Columbus Crew Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.05 to 84.1%
31 points   8-7-7

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/24100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Crew 3 Toronto FC 3 -3.1
-0.8
-0.5
+0.1
-0.3
Impact 1 Sounders 0 -1.0
-0.3
-0.1
DC United 3 Union 2 +0.5
-0.0
Fire 2 Revolution 2 +0.3
+0.1
-0.0
+0.0
NYCFC 5 Orlando 3 -0.1
+0.0
Real Salt Lake 2 Sporting KC 1 +0.1
FC Dallas 4 Timbers 1 -0.1
Dynamo 3 Galaxy 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Orlando vs Crew-6.7+1.0+9.7
-1.1-0.1+1.8
-0.2-0.1+0.5
+0.2-0.1-0.3
-0.4-0.0+0.7
Revolution vs Toronto FC-1.3+0.9+1.6
-0.1+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Toronto FC vs Orlando+0.6+0.1-2.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Impact vs Red Bulls-0.9+0.4+1.0
-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
NYCFC vs Impact-0.8+0.9+0.6
+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Union vs Red Bulls-0.9+0.4+0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Fire vs FC Dallas-0.5+0.2+0.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
DC United vs Real Salt Lake-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Sporting KC vs Dynamo-0.0+0.0+0.1
Sounders vs Whitecaps+0.0+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Crew finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
6712-0-0In99.2%1000No13,826,257
6511-1-0In95.91000No1,104,424
6411-0-1In92.89910No1,741,648
6310-2-0In87.19910No5,691,150
6210-1-1In79.79730No17,771,624
619-3-0In68.595500No31,309,488*
609-2-1In54.891900No81,341,561
599-1-2In40.2841510No160,950,650*
588-3-1In25.17523200No283,923,267*
578-2-2In13.56432400No554,741,941*
568-1-3In5.85141800No899,128,447*
557-3-2In1.8364715100No1,425,711,351*
547-2-3In0.4244825300No2,249,990,040*
536-4-2In0.0144335800No1,797,119,304
7-1-4In0.1144335800No1,351,171,366*
526-3-3100.0%0.07344415100No4,346,463,109*
516-2-4100.00.03234726200No3,896,378,909
5-5-2100.00.03234725200No1,868,040,017*
505-4-3100.00.011243386000No4,499,012,587
6-1-5100.00.011343376000No2,518,215,911*
495-3-4100.00.006334813100No6,517,627,204
4-6-2100.0No06344712100No1,849,207,141*
485-2-599.9No02225123200No5,609,575,957
4-5-3100.0No02215123200No3,859,325,639*
474-4-499.7No011146357000No6,712,168,126
5-1-699.7No011247346000No3,273,454,783*
464-3-598.6No005354414100No7,605,271,549
3-6-398.8No005364414100No2,617,914,843*
454-2-695.6No0022346254000No5,326,767,833
3-5-495.4No0012246264000No4,549,187,889*
443-4-587.5No00011393711100No6,094,934,803
4-1-788.9No00013413510100No2,826,021,618*
433-3-674.1No00052742224000.0%5,616,571,005
2-6-474.8No0052843223000.02,138,120,549*
423-2-756.0No00216393310100.03,287,083,406
2-5-554.3No00114393510100.03,031,352,854*
412-4-633.9No006284221300.03,678,906,950*
3-1-837.0No0007294120300.01,107,818,560
402-3-717.5No002153934900.12,527,023,238
1-6-517.7No002164034800.1925,956,157*
392-2-87.4No000730431820.61,259,799,266
1-5-66.6No000629441920.71,047,571,990*
381-4-72.2No00217443152.71,407,357,091*
371-3-80.5No00083744117.8803,041,006*
361-2-90.1No00325512116.9414,020,732*
350-4-80.0No00115523329.5184,887,275*
340-3-90.0No007464744.173,556,191*
330-2-100.0No003376057.824,770,828
320-1-11OutNo01297068.95,576,303
310-0-12OutNo00217978.514,294,243
Total:84.1%0.4%371523211495200.3%110,392,798,080

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Crew finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeDC UnitedRed BullsToronto FCImpactRevolutionNYCFCOrlandoUnionFire
62-6712.5%Yes
619-3-012.51000000
609-2-112.5100000000000
599-1-212.5100000000000
588-3-112.5100000000000
578-2-212.5100000000000
568-1-312.5100000000000
7-4-112.5100000000000
557-3-212.599000000000
8-0-412.599000000000
547-2-312.497000110000
6-5-112.497000110000
536-4-212.292001321100
7-1-412.292001321100
526-3-311.984112631200
5-6-112.086112531100
7-0-511.984112531200
516-2-411.472123962310
5-5-211.472223962210
505-4-310.6563461494411
6-1-510.7572351384411
4-7-110.8593461383311
495-3-49.63935818116621
4-6-29.74046918125521
6-0-69.84135818116621
485-2-58.524471021138721
4-5-38.423471121147721
474-4-47.012471223158831
5-1-67.313471123149931
3-7-27.212581223157721
464-3-55.65471122149831
3-6-35.65471222158832
5-0-76.06371123149931
454-2-64.2236920128731
3-5-44.11361019137731
443-4-52.702471495521
4-1-72.9024716106621
2-7-32.8024715105521
433-3-61.601241064311
2-6-41.601241063311
423-2-70.80012532210
2-5-50.70012532210
412-4-60.30001211100
402-3-70.10000100000
392-2-80.00000000000
381-4-70.0000000000
371-3-80.0000000000
361-2-90.0000000000
350-4-80.00000
31-34No
Total:6.1%25.12.13.86.213.08.34.54.51.50.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 7/24100.0*Lottery seed
Crew 3 Toronto FC 3 +0.7
Impact 1 Sounders 0 +0.1
Fire 2 Revolution 2 -0.0
DC United 3 Union 2 +0.0
NYCFC 5 Orlando 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/1100.0*Lottery seed
Orlando vs Crew+1.0+0.0-1.6
Impact vs Red Bulls+0.1-0.1-0.1
NYCFC vs Impact-0.0-0.1+0.1
Revolution vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.1-0.0
DC United vs Real Salt Lake+0.0-0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs Orlando+0.0-0.1+0.0
Union vs Red Bulls-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
6712-0-09910
6511-1-096400
6411-0-1936100
6310-2-08712100
6210-1-18017300
619-3-0692650000
609-2-1553690000
599-1-24044141100
588-3-1255019420000
578-2-21350221040000
568-1-36452219710000
557-3-2235163112310000
547-2-302393916930000
536-4-2014340142161000
7-1-4014439161971000
526-3-307133103410510000
516-2-403022542131320000
5-5-203023443111420000
505-4-301012141929420000
6-1-5010132421126410000
495-3-400060335436710000
4-6-20060345426600000
485-2-50020222496162100000
4-5-3002021150518210000
474-4-40010110463323400000
5-1-60010120474303300000
464-3-50005035143311100000
3-6-30005036143311100000
454-2-600020230463222210000
3-5-40010220462242210000
443-4-50000110391362541000
4-1-70000130401343431000
433-3-600005027042271061000
2-6-40005028042261061000
423-2-70020160391715155100
2-5-50010140391615167100
412-4-6000602803142518500
3-1-80000702904162415400
402-3-700201501926301420
1-6-500201601825311420
392-2-80000700418352781
1-5-60000600316352991
381-4-700200182838203
371-3-800000021639358
361-2-9000017304617
350-4-8000002185030
340-3-9000094644
330-2-1000043858
320-1-110013069
310-0-12002178
Total:031621322121911312343210