Columbus Crew Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.6 to 12.9%
23 points   4-11-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
DC United 2 Red Bulls 2 +0.7
+0.0
Sounders 3 Timbers 1 +0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Crew vs Union+6.8-3.6-6.6
+0.1-0.1-0.1
-8.7+3.0+9.8
+0.4-0.2-0.4
Crew vs Earthquakes+5.6-3.8-6.5
+0.1-0.1-0.1
-8.1+4.0+10.9
+0.4-0.2-0.5
Orlando vs Toronto FC-2.1+0.7+1.9
+0.4-0.0-0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Impact vs DC United+0.6+0.2-2.2
-0.2+0.1+0.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
DC United vs Fire-1.2+1.5+1.2
-0.9+0.2+2.1
Union vs Sporting KC-0.6+0.3+1.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Fire vs Galaxy-0.8+0.2+0.5
+2.6-0.3-2.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Earthquakes vs Revolution+0.3+0.0-0.9
-1.4+0.5+3.8
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Toronto FC vs Impact+0.2-0.1-0.5
Dynamo vs Sounders+1.5-0.8-2.3
Dynamo vs FC Dallas+1.7-0.6-2.0
Galaxy vs Whitecaps-0.2+0.2+0.5
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Galaxy vs Crew-2.9+0.7+12.6
-0.1+0.0+0.3
+3.6-2.3-12.0
-0.2+0.1+0.7
NYCFC vs DC United+1.0-0.1-3.0
-0.2+0.1+0.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Orlando vs NYCFC-1.7+1.1+2.2
+0.4-0.1-0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Revolution vs Rapids-0.6+0.2+0.4
+3.4-0.4-2.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Red Bulls vs Revolution+0.1+0.0-0.8
-1.1+0.8+4.0
+0.0-0.0-0.2
Fire vs Union-0.1+0.3-0.1
+2.3-0.7-2.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Whitecaps vs Red Bulls+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.4+0.0-0.5
FC Dallas vs Timbers-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Crew finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
5611-0-0In6.2%712720No13,899,607
5410-1-0In0.338481310No1,378,371
5310-0-1In0.0264922300No2,367,388
529-2-0In0.0124336800No7,378,427
519-1-1In0.0531441820No25,060,367
508-3-0100.0%No2174332600No44,261,295*
498-2-1100.0No0732441510No116,210,446
488-1-2100.0No02194729400No240,023,858*
477-3-199.8No00837431100No416,508,606*
467-2-298.8No002245023100No826,611,272*
457-1-395.6No000124538400No820,355,888
6-4-195.7No000104540400No530,391,324
446-3-287.6No004325212000No2,093,202,132*
436-2-374.0No001185424200No2,701,011,825
5-5-175.3No01185623200No603,516,025
425-4-255.4No00848386000.0%2,376,814,586
6-1-454.9No00846387000.02,158,838,479*
415-3-334.9No003324915100.04,930,808,601
6-0-533.8No003314916100.0654,278,117
4-6-137.2No03354814100.0463,684,310
405-2-418.3No01184929400.05,674,692,327
4-5-219.2No01195027400.02,169,026,382*
394-4-37.8No00840411110.15,461,351,439
5-1-57.3No00739421110.13,667,966,580*
384-3-42.4No00225482320.58,200,510,882
3-6-22.7No00327482120.41,260,362,861
5-0-62.1No00224492320.4855,141,101*
374-2-50.5No0112433772.57,266,369,435
3-5-30.6No0113443572.43,841,240,909*
363-4-40.1No0053247168.26,910,824,492
4-1-60.1No0053247167.83,975,243,201*
353-3-50.0No00119503019.67,980,489,009
2-6-30.0No0220502818.81,592,974,204*
4-0-70.0No00119512917.6712,836,800
343-2-60.0No009444735.65,650,486,208
2-5-40.0No009454635.73,500,224,579*
332-4-50.0No003336354.64,805,049,138
3-1-70.0No003346352.82,609,613,347*
322-3-60.0No001217871.34,435,018,678
1-6-4OutNo01227770.01,297,671,090*
312-2-7OutNo00128883.72,577,656,193
1-5-5OutNo00128884.31,544,557,384*
301-4-6OutNo0059592.61,702,670,595
2-1-8OutNo0069491.6956,931,688*
291-3-7OutNo029896.91,608,176,656*
281-2-8OutNo019999.0886,097,710*
270-4-7OutNo010099.7416,373,081*
260-3-8OutNo010099.9174,149,994*
250-2-9OutNo0100100.063,299,292
23-24OutNo100Yes30,959,581*
Total:12.9%0.0%0001391621242621.3%110,854,565,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Crew finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeNYCFCToronto FCRed BullsImpactUnionOrlandoDC UnitedFireRevolution
5611-0-012.5%10000000000
5410-1-012.599000000000
5310-0-112.397001110000
529-2-012.091102320000
519-1-111.480114751000
508-3-010.261421012101100
9-0-210.3633371291100
498-2-18.639641318152100
488-1-27.021751623193200
7-4-06.820851823192200
477-3-15.07851824203200
8-0-35.49861624204300
467-2-23.62751522183200
6-5-03.62841722183200
457-1-32.40531117143200
6-4-12.30631217132200
446-3-21.303271292100
7-0-41.4032712102100
5-6-01.304281291100
436-2-30.70214751100
5-5-10.60214741000
425-4-20.30102320000
6-1-40.30102320000
4-7-00.30102320000
415-3-30.10001110000
6-0-50.10001110000
4-6-10.1001110000
405-2-40.0000000000
4-5-20.0000000000
3-8-00.0000000000
394-4-30.0000000000
5-1-50.0000000000
3-7-10.0000000000
384-3-40.0000000000
3-6-20.0000000000
5-0-60.0000000000
2-9-00.0000000
374-2-50.00000000
3-5-30.00000000
2-8-10.000000
363-4-40.000000
4-1-60.000000
2-7-2No000
1-10-0No
354-0-7No0
3-3-5No0
2-6-3No
1-9-1No
23-34No
Total:0.2%0.20.30.20.71.20.90.10.10.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/21100.0*Lottery seed
DC United 2 Red Bulls 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Crew vs Union-0.9+0.4+0.9
Crew vs Earthquakes-0.8+0.5+0.9
Orlando vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.0-0.1
Fire vs Galaxy+0.1-0.0-0.1
Dynamo vs FC Dallas+0.1-0.0-0.1
Earthquakes vs Revolution-0.0-0.0+0.1
Impact vs DC United-0.0-0.0+0.1
Galaxy vs Whitecaps-0.0+0.0+0.1
Dynamo vs Sounders+0.1-0.0-0.1
DC United vs Fire+0.0-0.1+0.0
Union vs Sporting KC+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/28100.0*Lottery seed
Galaxy vs Crew+0.4-0.1-1.5
Orlando vs NYCFC+0.1-0.1-0.1
Revolution vs Rapids+0.1-0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs DC United-0.1+0.0+0.2
Red Bulls vs Revolution-0.0+0.0+0.2
Whitecaps vs Red Bulls+0.1-0.0-0.1
Fire vs Union+0.1-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
5611-0-066513142000
5410-1-003874185100
5310-0-102634691320000
529-2-001214382862000
519-1-1050314401092000
508-3-02017142102251000
498-2-1007032738115100
488-1-20201934414153000
477-3-10008137123192000
467-2-200020246431491000
457-1-3000012243152341000
6-4-1000010243152531000
446-3-200040321042841000
436-2-30001018450101151000
5-5-10101845391051000
425-4-200081477181540000
6-1-400081459181440000
415-3-3000303241727143000
6-0-5000303151927133000
4-6-100303531627143000
405-2-401018110292812200
4-5-20101919282912200
394-4-3000803183426910
5-1-5000703193426910
384-3-4000201725362260
3-6-2000300726362260
5-0-6000201827362150
374-2-5001002123135162
3-5-301002123235162
363-4-40000041938318
4-1-60000041938308
353-3-50000018294320
2-6-300018304319
4-0-7000019314218
343-2-600002174536
2-5-400002174536
332-4-5000173755
3-1-7000183853
322-3-6000032671
1-6-400032770
312-2-70011684
1-5-50011584
301-4-6000793
2-1-8000892
291-3-700397
281-2-80199
270-4-700100
260-3-800100
250-2-90100
23-24100
Total:0000000103181371012151821