Houston Dynamo Playoff Chances

Lost to Real Salt Lake 1-2, playoff odds down 6.1 to 15.8%
5 points   1-2-5

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Real Salt Lake 2 Dynamo 1 -4.0
-0.3
-0.1
+2.6
-0.3
Sounders 1 Crew 0 -0.6
+0.2
-0.1
NYCFC 3 Whitecaps 2 +0.5
+0.4
+0.0
Whitecaps 1 Sporting KC 1 +0.5
-0.1
Red Bulls 4 FC Dallas 0 +0.4
+1.0
Earthquakes 1 Sporting KC 0 -0.3
Union 1 Earthquakes 1 -0.1
Revolution 1 Timbers 1 +0.1
-0.2
Red Bulls 3 Orlando 2 +1.3
NYCFC 1 Impact 1 -0.2
Fire 1 DC United 1 -0.2
Revolution 2 Orlando 2 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Dynamo vs Sporting KC+4.8-3.0-6.2
+0.3-0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
-4.9+2.7+6.8
+0.3-0.2-0.4
Toronto FC vs FC Dallas+0.4-0.0-0.9
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Timbers vs Toronto FC-0.6+0.3+0.7
+0.4-0.1-0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Sporting KC vs Galaxy-0.5+0.3+0.5
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Whitecaps vs Timbers-0.1+0.4-0.2
+0.1-0.2-0.1
Sounders vs Earthquakes-0.1+0.4-0.2
+0.3-0.2-0.4
Rapids vs Real Salt Lake-0.0+0.1-0.1
Crew vs Impact+0.6-0.2-0.6
Orlando vs Red Bulls-0.3+0.0+0.7

What If

Chances based on how well Dynamo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
71-83InYes100No101,034*
7021-2-3In96.8%973No188*
6920-4-2In99.3991No444*
6820-3-3In95.8982No1,021*
6719-5-2In95.6973No2,140*
6619-4-3In93.79640No4,426*
6519-3-4In90.59460No9,139*
6418-5-3In84.8901000No17,296*
6318-4-4In78.7861410No32,963*
6217-6-3In70.3801910No60,098*
6117-5-4In60.8732520No106,614*
6017-4-5In49.66432400No183,965*
5916-6-4In37.65438800No309,839*
5816-5-5In26.443431210No507,132*
5716-4-6In16.5324619300No809,004*
5615-6-5In9.0234527500No1,258,380*
5515-5-6100.0%4.114403410100No1,905,466*
5414-7-5100.01.58323918300No2,816,209*
5314-6-6100.00.442340267100No4,055,538*
5214-5-799.90.1214353413200No5,702,812*
5113-7-699.60.0172638225000No7,813,128*
5013-6-798.40.003173632112000No10,457,143*
4913-5-895.20.00182837204000No13,667,221*
4812-7-788.2No00318363010100No17,414,782*
4712-6-876.2No0019293720400No21,659,112*
4611-8-759.6No00041937301010No26,317,487*
4511-7-841.3No00011030371830No31,188,241*
4411-6-924.9No000420382881No36,070,505*
4310-8-813.0No0021133371520.0%40,736,692*
4210-7-95.9No000524412540.044,878,048*
4110-6-102.3No000215393590.048,234,082*
409-8-90.8No00183243160.150,580,249*
399-7-100.2No00042447250.551,730,969*
389-6-110.1No0021646361.951,585,030*
378-8-100.0No0011042475.250,152,552*
368-7-110.0No0005365911.447,513,200*
358-6-120.0No003286920.843,855,968*
347-8-110.0No001217732.739,418,220*
337-7-120.0No001158445.834,483,851*
327-6-13OutNo00108958.529,360,726*
316-8-12OutNo0079369.824,294,849*
306-7-13OutNo0049679.019,526,136*
296-6-14OutNo039786.015,257,553*
285-8-13OutNo029891.011,558,351*
275-7-14OutNo019994.58,485,874*
265-6-15OutNo0010096.76,041,565*
254-8-14OutNo0010098.14,160,975*
244-7-15OutNo010098.92,759,921*
234-6-16OutNo010099.41,773,731*
223-8-15OutNo010099.71,093,440*
213-7-16OutNo010099.8650,128*
203-6-17OutNo010099.9371,066*
192-8-16OutNo010099.9201,797*
182-7-17OutNo010099.9104,909*
172-6-18OutNo010099.952,140*
5-16OutNo100100.0143,131*
Total:15.8%0.1%0113471015223817.9%811,476,480

