Houston Dynamo Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 6.9%
28 points   8-4-13

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Impact 2 Crew 0 +0.8
+0.1
+0.7
Toronto FC 0 New England 3 -0.6
-0.1
Fire 1 FC Dallas 0 -0.3
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
DC United vs Red Bulls+0.5-0.1-1.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
New England vs Sporting KC-0.8+0.2+0.7
Union vs Toronto FC-0.2+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Chivas USA vs Galaxy+0.6-0.0-0.3
Chivas USA vs Sounders+0.6-0.0-0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Dynamo vs Impact+3.7-2.6-4.2
+0.2-0.1-0.2
+0.0NoNo
-1.8-0.3+3.9
+0.4-0.2-0.5
Crew vs Chivas USA-0.6+0.6+1.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.7
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Red Bulls vs DC United-0.8+0.3+0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Red Bulls vs Sporting KC-0.8+0.3+0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.1
New England vs Fire-0.5+0.5+0.4
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs Union-0.2+0.4-0.2
Impact vs Galaxy+1.5-0.2-0.6
Whitecaps vs Earthquakes-0.1+0.0+0.2
Timbers vs Earthquakes-0.1+0.0+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well Dynamo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
559-0-0In0.0%3353140No205,420
538-1-0InNo11523610No99,852
528-0-1InNo5425030No157,360
517-2-0100.0%No23062600No466,055
507-1-1100.0No117661610No1,458,946
496-3-099.9No086028300No2,382,718*
486-2-199.4No034641910No5,794,079
476-1-296.5No01264723300No8,924,489
5-4-097.8No01314719200No2,106,898
465-3-189.9No00134135910No12,941,611
6-0-385.9No010373913100No4,554,554
455-2-270.8No04244325400No29,572,078
4-5-076.7No05294320300No2,337,996
445-1-341.9No01933401620No29,867,648
4-4-149.7No011237371210No17,725,950
434-3-221.9No0319423060No53,475,474
5-0-416.3No0215393590No11,227,653
3-6-026.6No0423422640No1,695,799
424-2-36.0No00628442020No80,053,985
3-5-18.6No01833421510No15,280,625
414-1-40.9No00111403990No59,525,047
3-4-21.6No00215433460No57,698,950*
403-3-30.2No000428491800.0%112,332,999
4-0-50.1No00323502400.017,577,203
2-6-10.3No0063247140No8,074,344
393-2-40.0No00112483900.0123,822,796
2-5-20.0No00116503200.035,912,943*
382-4-30.0No006405300.087,060,588
3-1-50.0No004356000.072,209,032
1-7-10.0No007444900.02,396,757
372-3-40.0No001257210.1126,406,471
3-0-60.0No001207810.017,404,772
1-6-20.0No002296810.112,246,405*
362-2-5OutNo00128430.3109,211,890
1-5-3OutNo00158130.535,643,131*
351-4-4OutNo0068671.563,355,218
2-1-6OutNo0058961.051,983,035
0-7-2OutNo0088671.81,762,517
341-3-5OutNo0285134.072,073,696
2-0-7OutNo0189102.810,505,604
0-6-3OutNo0285134.95,875,288
331-2-6OutNo0081198.250,787,598
0-5-4OutNo01782110.512,475,423
321-1-7OutNo0742614.820,262,545
0-4-5OutNo0693119.017,519,890
310-3-6OutNo0584230.116,249,161
1-0-8OutNo0633725.53,503,061
300-2-7OutNo475342.89,589,194
290-1-8OutNo356557.23,269,076
280-0-9OutNo227873.1686,874
Total:6.9%0.0%00124713234642.0%1,497,750,698

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dynamo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeDC UnitedSporting KCToronto FCNew EnglandCrewRed BullsUnionFireImpact
559-0-012.5%10000000
538-1-012.5990000000
528-0-112.29700111000
517-2-012.19400211110
507-1-111.484004433200
496-3-010.671017665300
7-0-210.165018876410
486-2-18.949021212109610
476-1-26.9261316161312820
5-4-07.5320216151311710
465-3-15.3130218181513920
6-0-34.71013171714131020
455-2-23.340215151311920
4-5-03.850117171412910
445-1-31.61019987620
4-4-12.01011112108610
434-3-20.80005543310
5-0-40.60003333210
3-6-01.00006664310
424-2-30.20001111100
3-5-10.30002221100
413-4-20.10000000000
4-1-40.00000000000
2-7-00.10001000000
403-3-30.00000000000
2-6-10.0000000000
4-0-50.0000000000
393-2-40.0000000000
2-5-20.000000000
1-8-00.00000
382-4-30.00000000
3-1-50.00000000
1-7-1No00000
372-3-40.000000
1-6-2No00
3-0-6No0
0-9-0No
28-36No
Total:0.4%0.90.00.11.31.41.21.00.70.20.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/30100.0*Lottery seed
Fire 1 FC Dallas 0 +0.1
Whitecaps 0 Timbers 3 +0.1
Toronto FC 0 New England 3 +0.1
Sounders 1 Rapids 0 -0.1
Earthquakes 1 Real Salt Lake 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Galaxy vs Rapids-0.0+0.0+0.1
Chivas USA vs Galaxy+0.1-0.0-0.1
Chivas USA vs Sounders+0.1-0.0-0.1
DC United vs Red Bulls-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Dynamo vs Impact-0.8+0.4+1.0
Red Bulls vs DC United+0.1-0.0-0.1
Red Bulls vs Sporting KC+0.1-0.0-0.1
Timbers vs Earthquakes-0.0-0.0+0.1
Whitecaps vs Earthquakes-0.0-0.0+0.1
New England vs Fire-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819
559-0-00334506700
538-1-011052630000
528-0-15042446210
517-2-0203026024000
507-1-110171654121000
496-3-00080604253000
486-2-10304623972100
476-1-2010261461493000
5-4-001031146118200
465-3-100013041152082000
6-0-30010037172212200
455-2-20402412312081000
4-5-00502911311661000
445-1-3010952827237100
4-4-10101253224206100
434-3-20031181933205100
5-0-40021141935237100
3-6-0041221831195100
424-2-3000682834195000
3-5-1010882833174000
414-1-40001212303417300
3-4-20002213313316300
403-3-300000316343212200
4-0-50000314343414200
2-6-1000031634321320
393-2-400005213928700
2-5-200005213828700
382-4-30001830411820
3-1-50001830421810
1-7-10001828402120
372-3-40000216433450
3-0-6000216443440
1-6-2000215403670
362-2-500073547110
1-5-300063148140
351-4-40022052252
2-1-60022254211
0-7-20011652292
341-3-50001049364
2-0-7001152333
0-6-300846415
331-2-600541468
0-5-4003365010
321-1-7002305415
0-4-501255519
310-3-600165430
1-0-80185625
300-2-7094843
290-1-8043957
280-0-9012673
Total:000001021335811141921102