Houston Dynamo Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.06 to 3.2%
24 points   5-9-10

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sounders 3 Timbers 1 +0.1
+0.1
DC United 2 Red Bulls 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Dynamo vs Sounders+2.0-1.6-2.5
-6.7+4.0+10.1
+0.3-0.2-0.4
Dynamo vs FC Dallas+2.2-1.3-2.1
+0.0-0.0No
-7.4+2.7+8.5
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Earthquakes vs Revolution-0.4+0.4+0.8
-1.1+0.2+3.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Crew vs Earthquakes+0.4+0.0-0.8
+1.7-0.9-2.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Union vs Sporting KC+0.2-0.1-0.5
Galaxy vs Whitecaps+0.1-0.0-0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.3
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Rapids-0.1+0.0+0.1
Fire vs Galaxy+2.4-0.4-1.7
Impact vs DC United-0.2+0.1+0.5
Orlando vs Toronto FC+0.3-0.0-0.4
Crew vs Union+1.8-0.7-2.0
DC United vs Fire-0.7+0.0+1.9
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas vs Timbers+0.3+0.0-0.7
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Timbers vs Sounders-0.1+0.4-0.3
Whitecaps vs Red Bulls-0.3+0.1+0.2
+0.3-0.0-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Galaxy vs Crew-0.7+0.5+2.5
Revolution vs Rapids+2.8-0.5-2.0
Orlando vs NYCFC+0.3-0.1-0.5
NYCFC vs DC United-0.2+0.1+0.5
Red Bulls vs Revolution-0.9+0.5+3.4
Fire vs Union+2.1-0.8-2.2

What If

Chances based on how well Dynamo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
5410-0-0In2.8%735431400No7,050,754
529-1-0100.0%0.0083745900No4,697,883
519-0-1100.00.00222522210No7,478,455
508-2-099.90.00094639500No19,942,878
498-1-199.30.0003315115100No62,615,630
487-3-096.9No01155329300No49,094,522
8-0-296.3No01155031400No48,680,286
477-2-188.7No005394511100No227,908,236
467-1-272.8No01225024300No348,942,958
6-4-074.1No01234923300No77,662,764
456-3-150.9No00942381010No473,257,729
7-0-350.2No00942391010No176,102,817
446-2-228.6No00326452330No1,069,579,086
5-5-029.1No0326452330No82,455,965
436-1-312.8No00124037100No1,061,279,795
5-4-112.3No01123938111No618,382,104
425-3-24.0No00425452420.0%1,833,023,866
6-0-44.3No00426452220.0389,686,067
4-6-03.7No042446242No59,566,258
415-2-31.0No0112413970.02,682,120,270
4-5-10.8No0111404080.0527,643,706
405-1-40.2No0052949170.01,935,269,464
4-4-20.1No0042751190.01,923,352,536
3-7-00.1No0032652180.028,930,265
394-3-30.0No0011451340.03,689,723,504
5-0-50.0No0011753290.0550,403,155
3-6-10.0No011352340.0294,344,068
384-2-40.0No00643500.23,925,575,276
3-5-20.0No00542530.31,275,904,774*
373-4-30.0No00229691.32,988,637,479
4-1-50.0No00232650.82,194,763,230
2-7-10.0No00129701.9103,614,062
363-3-40.0No00018814.34,170,182,170
2-6-2OutNo0017825.9513,840,497*
4-0-60.0No00123772.8503,434,508
353-2-5OutNo0010909.93,440,357,943
2-5-3OutNo0099113.61,427,237,953
1-8-1OutNo0099115.920,915,680
342-4-4OutNo0049625.42,450,523,537
3-1-6OutNo0059519.51,553,066,928
1-7-2OutNo049629.2116,520,784*
332-3-5OutNo029839.22,653,972,601
1-6-3OutNo029844.7372,601,068
3-0-7OutNo039733.3297,732,247*
322-2-6OutNo019953.01,769,965,911
1-5-4OutNo19959.9767,721,251*
311-4-5OutNo010073.31,008,952,424
2-1-7OutNo010066.8664,428,859
0-7-3OutNo010076.441,081,415
24-30OutNo10088.42,272,994,062*
Total:3.2%0.0%000012510225914.6%52,783,219,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dynamo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeFC DallasRapidsGalaxyReal Salt LakeSporting KCEarthquakesSoundersTimbersWhitecaps
5410-0-011.8%86111732000
529-1-09.6465462295110
519-0-17.925861027136110
508-2-06.110881133148121
498-1-14.43971230147220
487-3-02.9166927115110
8-0-22.81751023125210
477-2-11.605371873110
467-1-20.80324941000
6-4-00.803241131000
456-3-10.30111410000
7-0-30.30111410000
446-2-20.10000100000
5-5-00.1000200000
436-1-30.0000000000
5-4-10.0000000000
425-3-20.0000000000
6-0-40.0000000000
4-6-00.000000000
415-2-30.00000000
4-5-10.000000
405-1-40.000000
4-4-20.000000
3-7-00.0000
395-0-5No0
4-3-3No0
3-6-1No
24-38No
Total:0.0%0.00.10.10.10.30.10.00.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/21100.0*Lottery seed
DC United 2 Red Bulls 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Dynamo vs Sounders-0.7+0.5+0.9
Dynamo vs FC Dallas-0.8+0.4+0.8
Fire vs Galaxy+0.1-0.0-0.1
Crew vs Union+0.1-0.0-0.1
Galaxy vs Whitecaps-0.0+0.0+0.1
Orlando vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.0-0.1
Impact vs DC United-0.0+0.0+0.1
Earthquakes vs Revolution-0.0-0.0+0.1
Crew vs Earthquakes+0.1-0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/28100.0*Lottery seed
Revolution vs Rapids+0.1-0.0-0.1
Red Bulls vs Revolution-0.0+0.0+0.2
Whitecaps vs Red Bulls+0.1-0.0-0.1
Galaxy vs Crew-0.0+0.0+0.1
Fire vs Union+0.1-0.0-0.1
Orlando vs NYCFC+0.1-0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs DC United-0.0+0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs Timbers-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
5410-0-03431543014000
529-1-000443344509000
519-0-1001218551122010
508-2-00000544243905000
498-1-1000012255511150100
487-3-0000096483300300
477-2-10002333644011100
467-1-2000115749124300
456-3-1000453833810100
7-0-30000543923910100
446-2-20001221544234000
436-1-30000843837111000
5-4-10000753738121000
425-3-20002222432650000
6-0-40002223432540000
415-2-3000193439142000
4-5-1000183140173000
405-1-4000031940288100
4-4-2000215383111200
394-3-300005253824710
5-0-500007293821500
3-6-10004213728910
384-2-400011131361730
3-5-20001828372250
373-4-30002143435131
4-1-50000418373191
363-3-4000052441254
2-6-200042041296
4-0-6000182840203
353-2-5000213383710
2-5-300110344114
342-4-40004234725
3-1-60005284620
332-3-5001144639
1-6-3001114445
3-0-70002174833
322-2-600074053
1-5-400053560
311-4-50022573
2-1-70033067
301-3-60011683
2-0-8011782
291-2-7001090
0-5-500792
280-4-60496
1-1-800594
270-3-70298
260-2-80199
250-1-90100
240-0-100100
Total:00000000102058101214161715