Houston Dynamo Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.008 to 59.2%
10 points   2-4-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Dynamo 4 Sporting KC 4 -4.6
-0.6
-1.2
+0.4
-0.3
Revolution 4 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.6
+0.1
+0.0
Rapids 1 FC Dallas 1 +0.5
+0.1
Whitecaps 1 DC United 2 +0.5
+0.1
+0.1
+0.1
Red Bulls 1 Galaxy 1 -0.1
+0.1
Sounders 1 Timbers 0 +0.1
-0.1
Crew 4 Union 1 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Red Bulls vs Rapids+0.6*+0.0-1.5
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Dynamo vs Earthquakes+7.1-5.0-11.6
+0.8-0.6-1.3
+0.8-0.7-1.0
-0.8+0.5+1.4
+0.5-0.3-0.7
Dynamo vs FC Dallas+6.9-5.1-11.3
+0.8-0.6-1.3
+0.8-0.7-1.1
-0.8+0.5+1.4
+0.5-0.3-0.7
Sporting KC vs Fire-0.9+0.7+1.3
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Timbers vs Whitecaps-0.5+0.6+0.4
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy-0.4+0.6*+0.0
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Earthquakes-0.2+0.6-0.3
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Galaxy vs Rapids-0.1+0.5-0.3
-0.1+0.1*+0.0
NYCFC vs Sounders+0.3*+0.0-0.4
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Revolution vs Red Bulls*+0.0+0.1-0.1
DC United vs Crew-0.0+0.1-0.1
Union vs Toronto FC+0.2-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Dynamo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
75-88InYes100No2,797*
7420-4-2In97.7%991No87*
7320-3-3In99.5100No200*
7219-5-2In99.41000No336*
7119-4-3In98.7991No695*
7019-3-4In98.21000No1,319*
6918-5-3In97.1991No2,344*
6818-4-4In95.4991No4,110*
6717-6-3In92.5982No6,916*
6617-5-4In89.3973No11,500*
6517-4-5In85.59640No18,582*
6416-6-4In78.99370No29,161*
6316-5-5In71.590900No44,693*
6216-4-6In62.3861300No66,591*
6115-6-5In52.1811810No96,319*
6015-5-6In40.7752420No136,619*
5914-7-5In29.56730300No188,392*
5814-6-6In19.65737600No253,868*
5714-5-7In11.547431010No334,468*
5613-7-6In5.7364616200No427,442*
5513-6-7In2.4264723400No536,466*
5413-5-8100.0%0.81743318100No657,697*
5312-7-7100.00.210363814200No783,356*
5212-6-8100.00.052640235000No913,180*
5111-8-799.90.0216373211200No1,036,794*
5011-7-899.6No182937205000No1,152,134*
4911-6-998.3No0318363011200No1,249,478*
4810-8-894.6No0192836205000No1,321,967*
4710-7-986.5No00418353012200No1,363,570*
4610-6-1072.6No0019273621510No1,375,447*
459-8-954.1No00031634311320No1,351,483*
449-7-1035.0No001826362360No1,296,570*
439-6-1119.3No003163532121No1,213,149*
428-8-109.1No001827382240.0%1,103,600*
418-7-113.6No000318383280.0981,097*
408-6-121.2No001103241160.1850,031*
397-8-110.4No00052445260.5717,372*
387-7-120.1No0021645381.6587,064*
376-9-110.0No001940504.4468,635*
366-8-120.0No00533629.4364,830*
356-7-130.0No002267217.2274,266*
345-9-12OutNo01198026.9200,617*
335-8-13OutNo00138738.5142,635*
325-7-14OutNo089150.098,500*
314-9-13OutNo059561.565,693*
304-8-14OutNo039770.742,114*
294-7-15OutNo029878.826,170*
284-6-16OutNo19985.615,911*
273-8-15OutNo010090.39,208*
263-7-16OutNo010093.25,089*
253-6-17OutNo010095.92,627*
10-24OutNo10099.35,371*
Total:59.2%2.0%691011111111111091.8%21,838,560

