-102.7No0003153735100.0244,393,449*
406-7-110.9No000183142180.1205,243,683*
396-6-120.3No00042246280.6167,181,297*
385-8-110.1No00021444402.1131,994,306*
375-7-120.0No001839525.9100,911,228*
365-6-130.0No0004326312.774,654,385*
354-8-120.0No002247322.753,374,509*
344-7-130.0No001188235.036,835,482*
334-6-140.0No000128848.324,505,095*
323-8-13OutNo0089260.915,697,107*
313-7-14OutNo0059571.99,653,893*
303-6-15OutNo039780.75,689,741*
293-5-16OutNo029887.23,211,804*
282-7-15OutNo019991.91,729,101*
272-6-16OutNo0010095.1882,344*
262-5-17OutNo010097.2427,891*
251-7-16OutNo010098.4195,337*
241-6-17OutNo010099.183,559*
231-5-18OutNo010099.533,150*
221-4-19OutNo010099.612,200*
15-21OutNo100100.0715,153*
Total:59.2%1.8%371013131313111071.5%5,706,857,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Earthquakes finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeRapidsGalaxyReal Salt LakeFC DallasSoundersSporting KCWhitecapsTimbersDynamo
67-8712.5%Yes
6615-6-312.5100000000
6515-5-412.510000000000
6415-4-512.5100000000000
6314-6-412.5100000000000
6214-5-512.5100000000000
6114-4-612.5100000000000
6013-6-512.5100000000000
5913-5-612.599000000000
5812-7-512.498000000000
5712-6-612.396001111000
13-3-812.396001111000
5612-5-712.292111111110
11-8-512.292111211110
5511-7-611.885112322111
12-4-811.986112322111
5411-6-711.375224443221
10-9-511.375224443221
12-3-911.476224433221
5311-5-810.663336655432
10-8-610.662336655432
5210-7-79.546558977543
11-4-99.748448877543
9-10-59.647558977543
5110-6-88.23166101098653
9-9-68.13066101198663
11-3-108.43355101098654
5010-5-96.81966111199764
9-8-76.618661112109764
499-7-85.0966111199764
10-4-105.21066111199764
8-10-65.0866111199764
489-6-93.54459987654
8-9-73.43559987653
10-3-113.745591088654
479-5-102.31337766443
8-8-82.11336765443
468-7-91.20224433322
9-4-111.20224543322
458-6-100.60112222111
448-5-110.20001111110
437-7-100.10000000000
427-6-110.00000000000
417-5-120.00000000000
406-7-110.00000000000
396-6-120.0000000000
386-5-130.0000000000
375-7-120.0000000000
365-6-13No000
15-35No
Total:4.0%19.72.12.14.14.43.63.42.62.31.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/8100.0*Lottery seed
Galaxy 4 Revolution 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Earthquakes vs Dynamo-0.9+0.6+1.3
Toronto FC vs Whitecaps-0.0-0.0+0.1
Whitecaps vs Fire+0.1-0.1-0.1
Rapids vs Sporting KC-0.0-0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs Timbers+0.0-0.1+0.0
FC Dallas vs Sounders+0.0-0.1+0.0
Union vs Galaxy-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/15100.0*Lottery seed
Revolution vs FC Dallas-0.1-0.0+0.1
Sporting KC vs Orlando+0.1-0.1-0.1
Timbers vs NYCFC+0.1-0.1-0.1
Fire vs Dynamo-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sounders vs Rapids+0.1-0.1-0.0
Sporting KC vs Real Salt Lake+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
83-87100
8222-1-18614
79-81100
7820-3-11000
7720-2-2100
7619-4-110000
7519-3-210000
7419-2-310000
7318-4-210000
7218-3-39900
7117-5-299010
7017-4-398010
6917-3-497120
6816-5-396130
6716-4-4932500
6615-6-39038000
6515-5-485411000
6415-4-579516010
6314-6-4717210100
6214-5-56192702000
6114-4-651113304000
6013-6-5391339170000
5913-5-62814441120100
5812-7-519144521802000
5712-6-6111243425040000
5612-5-751037733080000
5511-7-62728939113010000
5411-6-714181041221030000
5311-5-802910375300701000
5210-7-7013728837113020000
5110-6-80014161039322050000
5010-5-90002793363201001000
499-7-80001262193621904000
489-6-900003101033528091000
478-8-80000137238351174000
468-7-900001411103342791000
458-6-100000248238341840000
447-8-90000015111133281010000
437-7-100000024924352151000
427-6-110000115133131144100
416-8-10000002520332611300
406-7-1100000119243222920
396-6-120000031327311961
385-8-110000015183130132
375-7-1200000292435246
365-6-1300000315343513
354-8-12000018274223
344-7-1300003184335
334-6-1400001114048
323-8-1300063361
313-7-1400032572
303-6-150011881
293-5-160001287
282-7-1500892
272-6-1600595
262-5-170397
251-7-160298
241-6-17199
231-5-180100
221-4-190100
210-6-180100
200-5-190100
190-4-200100
15-18100
Total:215282103113112108654321