Colorado Rapids Playoff Chances 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.07 to 68.4%
6 points   2-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 +7.6
+0.9
+2.3
-1.0
+0.7
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3 +0.2
+0.0
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 +0.2
+0.1
+0.0
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2 +0.2
+0.1
+0.0
Portland 1 Nashville 0 -0.2
*-0.1
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 +0.2
+0.1
+0.0
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1 -0.1
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 -0.1
-0.1
Sporting KC 4 Houston 0 -0.1
-0.1
Atlanta 2 Cincinnati 1 -0.1
New England 1 Chicago 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Vancouver vs Colorado-6.6-1.6+7.6
-0.9-0.2+1.0
-2.4-1.0+3.1
+0.6+0.1-0.6
-0.6-0.2+0.7
Miami vs LA Galaxy+0.5+0.2-0.6
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas+0.5+0.1-0.6
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose+0.5+0.2-0.6
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Columbus vs RSL+0.5+0.2-0.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
New England vs Portland+0.5+0.2-0.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville+0.5+0.2-0.6
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs Sporting KC+0.4+0.1-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls-0.5+0.1+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Houston vs Seattle-0.1+0.3-0.1
*+0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs DC United+0.0+0.1-0.1
Orlando vs Chicago-0.0+0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910111213SpoonCount
77-102In99.9%100No8,059*
7622-4-6In99.91000No3,635*
7521-6-5In99.61000No5,601*
7421-5-6In99.61000No9,063*
7320-7-5In99.41000No13,560*
7220-6-6In99.01000No20,491*
7120-5-7In98.5991No29,659*
7019-7-6In97.6991No42,765*
6919-6-7In96.29820No60,801*
6819-5-8In94.49730No83,905*
6718-7-7In91.99640No114,457*
6618-6-8In88.094600No152,889*
6517-8-7In82.991800No201,333*
6417-7-8In76.2881200No258,325*
6317-6-9In67.8831610No327,532*
6216-8-8In57.97721200No407,652*
6116-7-9In46.769273000No498,582*
6016-6-10In35.060336000No598,380*
5915-8-9In23.8503910100No708,293*
5815-7-10In14.44042152000No823,505*
5715-6-11100.0%7.529432251000No938,591*
5614-8-10100.03.220402992000No1,055,315*
5514-7-11100.01.1123434164000No1,163,993*
5413-9-10100.00.3725352381000No1,262,770*
5313-8-11100.00.031632301441000No1,343,882*
5213-7-1299.80.01925322282000No1,409,398*
5112-9-1199.20.004163029165100No1,452,683*
5012-8-1297.1No018223124103000No1,469,096*
4912-7-1391.8No0031326301971000No1,459,820*
4811-9-1281.2No0016182927144100No1,427,136*
4711-8-1364.7No000210233023102000No1,370,806*
4611-7-1444.8No0014142729186100No1,292,866*
4510-9-1326.3No0001618292713400No1,195,924*
4410-8-1412.8No000210243122920No1,088,714*
4310-7-155.0No00141529301640No970,451*
429-9-141.7No000282233261010.0%851,238*
419-8-150.5No00031329331730.0729,895*
409-7-160.1No001722362770.1615,549*
398-9-150.0No0003143435130.4508,306*
388-8-160.0No00182841211.6412,172*
378-7-170.0No00042043324.6328,315*
367-9-16OutNo00214424310.2254,946*
357-8-17OutNo018375418.7192,937*
347-7-18OutNo005316429.6143,966*
336-9-17OutNo002247341.9105,016*
326-8-18OutNo01188154.174,705*
316-7-19OutNo00138665.451,911*
305-9-18OutNo0099074.934,998*
295-8-19OutNo069482.323,054*
285-7-20OutNo049688.015,050*
274-9-19OutNo039792.09,448*
264-8-20OutNo29894.65,706*
254-7-21OutNo19996.83,310*
243-9-20OutNo19997.91,999*
233-8-21OutNo010098.91,095*
223-7-22OutNo010098.5608*
6-21OutNo10099.93,280*
Total:68.4%7.9%13111099877665431.2%27,637,436

