Chicago Fire FC Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Montreal 4-3, playoff odds up 8.2 to 53%
4 points   1-1-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Columbus 2 Chicago 1 -7.2
-0.6
-0.8
+1.8
-0.7
NY Red Bulls 2 Dallas 1 -0.6
-0.1
-0.1
Orlando 2 Minnesota 3 +0.5
+0.0
NYCFC 1 Portland 2 +0.5
+0.0
Cincinnati 0 DC United 0 +0.3
Nashville 2 LA Galaxy 2 +0.2
+0.0
Miami CF 2 Montreal 3 -0.1
Atlanta 4 New England 1 -0.1
Toronto 1 Charlotte 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Philadelphia vs Seattle-0.6+0.1+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Week of 3/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Chicago 4 Montreal 3 +8.7
+0.6
+0.7
-2.5
+0.9
NYCFC 2 Toronto 1 -0.2
+0.1
Austin 2 Philadelphia 2 +0.2
+0.0
Nashville 2 Charlotte 1 -0.1
DC United 1 Miami CF 3 -0.1
Columbus 3 NY Red Bulls 0 -0.1
Houston 1 Portland 0 +0.1
Sporting KC 2 San Jose 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Atlanta vs Orlando-0.1+0.3-0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
New England vs Cincinnati-0.1+0.3-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112131415SpoonCount
77-94InYes100No8,994*
7623-3-4In99.8%1000No625*
7522-5-3InYes100No1,129*
7422-4-4In99.71000No2,001*
7321-6-3In99.31000No3,455*
7221-5-4In99.11000No5,808*
7121-4-5In98.7991No9,773*
7020-6-4In97.69910No15,927*
6920-5-5In96.69910No25,999*
6820-4-6In94.59820No40,620*
6719-6-5In92.19640No62,354*
6619-5-6In88.39550No92,557*
6518-7-5In83.19280No135,871*
6418-6-6In76.6881100No196,170*
6318-5-7In68.28416100No276,266*
6217-7-6In58.17721200No381,599*
6117-6-7In46.56927300No516,799*
6017-5-8In34.760336000No690,240*
5916-7-7In23.4503910100No899,046*
5816-6-8In14.03943163000No1,150,622*
5715-8-7In7.02843236100No1,446,125*
5615-7-8In2.9183930102000No1,784,882*
5515-6-9In0.9103235184100No2,163,564*
5414-8-8In0.25233526102000No2,574,184*
5314-7-9In0.02133031175100No3,004,611*
5214-6-10100.0%0.0162132261130000No3,442,949*
5113-8-9100.00.0021126312071000No3,873,465*
5013-7-1099.9No0151629281651000No4,282,834*
4913-6-1199.5No00182030251230000No4,649,416*
4812-8-1097.6No00031023302292000No4,953,791*
4712-7-1191.6No00141326291971000No5,178,046*
4612-6-1278.4No00015162828165100No5,321,646*
4511-8-1157.9No00027193026133000No5,360,912*
4411-7-1235.2No0002102330239200No5,305,121*
4310-9-1117.2No0001413273019610No5,148,591*
4210-8-126.7No0001618302814300.0%4,905,355*
4110-7-132.1No00029233324810.04,584,057*
409-9-120.5No00041430321630.04,206,767*
399-8-130.1No0001723362670.23,779,779*
389-7-140.0No0003153435130.83,331,038*
378-9-130.0No000182742222.82,873,605*
368-8-140.0No00042044337.02,436,814*
358-7-150.0No000213414414.32,017,117*
347-9-14OutNo0018365624.51,637,296*
337-8-15OutNo0004306636.61,299,827*
327-7-16OutNo0002237549.31,008,063*
316-9-15OutNo01178261.2765,426*
306-8-16OutNo00128871.5567,431*
296-7-17OutNo0089279.9411,180*
285-9-16OutNo059586.3290,592*
275-8-17OutNo039791.0199,460*
265-7-18OutNo029894.2134,760*
255-6-19OutNo019996.387,459*
244-8-18OutNo19997.755,629*
234-7-19OutNo010098.634,188*
224-6-20OutNo010099.220,332*
213-8-19OutNo010099.511,770*
203-7-20OutNo010099.86,522*
193-6-21OutNo010099.83,524*
4-18OutNo100100.011,825*
Total:53.0%2.0%4556667777888884.0%97,685,808

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeColumbusMiami CFTorontoMontrealNY Red BullsCincinnatiNashvilleAtlantaDC UnitedPhiladelphiaCharlotteNYCFCOrlandoNew England
65-9412.5%Yes
6418-6-612.610000000000
6318-5-712.410000000000000000
6217-7-612.610000000000000000
6117-6-712.510000000000000000
16-9-512.510000000000000000
6017-5-812.510000000000000000
16-8-612.410000000000000000
5916-7-712.49900000000000000
17-4-912.49900000000000000
5816-6-812.39700000000000000
15-9-612.29700000000000000
17-3-1012.49700000000000000
5715-8-712.19411111100000000
16-5-912.29411010000000000
14-11-512.09311111100000000
5615-7-811.78811111111111110
16-4-1011.88811111111111110
14-10-611.78611111111111110
5515-6-911.17822222222111111
14-9-710.97622222222211111
16-3-1111.07822222222111111
5414-8-810.06243333333222221
15-5-1010.16533333323222221
13-11-69.96143333333222221
5314-7-98.84655444444333322
15-4-119.04755444434333322
13-10-78.54355444444333322
5214-6-107.22955555444443332
13-9-86.92665555544443332
15-3-127.33065555444443332
12-12-66.72565555544443332
5113-8-95.21455555444443332
14-5-115.51555555444444332
12-11-75.11355555444443332
5013-7-103.6644444433333322
12-10-83.3544343333333222
14-4-123.6644444433333322
4913-6-112.0233222222222221
12-9-91.8122222222222211
14-3-131.9122222222222211
4812-8-100.8011111111111111
13-5-120.9011111111111111
4712-7-110.3000000000000000
4612-6-120.1000000000000000
4511-8-110.0000000000000000
4411-7-120.000000000000000
4311-6-130.000000000000000
4210-8-12No0000
4-41No
Total:2.5%14.21.11.11.01.01.00.90.90.90.80.70.70.60.60.5
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs