Houston Dynamo Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.3 to 6.3%
19 points   4-7-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Sporting KC 3 Sounders 0 -0.4
-0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/31100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Impact vs Dynamo-2.0-0.3+6.2
-0.1-0.0+0.2
+3.3-0.9-8.0
-0.2-0.0+0.5
Dynamo vs Earthquakes+3.2-2.3-4.0
+0.1-0.1-0.1
-5.6+3.1+8.1
+0.3-0.2-0.4
FC Dallas vs Whitecaps+0.4-0.0-1.0
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Rapids vs Whitecaps+0.3-0.1-1.0
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Earthquakes vs NYCFC-0.5+0.4+0.8
+0.0-0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Fire-0.4+0.3+0.7
-1.1+0.2+3.0
Union vs Real Salt Lake+0.3-0.1-0.6
Toronto FC vs Real Salt Lake+0.3-0.1-0.6
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Sporting KC vs Timbers-0.2+0.4-0.2
Sounders vs Galaxy-0.2+0.0+0.1
+1.1-0.0-0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Revolution-0.1+0.0+0.3
Fire vs Red Bulls+2.4-0.5-1.9
Toronto FC vs Crew-0.9+0.2+2.3
DC United vs Union+0.6-0.2-0.6
DC United vs Impact+0.6-0.1-0.6
Orlando vs Revolution+0.1-0.1-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well Dynamo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
6114-0-0In58.7%593740No645,325
5913-1-0In29.73151171No6,554
5813-0-1In18.01949283No10,643
5712-2-0In10.011433880No40,857
5612-1-1In4.353347150No128,514
5511-3-0In1.4221492710No253,654*
5411-2-1In0.4112454020No715,216
5311-1-2100.0%0.1053552700No1,495,311*
5210-3-1100.00.00223601410No2,956,120*
5110-2-299.90.001135925300No6,189,015*
5010-1-399.60.000651367000No10,913,233*
499-3-298.3No002374415200No19,250,829*
489-2-394.5No01224527500No32,847,726*
478-4-285.9No0011383713100No50,887,526*
468-3-371.0No04254124500No78,131,914*
458-2-450.8No011336361210No113,855,474*
447-4-330.2No00525412440No155,685,329*
437-3-414.3No001133737110No208,411,845*
427-2-55.5No00526442210.0%133,753,751
6-5-34.8No00525452410.0130,382,806*
416-4-41.4No00114433840.0224,148,882
7-1-61.3No00114433840.094,399,065*
406-3-50.3No00063351100.0254,455,503
5-6-30.2No0005325390.0118,220,893*
395-5-40.0No0022060180.1218,898,065
6-2-60.0No0022158190.0194,493,507*
385-4-50.0No0001158300.4306,788,648
6-1-70.0No0001159300.4131,452,091*
375-3-60.0No00551441.4283,486,154
4-6-40.0No00453431.8164,304,391*
364-5-50.0No00243565.1243,253,075
5-2-70.0No00242574.4190,596,409*
354-4-6OutNo01326811.0277,470,439
3-7-4OutNo01326711.4124,044,194*
344-3-7OutNo00227820.2214,542,734
3-6-5OutNo00237722.5141,643,802*
333-5-6OutNo00158534.9171,653,105
4-2-8OutNo00158532.9127,246,179*
323-4-7OutNo099148.0163,893,257
2-7-5OutNo0109048.574,620,489*
313-3-8OutNo059561.7181,342,232*
302-5-7OutNo039773.5129,485,454*
292-4-8OutNo019982.787,177,043*
282-3-9OutNo19989.355,317,444*
271-5-8OutNo010093.732,506,975*
261-4-9OutNo010096.617,670,828*
251-3-10OutNo010098.28,897,611*
241-2-11OutNo010099.14,006,684*
230-4-10OutNo010099.61,590,918*
19-22OutNo10099.91,387,487*
Total:6.3%0.0%000124713314314.6%5,185,555,200

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dynamo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeGalaxyRapidsFC DallasReal Salt LakeSporting KCEarthquakesWhitecapsTimbersSounders
6114-0-012.5%100000000
5913-1-012.899000000
5813-0-112.09700110100
5712-2-012.492000321110
5612-1-111.985001532320
5511-3-011.272011953530
12-0-211.173112963430
5411-2-110.5571121484750
5311-1-29.54122418116860
10-4-09.540224191151070
5210-3-18.525236231371180
11-0-38.525337221481070
5110-2-27.313347251581290
9-5-07.3123462515813100
5010-1-36.06448251691190
9-4-16.053472616813100
499-3-24.72347241581190
10-0-44.72338241591080
8-6-04.623462414812100
489-2-33.4133620137970
8-5-13.30235201271080
478-4-22.2022415105750
9-1-42.2022415106650
7-7-02.101231495760
468-3-31.20112963430
7-6-11.10112963430
9-0-51.20112963330
458-2-40.60001532210
7-5-20.50001431220
6-8-00.50001431220
447-4-30.20000211110
8-1-50.20000211110
6-7-10.20000110110
437-3-40.10000000000
6-6-20.0000000000
8-0-60.1000100000
5-9-00.0000000000
427-2-50.0000000000
6-5-30.0000000000
5-8-10.0000000000
416-4-40.0000000000
7-1-60.0000000000
5-7-20.0000000000
406-3-50.0000000000
5-6-30.0000000000
7-0-70.0000000000
396-2-60.000000000
5-5-40.000000000
385-4-5No000
19-37No
Total:0.1%0.10.10.10.20.80.50.30.30.30.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 7/24None
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/31100.0*Lottery seed
Impact vs Dynamo+0.4-0.0-1.2
Dynamo vs Earthquakes-0.7+0.4+0.9
Sounders vs Galaxy+0.1-0.0-0.1
Fire vs Red Bulls+0.1-0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs Crew-0.0-0.0+0.1
DC United vs Impact+0.1-0.0-0.1
DC United vs Union+0.1-0.0-0.1
Earthquakes vs NYCFC+0.0-0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs Whitecaps-0.0+0.0+0.1
Rapids vs Whitecaps-0.0+0.0+0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Fire-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
6114-0-05903740
5913-1-0301510171
5813-0-1181490283
5712-2-010143038080
5612-1-141320470150
5511-3-0112014902710
5411-2-10011145040020
5311-1-20051350520700
5210-3-1001122160014010
5110-2-20000121590250300
5010-1-300004149236070000
499-3-200011333440150200
489-2-30000175441270500
478-4-200006534437013100
468-3-3001319640124500
458-2-40001763343512100
447-4-30001418740255000
437-3-400001663337141000
427-2-500002420402761000
6-5-30001317393081000
416-4-40000172838195100
406-3-500000214353214300
5-6-300000112323417400
395-5-4000041935301120
6-2-6000042135281010
385-4-500001826372250
6-1-700001825372360
375-3-60003153434131
4-6-40002123336152
364-5-5000052340265
5-2-7000162440254
354-4-6000213363811
344-3-70006284620
3-6-50005264623
333-5-60002164735
4-2-8002174733
323-4-700194248
313-3-800043462
302-5-70022574
292-4-80011783
282-3-9001189
271-5-800694
261-4-90397
251-3-100298
241-2-110199
230-4-1000100
220-3-110100
210-2-120100
200-1-130100
190-0-140100
Total:00000010103158101113161715