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeSporting KCMinnesotaFC DallasSeattleLAFCVancouverPortlandRSLLA GalaxySan JoseHoustonNashville
67-10212.5%Yes
6618-6-812.41000
6517-8-712.510000
6417-7-812.610000000000
6317-6-912.6100000000000000
6216-8-812.4100000000000000
17-5-1012.5100000000000000
6116-7-912.5100000000000000
15-10-712.4100000000000000
6016-6-1012.4100000000000000
15-9-812.4100000000000000
5915-8-912.499000000000000
16-5-1112.599000000000000
5815-7-1012.497000000000000
14-10-812.397000000000000
16-4-1212.498000000000000
5715-6-1112.195110110000000
14-9-912.294111111100000
5614-8-1011.789111111111111
15-5-1211.990111111111111
13-11-811.688111111111111
5514-7-1111.380222222211111
13-10-911.279222222221111
15-4-1311.381222222211111
5413-9-1010.366333333322222
14-6-1210.569333333322222
12-12-810.367333333322222
5313-8-119.251554444433333
14-5-139.454444444433333
12-11-99.250554444433333
5213-7-127.836555555544443
12-10-107.633665555544444
14-4-147.836565555544443
5112-9-116.120665555554444
13-6-136.422665555554444
11-12-96.220665555544444
5012-8-124.610555555544443
13-5-144.711555555544444
11-11-104.49555554444443
4912-7-133.04444444333333
11-10-112.94444443333333
4811-9-121.71222222222222
4711-8-130.80111111111111
4611-7-140.30000000000000
4510-9-130.10000000000000
4410-8-140.00000000000000
4310-7-150.0000000000000
429-9-140.0000000000000
4110-5-17No000000
6-40No
Total:5.5%34.91.81.81.71.71.71.61.61.41.31.31.31.1
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/7100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado 2 Orlando 1 -1.5
LAFC 3 Philadelphia 3 *-0.0
RSL 1 NY Red Bulls 1 -0.0
FC Dallas 2 Montreal 2 -0.0
Seattle 1 Columbus 1 -0.0
San Jose 2 Minnesota 5 +0.0
Sporting KC 4 Houston 0 +0.0
Portland 1 Nashville 0 *+0.0
LA Galaxy 0 Vancouver 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/14100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Colorado+1.2+0.3-1.5
Atlanta vs Sporting KC-0.1-0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls+0.1-0.0-0.1
NYCFC vs FC Dallas-0.1-0.0+0.1
New England vs Portland-0.0-0.0+0.1
Columbus vs RSL-0.0-0.0+0.1
Miami vs LA Galaxy-0.0-0.0+0.1
Philadelphia vs San Jose-0.0-0.0+0.1
Toronto FC vs Nashville-0.0-0.0+0.1
Houston vs Seattle+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526
82-102100
8123-6-31000
79-80100
7822-6-41000
7722-5-51000
7622-4-610000
7521-6-510000
7421-5-610000
7320-7-59900
7220-6-69910
7120-5-79811
7019-7-69811
6919-6-796220
6819-5-894330
6718-7-7924400
6618-6-88866000
6517-8-78398000
6417-7-8761212000
6317-6-9681516010
6216-8-858192102000
6116-7-9472226130000
6016-6-10352531260000
5915-8-924263541001000
5815-7-10142535715020000
5715-6-117223112211501000
5614-8-1031624172639020000
5514-7-11111151928615040000
5413-9-100671824112228010000
5313-8-11032141616255140401000
5213-7-12011881722102128020000
5112-9-110004214141524515050100
5012-8-120010861620112221003000
4912-7-1300003112101623718171000
4811-9-120001063151514234144100
4711-8-1300000219616201021113000
4611-7-14000104112101622201030000
4510-9-1300001063151524201031000
4410-8-140000211061825211141000
4310-7-15000104281825221351000
429-9-14000020281825231561000
419-8-150000028172524156100
409-7-16000002817262515510
398-9-15000000281928251340
388-8-160001310223024102
378-7-17000014132731195
367-9-160001619332910
357-8-17000312293719
347-7-180016224130
336-9-17003154042
326-8-1800193654
316-7-190052965
305-9-18022375
295-8-19011782
285-7-20011188
274-9-190892
264-8-200595
254-7-21397
243-9-200298
233-8-21199
223-7-22199
213-6-230100
202-8-22199
6-19100
Total:85756464535353443333222221