"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Columbus Crew Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 4.3 to 34.2%
1 points   0-1-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 -4.5
-0.5
-0.8
+1.2
-0.3
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 -1.1
-0.1
-0.1
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 -0.7
-0.1
-0.0
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 -0.6
-0.1
-0.0
Impact 2 Sounders 2 +0.5
-0.1
+0.0
Union 2 Toronto FC 2 +0.4
+0.1
NYCFC 4 DC United 0 -0.2
+0.1
Galaxy 0 Timbers 1 -0.1
-0.2
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando-0.2+0.4-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
DC United vs Crew-4.8+0.5+11.5
-0.4+0.0+1.0
-0.3-0.1+0.9
+1.8-0.5-4.0
-0.4+0.0+0.9
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC+0.5*+0.0-1.1
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs Revolution+0.4-0.0-1.1
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Sounders vs Red Bulls+0.4*+0.0-0.7
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Orlando vs Union-0.1+0.4-0.2
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs Impact-0.2+0.4-0.2
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Atlanta vs Fire-0.2+0.4*-0.0
Sporting KC vs Earthquakes+0.0-0.0-0.1
Rapids vs Minnesota-0.1-0.0+0.4
Real Salt Lake vs Galaxy-0.1-0.1+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Crew finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
75-97In100.0%100No38,258*
7423-4-5In99.91000No750*
7322-6-4In99.31000No1,475*
7222-5-5In99.31000No2,766*
7121-7-4In99.21000No4,927*
7021-6-5In98.71000No8,600*
6921-5-6In97.89910No15,279*
6820-7-5In96.8991No25,897*
6720-6-6In95.19820No43,392*
6620-5-7In92.79730No70,793*
6519-7-6In89.09640No112,937*
6419-6-7In84.194600No176,024*
6318-8-6In78.091900No269,835*
6218-7-7In69.8871200No403,829*
6118-6-8In60.18217100No593,229*
6017-8-7In48.97523200No852,589*
5917-7-8In37.16729400No1,201,286*
5817-6-9In25.958357000No1,663,210*
5716-8-8100.0%16.04740111000No2,246,786*
5616-7-9100.08.63744173000No2,981,539*
5515-9-8100.03.82644246100No3,874,881*
5415-8-9100.01.31740311020000No4,940,088*
5315-7-10100.00.3103236174000No6,175,249*
5214-9-999.90.1523362581000No7,558,793*
5114-8-1099.50.021532321540000No9,082,323*
5014-7-1198.40.01824342481000No10,686,578*
4913-9-1095.2No03153031164100No12,336,148*
4813-8-1188.3No017223325102000No13,951,216*
4713-7-1276.1No003132831185100No15,469,119*
4612-9-1159.0No001620322712200No16,800,965*
4512-8-1240.0No000211263220610No17,897,039*
4411-10-1123.2No00151832291330No18,674,364*
4311-9-1211.4No00029253422610.0%19,092,558*
4211-8-134.7No000141733311320.019,120,670*
4110-10-121.6No0002926362240.018,749,123*
4010-9-130.5No0000418363290.118,002,924*
3910-8-140.1No0002113239160.716,923,449*
389-10-130.0No000162444262.315,582,182*
379-9-140.0No00031744366.014,030,112*
369-8-150.0No00111414812.512,357,892*
358-10-140.0No0006355921.810,649,179*
348-9-150.0No0003286933.28,959,403*
338-8-16OutNo002217745.57,374,235*
327-10-15OutNo001168457.45,924,825*
317-9-16OutNo000118968.04,652,301*
307-8-17OutNo0079276.83,559,819*
296-10-16OutNo059583.82,657,444*
286-9-17OutNo0039789.01,936,992*
276-8-18OutNo029892.81,370,946*
265-10-17OutNo019995.4945,348*
255-9-18OutNo019997.1634,358*
245-8-19OutNo010098.2413,565*
234-10-18OutNo010099.0262,264*
224-9-19OutNo010099.4160,873*
214-8-20OutNo010099.695,484*