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well Dynamo finishes out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeRapidsGalaxyReal Salt LakeEarthquakesFC DallasSporting KCSoundersTimbersWhitecaps
65-8312.3%Yes
6418-5-312.51000
6318-4-412.41000
6217-6-312.41000000
6117-5-412.7100000000000
6017-4-512.5100000000000
5916-6-412.4100000000000
5816-5-512.499000000000
5716-4-612.497000000000
5615-6-512.294111111000
5515-5-611.989112222111
14-8-412.088112222111
5414-7-511.579323333111
15-4-711.579223333111
5314-6-610.867445555222
15-3-810.766445555222
13-9-410.665445555222
5214-5-79.751657777332
13-8-59.550667777332
5113-7-68.234779999433
14-4-88.234779999433
12-10-48.132879999443
5013-6-76.620889101010444
12-9-56.419889101010544
14-3-96.5198810101010544
4913-5-84.91087910109544
12-8-64.8987910109444
11-11-44.7987910109444
4812-7-73.24667888433
13-4-93.24668888443
11-10-53.13667887433
4712-6-82.01445665332
11-9-61.81445665322
13-3-101.91445665322
4612-5-91.00323443221
11-8-71.00223333211
10-11-50.90223333211
4511-7-80.50112222111
12-4-100.40111222111
4411-6-90.20111111000
10-9-70.20001111000
4310-8-80.10000000000
4210-7-90.00000000000
4110-6-100.00000000000
409-8-90.0000000000
399-7-100.0000000000
389-6-110.0000000000
378-8-10No000000
367-10-9No0
5-35No
Total:0.7%2.40.80.80.91.01.11.00.50.40.4
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/24100.0*Lottery seed
Real Salt Lake 2 Dynamo 1 +0.5
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/1100.0*Lottery seed
Dynamo vs Sporting KC-0.7+0.4+0.9
Timbers vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs FC Dallas-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
71-83100
7021-2-3973
6920-4-2991
6820-3-39622
6719-5-29613
6619-4-394340
6519-3-490360
6418-5-38551000
6318-4-479714010
6217-6-3701019010
6117-5-4611225020
6017-4-55014310400
5916-6-438163718000
5816-5-5261742212010
5716-4-61616433190300
5615-6-59143962605000
5515-5-6410328331100100
5414-7-51622103821803000
5314-6-603121136426070100
5214-5-701592963411302000
5113-7-6011518937222050000
5013-6-70003883243101102000
4913-5-80001262173612004000
4812-7-70000310833430010100
4712-6-8000013622736119400
4611-8-70000131083343010100
4511-7-80000013723736194000
4411-6-90000141193430101000
4310-8-8000014825362151000
4210-7-90000015133231143000
4110-6-10000002521332510200
409-8-900001110263221810
399-7-100000031428301850
389-6-11000016193228122
378-8-10000002102635225
368-7-1100001417343311
358-6-12000019284121
347-8-1100004204333
337-7-1200002124146
327-6-1300173459
316-8-1200032770
306-7-130012079
296-6-140011386
285-8-1300991
275-7-1400594
265-6-1500397
254-8-140298
244-7-150199
234-6-160199
223-8-1500100
213-7-160100
203-6-170100
192-8-160100
182-7-170100
172-6-180100
162-5-190100
151-7-180100
141-6-190100
5-13100
Total:00001021315278899111418