Houston Dynamo Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 2.1 to 17.8%
20 points   5-5-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/26100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas 2 Dynamo 0 -7.5
-0.5
-0.1
+1.0
-0.4
Timbers 4 Sounders 1 -1.4
-0.1
Sporting KC 2 Rapids 0 -0.5
-0.3
+0.0
Real Salt Lake 2 Crew 2 +0.4
+0.0
Revolution 1 Whitecaps 2 -0.4
-0.1
Earthquakes 3 Galaxy 1 -0.4
NYCFC 1 Red Bulls 3 -0.3
Union 2 Impact 2 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Dynamo vs Fire+4.8-4.5-7.4
+0.2-0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
-1.8+1.0+3.7
+0.3-0.3-0.5
Galaxy vs Toronto FC-1.1+0.8+1.7
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs Revolution-1.1+0.7+1.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Sounders vs DC United-0.4+0.3+0.7
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Orlando-0.5+0.3+0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Timbers vs Earthquakes-0.4+0.5+0.2
Rapids vs Whitecaps+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.6-0.1-0.5
Crew vs Red Bulls+0.1-0.0-0.1
Impact vs NYCFC-0.1-0.0+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well Dynamo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
7117-0-0In99.9%1000No13,719,685
6916-1-0In99.41000No4,177
6816-0-1In99.01000No6,613
6715-2-0In98.31000No31,966
6615-1-1In96.69910No100,025
6514-3-0In94.29820No227,660*
6414-2-1In90.19640No701,160
6314-1-2In84.093700No1,581,409*
6213-3-1In75.5881200No3,600,824*
6113-2-2In64.5811810No8,227,679*
6012-4-1In51.47226200No16,317,504*
5912-3-2In37.260355000No32,801,611*
5812-2-3In24.047439100No62,438,797*
5711-4-2In13.1334817200No111,015,314*
5611-3-3100.0%5.92046275000No195,312,939*
5511-2-4100.02.0113937121000No324,954,687*
5410-4-3100.00.552741224000No518,130,502*
5310-3-499.90.1215383311100No805,820,273*
529-5-399.60.0072739225000No1,193,786,483*
519-4-498.40.00215363312200No1,708,488,296*
509-3-594.50.0017263823500No2,369,656,956*
498-5-485.8No00214353413100No3,148,949,699*
488-4-571.1No0016254024500No4,049,534,560*
478-3-652.2No00021436361100No5,032,785,371*
467-5-533.1No000627432210No6,011,125,001*
457-4-617.9No000216433540No6,945,423,243*
447-3-78.2No00018354790No7,742,171,234*
436-5-63.1No000324541800.0%8,301,922,182*
426-4-71.0No000115552810.08,599,403,407*
415-6-60.3No0007494030.08,578,046,768*
405-5-70.1No0003405160.08,224,148,222*
395-4-80.0No0012958110.17,598,227,085*
384-6-70.0No0002062180.56,742,493,179*
374-5-80.0No0001261261.75,735,680,587*
364-4-90.0No00757364.84,684,335,753*
353-6-80.0No004504710.73,658,987,850*
343-5-9OutNo02415819.92,726,659,430*
333-4-10OutNo01326732.01,939,352,481*
322-6-9OutNo00247645.81,310,121,414*
312-5-10OutNo00178359.6837,141,807*
302-4-11OutNo0118971.9505,483,000*
292-3-12OutNo079381.8286,420,101*
281-5-11OutNo049689.0150,988,342*
271-4-12OutNo029893.973,812,841*
261-3-13OutNo19996.833,041,776*
250-5-12OutNo010098.513,249,229*
240-4-13OutNo010099.34,695,900*
230-3-14OutNo010099.71,426,869*
220-2-15OutNo010099.9339,355
20-21OutNo100100.013,775,354*
Total:17.8%0.1%011358142729123.5%110,316,666,600

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dynamo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeWhitecapsSporting KCSoundersEarthquakesTimbersGalaxyFC DallasReal Salt LakeRapids
64-7112.5%Yes
6314-1-212.5100000
6213-3-112.510000000000
6113-2-212.51000000000
6012-4-112.5100000000000
5912-3-212.5100000000000
5812-2-312.599000000000
5711-4-212.498000000000
12-1-412.498000000000
5611-3-312.294111111100
10-6-112.294111111100
5511-2-411.887122222200
10-5-211.886122222200
5410-4-311.073344444300
11-1-511.073344443300
9-7-111.073344444300
5310-3-49.755567776600
9-6-29.654577776600
529-5-37.93469910108810
10-2-58.135691010108810
8-8-17.93469910109810
519-4-46.1187101111119910
10-1-66.1187101111119910
8-7-25.91771010111110910
509-3-54.28691010109810
8-6-34.07691010109810
10-0-74.17691010109810
498-5-42.52478887610
9-2-62.62478887610
7-8-22.42477877610
488-4-51.41245554410
7-7-31.20244554410
9-1-71.41245554410
478-3-60.60123332200
7-6-40.60122222200
6-9-20.60122222200
467-5-50.20011111100
8-2-70.20011111100
6-8-30.20011111100
457-4-60.10000000000
6-7-40.10000000000
447-3-70.00000000000
436-5-60.00000000000
426-4-70.00000000000
416-3-80.0000000000
405-5-70.0000000000
395-4-80.00000000
385-3-90.000000
373-8-6No0
20-36No
Total:0.6%2.30.71.11.21.21.21.00.90.10.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/26100.0*Lottery seed
FC Dallas 2 Dynamo 0 +0.7
Timbers 4 Sounders 1 +0.1
Real Salt Lake 2 Crew 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/3100.0*Lottery seed
Dynamo vs Fire-0.6+0.5+1.1
Galaxy vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.0-0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Orlando+0.1-0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs Revolution+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
7117-0-010000
6916-1-09900
6816-0-19910
6715-2-09810
6615-1-197210
6514-3-094420
6414-2-1906400
6314-1-28497000
6213-3-1751311000
6113-2-26417180100
6012-4-151212602000
5912-3-2372334150000
5812-2-3242340390100
5711-4-213204261702000
5611-3-361537927050000
5511-2-429271236112010000
5410-4-314151238322040000
5310-3-402693253201101000
529-5-3002520738122050000
519-4-4000297333330120200
509-3-5000134215381230500
498-5-4000029533234013100
488-4-5000003321439124500
478-3-600000111043523611000
467-5-5000003323343222000
457-4-6000001112441365000
447-3-7000000443247131000
436-5-6000001219492540000
426-4-7000000194036122000
415-6-60000032539247100
405-5-700000112323417400
395-4-8000042035281120
384-6-700001927352150
374-5-8000004173431122
364-4-9000182637235
353-6-80000317363311
343-5-900019294120
333-4-100004204332
322-6-90002124046
312-5-1000063460
302-4-1100032572
292-3-120011782
281-5-110001189
271-4-12000694
261-3-1300397
250-5-120298
240-4-130199
230-3-1400100
220-2-150100
210-1-160100
200-0-170100
Total:0000102141711317141110864