Columbus Crew Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.004 to 68%
30 points   7-9-8

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Crew 4 Galaxy 1 +13.8
+1.3
-0.2
+0.6
Impact 1 Fire 0 +1.6
+0.1
+0.1
+0.1
New England 1 Timbers 1 +1.1
+0.1
+0.0
Sporting KC 4 Toronto FC 1 +0.2
+0.1
DC United 4 Rapids 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Crew vs Dynamo+8.9-6.8-16.3
+1.0-0.8-1.7
-0.0+0.0+0.1
+0.4-0.3-0.7
New England vs Chivas USA-2.2+1.7+3.4
-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Red Bulls vs Impact-2.0+2.0+3.4
-0.2+0.2+0.4
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Union vs Earthquakes-2.3+1.5+2.7
-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Sporting KC vs Dynamo+0.4-0.1-1.9
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs Fire+0.1+0.5-0.9
-0.2+0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Crew finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
6010-0-0In21.2%534250No1,135,722
589-1-0In3.72655181No3,498,909
579-0-1In1.418552610No4,027,736
568-2-0In0.29484030No12,256,355
558-1-1In0.05404860No27,807,237
547-3-0In0.023057110No40,644,207*
537-2-1100.0%0.0120611900No84,298,028
527-1-2100.00.0013602600No92,734,176
6-4-0100.0No011602800No33,377,953
516-3-1100.0No06553910No147,215,016
7-0-3100.0No08573410No33,386,784
506-2-2100.0No034648300No239,319,690
5-5-0100.0No034649200No30,056,487
496-1-399.8No013656700No169,734,571
5-4-199.9No013559500No163,362,426
485-3-299.4No00246313100No348,923,434
6-0-499.1No01255914100No44,264,515
4-6-099.7No002565900No18,585,804
475-2-397.4No00145924300No365,614,801
4-5-198.4No00156420200No119,504,662
464-4-294.0No075334600No314,415,744
5-1-491.9No074936800No195,564,460*
454-3-383.5No03374415100No432,867,924
3-6-187.6No03434211100No57,668,541
5-0-579.9No03334418200No37,762,946
444-2-465.4No01204429600No328,564,898
3-5-271.2No01254625400No181,586,055*
433-4-348.6No001137381210No304,433,840
4-1-542.7No00934401510No130,263,696
2-7-155.6No01441341010No17,702,682
423-3-426.1No04234327400No303,704,553
2-6-231.4No0526422330No63,742,857*
4-0-621.6No03194230600No21,060,541
413-2-510.4No011035411310No178,098,060
2-5-313.5No011238381010No130,393,872*
402-4-44.0No004244624200.0%156,491,720
3-1-63.3No003214626300.069,493,156*
392-3-50.8No01104040800.0120,712,238
1-6-31.0No01114139800.037,131,069*
382-2-60.1No00326512000.056,994,655
1-5-40.1No00429501700.043,750,864*
371-4-50.0No00115513310.240,591,572
2-1-70.0No0113503610.217,933,851*
361-3-60.0No005415031.031,752,271*
351-2-7OutNo02276383.715,318,118*
340-4-6OutNo001668169.86,382,918*
330-3-7OutNo07652720.62,366,735*
320-2-8OutNo03554236.0717,062
310-1-9OutNo1415854.0138,478
300-0-10OutNo0257573.2702,819
Total:68.0%0.0%0214312115105200.1%5,278,056,708

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Crew finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeSporting KCDC UnitedToronto FCRed BullsNew EnglandUnionFireDynamoImpact
6010-0-012.5%10000000
589-1-012.599000000
579-0-112.499000100000
568-2-012.497000111000
558-1-112.394000321100
547-3-012.088000532110
8-0-212.190000422100
537-2-111.881000853210
527-1-211.4740011175210
6-4-011.4710001275310
516-3-110.96100116107320
7-0-311.1650021497210
506-2-210.44900319129420
5-5-010.44900220139520
496-1-39.737016221512420
5-4-19.736015241611530
485-3-28.924018261814530
6-0-48.926019241714430
4-6-09.226015271813730
475-2-37.9140111272016530
4-5-18.215019292015730
464-4-26.970111282016640
5-1-46.670112262016540
3-7-07.48019302116840
454-3-35.530111251916540
3-6-15.930110282016740
5-0-55.230112231815440
444-2-43.81019191513430
3-5-24.31019221614530
2-8-04.91008261814740
433-4-32.70006151110330
4-1-52.3000612109220
2-7-13.10006181311430
423-3-41.30003866120
2-6-21.600031077220
4-0-61.10003665110
1-9-02.100031498320
413-2-50.50001332010
2-5-30.70001433110
1-8-10.90001644110
402-4-40.20000111000
3-1-60.10000111000
1-7-20.30000211000
392-3-50.0000000000
1-6-30.0000000000
381-5-40.0000000000
2-2-60.0000000000
371-4-50.0000000000
361-3-60.000000000
30-35No
Total:5.6%15.80.20.56.017.312.410.03.42.40.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 8/16100.0*Lottery seed
Crew 4 Galaxy 1 -1.2
Impact 1 Fire 0 -0.1
New England 1 Timbers 1 -0.1
Sporting KC 4 Toronto FC 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/23100.0*Lottery seed
Crew vs Dynamo-0.7+0.6+1.3
Red Bulls vs Impact+0.1-0.1-0.2
New England vs Chivas USA+0.1-0.1-0.1
Union vs Earthquakes+0.1-0.1-0.1
Toronto FC vs Fire+0.1-0.1-0.1
Sporting KC vs Dynamo-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819
6010-0-02131375500
589-1-0422332317110
579-0-11172431224100
568-2-00812362812300
558-1-10553527226000
547-3-00222820379200
537-2-1010191249136000
527-1-2000136551412000
6-4-000114561415000
516-3-100625313261000
7-0-300825413211000
506-2-2003046103921000
5-5-00030468421000
496-1-300103665052000
5-4-100103555432000
485-3-200024261671000
6-0-401025356771000
4-6-00002526445000
475-2-30001415981620000
4-5-1000151636141000
464-4-2007053628420000
5-1-400704972962000
454-3-303037440961000
3-6-103043338651000
5-0-5030335401171000
444-2-401020242121661000
3-5-20102514491351000
433-4-3000110379221641000
4-1-500090331124175100
2-7-10014041719144000
423-3-400402352228153000
2-6-20502642127143000
4-0-60301962429153000
413-2-501010214312912200
2-5-301012113312811200
402-4-40004052134269100
3-1-60003052134269100
392-3-5001018263622500
1-6-3001019273621500
382-2-6000021232351620
1-5-4000021332351520
371-4-500000419383080
2-1-70000419383080
361-3-6000182942201
351-2-70021642364
340-4-60007335010
330-3-7002205721
320-2-80095436
310-1-9034254
300-0-10012673
Total:0002113229319477642100