Colorado Rapids Playoff Chances 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 53.8%
0 points   0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/29100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
DC United vs Colorado-6.4-2.1+7.8
-0.7-0.3+0.8
-1.3-0.6+1.7
+1.4+0.2-1.6
-0.6-0.2+0.7
LAFC vs Miami-0.7+0.2+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Nashville vs Atlanta-0.7+0.2+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
San Jose vs Toronto FC-0.6+0.2+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
FC Dallas vs Philadelphia-0.6+0.2+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Seattle vs Chicago-0.6+0.2+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Orlando vs RSL+0.5+0.2-0.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Sporting KC-0.1+0.4-0.1
Portland vs Minnesota-0.1+0.4-0.1
Houston vs LA Galaxy-0.1+0.4-0.1
NY Red Bulls vs Cincinnati-0.0+0.1-0.0
Columbus vs NYCFC-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Colorado vs Orlando+7.8-2.1-6.4
+0.8-0.3-0.7
+1.7-0.6-1.3
-1.6+0.2+1.4
+0.7-0.2-0.6
RSL vs NY Red Bulls-0.6+0.2+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
LAFC vs Philadelphia-0.6+0.2+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Seattle vs Columbus-0.6+0.2+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
FC Dallas vs Montreal-0.6+0.2+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
San Jose vs Minnesota-0.1+0.4-0.1
Portland vs Nashville-0.1+0.4-0.1
LA Galaxy vs Vancouver-0.1+0.4-0.1
Sporting KC vs Houston-0.1+0.4-0.1
DC United vs Miami-0.0+0.1-0.0
Atlanta vs Cincinnati-0.0+0.1-0.0
Toronto FC vs NYCFC-0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield12345678910111213SpoonCount
81-102In100.0%100No422,188*
8025-5-4In99.91000No18,365*
7925-4-5In99.91000No32,929*
7824-6-4In99.91000No57,635*
7724-5-5In99.91000No98,346*
7623-7-4In99.81000No164,303*
7523-6-5In99.71000No270,717*
7423-5-6In99.61000No434,805*
7322-7-5In99.41000No685,168*
7222-6-6In99.01000No1,061,468*
7122-5-7In98.59910No1,614,968*
7021-7-6In97.69910No2,405,232*
6921-6-7In96.39910No3,522,712*
6820-8-6In94.498200No5,062,679*
6720-7-7In91.797300No7,155,532*
6620-6-8In87.995500No9,939,248*
6519-8-7In82.792700No13,558,460*
6419-7-8In75.98911000No18,187,788*
6319-6-9In67.48515100No23,989,248*
6218-8-8In57.47920200No31,119,595*
6118-7-9In46.172253000No39,696,594*
6018-6-10In34.563315000No49,814,211*
5917-8-9In23.4533791000No61,474,392*
5817-7-10In14.14341142000No74,645,902*
5716-9-9100.0%7.332432040000No89,152,891*
5616-8-10100.03.123412781000No104,801,949*
5516-7-11100.01.01436321430000No121,210,078*
5415-9-10100.00.2828352161000No137,903,113*
5315-8-11100.00.041933281230000No154,384,441*
5215-7-1299.90.0211273220710000No170,052,676*
5114-9-1199.40.0161931271341000No184,329,439*
5014-8-1297.80.00211253021820000No196,587,126*
4914-7-1393.7No01516282816510000No206,265,633*
4813-9-1284.9No00282130241130000No212,908,481*
4713-8-1370.3No00031225292082000No216,196,762*
4613-7-1451.4No00016172827155100No215,956,195*
4512-9-1332.2No00002921302411300No212,152,905*
4412-8-1417.0No0001413263019710No204,968,490*
4311-10-137.4No00001618302814300.0%194,718,810*
4211-9-142.7No0000210243223810.0181,884,810*
4111-8-150.8No000151631311530.0167,011,422*
4010-10-140.2No00002925352360.1150,687,924*
3910-9-150.0No00014173432110.5133,652,893*
3810-8-160.0No00002103039191.8116,416,583*
379-10-150.0No000152343285.199,595,578*
369-9-160.0No0000316423911.183,658,332*
359-8-170.0No000110395020.069,008,390*
348-10-16OutNo0006336131.255,839,122*
338-9-17OutNo0003277043.644,332,794*
328-8-18OutNo002207855.834,499,506*
317-10-17OutNo001158466.826,326,493*
307-9-18OutNo000108976.019,673,384*
297-8-19OutNo00079383.214,412,418*
286-10-18OutNo0059588.610,328,411*
276-9-19OutNo0039792.57,227,392*
266-8-20OutNo0029895.24,954,233*
255-10-19OutNo019997.03,313,377*
245-9-20OutNo019998.22,165,270*
235-8-21OutNo0010098.91,380,827*
225-7-22OutNo010099.3856,503*
214-9-21OutNo010099.6516,637*
204-8-22OutNo010099.8302,786*
194-7-23OutNo010099.8173,391*
