Columbus Crew Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.9 to 46.1%
1 points   0-1-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 -6.4
-0.7
-1.4
+1.7
-0.5
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 -0.8
-0.1
-0.1
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 -0.8
-0.1
-0.1
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 -0.7
-0.1
-0.1
Union 2 Toronto FC 2 +0.4
+0.1
Impact 2 Sounders 2 +0.2
+0.0
NYCFC 4 DC United 0 -0.2
Galaxy 0 Timbers 1 -0.1
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0 +0.1
Earthquakes 3 Whitecaps 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando-0.2+0.4-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
DC United vs Crew-7.3-2.0+8.8
-0.7-0.2+0.9
-0.9-0.4+1.3
+2.2+0.4-2.5
-0.5-0.1+0.7
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC+0.7+0.2-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs Revolution+0.7+0.2-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Sounders vs Red Bulls+0.6+0.2-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Orlando vs Union-0.1+0.4-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs Impact-0.2+0.4-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Fire-0.2+0.4-0.1
Sporting KC vs Earthquakes+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Timbers vs Dynamo-0.0+0.1-0.0
Rapids vs Minnesota-0.1-0.1+0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy-0.0-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Crew finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
75-97In100.0%100No14,859*
7423-4-5In99.61000No2,136*
7322-6-4In99.71000No3,538*
7222-5-5In99.61000No6,161*
7121-7-4In99.21000No10,126*
7021-6-5In98.61000No16,401*
6921-5-6In97.6991No26,063*
6820-7-5In96.4991No40,434*
6720-6-6In94.79820No61,086*
6619-8-5In92.19730No91,959*
6519-7-6In88.49640No134,038*
6419-6-7In83.594600No192,293*
6318-8-6In76.991900No270,108*
6218-7-7In69.1871300No374,784*
6118-6-8In59.5821710No508,582*
6017-8-7In48.57523200No676,505*
5917-7-8In36.96729400No884,775*
5816-9-7In25.658357000No1,138,841*
5716-8-8In16.0484011100No1,435,326*
5616-7-9100.0%8.63743173000No1,778,835*
5515-9-8100.03.82744235100No2,168,264*
5415-8-9100.01.418403010200No2,595,855*
5315-7-10100.00.4113335174000No3,049,579*
5214-9-999.90.1625362481000No3,522,624*
5114-8-1099.60.03163331143000No3,997,460*
5014-7-1198.60.01925342281000No4,451,835*
4913-9-1095.8No04163129154000No4,884,398*
4813-8-1189.7No01924322392000No5,260,510*
4712-10-1078.7No004152930164100No5,555,798*
4612-9-1162.9No001822322510200No5,768,316*
4512-8-1244.5No000313283118510No5,885,324*
4411-10-1127.3No000162032271120No5,897,747*
4311-9-1214.3No000211273320510.0%5,801,158*
4211-8-136.3No000151933291120.05,604,783*
4110-10-122.4No00021128351940.05,317,997*
4010-9-130.8No0001621372980.14,948,899*
3910-8-140.2No0002133337140.74,523,166*
389-10-130.0No00172743232.54,050,942*
379-9-140.0No00041944336.53,562,098*
369-8-150.0No00213424413.33,068,766*
358-10-140.0No0018375523.12,592,820*
348-9-150.0No0004316534.82,145,137*
338-8-16OutNo002247447.31,738,316*
327-10-15OutNo001188159.21,381,294*
317-9-16OutNo00138769.71,073,070*
307-8-17OutNo0099178.4815,282*
296-10-16OutNo0069485.1604,451*
286-9-17OutNo049690.1440,418*
276-8-18OutNo029893.5311,925*
265-10-17OutNo019995.8215,262*
255-9-18OutNo019997.5145,362*
245-8-19OutNo010098.595,069*
234-10-18OutNo010099.160,891*
224-9-19OutNo010099.537,657*
214-8-20OutNo010099.722,868*
203-10-19OutNo010099.813,404*
193-9-20OutNo10099.97,457*
183-8-21OutNo010099.84,107*
1-17OutNo100100.016,549*
Total:46.1%2.5%67889910101111126.4%109,303,708

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Crew finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeRed BullsOrlandoFireAtlantaNYCFCToronto FCUnionRevolutionImpactDC United
65-9712.4%Yes
6419-6-712.51000
6318-8-612.61000000
6218-7-712.410000000000
6118-6-812.41000000000000
6017-8-712.51000000000000
5917-7-812.51000000000000
5816-9-712.41000000000000
5716-8-812.4990000000000
17-5-1012.4990000000000
5616-7-912.3970000000000
15-10-712.3970000000000
5515-9-812.1941111111111
16-6-1012.1941111111101
5415-8-911.8881111111111
14-11-711.7881111111111
16-5-1111.8891111111111
5315-7-1011.2802222222222
14-10-811.1792222222222
16-4-1211.2802222222222
5214-9-910.3664443333333
15-6-1110.4684333333333
13-12-710.3664443333333
5114-8-109.2515555544444
13-11-89.1505555544444
15-5-129.3525555544444
5014-7-118.0366666655555
13-10-97.8346666655555
12-13-77.9356666655555
4913-9-106.3217776666655
14-6-126.5227776666655
12-12-86.3207776666655
4813-8-114.9116666655555
12-11-94.7106666655555
14-5-134.9116666666555
4713-7-123.455555544444
12-10-103.245555544444
11-13-83.345555544444
4612-9-112.013333333333
13-6-132.013333333333
4512-8-121.102222222221
4411-10-110.501111111111
4311-9-120.200000000000
4211-8-130.100000000000
4111-7-140.000000000000
4010-9-130.000000000000
3910-8-140.00000000000
389-10-130.00000000000
379-9-14No000000
1-36No
Total:3.6%20.31.81.81.81.71.71.61.61.51.51.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/11100.0*Lottery seed
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 +1.0
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 +0.1
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.1
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 +0.1
Union 2 Toronto FC 2 -0.1
Impact 2 Sounders 2 -0.0
NYCFC 4 DC United 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
DC United vs Crew+1.1+0.3-1.3
FC Dallas vs Revolution-0.0-0.0+0.1
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sounders vs Red Bulls-0.0-0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs Impact+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
77-97100
7623-6-31000
7523-5-41000
7423-4-510000
7322-6-410000
7222-5-510000
7121-7-49910
7021-6-59910
6921-5-69821
6820-7-59621
6720-6-695320
6619-8-592530
6519-7-6887400
6419-6-783106000
6318-8-677149000
6218-7-7691812000
6118-6-85922170100
6017-8-748272212000
5917-7-837302724000
5816-9-7263231470000
5716-8-816323371101000
5616-7-9929311216130000
5515-9-84232518212501000
5415-8-911717232551002000
5315-7-100109242511161400000
5214-9-90632119172138010000
5114-8-1003115112223814130000
5014-7-1101094211815203801000
4913-9-1000411510212281414000
4813-8-1100109321171620382000
4712-10-1000041148212191551000
4612-9-110001082191418211241000
4512-8-12000003013622202111310000
4411-10-1100001062181223221131000
4311-9-120000201151726221241000
4211-8-13000010517192723123100
4110-10-120000202921282311300
4010-9-130000100311232922920
3910-8-1400000141326301961
389-10-130000016183029143
379-9-14000000292434246
369-8-1500001415333413
358-10-14000018264123
348-9-1500004194235
338-8-160002123947
327-10-15000173459
317-9-1600032770
307-8-170022078
296-10-160011485
286-9-17001090
276-8-1800694
265-10-170496
255-9-1800298
245-8-190298
234-10-180199
224-9-19199
214-8-200100
203-10-190100
193-9-200100
183-8-210100
173-7-220100
162-9-210100
1-15100
Total:3334344445455555556666