Columbus Crew Playoff Chances

Beat Revolution 2-0, playoff odds up 3.2 to 8.2%
32 points   7-11-11

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/25100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Crew 2 Revolution 0 +3.2
+0.0
-8.8
+0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
DC United vs Crew-6.0-1.0+18.6
-0.1-0.0+0.3
+4.2-1.0-10.6
-0.3-0.0+1.0
Crew vs Fire+4.7-4.6-6.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
-11.9+3.0+27.0
+0.4-0.3-0.8
Toronto FC vs DC United+1.2-0.2-3.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Revolution vs Sporting KC-2.0+0.9+1.7
+0.0+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Impact vs Earthquakes-1.2+0.7+1.9
-0.2+0.1+0.4
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Orlando+0.5-0.0-1.9
-0.3+0.3+0.7
+0.1-0.0-0.2
Sounders vs Fire-3.2-0.4+9.8
+0.0+0.0-0.2
Dynamo vs NYCFC+0.9-0.4-1.5
Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake+0.4-0.1-0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Orlando vs Impact+0.0+0.5-0.6
+0.7-0.2-1.2
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Dynamo vs Rapids+1.0-0.2-1.2
Whitecaps vs Sounders+0.1+0.1-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Crew finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910SpoonCount
475-0-0InNo62362No25,214,485
454-1-099.3%No16642010No133,435,779
444-0-196.2No105234400No240,060,647
433-2-083.8No133501510No312,202,708
423-1-157.9No13453570No1,108,541,996
413-0-235.5No4314815100.0%977,675,757
2-3-031.5No32948191No352,590,765
402-2-19.2No093942900.01,845,251,953
392-1-21.6No0222532300.03,190,531,593
1-4-01.5No2205424No190,182,490
382-0-30.3No012493810.21,819,479,187
1-3-10.1No08464510.21,295,550,717
371-2-20.0No01266852.43,265,910,681
0-5-0OutNo1217710.538,605,733
361-1-3OutNo12721611.13,599,413,626
0-4-1OutNo137897.2317,364,480
351-0-4OutNo5643126.11,457,044,406
0-3-2OutNo5643228.11,021,406,589
340-2-3OutNo1376258.81,597,725,377
330-1-4OutNo148684.31,201,206,927
320-0-5OutNo10099.7343,483,624
Total:8.2%No0261224401614.3%24,332,879,520

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Crew finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupToronto FCRed BullsNYCFCUnionImpactDC UnitedRevolutionOrlando
475-0-06.3%08106114111
454-1-03.4066559111
444-0-12.6044437211
433-2-01.1022271000
423-1-10.401111
413-0-20.10004
2-3-00.10003
402-2-10.00000
392-1-20.0000
1-4-0No
32-38No
Total:0.1%0.00.20.21.90.10.00.00.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/25100.0*Lottery seed
Crew 2 Revolution 0 -0.6
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
DC United vs Crew+0.7+0.0-2.0
Crew vs Fire-0.9+0.7+1.3
Toronto FC vs Orlando-0.1+0.0+0.3
Revolution vs Sporting KC+0.2-0.1-0.1
Dynamo vs NYCFC+0.1-0.1-0.2
Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake+0.1-0.1-0.1
Toronto FC vs DC United-0.1+0.0+0.1
Sounders vs Fire-0.0-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Lottery seed
Dynamo vs Rapids+0.1-0.1-0.2
Whitecaps vs Sounders+0.1-0.0-0.1
Orlando vs Impact+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920
475-0-0161122421
454-1-0161625151000
444-0-11005233122000
433-2-013314941020000
423-1-113045321153000
413-0-243101928133000
2-3-03290172917400
402-2-10908283317400
392-1-202011231341730
1-4-0201102835204
382-0-3004173532110
1-3-1002133237160
371-2-200031741362
0-5-00021341441
361-1-305285511
0-4-10427617
351-0-401145926
0-3-201116028
340-2-30033959
330-1-401584
320-0-50100
Total:0002060361014192514