Houston Dynamo Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.9 to 38.2%
16 points   4-4-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/22100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Galaxy 1 Dynamo 0 -7.9
-0.7
-0.3
+0.5
-0.4
Timbers 1 DC United 0 -1.0
+0.1
-0.1
Real Salt Lake 2 NYCFC 0 -0.9
-0.1
-0.1
Toronto FC 1 Timbers 0 +0.7
+0.0
Earthquakes 1 Orlando 1 +0.6
+0.1
+0.0
Sounders 1 Rapids 0 +0.5
-0.1
+0.0
Rapids 1 Whitecaps 0 -0.5
Impact 2 FC Dallas 1 +0.4
+0.1
+0.1
Galaxy 1 Real Salt Lake 0 -0.3
Sounders 0 Sporting KC 0 +0.0
Red Bulls 0 Union 2 +0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/29100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
NYCFC vs Dynamo-7.0-1.9+10.9
-0.6-0.2+0.9
-0.2-0.1+0.4
+1.4-0.3-1.6
-0.4-0.1+0.6
Revolution vs Galaxy+0.7-0.1-2.0
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Impact vs Whitecaps+0.7+0.1-1.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs Earthquakes+0.6*-0.0-1.3
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Rapids vs Timbers-0.2+0.7-0.5
Whitecaps vs Real Salt Lake-0.2+0.6-0.4
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Sporting KC vs FC Dallas-0.5+0.5+0.5
-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Sounders vs Red Bulls-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
DC United vs Union-0.1+0.0+0.3
DC United vs Fire-0.1+0.0+0.1
Union vs Crew+0.2-0.1-0.2
Orlando vs Crew+0.1-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Dynamo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
71-79InYes100No3,303*
7017-3-1In93.5%946No31*
6917-2-2In97.2991No71*
6816-4-1In96.6973No147*
6716-3-2In93.3955No386*
6616-2-3In90.8928No780*
6515-4-2In83.68614No1,476*
6415-3-3In82.886140No2,920*
6314-5-2In74.280200No5,418*
6214-4-3In66.074251No9,792*
6114-3-4In56.1673210No17,187*
6013-5-3In44.7583930No28,874*
5913-4-4In33.7494650No46,775*
5813-3-5In23.14051900No74,238*
5712-5-4In14.030541510No112,509*
5612-4-5In7.3215423300No167,017*
5511-6-4In3.2134931600No240,459*
5411-5-5100.0%1.18413911100No335,455*
5311-4-6100.00.34304320300No455,644*
5210-6-5100.00.011942308100No599,024*
5110-5-699.90.0010343816200No763,162*
5010-4-799.30.004234026710No949,071*
499-6-697.4No0112343515200No1,138,862*
489-5-792.3No0052338267100No1,332,766*
479-4-881.5No00212333516300No1,512,053*
468-6-764.5No005223827810No1,663,885*
458-5-844.0No0011131361730No1,775,512*
447-7-725.2No000420382881No877,512
8-4-925.6No00421382881No967,502*
437-6-812.2No001113238162No1,855,542*
427-5-94.8No00422402850.0%1,810,517*
416-7-81.6No002123638120.01,710,755*
406-6-90.4No00062745210.01,565,544*
396-5-100.1No0021847330.21,387,451*
385-7-90.0No011043460.71,189,029*
375-6-100.0No00536592.1984,544*
365-5-110.0No00227705.1789,767*
354-7-10OutNo01198010.2608,519*
344-6-11OutNo00138717.4451,512*
334-5-12OutNo089226.6322,752*
323-7-11OutNo059536.9221,974*
313-6-12OutNo039747.5146,298*
303-5-13OutNo019958.191,847*
292-7-12OutNo019967.555,160*
282-6-13OutNo010075.831,596*
272-5-14OutNo010081.817,103*
262-4-15OutNo010087.38,720*
24-25OutNo10092.76,048*
231-4-16OutNo010097.4768*
