Columbus Crew Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat NY Red Bulls 3-0, playoff odds up 6.5 to 81%
10 points   3-1-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Columbus 2 Chicago 1 +7.8
+0.9
+2.0
-1.0
+0.9
NY Red Bulls 2 Dallas 1 -0.5
-0.1
-0.1
NYCFC 1 Portland 2 +0.5
-0.1
+0.0
Orlando 2 Minnesota 3 +0.5
-0.1
+0.0
Cincinnati 0 DC United 0 +0.3
+0.1
Nashville 2 LA Galaxy 2 +0.1
+0.1
+0.0
Miami CF 2 Montreal 3 -0.1
Atlanta 4 New England 1 -0.1
Toronto 1 Charlotte 0 -0.1
Austin 2 St Louis 2 +0.1
LAFC 0 Sporting KC 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Philadelphia vs Seattle-0.4+0.1+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Week of 3/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Columbus 3 NY Red Bulls 0 +6.9
+1.0
+2.8
-0.5
+0.9
Chicago 4 Montreal 3 -0.2
+0.1
NYCFC 2 Toronto 1 -0.2
+0.1
Austin 2 Philadelphia 2 +0.1
+0.0
Nashville 2 Charlotte 1 -0.1
DC United 1 Miami CF 3 -0.1
Minnesota 2 LAFC 0 -0.1
LA Galaxy 3 St Louis 3 +0.1
Dallas 1 Vancouver 3 -0.1
Houston 1 Portland 0 +0.1
Seattle 1 Colorado 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Atlanta vs Orlando-0.1+0.2-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
New England vs Cincinnati-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112131415SpoonCount
79-100In100.0%100No16,123*
7821-5-4In99.91000No5,935*
7721-4-5In99.81000No10,054*
7620-6-4In99.81000No16,347*
7520-5-5In99.71000No25,987*
7420-4-6In99.61000No40,168*
7319-6-5In99.41000No62,024*
7219-5-6In99.110000No93,267*
7118-7-5In98.51000No136,466*
7018-6-6In97.89910No195,843*
6918-5-7In96.59910No276,149*
6817-7-6In94.69820No382,176*
6717-6-7In92.09730No517,428*
6617-5-8In88.39550No689,853*
6516-7-7In83.193700No899,082*
6416-6-8In76.4891000No1,150,703*
6315-8-7In67.98515100No1,445,460*
6215-7-8In57.67920200No1,785,956*
6115-6-9In46.271263000No2,162,346*
6014-8-8In34.362326000No2,572,745*
5914-7-9In23.05138101000No3,001,942*
5814-6-10In13.64042152000No3,443,972*
5713-8-9In6.82943225100No3,872,262*
5613-7-10In2.8194029102000No4,284,043*
5513-6-11In0.81133351741000No4,649,350*
5412-8-10In0.2523352592000No4,952,237*
5312-7-11100.0%0.021430311751000No5,179,537*
5212-6-12100.00.0172132251130000No5,313,445*
5111-8-11100.00.00212263120710000No5,362,409*
5011-7-1299.9No0151629281551000No5,307,332*
4910-9-1199.5No00182030251230000No5,150,492*
4810-8-1297.5No00031023302292000No4,909,081*
4710-7-1391.3No000141326291971000No4,587,100*
469-9-1277.6No000151628281651000No4,204,254*
459-8-1356.6No00017192926134000No3,780,236*
449-7-1433.9No0002922302310200No3,330,232*
438-9-1316.1No000312263120710No2,878,506*
428-8-146.1No0001517302915400.0%2,433,690*
418-7-151.9No00028223325910.02,018,037*
407-9-140.5No00031329331730.01,635,816*
397-8-150.1No001722362770.21,299,758*
387-7-160.0No0003133336141.01,008,653*
376-9-150.0No00172642233.2765,036*
366-8-160.0No00031843357.8567,598*
356-7-17OutNo00112404615.6410,402*
345-9-16OutNo0017355825.9290,819*
335-8-17OutNo004286838.2200,501*
325-7-18OutNo002217751.1133,624*
314-9-17OutNo01158462.787,393*
304-8-18OutNo0118972.755,563*
294-7-19OutNo079380.733,841*
284-6-20OutNo059586.820,479*
273-8-19OutNo039791.412,127*
263-7-20OutNo29894.56,535*
253-6-21OutNo19996.23,547*
242-8-20OutNo19998.31,749*
232-7-21OutNo010098.5938*
10-22OutNo100100.09,160*
Total:81.0%9.6%1612109876655443220.6%97,685,808

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Columbus finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeMiami CFTorontoMontrealNY Red BullsCincinnatiNashvilleAtlantaDC UnitedPhiladelphiaChicagoCharlotteNYCFCOrlandoNew England
66-10012.5%Yes
6516-7-712.5100000000
6416-6-812.51000000000000000
6315-8-712.510000000000000000
16-5-912.510000000000000000
6215-7-812.510000000000000000
16-4-1012.510000000000000000
6115-6-912.510000000000000000
14-9-712.510000000000000000
6014-8-812.510000000000000000
15-5-1012.510000000000000000
5914-7-912.49900000000000000
15-4-1112.59900000000000000
13-10-712.49900000000000000
5814-6-1012.49800000000000000
13-9-812.39700000000000000
5713-8-912.19411110000000000
14-5-1112.19510000000000000
12-11-712.29411110000000000
5613-7-1011.78811111111111110
12-10-811.78811111111111110
14-4-1211.98911111111111110
5513-6-1111.17922222221111111
12-9-911.07722222222111111
14-3-1311.27922222221111111
5412-8-1010.06333333332222221
13-5-1210.36633333322222221
11-11-810.06333333332222221
5312-7-118.84654444443333322
11-10-98.64454444443333322
13-4-138.94944444443333322
5212-6-127.23055555444444333
11-9-107.02755555444444333
10-12-87.22955555444444333
5111-8-115.31455554444444333
12-5-135.61655555444444333
10-11-95.21355554444444333
5011-7-123.6644444333333322
10-10-103.3544443333333322
12-4-143.7644444443333332
4911-6-132.1232222222222221
10-9-111.8122222222222211
4810-8-120.8011111111111111
4710-7-130.3000000000000000
4610-6-140.1000000000000000
459-8-130.0000000000000000
449-7-140.000000000000000
439-6-150.00000000000
429-5-16No0
10-41No
Total:6.0%39.01.61.51.51.51.41.31.31.21.11.11.11.00.90.8
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs