Columbus Crew Playoff Chances

Tied Earthquakes 1-1, playoff odds up 0.7 to 87.1%
10 points   3-1-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Toronto FC 0 Rapids 1 +0.4
+0.1
+0.1
+0.1
Union 2 Real Salt Lake 2 +0.3
+0.1
+0.2
+0.0
Impact 1 Fire 1 +0.3
Earthquakes 1 Crew 1 -0.2
-0.1
-0.8
-0.0
-0.0
DC United 1 Red Bulls 0 -0.1
New England 2 Dynamo 0 +0.1
FC Dallas 2 Sounders 3 +0.9
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Red Bulls vs Union-0.0+0.3-0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Crew vs DC United+3.6-2.5-6.7
+0.6-0.4-1.0
+3.6-3.2-5.7
-0.1+0.1+0.3
+0.3-0.2-0.6
FC Dallas vs Toronto FC+0.2-0.0-0.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
-0.4+0.6+0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Fire vs New England-0.1+0.3-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Union vs Dynamo-0.1+0.3-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
Sporting KC vs Impact-0.1+0.3-0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.3+0.2+0.3
Rapids vs Earthquakes-0.5+0.4+0.7
Real Salt Lake vs Timbers-0.5+0.4+0.7
Whitecaps vs Galaxy+0.2+0.2-0.6
Chivas USA vs Sounders+0.3+0.1-0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Crew finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
82-97In100.0%100No319,982*
8122-5-2In99.91000No15,741*
8022-4-3In100.01000No30,343*
7922-3-4In99.91000No58,340*
7821-5-3In99.91000No106,019*
7721-4-4In99.91000No188,913*
7620-6-3In99.91000No326,684*
7520-5-4In99.91000No551,489*
7420-4-5In99.81000No904,575*
7319-6-4In99.71000No1,451,418*
7219-5-5In99.61000No2,265,379*
7118-7-4In99.31000No3,450,355*
7018-6-5In98.81000No5,131,696*
6918-5-6In98.110000No7,451,116*
6817-7-5In97.110000No10,570,050*
6717-6-6In95.59910No14,651,051*
6617-5-7In93.19910No19,844,857*
6516-7-6In89.89820No26,276,363*
6416-6-7In85.397300No34,018,409*
6315-8-6In79.396400No43,101,016*
6215-7-7In71.694600No53,398,991*
6115-6-8In62.491900No64,708,634*
6014-8-7In51.88713000No76,747,100*
5914-7-8In40.58217100No89,067,384*
5814-6-9100.0%29.275232000No101,129,668*
5713-8-8100.019.167303000No112,395,465*
5613-7-9100.011.058366000No122,226,094*
5512-9-8100.05.54742101000No130,074,661*
5412-8-9100.02.23646162000No135,465,046*
5312-7-10100.00.72646244000No138,028,536*
5211-9-9100.00.216423291000No137,616,981*
5111-8-1099.80.093538152000No134,202,624*
5011-7-1199.40.0525402461000No128,076,888*
4910-9-1097.90.02153633122000No119,522,840*
4810-8-1194.10.0182737225100No109,079,736*
4710-7-1285.9No03173531122000No97,328,178*
469-9-1172.1No0182736226100No84,889,843*
459-8-1253.5No00316343113200No72,364,398*
449-7-1334.1No0018253623610No60,246,930*
438-9-1218.2No000315333214200.0%48,984,061*
428-8-138.1No0017253724600.038,894,730*
417-10-122.9No00031534341320.030,126,580*
407-9-130.9No0001726392340.122,768,548*
397-8-140.2No000317383390.616,778,714*
386-10-130.0No000193241162.212,039,114*
376-9-140.0No00042346265.68,419,682*
366-8-150.0No00215453811.85,734,190*
355-10-140.0No0019405020.63,790,206*
345-9-15OutNo005336131.72,440,321*
335-8-16OutNo002267143.71,523,159*
324-10-15OutNo001198055.8919,438*
314-9-16OutNo00138666.5540,612*
304-8-17OutNo099175.6306,789*
294-7-18OutNo0069482.9167,729*
283-9-17OutNo039688.488,419*
273-8-18OutNo029892.645,317*
263-7-19OutNo019994.922,085*
252-9-18OutNo19996.710,340*
242-8-19OutNo010098.54,607*