183-9-22OutNo010099.996,193*
173-8-23OutNo010099.951,386*
163-7-24OutNo010099.926,447*
152-9-23OutNo010099.913,001*
0-14OutNo100100.0412,703*
Total:53.8%3.8%88888888888883.8%4,195,839,680

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeRSLFC DallasSporting KCLAFCNashvilleSeattleMinnesotaHoustonSan JosePortlandLA GalaxyVancouver
69-10212.5%Yes
6820-8-612.51000
6720-7-712.510000000
6620-6-812.51000000000000
6519-8-712.5100000000000000
6419-7-812.5100000000000000
6319-6-912.5100000000000000
6218-8-812.5100000000000000
6118-7-912.5100000000000000
6018-6-1012.5100000000000000
5917-8-912.499000000000000
18-5-1112.599000000000000
5817-7-1012.498000000000000
16-10-812.498000000000000
5716-9-912.295000000000000
17-6-1112.296000000000000
5616-8-1011.991111111111111
17-5-1211.991111111111111
5516-7-1111.483111111111111
15-10-911.483111111111111
5415-9-1010.671222222222222
16-6-1210.773222222222222
14-12-810.671222222222222
5315-8-119.657333333333333
14-11-99.455333333333333
16-5-139.759333333333333
5215-7-128.442444444444444
14-10-108.139444444444444
16-4-148.341444444444444
5114-9-116.624555555555555
15-6-136.927555555555555
13-12-96.624555555555555
5014-8-125.113555555555555
13-11-104.912555555555555
15-5-145.314555555555555
4914-7-133.66444444444444
13-10-113.45444444444444
4813-9-122.02222222222222
14-6-142.12222222222222
4713-8-131.01111111111111
4613-7-140.40111111111111
4512-9-130.10000000000000
4412-8-140.00000000000000
4312-7-150.00000000000000
4211-9-140.00000000000000
4111-8-150.0000000000000
4011-7-160.0000000000000
3910-9-15No0000000000
3810-8-16No0
0-37No
Total:3.8%23.11.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.31.3
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/29100.0*Lottery seed
DC United vs Colorado+1.2+0.4-1.5
LAFC vs Miami+0.1-0.0-0.0
San Jose vs Toronto FC+0.1-0.0-0.0
FC Dallas vs Philadelphia+0.1-0.0-0.0
Orlando vs RSL-0.0-0.0+0.1
Seattle vs Chicago+0.1-0.0-0.0
Nashville vs Atlanta+0.1-0.0-0.0
Portland vs Minnesota+0.0-0.1+0.0
Vancouver vs Sporting KC+0.0-0.1+0.0
Houston vs LA Galaxy+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/7100.0*Lottery seed
Colorado vs Orlando-1.5+0.4+1.2
RSL vs NY Red Bulls+0.1-0.0-0.0
LAFC vs Philadelphia+0.1-0.0-0.0
Seattle vs Columbus+0.1-0.0-0.0
FC Dallas vs Montreal+0.1-0.0-0.0
San Jose vs Minnesota+0.0-0.1+0.0
Portland vs Nashville+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sporting KC vs Houston+0.0-0.1+0.0
LA Galaxy vs Vancouver+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526
84-102100
8326-5-31000
8226-4-41000
8125-6-31000
8025-5-410000
7925-4-510000
7824-6-410000
7724-5-510000
7623-7-410000
7523-6-510000
7423-5-610000
7322-7-59900
7222-6-69910
7122-5-798110
7021-7-698110
6921-6-7962100
6820-8-69432000
6720-7-79253000
6620-6-88875000
6519-8-783107000
6419-7-876131100000
6319-6-967171401000
6218-8-857211902000
6118-7-94626241300000
6018-6-103429292500000
5917-8-923303259010000
5817-7-101429339130200000
5716-9-972529141914000000
5616-8-10320221924380100000
5516-7-1111314222571303000000
5415-9-1008722221319260100000
5315-8-110421715192251203000000
5215-7-1202011720201218270100000
5114-9-1101062171318216131401000
5014-8-12000201051917131938020000
4914-7-1300105115919208151510000
4813-9-120000208318131620511310000
4713-8-1300000301252017121893000000
4613-7-1400000106115919191893000000
4512-9-1300000020931813221910310000
4412-8-140000104012516232112510000
4311-10-13000001061716242314610000
4211-9-1400000020271624241672000
4111-8-15000010027162525167200
4010-10-14000000002716252616610
3910-9-150000000281827261440
3810-8-160000000039213025112
379-10-1500000014122632205
369-9-160000001618333011
359-8-1700000211283820
348-10-16000015214131
338-9-1700002144044
328-8-18000183556
317-10-1700042867
307-9-1800022276
297-8-1900011683
286-10-180001189
276-9-19000793
266-8-2000595
255-10-1900397
245-9-200298
235-8-210199
225-7-220199
214-9-2100100
204-8-220100
194-7-230100
183-9-220100
173-8-230100
163-7-240100
152-9-230100
142-8-24100
132-7-250100
122-6-260100
0-11100
Total:44444444444444444444444444