Chicago Fire FC Playoff Chances 50/50

Tied New England 1-1, playoff odds down 3.3 to 49.5%
5 points   1-2-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Columbus 2 Chicago 1 -7.2
-0.6
-0.8
+1.8
-0.7
NY Red Bulls 2 Dallas 1 -0.6
-0.1
-0.1
Orlando 2 Minnesota 3 +0.5
+0.0
NYCFC 1 Portland 2 +0.5
+0.0
Cincinnati 0 DC United 0 +0.3
Nashville 2 LA Galaxy 2 +0.2
+0.0
Miami CF 2 Montreal 3 -0.1
Atlanta 4 New England 1 -0.1
Toronto 1 Charlotte 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Philadelphia vs Seattle-0.6+0.2+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Week of 3/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Chicago 4 Montreal 3 +8.7
+0.6
+0.7
-2.5
+0.9
NYCFC 2 Toronto 1 -0.2
+0.1
Austin 2 Philadelphia 2 +0.2
+0.0
Nashville 2 Charlotte 1 -0.1
New England 1 Cincinnati 2 -0.1
-0.1
DC United 1 Miami CF 3 -0.1
Atlanta 2 Orlando 0 -0.1
Columbus 3 NY Red Bulls 0 -0.1
Houston 1 Portland 0 +0.1
Sporting KC 2 San Jose 1 -0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112131415SpoonCount
75-92In100.0%100No10,203*
7422-3-4In99.51000No1,248*
7321-5-3In99.31000No2,192*
7221-4-4In99.41000No3,945*
7120-6-3In98.7991No6,862*
7020-5-4In97.8991No11,722*
6920-4-5In96.89910No19,144*
6819-6-4In94.99820No30,563*
6719-5-5In92.49640No48,147*
6619-4-6In88.79450No73,732*
6518-6-5In83.692800No110,567*
6418-5-6In76.7881200No163,307*
6317-7-5In68.4831610No234,154*
6217-6-6In57.97622200No330,976*
6117-5-7In46.468284000No454,870*
6016-7-6In34.35835710No618,296*
5916-6-7In23.0474011100No819,880*
5816-5-8In13.43643183000No1,066,080*
5715-7-7In6.62542257100No1,362,659*
5615-6-8In2.7163832122000No1,702,828*
5515-5-9In0.8930352051000No2,089,633*
5414-7-8In0.24203427112000No2,517,681*
5314-6-9100.0%0.021128322061000No2,974,794*
5213-8-8100.00.0051831281441000No3,452,544*
5113-7-9100.00.002923312392000No3,927,848*
5013-6-1099.9No0041327301861000No4,384,223*
4912-8-999.2No00161729271541000No4,803,788*
4812-7-1096.6No00028213025113000No5,165,692*
4712-6-1189.0No00031124302292000No5,454,323*
4611-8-1073.6No00141326291971000No5,648,328*
4511-7-1151.7No00015172928154100No5,730,681*
4411-6-1229.6No0002820312611300No5,713,513*
4310-8-1113.5No0000311253122810No5,584,461*
4210-7-124.9No0001415293016400.0%5,350,519*
4110-6-131.4No00017213326910.05,029,245*
409-8-120.3No00031329341830.04,627,573*
399-7-130.1No0001621362870.24,177,830*
389-6-140.0No0002133337141.03,691,628*
378-8-130.0No00172643233.33,197,152*
368-7-140.0No00031944348.02,712,092*
358-6-15OutNo00112414515.72,251,385*
347-8-14OutNo0017365626.31,830,174*
337-7-15OutNo0004296738.61,449,049*
327-6-16OutNo002237551.11,124,894*
316-8-15OutNo001178262.8853,816*
306-7-16OutNo00128872.7629,816*
296-6-17OutNo0089280.9455,889*
285-8-16OutNo0069486.9319,809*
275-7-17OutNo049691.4219,094*
265-6-18OutNo029894.3146,216*
254-8-17OutNo019996.594,511*
244-7-18OutNo19997.959,359*
234-6-19OutNo19998.736,358*
223-8-18OutNo010099.221,305*
213-7-19OutNo010099.412,316*
203-6-20OutNo010099.66,656*
192-8-19OutNo010099.73,572*
182-7-20OutNo010099.91,780*
172-6-21OutNo010099.8878*
5-16OutNo100Yes9,528*
Total:49.5%1.6%3455666778889994.4%102,831,328

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Chicago finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeCincinnatiTorontoColumbusNY Red BullsMiami CFMontrealAtlantaPhiladelphiaCharlotteDC UnitedNashvilleOrlandoNYCFCNew England
66-9212.5%Yes
6518-6-512.510000
6418-5-612.51000000000000
6317-7-512.41000000000000000
6217-6-612.610000000000000000
6117-5-712.410000000000000000
16-8-512.510000000000000000
6016-7-612.49900000000000000
17-4-812.49900000000000000
5916-6-712.49900000000000000
15-9-512.49800000000000000
17-3-912.59900000000000000
5816-5-812.39700000000000000
15-8-612.39600000000000000
5715-7-712.09211111111100000
16-4-912.09311111110000000
14-10-511.99211111111100000
5615-6-811.58611111111111100
14-9-611.58422221111111110
16-3-1011.68611111111111100
5515-5-910.97522222222211111
14-8-710.77333322222222111
13-11-510.87432222222211111
5414-7-89.75844443333322211
15-4-109.96144333333322211
13-10-69.65644443333322221
5314-6-98.44155554444433221
13-9-78.13855555444433221
15-3-118.44255554444433221
5213-8-86.52265555544444322
14-5-106.82565555544444322
12-11-66.52365555544444322
5113-7-94.81155555444433322
14-4-115.01255555444444322
12-10-74.51055555444433322
5013-6-103.1444443333333221
12-9-82.8333333333322221
14-3-123.2444443333333221
4912-8-91.5122222222211111
13-5-111.7122222222222111
11-11-71.5122222222211111
4812-7-100.6011111111111100
13-4-120.6011111111111100
4712-6-110.2000000000000000
4611-8-100.0000000000000000
4511-7-110.0000000000000000
4411-6-120.000000000000000
4310-8-110.00000000000000
4211-4-14No00
5-41No
Total:2.2%12.01.01.01.01.00.90.90.80.80.80.70.70.50.50.3
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs