Columbus Crew Playoff Chances 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 58.3%
0 points   0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Columbus vs NY Red Bulls+8.2-1.8-7.0
+0.9-0.2-0.8
+1.8-0.6-1.4
-1.7+0.3+1.5
+0.7-0.2-0.6
Seattle vs Cincinnati+0.6+0.2-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs New England+0.6+0.2-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
LA Galaxy vs Chicago+0.6+0.2-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
San Jose vs Montreal+0.6+0.2-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs Toronto FC-0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
DC United vs Atlanta-0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Orlando vs NYCFC-0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
LAFC vs Sporting KC-0.0+0.1-0.0
Houston vs RSL-0.0+0.1-0.0
Vancouver vs Minnesota-0.0+0.1-0.0
Colorado vs Portland-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
New England vs Columbus-7.0-1.8+8.2
-0.8-0.2+0.9
-1.4-0.6+1.8
+1.5+0.3-1.7
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Houston vs Montreal+0.6+0.2-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Sporting KC vs Philadelphia+0.6+0.2-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs DC United-0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Chicago vs Orlando-0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs Cincinnati-0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
San Jose vs Minnesota-0.0+0.1-0.0
FC Dallas vs LA Galaxy-0.0+0.1-0.0
LAFC vs Portland-0.0+0.1-0.0
RSL vs Vancouver-0.0+0.1-0.0
Seattle vs Colorado-0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
79-102In100.0%100No82,641*
7824-6-4In99.91000No9,337*
7724-5-5In99.91000No15,972*
7623-7-4In99.91000No26,720*
7523-6-5In99.81000No43,969*
7423-5-6In99.71000No70,442*
7322-7-5In99.41000No111,387*
7222-6-6In99.21000No172,887*
7122-5-7In98.79910No262,663*
7021-7-6In97.99910No391,162*
6921-6-7In96.79910No573,135*
6820-8-6In95.19820No824,334*
6720-7-7In92.697300No1,163,640*
6620-6-8In89.195500No1,615,415*
6519-8-7In84.393700No2,206,393*
6419-7-8In78.09010000No2,964,923*
6319-6-9In70.18614100No3,907,061*
6218-8-8In60.58018100No5,063,117*
6118-7-9In49.674242000No6,459,831*
6018-6-10In38.066304000No8,104,013*
5917-8-9In26.7573571000No10,003,814*
5817-7-10In16.84640122000No12,145,444*
5716-9-9100.0%9.136431830000No14,517,267*
5616-8-10100.04.226422461000No17,054,440*
5516-7-11100.01.517383011200000No19,717,072*
5415-9-10100.00.41132351851000No22,437,750*
5315-8-11100.00.16233525920000No25,123,236*
5215-7-1299.90.031531301651000No27,678,096*
5114-9-1199.70.018233223920000No29,994,629*
5014-8-1298.90.0041529291751000No31,984,995*
4914-7-1396.7No0182130241130000No33,562,448*
4813-9-1291.6No0041326291971000No34,651,682*
4713-8-1382.0No0017192926144100No35,190,818*
4613-7-1467.4No0003112430229200No35,136,463*
4512-9-1349.6No0001516282816510No34,534,636*
4412-8-1431.9No0002821312511200.0%33,358,577*
4311-10-1317.8No0001413273118510.031,689,784*
4211-9-148.5No0000172032271120.029,604,672*
4111-8-153.5No000031328331940.027,173,474*
4010-10-141.2No0001722352780.224,526,068*
3910-9-150.4No00003143336140.821,734,338*
3810-8-160.1No000182741222.618,941,445*
379-10-150.0No000042043326.616,206,559*
369-9-160.0No000214424213.513,617,728*
359-8-170.0No00019375323.111,227,089*
348-10-160.0No0005316334.89,089,180*
338-9-170.0No0003257247.27,210,509*
328-8-18OutNo001198059.15,614,763*
317-10-17OutNo001148669.54,285,038*
307-9-18OutNo00109078.23,205,259*
297-8-19OutNo0079384.92,346,501*
286-10-18OutNo0049689.81,680,167*
276-9-19OutNo039793.41,177,348*
266-8-20OutNo029895.8807,435*
255-10-19OutNo019997.4539,193*
245-9-20OutNo019998.4352,054*
235-8-21OutNo010099.1223,675*
225-7-22OutNo010099.5139,249*
214-9-21OutNo010099.783,946*
204-8-22OutNo010099.849,356*
