Houston Dynamo Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.06 to 3.1%
19 points   5-4-11

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC 1 Sporting KC 2 +0.1
New England 1 Crew 2 -0.1
Impact 2 Timbers 3 -4.4
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Real Salt Lake vs Red Bulls+0.2-0.0-0.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
New England vs Rapids-0.4+0.1+0.3
+0.2-0.0-0.2
Sporting KC vs Union+0.2-0.0-0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Fire vs Whitecaps-0.2+0.1+0.2
+0.4-0.1-0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
DC United vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.0-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Dynamo vs DC United+2.9-0.5-1.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-8.5+0.4+4.8
+0.4-0.0-0.2
Red Bulls vs New England-0.1+0.2-0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Fire vs Crew+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.4-0.1-0.5
Impact vs Toronto FC+0.1+0.0-0.2
+6.2-1.5-4.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Earthquakes vs Sounders+0.3-0.1-0.3
Galaxy vs Earthquakes-0.2+0.1+0.3
Chivas USA vs FC Dallas+0.6-0.1-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well Dynamo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
6114-0-0In43.1%78220No702,195
5913-1-0In27.765332No101
5813-0-1In7.938566No202
5712-2-0In4.434579No1,049
5612-1-1In1.82459170No3,672
5511-3-0In0.61558271No8,729*
5411-2-1In0.28533720No29,078
5311-1-2In0.04444750No70,408*
5210-3-1100.0%0.023455900No169,877*
5110-2-2100.00.0123601600No415,050*
509-4-1100.0No0145925200No868,824*
499-3-299.9No085336400No1,835,260*
489-2-399.5No034245900No3,690,358*
478-4-298.3No01295018200No6,818,362*
468-3-394.7No00174829500No12,481,120*
458-2-486.7No08393912100No21,554,830*
447-4-372.9No03264423400No35,241,329*
437-3-453.6No011439351110No56,201,366*
426-5-333.1No006274122400No84,808,307*
416-4-416.7No00215383411100.0%122,364,347*
406-3-56.6No006274122300.0170,826,701*
395-5-42.0No002163935800.0226,405,884*
385-4-50.5No000730441800.0287,384,805*
375-3-60.1No00218473210.2215,745,122
4-6-40.1No00319473110.2135,464,336*
364-5-50.0No00110424620.8233,973,243
5-2-70.0No0019414720.7173,499,776*
354-4-60.0No004316042.4311,046,550
3-7-40.0No004316042.4141,141,650*
344-3-70.0No001217085.2282,147,652
3-6-50.0No001216996.3198,611,690*
333-5-60.0No00012721511.9316,482,952*
4-2-8OutNo001275139.7167,509,965*
323-4-70.0No0006722218.6317,172,801
2-7-5OutNo006712219.2146,724,847*
313-3-8OutNo003673026.7248,120,549
2-6-6OutNo003643330.2175,221,165*
302-5-7OutNo01574240.0210,426,918
3-2-9OutNo01603936.8152,844,536*
292-4-8OutNo00495149.6294,096,318*
282-3-9OutNo00396159.9224,454,200*
271-5-8OutNo0307069.7158,836,696*
261-4-9OutNo0227878.3104,055,143*
251-3-10OutNo0158585.263,070,720*
241-2-11OutNo099190.634,306,261*
230-4-10OutNo59594.616,442,830*
220-3-11OutNo39797.26,933,305*
210-2-12OutNo19998.72,375,036
200-1-13OutNo010099.5538,302
190-0-14OutNo010099.9758,841
Total:3.1%0.0%000124817462119.1%5,363,883,258

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dynamo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeSporting KCDC UnitedToronto FCCrewRed BullsNew EnglandUnionFireImpact
57-6112.6%Yes
5612-1-112.210000000
5511-3-011.8990010000
5411-2-112.49800011000
5311-1-212.095000211000
5210-3-111.991001322100
5110-2-211.483002543210
509-4-110.874013864210
10-1-310.772014864310
499-3-29.8600161196420
10-0-49.7590161296420
489-2-38.644021015128630
8-5-18.84702915118530
478-4-27.5310212181410740
9-1-47.2280313181410840
7-7-07.6320211181411730
468-3-36.0170315201611940
7-6-16.2190214201612840
9-0-55.7150315201610950
458-2-44.580315201611950
7-5-24.890215201612950
6-8-04.890215211612940
447-4-33.430213181410840
8-1-53.13021317139840
6-7-13.540214191411840
437-3-42.11011014107630
6-6-22.31011014118630
8-0-61.910191396630
426-5-31.30016975420
7-2-51.10016964420
5-8-11.300171075420
416-4-40.60003532210
7-1-60.50003432210
5-7-20.60003533210
406-3-50.20001211100
5-6-30.20001211100
7-0-70.20001211100
395-5-40.10000100000
6-2-60.10000100000
4-8-20.10000100000
385-4-50.00000000000
4-7-30.00000000000
6-1-70.0000000000
375-3-60.0000000000
364-5-50.0000000000
354-4-60.0000000000
344-3-70.00000000
333-5-6No00
323-4-7No0
19-31No
Total:0.1%0.20.00.10.50.80.60.40.30.20.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 7/26100.0*Lottery seed
Impact 2 Timbers 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fire vs Whitecaps+0.1-0.0-0.1
Sporting KC vs Union-0.0+0.0+0.1
New England vs Rapids+0.1-0.0-0.0
Real Salt Lake vs Red Bulls-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/2100.0*Lottery seed
Dynamo vs DC United-0.7+0.1+0.4
Chivas USA vs FC Dallas+0.1-0.0-0.1
Impact vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.0-0.0
Earthquakes vs Sounders+0.1-0.0-0.1
Galaxy vs Earthquakes-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819
6114-0-043352110
5913-1-028382852
5813-0-18305076
5712-2-0430421590
5612-1-122236231710
5511-3-011427312431
5411-2-1081736306200
5311-1-2048353314500
5210-3-10233029268100
5110-2-2011222139133000
509-4-1001412471691000
499-3-200754816194100
489-2-3003140123373000
478-4-2001029644992000
468-3-30001724692041000
458-2-40080396347510000
447-4-300302624181161000
437-3-4010141386171661000
426-5-3000602731526175100
416-4-4002015192629154000
406-3-500060317322812200
395-5-40002017233424810
385-4-50000021129351940
375-3-6000004183631100
4-6-4000004173532110
364-5-500000182741221
5-2-70000182841211
354-4-6000031742362
3-7-4000031642372
344-3-70001936495
3-6-50001834516
333-5-600003246012
4-2-80004276010
323-4-700001166419
2-7-5001156519
313-3-800096427
2-6-600086230
302-5-70045640
3-2-90045937
292-4-80024950
282-3-90013960
271-5-8003070
261-4-9002278
251-3-10001585
241-2-110991
230-4-100595
220-3-110397
210-2-120199
200-1-13199
190-0-140100
Total:00000001020124610183619