203-10-19OutNo010099.854,176*
193-9-20OutNo010099.930,215*
17-18OutNo10099.924,702*
162-9-21OutNo0100100.04,069*
1-15OutNo100100.040,992*
Total:34.2%1.0%34567810111315188.6%331,770,264

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Crew finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeRed BullsFireOrlandoNYCFCAtlantaToronto FCUnionDC UnitedRevolutionImpact
65-9712.5%Yes
6419-6-712.61000
6318-8-612.41000000
6218-7-712.51000000000000
6118-6-812.61000000000000
6017-8-712.51000000000000
5917-7-812.51000000000000
5817-6-912.51000000000000
5716-8-812.4990000000000
5616-7-912.3970000000000
15-10-712.4970000000000
5515-9-812.2941111111100
16-6-1012.2941111111000
5415-8-911.9881111111111
16-5-1112.0891111111111
14-11-711.9871211111111
5315-7-1011.4792322222211
14-10-811.3773333322222
16-4-1211.4792222222211
5214-9-910.4644444433322
15-6-1110.6664444433322
13-12-710.5644444433322
5114-8-109.3495655554433
13-11-89.2476666654444
15-5-129.4505555554433
5014-7-117.8337777765544
13-10-97.6317777765544
15-4-137.7337777765544
4913-9-105.8187777766555
14-6-126.1207777766555
12-12-85.7177777766555
4813-8-114.196666665544
12-11-93.986666655544
14-5-134.196666665544
4713-7-122.645555544433
12-10-102.434555544433
11-13-82.534555544433
4612-9-111.313333332222
13-6-131.313333332222
4512-8-120.601222211111
11-11-100.601111111111
4412-7-130.201111111000
4311-9-120.100000000000
4211-8-130.000000000000
4111-7-140.000000000000
4010-9-130.000000000000
3910-8-140.00000000000
3810-7-150.00000000000
379-9-14No0000
1-36No
Total:2.3%12.21.51.61.51.61.51.41.31.21.01.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/11100.0*Lottery seed
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 +0.7
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 +0.1
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 +0.1
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.1
Union 2 Toronto FC 2 -0.1
Impact 2 Sounders 2 -0.0
NYCFC 4 DC United 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
DC United vs Crew+0.7-0.1-1.7
FC Dallas vs Revolution-0.0-0.0+0.1
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
80-97100
7925-3-4964
75-78100
7423-4-51000
7322-6-49910
7222-5-59900
7121-7-49910
7021-6-59910
6921-5-698210
6820-7-59721
6720-6-695320
6620-5-7935300
6519-7-6897400
6419-6-784106000
6318-8-678139000
6218-7-77017120000
6118-6-860221701000
6017-8-749262212000
5917-7-837302724000
5817-6-92632314700000
5716-8-8163133711010000
5616-7-99283113161300000
5515-9-84222518222601000
5415-8-91161723265100200000
5315-7-100109242511161400000
5214-9-90532019172238010000
5114-8-10021141121248151400000
5014-7-1101074201915213801000
4913-9-10003114102023815141000
4813-8-11001073191716223102000
4713-7-12000031138202291761000
4612-9-110001062171517231441000
4512-8-120000201162021231231000
4411-10-110001052161325231231000
4311-9-120000020951727231241000
4211-8-13000010418202823123100
4110-10-12000002021021282311300
4010-9-130000000311232921920
3910-8-1400000141426301961
389-10-1300000016183029132
379-9-140000002102434236
369-8-1500001416333312
358-10-140000019274022
348-9-1500004204333
338-8-160002124046
327-10-1500173557
317-9-1600042868
307-8-170022177
296-10-160011584
286-9-17001189
276-8-1800793
265-10-1700595
255-9-180397
245-8-190298
234-10-180199
224-9-190199
214-8-2000100
203-10-190100
193-9-200100
183-8-210100
173-7-220100
162-9-210100
152-8-220100
1-14100
Total:1222233334445566677889