194-7-23OutNo010099.928,194*
183-9-22OutNo010099.915,444*
173-8-23OutNo0100100.08,316*
163-7-24OutNo0100100.04,205*
0-15OutNo100100.074,602*
Total:58.3%4.2%8888888888884.2%682,816,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeNYCFCNew EnglandToronto FCDC UnitedAtlantaChicagoNY Red BullsPhiladelphiaMontrealOrlandoCincinnati
68-10212.5%Yes
6720-7-712.510000
6620-6-812.5100000
6519-8-712.510000000000000
6419-7-812.510000000000000
6319-6-912.510000000000000
6218-8-812.510000000000000
6118-7-912.510000000000000
6018-6-1012.510000000000000
5917-8-912.59900000000000
18-5-1112.49900000000000
5817-7-1012.49800000000000
16-10-812.49800000000000
5716-9-912.39600000000000
17-6-1112.39700000000000
5616-8-1012.09311111111111
17-5-1212.09311111111111
5516-7-1111.78711111111111
15-10-911.68611111111111
5415-9-1011.07622222222222
16-6-1211.07722222222222
5315-8-1110.16433333333333
14-11-910.06233333333333
16-5-1310.26533333333333
5215-7-129.04944444444444
14-10-108.84744444444444
16-4-149.04944444444444
5114-9-117.53255555555555
15-6-137.73555555555555
13-12-97.43155555555555
5014-8-126.12055555555555
13-11-105.81855555555555
15-5-146.22155555555555
4914-7-134.61055555555555
13-10-114.3955555555555
4813-9-122.9444444444444
14-6-143.0444444444444
4713-8-131.8122222222222
12-11-111.7122222222222
4613-7-140.9011111111111
4512-9-130.4011111111111
4412-8-140.1000000000000
4312-7-150.0000000000000
4211-9-140.0000000000000
4111-8-150.0000000000000
4011-7-160.000000000000
3910-9-150.000000000000
3810-8-16No00000000
3710-7-17No0
0-36No
Total:4.2%25.01.51.51.51.51.51.51.51.51.51.51.5
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/2100.0*Lottery seed
Columbus vs NY Red Bulls-1.4+0.3+1.2
Seattle vs Cincinnati-0.1-0.0+0.1
LA Galaxy vs Chicago-0.1-0.0+0.1
San Jose vs Montreal-0.1-0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs New England-0.1-0.0+0.1
Orlando vs NYCFC+0.0-0.1+0.0
DC United vs Atlanta+0.0-0.1+0.0
Philadelphia vs Toronto FC+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/9100.0*Lottery seed
New England vs Columbus+1.2+0.3-1.4
Houston vs Montreal-0.1-0.0+0.1
Sporting KC vs Philadelphia-0.1-0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs DC United+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Cincinnati+0.0-0.1+0.0
Chicago vs Orlando+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324
85-102100
8427-3-41000
8326-5-31000
8226-4-4100
8125-6-31000
8025-5-41000
7925-4-51000
7824-6-410000
7724-5-510000
7623-7-410000
7523-6-510000
7423-5-610000
7322-7-59900
7222-6-69910
7122-5-799110
7021-7-698110
6921-6-797210
6820-8-695320
6720-7-79343000
6620-6-88965000
6519-8-78497000
6419-7-87812100000
6319-6-970161301000
6218-8-861201801000
6118-7-9502423120000
6018-6-10382828240000
5917-8-927303247010000
5817-7-10173033712020000
5716-9-99273111171300000
5616-8-1042225172226010000
5516-7-1121617212651102000000
5415-9-1001092324101715010000
5315-8-11064201816223902000000
5215-7-120311410212281515010000
5114-9-110108420171520390200000
5014-8-120004114920219161501000
4914-7-1300108319141620411030000
4813-9-12000040136201911172710000
4713-8-13000107217111820613410000
4613-7-140000030114201614191030000
4512-9-1300001051158201919930000
4412-8-14000020821913221910310000
4311-10-13000010401361725201031000
4211-9-140000010728192621113100
4111-8-150000003031021272110300
4010-10-140000101412232821920
3910-9-150000000151426291861
3810-8-1600000016183028143
379-10-1500000002102433247
369-9-16000001416323413
359-8-170000029264023
348-10-16000004194235
338-9-1700002123947
328-8-1800173359
317-10-1700042770
307-9-180022078
297-8-190011485
286-10-180001090
276-9-1900693
266-8-2000496
255-10-190397
245-9-200298
235-8-210199
225-7-22199
214-9-210100
204-8-220100
194-7-230100
183-9-220100
173-8-230100
163-7-240100
152-9-230100
0-14100
Total:444444444444444444444444