Houston Dynamo Playoff Chances

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 60%
0 points   0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Dynamo vs FC Dallas+6.5-4.2-9.8
+0.8-0.5-1.2
+1.6-1.2-2.1
-1.7+1.0+2.7
+0.5-0.3-0.7
Dynamo vs Revolution+6.0-4.2-8.7
+0.7-0.5-1.0
+1.6-1.2-2.1
-1.7+1.0+2.7
+0.4-0.3-0.6
Whitecaps vs Impact-0.7+0.5+1.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Galaxy vs DC United-0.7+0.5+1.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs Union-0.7+0.5+1.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Timbers vs Crew-0.7+0.5+1.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Orlando vs Real Salt Lake+0.5*-0.0-1.1
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Rapids vs Galaxy-0.2+0.5-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
Earthquakes vs Rapids-0.2+0.5-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
Sporting KC vs Whitecaps-0.2+0.5-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Real Salt Lake vs Sounders-0.2+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
Sounders vs Sporting KC-0.2+0.5-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
Red Bulls vs Toronto FC-0.0+0.1-0.1
Impact vs Red Bulls-0.0+0.1-0.1
Crew vs Union-0.0+0.1-0.1
Orlando vs Fire-0.0+0.1-0.1
Fire vs NYCFC-0.0+0.1-0.1
Revolution vs DC United-0.0+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Red Bulls vs Dynamo-4.3+0.1+9.9
-0.5-0.0+1.3
-1.3-0.1+3.2
+1.2-0.3-2.5
-0.3-0.0+0.7
FC Dallas vs Impact-0.7+0.5+1.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Galaxy vs Earthquakes-0.2+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
Sounders vs Whitecaps-0.2+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
Timbers vs Real Salt Lake-0.2+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Earthquakes vs Timbers-0.2+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
NYCFC vs Orlando-0.0+0.1-0.1
NYCFC vs Toronto FC-0.0+0.1-0.1
Fire vs Crew-0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Dynamo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
74-102In100.0%100No30,562*
7322-7-5In99.81000No8,621*
7222-6-6In99.71000No14,537*
7121-8-5In99.61000No23,623*
7021-7-6In99.31000No37,577*
6921-6-7In99.01000No59,216*
6820-8-6In98.4991No90,673*
6720-7-7In97.4991No136,595*
6620-6-8In95.99820No200,814*
6519-8-7In93.79820No290,468*
6419-7-8In90.596400No410,692*
6318-9-7In86.194600No572,766*
6218-8-8In79.991800No780,092*
6118-7-9In72.0881200No1,043,645*
6017-9-8In62.38217100No1,368,706*
5917-8-9In50.97622200No1,761,539*
5817-7-10In38.767294000No2,223,920*
5716-9-9In26.858356000No2,756,485*
5616-8-10In16.4474111100No3,350,656*
5515-10-9In8.5364417300No4,006,349*
5415-9-10100.0%3.625442561000No4,696,390*
5315-8-11100.01.1164032112000No5,399,287*
5214-10-10100.00.393237184000No6,095,199*
5114-9-1199.90.0523372691000No6,748,873*
5014-8-1299.60.02143233164000No7,331,851*
4913-10-1198.50.01723352581000No7,815,512*
4813-9-1295.6No03143132164000No8,180,666*
4713-8-1389.0No0172234259200No8,397,860*
4612-10-1277.4No00313293218500No8,461,884*
4512-9-1361.0No00162133271020No8,351,119*
4412-8-1442.6No000212283419500.0%8,090,069*
4311-10-1325.9No00152034281010.07,677,201*
4211-9-1413.6No00021129351830.07,149,071*
4110-11-136.1No001521382870.16,525,586*
4010-10-142.4No0002133437130.65,831,383*
3910-9-150.8No00172743222.45,114,490*
389-11-140.2No00031945326.54,385,106*
379-10-150.1No00112424413.73,689,976*
369-9-160.0No0017375524.13,032,177*
358-11-150.0No0004306636.52,442,605*
348-10-160.0No002237549.51,924,565*
338-9-17OutNo01178261.71,481,408*
327-11-16OutNo00128872.21,115,255*
317-10-17OutNo0089280.7822,609*
307-9-18OutNo0059587.0591,217*
296-11-17OutNo039791.5413,686*
286-10-18OutNo029894.7282,698*
276-9-19OutNo019996.7188,588*
