Columbus Crew Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.8 to 97.5%
38 points   10-8-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Crew 3 Sporting KC 2 +6.2
+1.4
+0.1
+0.5
Impact 0 Union 1 +0.6
+0.4
+0.1
Fire 0 Rapids 1 +0.6
Toronto FC 5 Orlando 0 +0.5
-0.2
-0.0
Galaxy 5 NYCFC 1 +0.5
+0.1
+0.0
DC United 0 Earthquakes 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Fire vs Red Bulls-0.1+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
NYCFC vs Crew-1.7+0.9+2.2
-0.9+0.0+1.8
-0.1-0.1+0.2
-0.3-0.0+0.5
Toronto FC vs Impact+0.2-0.0-0.5
-0.1+0.2-0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Orlando vs Fire-0.2+0.3+0.2
Union vs Revolution-0.2+0.2+0.1
+0.3+0.1-0.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Red Bulls vs DC United+0.0-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Crew finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
628-0-0In70.8%9550No9,031,341
607-1-0In37.9831700No24,943,658
597-0-1In22.1702900No40,611,419
586-2-0In11.0633600No85,237,235
576-1-1In4.24650400No273,776,374
566-0-2In1.230581100No217,875,858
5-3-0In1.03757600No162,620,901
555-2-1In0.221611810No771,777,833
545-1-2In0.095235400No1,208,541,452
4-4-0In0.0135926200No189,290,320
534-3-1In0.054443800No1,177,996,941
5-0-3In0.0437481100No623,761,113
524-2-2In0.0125531910No2,718,016,764
3-5-0In0.0232511510No137,461,459
514-1-3100.0%0.00115035300No2,751,649,512
3-4-1100.0No0155230300No1,050,610,462
503-3-2100.0No054145800No3,170,262,017
4-0-4100.0No044048800No1,029,585,433
2-6-0100.0No074541700No60,808,187
493-2-3100.0No0127551610No4,713,803,728
2-5-1100.0No0230521500No547,267,116
483-1-4100.0No00155627200No3,447,289,639
2-4-2100.0No00165428200No2,022,310,509
1-7-0100.0No0019532620No14,980,860
472-3-3100.0No0084741500No3,921,495,048
3-0-5100.0No0074939500No989,707,831
1-6-1100.0No0094740500No154,221,061
462-2-499.8No003365111000No4,200,026,854
1-5-299.8No0335511100No669,638,204
0-8-099.9No043650100No1,576,524
452-1-599.0No01235520100No2,350,233,356
1-4-399.1No01225621100No1,586,982,596
0-7-199.4No0123562010No18,169,562
441-3-496.4No001151343000No2,213,041,667
2-0-696.5No00135231300No535,408,753
0-6-297.2No0115333300No90,070,015
431-2-590.0No05404510100No1,812,186,184
0-5-391.3No0541458000No250,490,078
421-1-677.6No022649202000.0%805,414,348
0-4-478.5No012651192000.0426,710,513
410-3-558.7No001345347000.0455,227,504
1-0-759.9No001545327000.0149,654,915
400-2-637.1No005324318200.0296,620,454
390-1-719.1No02174232700.1107,813,150
380-0-87.9No00731421710.522,643,012
Total:97.5%0.1%282032261020000.0%47,506,841,760

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Crew finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeDC UnitedRed BullsToronto FCRevolutionImpactNYCFCOrlandoUnionFire
628-0-012.5%Yes
607-1-012.51000
597-0-112.5100000000
586-2-012.5100000000000
576-1-112.5100000000000
566-0-212.5100000000000
5-3-012.5100000000000
555-2-112.599000100000
545-1-212.496001210000
4-4-012.498000100000
534-3-112.292001420000
5-0-312.189001630000
524-2-211.7801031040000
3-5-011.984103830000
514-1-311.0621161991100
3-4-111.2672171570100
503-3-210.247211024121110
4-0-410.14421927132110
2-6-010.452211121111100
493-2-39.129311432162110
2-5-19.232311530151110
483-1-48.015311638193210
2-4-28.017311736192210
1-7-08.219411933181210
472-3-36.78311839202221
3-0-56.97211641213221
1-6-16.89312037202211
462-2-45.53211739193221
1-5-25.53311938192211
0-8-05.74312137191211
452-1-54.41111537173221
1-4-34.31211636162221
0-7-14.41211835172211
441-3-43.10111231132110
2-0-63.30101132143220
0-6-23.10111430132210
431-2-52.101082481110
0-5-32.0010102481110
421-1-61.200051651110
0-4-41.200051541110
410-3-50.50003820000
1-0-70.60003920000
400-2-60.20001300000
390-1-70.1000100000
380-0-80.0000000000
Total:7.6%29.81.70.711.327.113.01.61.31.00.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/21100.0*Lottery seed
Crew 3 Sporting KC 2 -1.0
Impact 0 Union 1 -0.2
Toronto FC 5 Orlando 0 +0.1
Galaxy 5 NYCFC 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/28100.0*Lottery seed
NYCFC vs Crew+0.6-0.0-1.2
Union vs Revolution-0.1-0.1+0.3
Toronto FC vs Impact+0.1-0.1+0.0
Red Bulls vs DC United-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
628-0-07124500
607-1-03845152000
597-0-12248246000
586-2-011522313000
576-1-1442242630000
566-0-2129194092000
5-3-0136154241000
555-2-10209521171000
545-1-209349142031000
4-4-001325691720000
534-3-105043835530000
5-0-304136123683000
524-2-2010254499111000
3-5-002031348691000
514-1-30001114992621000
3-4-1001515162421000
503-3-2005041441340000
4-0-400403964244000
2-6-000704533834000
493-2-300102725341200000
2-5-10203015131200000
483-1-400015055324110000
2-4-200016053226110000
1-7-00001905322411000
472-3-300080471401400000
3-0-50007049237130000
1-6-10009047139140000
462-2-4000303605011000000
1-5-20303505111000000
0-8-004036050190000
452-1-501023055119000000
1-4-301022056020000000
0-7-101023056019000000
441-3-4000110510330110000
2-0-6000130520311210000
0-6-2011053033011000
431-2-5050400450352000
0-5-3050410450242000
421-1-602026049041161000
0-4-40126051031071000
410-3-500130450214186100
1-0-700150450316155100
400-2-600503201132717400
390-1-7021700928291220
380-0-800700420352570
Total:02181192301240900110000