How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/3100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta vs Red Bulls+8.5-1.8-7.1
+1.0-0.2-0.8
+2.0-0.6-1.5
-1.9+0.3+1.7
+0.7-0.1-0.5
Earthquakes vs Impact+0.6+0.2-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Whitecaps vs Union+0.6+0.2-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
DC United vs Sporting KC-0.8+0.2+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Rapids vs Revolution+0.6+0.2-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Toronto FC+0.6+0.2-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Orlando vs NYCFC-0.2+0.4-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Crew vs Fire-0.1+0.4-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Timbers vs Minnesota-0.0+0.1-0.0
Dynamo vs Sounders-0.0+0.1-0.0
Galaxy vs FC Dallas-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Minnesota vs Atlanta-6.3-2.0+7.9
-0.7-0.3+0.9
-1.5-0.6+2.0
+1.7+0.3-1.9
-0.5-0.2+0.6
Dynamo vs Crew+0.6+0.2-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Fire vs Real Salt Lake-0.8+0.2+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Red Bulls vs Rapids-0.8+0.2+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Impact vs Sounders-0.8+0.2+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
NYCFC vs DC United-0.1+0.4-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Revolution vs Orlando-0.2+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Union vs Toronto FC-0.2+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Earthquakes vs Whitecaps-0.0+0.1-0.0
Sporting KC vs FC Dallas-0.0+0.1-0.0
Galaxy vs Timbers-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
75-102In100.0%100No10,921*
7423-5-6In99.61000No3,543*
7322-7-5In99.81000No5,749*
7222-6-6In99.61000No9,112*
7121-8-5In99.21000No14,107*
7021-7-6In98.6991No21,659*
6921-6-7In97.99910No32,235*
6820-8-6In96.9991No46,641*
6720-7-7In95.09820No67,885*
6620-6-8In92.69730No94,581*
6519-8-7In89.195500No132,095*
6419-7-8In84.29370No180,711*
6318-9-7In77.9901000No241,545*
6218-8-8In70.0861410No316,823*
6118-7-9In60.48118100No411,318*
6017-9-8In49.27424200No523,819*
5917-8-9In37.76630400No653,972*
5817-7-10In26.356367100No803,622*
5716-9-9In16.5464112100No972,750*
5616-8-10100.0%8.83643183000No1,156,221*
5515-10-9100.04.02643246100No1,354,963*
5415-9-10100.01.4173931112000No1,559,411*
5315-8-11100.00.41032351841000No1,763,803*
5214-10-1099.90.1524362592000No1,963,639*
5114-9-1199.50.031532311540000No2,150,395*
5014-8-1298.30.01824332382000No2,313,797*
4913-10-1195.20.004163030154100No2,449,877*
4813-9-1288.7No01923322492000No2,550,723*
4713-8-1377.4No004152930175100No2,611,634*
4612-10-1261.6No001821312511200No2,630,092*
4512-9-1343.5No000313273119610No2,601,605*
4412-8-1426.8No000161932271220No2,529,074*
4311-10-1314.2No00031127332061No2,417,581*
4211-9-146.4No00161933291220.0%2,275,231*
4110-11-132.5No00021128352040.02,095,592*
4010-10-140.8No001621362980.21,901,611*
3910-9-150.2No0002133337140.81,690,768*
389-11-140.1No00172742232.81,479,409*
379-10-150.0No00042044337.01,269,077*
369-9-160.0No00213424414.21,068,764*
358-11-150.0No0018375424.1881,525*
348-10-160.0No0004316536.0715,540*
338-9-17OutNo002247448.6566,917*
327-11-16OutNo001188160.6441,746*
317-10-17OutNo01138670.8335,887*
307-9-18OutNo0099179.3250,154*
296-11-17OutNo0069485.7182,843*
286-10-18OutNo049690.4130,313*
276-9-19OutNo039793.891,150*
265-11-18OutNo029896.262,253*
255-10-19OutNo019997.741,007*
245-9-20OutNo010098.726,840*
235-8-21OutNo010099.216,899*