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dynamo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeSoundersWhitecapsFC DallasGalaxyEarthquakesSporting KCReal Salt LakeRapidsTimbers
64-8812.5%Yes
6316-5-512.51000
6216-4-612.41000
6115-6-512.41000000
6015-5-612.6100000000000
5914-7-512.5100000000000
5814-6-612.6100000000000
13-9-412.4100000000000
5714-5-712.499000000000
13-8-512.499000000000
5613-7-612.498000000000
14-4-812.498000000000
5513-6-712.396011100000
12-9-512.596011100000
5413-5-812.291111111111
12-8-612.191111111111
5312-7-711.783223322211
13-4-911.784122222111
11-10-511.884123222111
5212-6-811.271344433322
11-9-611.271344433332
13-3-1011.372344433222
5111-8-710.254466655444
12-5-910.256466654444
10-11-510.356466654443
5011-7-88.837688866555
12-4-109.039678866555
10-10-68.838588866555
4911-6-97.222699977666
10-9-77.021699977666
12-3-117.423689977666
4810-8-85.310689977666
11-5-105.311689977666
9-11-65.411689977666
4710-7-93.54567766555
9-10-73.54577766555
11-4-113.64577866555
4610-6-102.11345544333
9-9-82.01345544433
459-8-91.00223322222
10-5-111.00223322222
449-7-100.40111111111
439-6-110.20001000000
428-8-100.00000000000
418-7-110.00000000000
408-6-120.0000000000
397-8-110.0000000000
387-7-120.00000000
377-6-13No0
10-36No
Total:4.6%25.32.12.93.23.22.52.42.12.02.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/24100.0*Lottery seed
Dynamo 4 Sporting KC 4 +0.6
Whitecaps 1 DC United 2 -0.1
Rapids 1 FC Dallas 1 -0.1
Revolution 4 Real Salt Lake 0 -0.0
Sounders 1 Timbers 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Red Bulls vs Rapids-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/1100.0*Lottery seed
Dynamo vs Earthquakes-0.9+0.6+1.4
Dynamo vs FC Dallas-0.9+0.7+1.4
Sporting KC vs Fire+0.1-0.1-0.1
NYCFC vs Sounders-0.0-0.0+0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy+0.0-0.1+0.0
Galaxy vs Rapids+0.0-0.1+0.0
Real Salt Lake vs Earthquakes+0.0-0.1+0.0
Timbers vs Whitecaps+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
75-88100
7420-4-29811
7320-3-31001
7219-5-29900
7119-4-39911
7019-3-49820
6918-5-39721
6818-4-49531
6717-6-39352
6617-5-48983
6517-4-58510400
6416-6-47914700
6316-5-571199000
6216-4-6622413000
6115-6-5522917110
6015-5-64134222200
5914-7-530372643000
5814-6-620383075000
5714-5-71136311290100
5613-7-663028181512000
5513-6-722422252034000
5413-5-81161429247801000
5312-7-701072824141312000
5212-6-8053231921203500000
5111-8-70211611262381102000
5011-7-8108524211618250000
4911-6-90031171422246110200
4810-8-80010962223121915000
4710-7-900042161619264112000
4610-6-100001087202610216100
459-8-900003214181628143000
449-7-10000108917282592000
439-6-1100033132132206100
428-8-10000117112830164100
418-7-1100003418312712300
408-6-12000119243223920
397-8-110000031328311850
387-7-1200016193228122
376-9-1100002112735214
366-8-12000151936319
356-7-13000211313917
345-9-120016244327
335-8-13002164339
325-7-1401103950
314-9-130063361
304-8-140032671
294-7-15012079
284-6-16011486
273-8-1501090
263-7-1600793
253-6-17496
242-8-16298
232-7-17298
222-6-18199
10-21100
Total:24364656657487655432