"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Edmonton 1 Atlanta 3 +3.1
+0.9
Ottawa 2 Carolina 1 -0.4
Indy 1 Cosmos 1 +0.1
San Antonio 3 Minnesota 4 -0.1
Tampa Bay 1 Ft. Lauderdale 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Jacksonville vs Minnesota+0.2+0.2-0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Atlanta vs Ft. Lauderdale+4.2-1.1-3.3
+0.9-0.1-0.8
Indy vs Atlanta-3.2-1.1+4.0
-0.8-0.1+0.9
Edmonton vs Ottawa+0.5+0.5-0.8
Cosmos vs Minnesota+0.2+0.2-0.3
Edmonton vs Indy-0.3+0.2+0.1
Cosmos vs Ft. Lauderdale+0.1+0.2-0.3
Carolina vs Tampa Bay-0.2+0.2+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins title1234567891011Count
5215-0-0100.0%1000149,970
5014-1-099.910001,907
4914-0-199.910002,649
4813-2-0100.0100010,308
4713-1-199.8100027,556
4612-3-099.7100051,562*
4512-2-199.49910132,912
4412-1-298.89910252,160*
4311-3-198.09820476,428*
4211-2-296.39640918,371*
4110-4-193.994601,523,558*
4010-3-290.39010002,565,357*
3910-2-384.68515004,130,296*
389-4-277.07722106,155,936*
379-3-367.067303009,125,189*
369-2-454.3543960012,834,968*
358-4-340.440461210017,210,009*
348-3-426.3264822300022,628,840*
337-5-314.31443338100028,342,408*
327-4-46.06314118300034,194,732*
317-3-51.411538331110026,088,117
6-6-32.422041287100014,048,488*
306-5-40.407294020400025,280,599
7-2-60.205244025610019,772,633*
296-4-50.00112333615200048,831,142*
286-3-60.00021536341210030,420,501
5-6-40.0004213928810020,875,345*
275-5-5No00625392350034,098,205*
6-2-7No0031838311010017,521,041
265-4-6No001728392140033,974,198
4-7-4No001929371940016,165,721*
255-3-7No001103237172028,207,974*
4-6-5No0002153634121018,825,799
244-5-6No00031838319142,206,474*
234-4-7No0017274122336,470,663*
224-3-8No0021338371030,327,543*
213-5-7No000527462224,029,558*
203-4-8No00115463718,251,134*
193-3-9No0007395413,252,946*
182-5-8No00329699,097,616*
172-4-9No0119805,933,163*
162-3-10No0011883,662,910*
151-5-9No006942,110,596*
141-4-10No03971,131,553*
131-3-11No0199564,154*
121-2-12No199253,597*
110-4-11No0100101,335*
100-3-12No010035,373*
90-2-13No010010,206
7-8No100151,922*
Total:7.1%7910101010109986662,435,622

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship