Houston Dynamo Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 1 to 47.2%
5 points   1-2-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Dynamo 0 Rapids 0 -4.1
-0.5
-0.7
+0.8
-0.3
NYCFC 0 Sporting KC 1 -1.3
-0.1
+0.1
+0.2
-0.1
Real Salt Lake 2 Toronto FC 1 -0.8
-0.1
+0.1
-0.0
DC United 1 Galaxy 0 +0.6
+0.1
+0.1
+0.0
Revolution 2 Earthquakes 1 +0.5
+0.1
+0.1
+0.0
FC Dallas 0 Sounders 0 +0.2
+0.1
Whitecaps 2 Timbers 1 -0.1
Crew 1 Red Bulls 2 -0.1
Fire 1 Union 0 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sounders vs Dynamo-5.3+0.8+12.5
-0.5+0.0+1.3
-0.6-0.1+1.7
+1.2-0.3-2.6
-0.3+0.0+0.8
Sporting KC vs Union-0.8+0.6+1.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Rapids vs Revolution-0.6+0.5+1.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Whitecaps vs Crew-0.7+0.5+1.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Timbers vs FC Dallas-0.6+0.4+0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Whitecaps vs Galaxy-0.1+0.4-0.4
-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake-0.2+0.5-0.1
-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Red Bulls vs Impact-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Orlando vs DC United*+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Fire vs Toronto FC+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Dynamo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
73-95In100.0%100No3,085*
7221-4-5In99.71000No334*
7120-6-4In98.4991No630*
7020-5-5In98.5991No1,166*
6919-7-4In97.99910No2,032*
6819-6-5In97.0982No3,387*
6719-5-6In95.1973No5,580*
6618-7-5In93.19730No8,897*
6518-6-6In89.49460No14,065*
6418-5-7In84.99190No21,612*
6317-7-6In79.688110No32,442*
6217-6-7In71.4831610No47,439*
6116-8-6In62.4772210No68,290*
6016-7-7In51.8702830No95,877*
5916-6-8In40.36134500No131,629*
5815-8-7In29.05140810No177,882*
5715-7-8In18.7404513100No234,662*
5615-6-9In10.7304720300No303,104*
5514-8-8100.0%5.12045286100No383,362*
5414-7-9100.02.013393512200No473,942*
5313-9-8100.00.673039194000No574,814*
5213-8-999.90.132138289100No683,605*
5113-7-1099.70.01123335163000No796,169*
5012-9-998.90.0062337258100No903,525*
4912-8-1096.6No0214323315300No1,009,556*
4812-7-1191.1No0172336258100No1,099,555*
4711-9-1080.8No00314323316300No1,174,905*
4611-8-1165.5No0017233525810No1,227,851*
4511-7-1247.3No0031331331630No1,256,106*
4410-9-1129.9No001623362671No1,256,658*
4310-8-1216.4No0031433341520.0%1,230,009*
4210-7-137.8No001725392450.01,176,416*
419-9-123.2No003163734100.01,101,183*
409-8-131.1No00193142170.21,007,431*
399-7-140.4No00052345271.0901,704*
388-9-130.1No0021645383.1786,259*
378-8-140.0No0011041497.6671,893*
367-10-130.0No005346015.0558,453*
357-9-140.0No003277025.3453,607*
347-8-150.0No001207837.2358,048*
336-10-14OutNo01158549.6277,205*
326-9-15OutNo00109061.5208,793*
316-8-16OutNo079371.5152,851*
305-10-15OutNo049679.8108,645*
295-9-16OutNo039786.174,463*
285-8-17OutNo019991.150,546*
275-7-18OutNo19994.132,886*
264-9-17OutNo19996.420,711*
254-8-18OutNo010097.812,808*
244-7-19OutNo010098.47,491*
233-9-18OutNo010099.14,384*
223-8-19OutNo10099.72,355*
213-7-20OutNo010099.61,225*
5-20OutNo100100.03,833*
Total:47.2%2.0%46891011121314145.1%21,195,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dynamo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeFC DallasWhitecapsRapidsEarthquakesSoundersReal Salt LakeGalaxySporting KCTimbers
63-9512.5%Yes
6217-6-712.51000
6116-8-612.51000000000
6016-7-712.6100000000000
5916-6-812.6100000000000
5815-8-712.599000000000
5715-7-812.599000000000
14-10-612.499000000000
5615-6-912.597000000000
14-9-712.497000000000
5514-8-812.293111111110
15-5-1012.293111111110
5414-7-911.886122222211
13-10-711.986122222211
15-4-1112.087122222111
5313-9-811.276233333321
14-6-1011.377233333321
12-12-611.176233333321
5213-8-910.462455544432
14-5-1110.563455444432
12-11-710.362455555432
5113-7-109.346576666643
12-10-89.145577666653
14-4-129.147576666643
5012-9-97.629688887764
13-6-117.830688877764
11-12-77.829688877764
4912-8-105.916698888865
13-5-126.117698888865
11-11-85.916688888864
4812-7-114.38588777764
11-10-94.17577777754
13-4-134.38688777764
4711-9-102.63466655543
12-6-122.83466666544
10-12-82.53466655543
4611-8-111.51344444332
10-11-91.41243333332
12-5-131.61344444432
4511-7-120.70122222221
10-10-100.70122222221
4410-9-110.30111111111
4310-8-120.10000000000
4210-7-130.00000000000
419-9-120.0000000000
409-8-130.0000000000
399-7-140.0000000000
389-6-15No0000
379-5-16No00
5-36No
Total:3.3%17.41.82.52.42.42.32.32.21.71.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/28100.0*Lottery seed
Dynamo 0 Rapids 0 +0.5
NYCFC 0 Sporting KC 1 +0.1
Real Salt Lake 2 Toronto FC 1 +0.1
DC United 1 Galaxy 0 -0.0
Revolution 2 Earthquakes 1 -0.0
Whitecaps 2 Timbers 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/3100.0*Lottery seed
Sounders vs Dynamo+0.7-0.1-1.6
Whitecaps vs Crew+0.1-0.1-0.1
Rapids vs Revolution+0.0-0.1-0.1
Sporting KC vs Union+0.0-0.0-0.1
Whitecaps vs Galaxy+0.0-0.1+0.0
Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
74-95100
7321-5-4991
7221-4-51000
7120-6-49801
7020-5-59811
6919-7-498110
6819-6-59712
6719-5-69523
6618-7-593330
6518-6-689560
6418-5-785690
6317-7-68091100
6217-6-7711216010
6116-8-6621521010
6016-7-7521827030
5916-6-840213315000
5815-8-729223828010
5715-7-81921414130100
5615-6-911193972003000
5514-8-8515331127160100
5414-7-921124153321202000
5313-9-816141634519040000
5213-8-9036142910271901000
5113-7-1001210191432316030000
5012-9-9000591429725180100
4912-8-100023112012302150300
4812-7-110011610142972418100
4711-9-100002311201230216300
4611-8-11000116914297258100
4511-7-1200002311191231174000
4410-9-110001069142928112000
4310-8-120000231119322381000
4210-7-1300011692631186100
419-9-1200003315292815410
409-8-130001162031261230
399-7-140000021024322381
388-9-13000004142932173
378-8-140000172235278
367-10-13000313323715
357-9-1400017254225
347-8-150003174337
336-10-14001103950
326-9-1500063361
316-8-160032671
305-10-15011980
295-9-16011386
285-8-1700991
275-7-180694
264-9-170496
254-8-180298
244-7-190298
233-9-18199
223-8-190100
213-7-200100
202-9-19100
192-8-200100
5-18100
Total:22425363738388766665