16-22OutNo10099.83,683*
Total:38.2%0.4%1358911131516172.3%26,340,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dynamo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeSoundersFC DallasWhitecapsEarthquakesSporting KCGalaxyTimbersReal Salt LakeRapids
62-7912.2%Yes
6114-3-412.210000
6013-5-312.110000000
5913-4-412.310000000000
5813-3-512.4100000000000
12-6-312.5100000000000
5712-5-412.799000000000
13-2-612.399000000000
5612-4-512.397000000000
11-7-312.597000000000
5511-6-412.094011111000
12-3-612.194011111000
5411-5-512.087122222111
12-2-712.187122221111
10-8-312.188022222111
5311-4-611.577134443211
10-7-411.377134443211
12-1-811.977144443212
5210-6-510.562266665322
11-3-710.662266664322
9-9-310.762266665222
5110-5-69.345389887433
9-8-49.344289987443
11-2-89.444389986433
5010-4-77.8283101110108544
9-7-57.6273101010108554
8-10-37.7273101010109455
11-1-97.9263101110108554
499-6-66.0143101111109555
10-3-86.0143101111108655
8-9-45.8133101111109555
489-5-74.1629101098554
8-8-54.052910998554
10-2-94.1539101097554
479-4-82.52267775433
8-7-62.42267775433
7-10-42.41167776333
468-6-71.30144443222
9-3-91.30144443222
7-9-51.20144443222
458-5-80.60022222111
7-8-60.50022221111
447-7-70.20011111000
8-4-90.20011111000
437-6-80.10000000000
427-5-90.0000000000
416-7-80.0000000000
406-6-90.000000000
396-5-10No0000000
16-38No
Total:2.2%9.70.72.52.72.72.62.11.31.21.2
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/22100.0*Lottery seed
Galaxy 1 Dynamo 0 +0.8
Timbers 1 DC United 0 +0.1
Real Salt Lake 2 NYCFC 0 +0.1
Earthquakes 1 Orlando 1 -0.1
Toronto FC 1 Timbers 0 -0.0
Sounders 1 Rapids 0 -0.0
Galaxy 1 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.0
Sounders 0 Sporting KC 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/29100.0*Lottery seed
NYCFC vs Dynamo+0.8+0.2-1.3
Revolution vs Galaxy-0.0-0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Earthquakes-0.0-0.0+0.1
Impact vs Whitecaps-0.0-0.0+0.1
Rapids vs Timbers+0.0-0.1+0.0
Whitecaps vs Real Salt Lake+0.0-0.1+0.0
DC United vs Union-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
71-79100
7017-3-1946
6917-2-29711
6816-4-1973
6716-3-29315
6616-2-39128
6515-4-284314
6415-3-3833140
6314-5-27462000
6214-4-36682501
6114-3-4561132010
6013-5-3451339030
5913-4-4341544150
5813-3-523174839000
5712-5-4141649515010
5612-4-57144492203000
5511-6-431035143016000
5411-5-51624173631101000
5311-4-60313173671903000
5210-6-501514291328280100
5110-5-6001918163351502000
5010-4-7000481530102517010
499-6-60012101914323150200
489-5-7000059143082517100
479-4-80002210201332316300
468-6-700005813317268100
458-5-800012920113418400
447-7-70000049123230112000
437-6-800001382236236100
427-5-900014113033164000
416-7-800001419342812200
406-6-9000018253423810
396-5-10000031430321730
385-7-9001621352891
375-6-100002113037182
365-5-1100152140285
354-7-1000213373910
344-6-110017294617
334-5-12003214927
323-7-1101134937
313-6-120084448
303-5-130043758
292-7-12023068
282-6-13012376
272-5-14001882
262-4-1501387
251-6-14892
241-5-150694
231-4-16397
220-6-15298
210-5-16298
16-20100
Total:01223253638310111098752