232-7-20OutNo010098.51,984*
222-6-21OutNo010099.3810*
211-8-20OutNo010099.7308*
10-20OutNo100100.0305,342*
Total:87.1%16.4%362114107532110.2%2,331,196,878

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Crew finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeToronto FCSporting KCUnionDynamoDC UnitedFireNew EnglandRed BullsImpact
65-9712.5%Yes
6416-6-712.51000000
6315-8-612.5100000000000
6215-7-712.5100000000000
6115-6-812.5100000000000
14-9-612.5100000000000
6014-8-712.5100000000000
15-5-912.5100000000000
5914-7-812.5100000000000
13-10-612.5100000000000
5814-6-912.5100000000000
13-9-712.5100000000000
5713-8-812.5100000000000
14-5-1012.5100000000000
5613-7-912.5100000000000
12-10-712.5100000000000
5512-9-812.599000000000
13-6-1012.599000000000
5412-8-912.498000000000
13-5-1112.498000000000
11-11-712.498000000000
5312-7-1012.396011111100
11-10-812.395111111100
5211-9-912.190111111111
12-6-1112.291111111110
5111-8-1011.882222222211
10-11-811.882223222211
12-5-1211.882222222211
5011-7-1111.270444443322
10-10-911.169444444322
4910-9-1010.153556665543
11-6-1210.253556665543
4810-8-118.836778877754
9-11-98.835778887754
4710-7-127.221889888864
9-10-107.020789888764
469-9-115.29778887764
10-6-135.29778887764
459-8-123.43567666654
449-7-132.01344444432
438-9-121.00222222221
428-8-130.40111111111
418-7-140.10000000000
407-9-130.00000000000
397-8-140.00000000000
387-7-150.00000000000
376-9-140.0000000000
366-8-150.0000000000
357-4-18No000
10-34No
Total:10.0%70.31.92.02.32.22.22.01.91.41.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/12100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto FC 0 Rapids 1 -0.1
Earthquakes 1 Crew 1 +0.1
Union 2 Real Salt Lake 2 -0.0
New England 2 Dynamo 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Red Bulls vs Union-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/19100.0*Lottery seed
Crew vs DC United-0.6+0.5+1.1
FC Dallas vs Toronto FC-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sporting KC vs Impact+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819
86-97100
8524-3-21000
8424-2-3100
8323-4-21000
8223-3-31000
8122-5-210000
8022-4-310000
7922-3-410000
7821-5-310000
7721-4-410000
7620-6-310000
7520-5-410000
7420-4-510000
7319-6-410000
7219-5-510000
7118-7-49910
7018-6-59910
6918-5-698200
6817-7-5973000
6717-6-6954100
6617-5-7936100
6516-7-6908200
6416-6-785123000
6315-8-679174000
6215-7-7722260000
6115-6-8622990000
6014-8-752351210000
5914-7-8404116210000
5814-6-92946203200000
5713-8-81948237300000
5613-7-911472412600000
5512-9-8542222091100000
5412-8-92341728133200000
5312-7-101251135168400000
5211-9-901663716158110000
5111-8-1009233132512320000
5011-7-1105124832159601000
4910-9-100201533314191022000
4810-8-11010812692815751000
4710-7-1200301743115161130000
469-9-1100108126112616920000
459-8-120003016529181982000
449-7-1300010812413251971000
438-9-1200003015721281861000
428-8-130001072122728165100
417-10-12000031517302713300
407-9-13000010182231241020
397-8-1400000031226322061
386-10-130000015173130132
376-9-1400000292535246
366-8-150000416343412
355-10-1400019284121
345-9-150004204332
335-8-16002134144
324-10-1500183656
314-9-160042967
304-8-170022276
294-7-18011683
283-9-17001188
273-8-1800793
263-7-1900595
252-9-180397
242-8-190199
232-7-20199
222-6-21199
211-8-200100
201-7-21199
10-19100
Total:1619813594634222211100