"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Charleston 1 Richmond 0 +0.5
+0.4
St Louis 2 Orlando 0 +0.1
Cincinnati 4 New York 2 -0.1
+0.0
Pittsburgh 1 Rochester 1 +0.1
+0.0
Charlotte 1 Ottawa 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Charleston vs Charlotte+0.5-0.2-0.6
Louisville vs Rochester+0.1-0.0-0.2
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orlando vs Charleston-0.0+0.0In
-0.4-0.1+0.5
Charlotte vs Cincinnati-0.1+0.1+0.1
Bethlehem vs Tampa Bay+0.1+0.1-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Charlotte-0.1+0.1+0.0
Richmond vs Rochester+0.1+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Charleston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-L-Tplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
595-0-0In2278002,908,436
574-0-1In687709,103,572
564-1-0In272241014,354,588
553-0-2In064314011,289,056
543-1-1In0355014134,879,346
533-2-0In01554283026,365,014
2-0-3In0255023206,876,130
522-1-2In0844418031,254,008
512-2-1In13051180046,411,255
1-0-4In3304919002,057,298
502-3-0In018523010022,485,333
1-1-3In016503310012,252,293
491-2-2In08434630026,783,542
0-0-5In63952400242,611
481-3-1In32958101025,466,057
0-1-4In2246013101,770,573
471-4-0100.0%11558233008,860,271
0-2-3100.011359243005,064,371
460-3-2100.005483791007,078,132
450-4-199.7012443266004,808,083
440-5-096.6083138193001,290,331
Total:100.0%116273021410000301,600,300
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs