Columbus Crew Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.5 to 52.5%
14 points   3-5-4

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/29100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Impact 3 Galaxy 2 -1.0
-0.1
-0.1
NYCFC 2 Orlando 2 +0.8
+0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Union vs Crew-5.3+0.7+13.6
-0.6+0.1+1.6
-0.1-0.0+0.4
+1.2-0.4-2.7
-0.3+0.0+0.9
NYCFC vs Real Salt Lake-1.3+0.7+1.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
DC United vs Sounders-1.0+0.8+1.6
-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Galaxy vs Sporting KC-0.1+0.1+0.3
FC Dallas vs Dynamo-0.2+0.0+0.4
Timbers vs Earthquakes+0.2-0.1-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Crew finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
73-80In100.0%100No2,054,635*
7219-1-2In98.41000No3,758*
7118-3-1In97.4100No9,796*
7018-2-2In96.31000No24,354*
6917-4-1In94.81000No54,452*
6817-3-2In91.81000No124,699*
6717-2-3In88.01000No264,330*
6616-4-2In83.11000No536,150*
6516-3-3In77.19910No1,069,958*
6415-5-2In69.29910No2,018,254*
6315-4-3In60.39820No3,713,277*
6215-3-4In50.39730No6,608,981*
6114-5-3In39.695500No11,299,879*
6014-4-4In29.392800No18,816,124*
5914-3-5In19.8881200No30,330,523*
5813-5-4In12.18217100No47,293,042*
5713-4-5In6.57424200No71,727,371*
5612-6-4In3.06531300No105,453,210*
5512-5-5In1.154397000No150,382,179*
5412-4-6In0.3424512100No208,586,651*
5311-6-5100.0%0.13047203000No280,786,018*
5211-5-6100.00.01945296000No367,387,542*
5111-4-7100.00.0113837132000No467,266,735*
5010-6-6100.00.052741225000No577,193,421*
4910-5-799.90.02163832111000No693,170,766*
489-7-699.7No182938204000No809,237,602*
479-6-798.5No03173731111000No917,723,853*
469-5-894.9No0182837215000No1,011,733,096*
458-7-786.4No00316353212200No1,083,648,824*
448-6-871.5No0017263823500No1,127,291,932*
438-5-951.7No000215343313200.0%1,139,111,932*
427-7-831.8No0016253924500.01,117,522,617*
417-6-916.4No00021435351210.01,063,828,095*
407-5-107.0No0001626412330.1982,598,622*
396-7-92.5No000216403480.5879,991,698*
386-6-100.7No000183244151.9763,605,147*
376-5-110.2No00032348255.6641,808,824*
365-7-100.0No00114473712.5521,971,219*
355-6-110.0No0008425023.0410,387,348*
345-5-120.0No0004346236.0311,711,384*
334-7-110.0No002267249.9228,410,402*
324-6-120.0No001198162.9161,269,866*
314-5-13OutNo00138774.0109,568,463*
303-7-12OutNo0089282.771,502,089*
293-6-13OutNo0059589.044,714,846*
283-5-14OutNo039793.326,750,614*
272-7-13OutNo029896.115,264,461*
262-6-14OutNo019997.98,283,255*
252-5-15OutNo0010098.84,254,013*
241-7-14OutNo010099.42,060,857*
231-6-15OutNo010099.7935,412*
221-5-16OutNo010099.8394,093*
211-4-17OutNo010099.9152,715*
200-6-16OutNo0100100.053,982*
14-19OutNo100100.02,075,354*
Total:52.5%0.3%46810111213131294.7%16,504,038,720

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Crew finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeUnionImpactRed BullsToronto FCOrlandoDC UnitedNYCFCRevolutionFire
62-8012.5%Yes
6114-5-312.51000
6014-4-412.510000000000
5914-3-512.5100000000000
5813-5-412.5100000000000
5713-4-512.5100000000000
5612-6-412.5100000000000
5512-5-512.5100000000000
11-8-312.5100000000000
5412-4-612.599000000000
11-7-412.599000000000
5311-6-512.497000000000
12-3-712.497000000000
5211-5-612.293111111100
10-8-412.293111111100
5111-4-711.886122222110
10-7-511.885222222110
5010-6-611.173344444211
11-3-811.274344444211
9-9-411.173344444211
4910-5-710.056566666421
9-8-510.056567766421
11-2-910.157466666421
489-7-68.537689988542
10-4-88.638689988542
8-10-48.638689988532
479-6-76.72079101099642
10-3-96.82179101099652
8-9-56.72079101099642
469-5-84.896991099652
8-8-64.796991099642
10-2-104.8969101099652
458-7-72.93577877542
9-4-93.13578877542
7-10-53.03578877542
448-6-81.61345555321
7-9-61.61345554321
9-3-101.71355555331
438-5-90.80123322211
7-8-70.70122322211
427-7-80.30111111110
417-6-90.10000000000
407-5-100.00000000000
396-7-90.00000000000
386-6-100.00000000000
376-5-110.0000000000
365-7-100.0000000000
355-6-110.000000000
345-5-12No00
14-33No
Total:3.6%18.82.12.93.23.23.02.91.91.40.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 5/29100.0*Lottery seed
Impact 3 Galaxy 2 +0.1
NYCFC 2 Orlando 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Union vs Crew+0.7-0.1-1.8
NYCFC vs Real Salt Lake+0.1-0.1-0.1
DC United vs Sounders+0.1-0.1-0.1
FC Dallas vs Dynamo-0.0-0.0+0.1
Galaxy vs Sporting KC-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
8022-0-01000
76-78100
7520-1-1991
7419-3-01000
7319-2-1991
7219-1-29820
7118-3-1973
7018-2-29640
6917-4-19550
6817-3-29280
6717-2-3881200
6616-4-2831700
6516-3-37722100
6415-5-26930100
6315-4-36038200
6215-3-45047300
6114-5-3405541000
6014-4-4296361000
5914-3-5206893000
5813-5-4127011610000
5713-4-5768121210000
5612-6-4362112031000
5512-5-51539305200000
5412-4-60416397510000
5311-6-5030344812200000
5211-5-60191447225200000
5111-4-701103753276100000
5010-6-605027238814410000
4910-5-7020161377257310000
489-7-61080294341010400000
479-6-70030171359228310000
469-5-800108027532129410000
458-7-70003016233122010310000
448-6-8000107025730141031000
438-5-90000201533214191130000
427-7-8000106124102222113000
417-6-900002014417282310200
407-5-10000010618233021810
396-7-900002031328311850
386-6-1000001015183229122
376-5-11000000292535236
365-7-1000000315343513
355-6-110000018274223
345-5-120000003184336
334-7-1100001103950
324-6-12000053263
314-5-1300022474
303-7-120011683
293-6-130001189
283-5-1400793
272-7-1300496
262-6-1400298
252-5-150199
241-7-140199
231-6-1500100
221-5-160100
211-4-170100
200-6-160100
190-5-170100
180-4-180100
170-3-190100
14-16100
Total:04061819293946777765