224-10-20OutNo010099.610,323*
214-9-21OutNo010099.56,189*
204-8-22OutNo010099.93,612*
193-10-21OutNo010099.81,958*
0-18OutNo100100.07,925*
Total:54.6%4.6%999999999994.5%50,149,436

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeFireOrlandoUnionToronto FCDC UnitedRed BullsCrewNYCFCImpactRevolution
66-10212.4%Yes
6519-8-712.61000
6419-7-812.4Yes
6318-9-712.510000
6218-8-812.5100000000000
6118-7-912.51000000000000
6017-9-812.51000000000000
5917-8-912.51000000000000
5817-7-1012.4990000000000
5716-9-912.4980000000000
17-6-1112.4990000000000
5616-8-1012.3970000000000
15-11-812.2970000000000
5515-10-912.0931111111111
16-7-1112.2931111111111
5415-9-1011.7871111111111
16-6-1211.7881111111111
14-12-811.6871111111111
5315-8-1111.1782222222222
14-11-911.1772222222222
16-5-1311.1782222222222
5214-10-1010.2643333333333
15-7-1210.4663333333333
13-13-810.2643333333333
5114-9-119.1495555555555
13-12-99.0485555555555
15-6-139.3515455455454
5014-8-127.8356666666666
13-11-107.6326666666666
15-5-147.8346666666666
4913-10-116.2196666666666
14-7-136.4216666666666
12-13-96.2196666666666
4813-9-124.7106566566655
12-12-104.595555555555
14-6-144.8116666666666
4713-8-133.354444444444
12-11-113.244444444444
4612-10-121.913333333333
13-7-142.013333333333
4512-9-131.102222222222
4412-8-140.501111111111
4311-10-130.200000000000
4211-9-140.100000000000
4111-8-150.000000000000
4010-10-140.00000000000
3910-9-150.00000000000
3810-8-160.0000000000
3710-7-17No0000
0-36No
Total:4.5%27.21.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.81.8
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/3100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta vs Red Bulls-1.3+0.3+1.1
Earthquakes vs Impact-0.0-0.0+0.1
Rapids vs Revolution-0.0-0.0+0.1
Whitecaps vs Union-0.0-0.0+0.1
DC United vs Sporting KC+0.1-0.0-0.0
Real Salt Lake vs Toronto FC-0.0-0.0+0.1
Orlando vs NYCFC+0.0-0.1+0.0
Crew vs Fire+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/11100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota vs Atlanta+1.0+0.3-1.3
Dynamo vs Crew-0.0-0.0+0.1
Red Bulls vs Rapids+0.1-0.0-0.0
Fire vs Real Salt Lake+0.1-0.0-0.0
Impact vs Sounders+0.1-0.0-0.0
NYCFC vs DC United+0.0-0.1+0.0
Union vs Toronto FC+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
80-102100
7925-4-51000
7824-6-41000
76-77100
7523-6-51000
7423-5-610000
7322-7-510000
7222-6-610000
7121-8-59910
7021-7-69911
6921-6-798110
6820-8-69721
6720-7-795320
6620-6-893430
6519-8-78965000
6419-7-8849700
6318-9-7781210000
6218-8-87016130100
6118-7-96020180100
6017-9-849242312000
5917-8-938282824000
5817-7-10263032470100
5716-9-916303471101000
5616-8-10927321217130000
5515-10-94222617222601000
5415-9-10116172226511020000
5315-8-1101092325101714010000
5214-10-100532019172238020000
5114-9-11031141121238151400000
5014-8-1201084201815203802000
4913-10-110004115102022815141000
4813-9-1200108320161620392000
4713-8-13000041148212191661000
4612-10-1200010721914182113410000
4512-9-130000301262119211241000
4412-8-1400001061181223221241000
4311-10-13000030115162523124100
4211-9-1400010617182723124100
4110-11-130000202920282312300
4010-10-14001003102229221020
3910-9-15000000141325302071
389-11-140000015173029153
379-10-15000000292334257
369-9-1600000415323514
358-11-1500018264124
348-10-1600004184236
338-9-17001113949
327-11-1600163361
317-10-170032671
307-9-180021979
296-11-17011486
286-10-1800990
276-9-1900694
265-11-180496
255-10-190298
245-9-20199
235-8-21199
224-10-200100
214-9-210100
204-8-220100
193-10-210100
183-9-220100
0-17100
Total:5455555555555555555555