Houston Dynamo Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.5 to 71.3%
6 points   2-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 +7.6
+1.0
+2.7
-1.2
+0.6
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.6
+0.1
+0.0
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 +0.6
+0.1
+0.0
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 +0.6
+0.1
-0.1
+0.0
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0 +0.4
+0.1
+0.1
Impact 2 Sounders 2 +0.2
+0.1
+0.0
Earthquakes 3 Whitecaps 2 -0.1
-0.1
Galaxy 0 Timbers 1 -0.1
-0.1
Union 2 Toronto FC 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando+0.1+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Timbers vs Dynamo-6.3-1.4+7.4
-0.9-0.2+1.1
-2.9-1.0+3.6
+0.6+0.1-0.7
-0.5-0.1+0.6
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC-0.7+0.2+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Sounders vs Red Bulls-0.7+0.2+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
FC Dallas vs Revolution-0.7+0.2+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Sporting KC vs Earthquakes-0.2+0.3*-0.0
*-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy-0.2+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Rapids vs Minnesota-0.1+0.4-0.2
-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Orlando vs Union-0.1+0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Fire-0.0+0.1-0.1
NYCFC vs Impact-0.1+0.1+0.0
DC United vs Crew-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Dynamo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
80-102InYes100No15,030*
7923-4-5In99.9%1000No1,934*
7822-6-4In99.9100No3,583*
7722-5-5In99.91000No6,170*
7621-7-4In99.91000No9,858*
7521-6-5In99.81000No16,556*
7421-5-6In99.81000No26,009*
7320-7-5In99.71000No40,405*
7220-6-6In99.41000No61,636*
7119-8-5In99.11000No91,166*
7019-7-6In98.69910No133,886*
6919-6-7In97.99910No192,278*
6818-8-6In96.79910No270,228*
6718-7-7In95.09820No374,661*
6618-6-8In92.59730No508,054*
6517-8-7In89.09550No676,764*
6417-7-8In84.393700No885,063*
6316-9-7In78.0901000No1,137,481*
6216-8-8In70.18614100No1,437,509*
6116-7-9In60.58018100No1,778,846*
6015-9-8In49.67424200No2,167,565*
5915-8-9In38.06630400No2,593,970*
5815-7-10In26.656367100No3,050,985*
5714-9-9In16.6464112100No3,523,358*
5614-8-10100.0%9.03644173000No4,000,094*
5514-7-11100.04.12644246100No4,459,914*
5413-9-10100.01.4174031102000No4,876,832*
5313-8-11100.00.4103336174000No5,254,110*
5212-10-1099.90.1524372581000No5,556,707*
5112-9-1199.60.02153331153000No5,773,441*
5012-8-1298.60.01825342381000No5,884,771*
4911-10-1195.9No04163130144000No5,895,488*
4811-9-1290.1No01924332382000No5,803,436*
4711-8-1379.4No004153030164100No5,607,071*
4610-10-1263.9No001822322410200No5,318,883*
4510-9-1345.8No000314293118510No4,949,086*
4410-8-1428.5No00172132261120No4,516,164*
439-10-1315.3No00031228331950No4,054,070*
429-9-147.0No000162034281010.0%3,560,304*
419-8-152.7No00021229351830.03,067,618*
408-10-140.9No001622372770.12,593,270*
398-9-150.3No0003143436130.72,146,479*
388-8-160.1No00182842212.51,741,142*
377-10-150.0No00042144306.41,380,627*
367-9-160.0No00214434113.21,071,114*
357-8-170.0No0019385223.0816,453*
346-10-16OutNo005326334.7605,061*
336-9-17OutNo003267247.1439,486*
326-8-18OutNo001197959.0311,188*
315-10-17OutNo01148569.8215,248*
305-9-18OutNo00109078.5144,580*
295-8-19OutNo0079384.995,089*
284-10-18OutNo049690.261,093*
274-9-19OutNo039793.637,757*
264-8-20OutNo29895.822,848*
254-7-21OutNo19997.613,144*
243-9-20OutNo19998.47,405*
233-8-21OutNo010099.24,204*
223-7-22OutNo010099.62,151*
6-21OutNo100100.014,385*
Total:71.3%9.2%16141211109876531.4%109,303,708

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dynamo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeTimbersEarthquakesFC DallasRapidsSporting KCSoundersWhitecapsReal Salt LakeGalaxyMinnesota
65-10212.5%Yes
6417-7-812.5100000
6316-9-712.510000000000
6216-8-812.51000000000000
6116-7-912.51000000000000
6015-9-812.51000000000000
5915-8-912.51000000000000
14-11-712.51000000000000
5815-7-1012.4990000000000
14-10-812.5990000000000
5714-9-912.4990000000000
15-6-1112.4990000000000
5614-8-1012.3970000000000
13-11-812.3970000000000
5514-7-1112.1941111111110
13-10-912.1941111111111
5413-9-1011.7881111111111
14-6-1211.8891111111111
12-12-811.7881111111111
5313-8-1111.1792222222222
12-11-911.1783322222222
14-5-1311.2802222222222
5212-10-1010.2654444333333
13-7-1210.3674443333333
11-13-810.3664444333333
5112-9-119.2505555544444
13-6-139.3525555444444
11-12-99.1495555544444
5012-8-127.9356666655555
11-11-107.7337766655555
13-5-148.0356666655555
4911-10-116.2207777666655
12-7-136.5227777666655
10-13-96.3207777666655
4811-9-124.8106666655555
12-6-145.1116666655555
10-12-104.7106666655555
4711-8-133.455555544444
10-11-113.345555444444
4610-10-122.113333333333
4510-9-131.102222222212
4410-8-140.501111111111
439-10-130.200000000000
429-9-140.100000000000
419-8-150.000000000000
408-10-140.00000000000
398-9-150.00000000000
388-8-160.0000000000
378-7-170.000000
6-36No
Total:6.6%42.32.32.32.32.22.11.91.91.91.81.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/11100.0*Lottery seed
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 -1.2
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 -0.1
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0 -0.1
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 -0.0
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 -0.0
Impact 2 Sounders 2 -0.0
Galaxy 0 Timbers 1 +0.0
Earthquakes 3 Whitecaps 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
Timbers vs Dynamo+1.1+0.3-1.3
FC Dallas vs Revolution+0.1-0.0-0.1
Sounders vs Red Bulls+0.1-0.0-0.0
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.0-0.0
Sporting KC vs Earthquakes+0.0-0.1+0.0
Rapids vs Minnesota+0.0-0.1+0.0
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
80-102100
7923-4-510000
7822-6-41000
7722-5-510000
7621-7-410000
7521-6-510000
7421-5-610000
7320-7-510000
7220-6-69900
7119-8-59910
7019-7-699110
6919-6-798110
6818-8-697210
6718-7-795320
6618-6-8934300
6517-8-7896500
6417-7-88497000
6316-9-7781210000
6216-8-87016140100
6116-7-961201801000
6015-9-850242312000
5915-8-938282824000
5815-7-102730324701000
5714-9-917303471101000
5614-8-10927321217130000
5514-7-114222617222601000
5413-9-10116182226510020000
5313-8-1101010232610161400000
5212-10-100542020172238010000
5112-9-1102114112124814130000
5012-8-1201084211915202801000
4911-10-11004115112122814140000
4811-9-12001094201716203820000
4711-8-1300041158212191551000
4610-10-120001083201518201230000
4510-9-130000301362220211131000
4410-8-140001072191223211131000
439-10-13000030125172622113100
429-9-14000010618192723113100
419-8-150000202921282211300
408-10-14000100311232921920
398-9-1500000141426291961
388-8-160000016183029142
377-10-15000000292434246
367-9-160001416333413
357-8-17000018274023
346-10-160004194235
336-9-17002123947
326-8-1800173459
315-10-170032770
305-9-180022079
295-8-19011485
284-10-1800990
274-9-190694
264-8-200496
254-7-210298
243-9-20298
233-8-210199
223-7-220100
212-9-210100
202-8-220100
6-19100
Total:9786756554544433333221