Columbus Crew Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 3.1 to 56.3%
33 points   8-9-9

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Impact 2 Crew 0 -10.8
-1.4
-0.5
Toronto FC 0 New England 3 -2.1
-0.0
DC United 2 Red Bulls 0 +1.9
+0.2
+0.1
Fire 1 FC Dallas 0 -0.8
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
New England vs Sporting KC-2.4+0.6+2.4
-0.3+0.1+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Union vs Toronto FC-1.2+1.7+0.4
-0.0+0.2-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Crew vs Chivas USA+9.6-9.8-18.1
+1.0-1.1-1.8
+0.0-0.0No
-0.0-0.0+0.1
+0.4-0.4-0.8
Red Bulls vs DC United-3.4+1.3+3.0
-0.3+0.1+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Red Bulls vs Sporting KC-3.3+1.4+3.0
-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Union-0.2+1.5-1.3
-0.2+0.2+0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
New England vs Fire-1.1+1.3+0.7
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Dynamo vs Impact-0.8+0.6+1.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Crew finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
578-0-0In0.1%2465110No6,136,590
557-1-0In0.07603210No30,550,548
547-0-1In0.04544010No36,943,088
536-2-0100.0%No13857400No86,818,748
526-1-1100.0No02864700No206,245,033
515-3-0100.0No016701400No138,495,234
6-0-2100.0No019661410No120,246,441
505-2-1100.0No086525200No484,349,806
495-1-299.8No0452386000No553,152,177
4-4-099.9No035736400No135,635,399
484-3-199.2No01384713100No620,397,768
5-0-398.7No01354716100No205,752,468
474-2-295.4No0204728400No1,040,764,438
3-5-097.4No0255022300No83,564,405
464-1-384.8No08364114100No757,019,678
3-4-189.0No010413810100No468,462,974
453-3-269.5No03224526400No1,026,194,180
4-0-464.6No02194429600No200,770,759
2-6-076.6No04294420300No31,653,241
443-2-342.6No00834411510No1,095,123,640
2-5-150.3No011138381110No208,707,932
433-1-419.4No02174331600No567,857,153
2-4-223.7No0321442740No559,771,186
1-7-030.2No0426442330No6,743,886
422-3-37.4No00733441510No779,704,218
3-0-55.9No00630451710No114,213,957
1-6-19.9No01936411200No50,853,231
412-2-41.5No00117463240No593,520,157
1-5-22.2No00220472830No160,376,668
0-8-03.3No00323472520No618,834
401-4-30.3No00737451000.0%273,550,390
2-1-50.2No00635471200.0233,744,315
0-7-10.4No008394480No5,229,311
391-3-40.0No00221532300.0272,049,695
2-0-60.0No00119532600.037,164,702
0-6-20.0No00223542100.018,875,044
381-2-50.0No009484210.0157,552,212
0-5-30.0No0011513800.037,886,439
371-1-60.0No003365920.149,145,199
0-4-40.0No004395620.146,186,449
360-3-5OutNo01247150.734,988,437
1-0-7OutNo01217260.86,373,902
350-2-6OutNo001277112.916,082,453
340-1-7OutNo0574218.74,104,638
330-0-8OutNo01643421.51,957,675
Total:56.3%0.0%0215192018149300.0%11,565,534,698

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Crew finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeDC UnitedSporting KCToronto FCNew EnglandRed BullsUnionFireDynamoImpact
578-0-012.5%100000000
557-1-012.599000000000
547-0-112.499000100000
536-2-012.496000210000
526-1-112.293001321100
515-3-011.986001632100
6-0-211.986003532100
505-2-111.473015954210
495-1-210.55502111386310
4-4-010.8600171485410
484-3-19.539021418119420
5-0-39.2360316171210320
474-2-27.8200319211412520
3-5-08.5250216231310620
464-1-35.980320201413430
3-4-16.5100219231412630
453-3-24.330217181211430
4-0-43.920216171111330
2-6-05.040116221311630
443-2-32.3001111277220
2-5-12.8101121588420
432-4-21.20006744110
3-1-41.00005634110
1-7-01.600071055210
422-3-30.40002211000
3-0-50.30002211000
1-6-10.50002312100
412-2-40.10000100000
1-5-20.10001100000
0-8-00.20001101000
401-4-30.0000000000
2-1-50.0000000000
0-7-10.0000000000
391-3-40.0000000000
0-6-20.00000000
2-0-60.000000000
381-2-50.000000000
0-5-30.0000000
370-4-4No000
1-1-6No0
33-36No
Total:4.7%17.30.01.19.611.27.06.32.51.40.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/30100.0*Lottery seed
Impact 2 Crew 0 +0.9
DC United 2 Red Bulls 0 -0.1
Sounders 1 Rapids 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
New England vs Sporting KC+0.1-0.1-0.1
Union vs Toronto FC+0.0-0.1+0.1
Galaxy vs Rapids-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/6100.0*Lottery seed
Crew vs Chivas USA-0.7+0.7+1.5
Red Bulls vs DC United+0.2-0.1-0.1
Red Bulls vs Sporting KC+0.1-0.1-0.1
Toronto FC vs Union+0.1-0.1+0.0
New England vs Fire+0.1-0.1-0.0
Dynamo vs Impact+0.1-0.0-0.1
Whitecaps vs DC United+0.1-0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819
578-0-002310568300
557-1-0071591220100
547-0-1040541031100
536-2-0103875121000
526-1-1002846044000
515-3-00016169410000
6-0-20019265590000
505-2-10080645212000
495-1-200405243451000
4-4-00305733331000
484-3-101038246941000
5-0-3010352451241000
474-2-20020147161240000
3-5-0002505011112000
464-1-30080351724123000
3-4-10010040142492000
453-3-20302211342091000
4-0-402019123223102000
2-6-0040299351571000
443-2-30008430252481000
2-5-101011434212171000
433-1-400211619342261000
2-4-2031201732206100
1-7-0041251530195100
422-3-3000782834184000
3-0-5000682835194000
1-6-1010972734184000
412-2-40001213323316300
1-5-20002213323315300
0-8-00003214333214200
401-4-30000418353111100
2-1-50000418353111100
0-7-1000041836311010
391-3-4000016233925600
2-0-600016243925500
0-6-200016243925600
381-2-500011032391710
0-5-300011032381610
371-1-60000318413250
0-4-40000318413250
360-3-500073146141
1-0-700183245141
350-2-60021749293
340-1-700740449
330-0-8002235422
Total:00020151196149109753100