265-11-18OutNo019998.0122,376*
255-10-19OutNo010098.877,609*
245-9-20OutNo010099.347,618*
234-11-19OutNo010099.628,668*
224-10-20OutNo010099.816,381*
214-9-21OutNo010099.89,123*
204-8-22OutNo10099.95,044*
193-10-21OutNo010099.92,613*
0-18OutNo100Yes21,421*
Total:60.0%5.0%101010101010101010105.0%151,734,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dynamo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeFC DallasGalaxyEarthquakesSporting KCSoundersWhitecapsReal Salt LakeTimbersRapids
65-10212.5%Yes
6419-7-812.51000
6318-9-712.510000
6218-8-812.5100000000
6118-7-912.5100000000000
6017-9-812.5100000000000
5917-8-912.5100000000000
5817-7-1012.5100000000000
5716-9-912.5100000000000
17-6-1112.5100000000000
5616-8-1012.499000000000
15-11-812.599000000000
5515-10-912.497000000000
16-7-1112.497000000000
5415-9-1012.294111111111
16-6-1212.294111111111
14-12-812.394111111111
5315-8-1112.088111111111
14-11-911.988111111111
5214-10-1011.477222222232
15-7-1211.579222222222
13-13-811.478222222222
5114-9-1110.664444444444
15-6-1310.765444444444
13-12-910.563444444444
5014-8-129.548555555555
13-11-109.346555655555
15-5-149.448555555555
4913-10-117.730777777777
14-7-138.032767767767
12-13-97.830777777777
4813-9-126.117777777777
12-12-105.916777777777
14-6-146.118777777777
4713-8-134.38666666666
12-11-114.18666666666
4612-10-122.63555555555
13-7-142.63555555555
4512-9-131.41333333333
4412-8-140.70222222222
4311-10-130.30111111111
4211-9-140.10000000000
4111-8-150.00000000000
4010-10-140.00000000000
3910-9-150.0000000000
3810-8-160.0000000000
379-10-150.0000000000
3610-6-18No000
359-8-17No0
0-34No
Total:5.0%30.02.22.22.22.22.22.22.22.22.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/6100.0*Lottery seed
Dynamo vs FC Dallas-0.9+0.6+1.4
Dynamo vs Revolution-0.9+0.6+1.3
Whitecaps vs Impact+0.1-0.1-0.1
FC Dallas vs Union+0.1-0.1-0.1
Timbers vs Crew+0.1-0.1-0.1
Galaxy vs DC United+0.1-0.1-0.1
Orlando vs Real Salt Lake-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sounders vs Sporting KC+0.0-0.1+0.0
Rapids vs Galaxy+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sporting KC vs Whitecaps+0.0-0.1+0.0
Real Salt Lake vs Sounders+0.0-0.1+0.0
Earthquakes vs Rapids+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/13100.0*Lottery seed
Red Bulls vs Dynamo+0.7-0.0-1.5
FC Dallas vs Impact+0.1-0.1-0.1
Galaxy vs Earthquakes+0.0-0.1+0.0
Timbers vs Real Salt Lake+0.0-0.1+0.0
Earthquakes vs Timbers+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sounders vs Whitecaps+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
75-102100
7423-5-61000
7322-7-510000
7222-6-610000
7121-8-510000
7021-7-69900
6921-6-79910
6820-8-69811
6720-7-79721
6620-6-896320
6519-8-7944200
6419-7-89064000
6318-9-78686000
6218-8-880118000
6118-7-9721512000
6017-9-862201601000
5917-8-951252212000
5817-7-10392927240000
5716-9-92731323600000
5616-8-1016313471101000
5515-10-982732121613000
5415-9-1042226182226010000
5315-8-11115172326510020000
5214-10-10098242511171400000
5114-9-110532018182338010000
5014-8-1202113102324915140000
4913-10-1101073201817213801000
4813-9-120031149222291514000
4713-8-13001072201618224920000
4612-10-120003013722211116510000
4512-9-130001062191420221340000
4412-8-140000201162320221130000
4311-10-13000105118132523113000
4211-9-1400002011518282210200
4110-11-1300010529232921820
4010-10-1400002031326301961
3910-9-150001015173129142
389-11-1400000292435256
379-10-1500000315333514
369-9-16000018264124
358-11-15000003174237
348-10-160001103950
338-9-1700063262
327-11-1600032572
317-10-170011881
307-9-180011287
296-11-1700892
286-10-1800595
276-9-190397
265-11-180298
255-10-190199
245-9-20199
234-11-190100
224-10-200100
214-9-210100
204-8-220100
193-10-210100
0-18100
Total:55555555555555555555