How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 +8.1
+0.9
+1.5
-2.4
+0.6
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 -0.8
-0.1
-0.1
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 -0.7
-0.1
-0.1
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 +0.7
+0.1
-0.1
+0.0
Union 2 Toronto FC 2 +0.4
Impact 2 Sounders 2 +0.2
+0.0
NYCFC 4 DC United 0 -0.2
Galaxy 0 Timbers 1 -0.1
-0.1
Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando-0.2+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta vs Fire+8.6-1.8-7.3
+1.0-0.2-0.9
+2.1-0.6-1.6
-1.6+0.2+1.4
+0.7-0.1-0.6
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC+0.7+0.2-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs Revolution+0.7+0.2-0.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Sounders vs Red Bulls+0.5+0.2-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
DC United vs Crew-0.2+0.4-0.2
NYCFC vs Impact-0.2+0.4-0.2
-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Orlando vs Union-0.1+0.4-0.2
-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Sporting KC vs Earthquakes+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Timbers vs Dynamo-0.0+0.1-0.0
Rapids vs Minnesota-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
77-99In100.0%100No15,002*
7623-4-5In99.91000No2,070*
7522-6-4In99.81000No3,622*
7422-5-5In99.71000No6,161*
7321-7-4In99.71000No10,153*
7221-6-5In99.51000No16,426*
7121-5-6In99.11000No25,975*
7020-7-5In98.61000No40,468*
6920-6-6In97.89910No61,506*
6819-8-5In96.69910No91,662*
6719-7-6In94.79820No133,824*
6619-6-7In92.39730No192,449*
6518-8-6In88.896400No270,681*
6418-7-7In83.993600No374,879*
6318-6-8In77.791900No508,280*
6217-8-7In69.6871310No677,384*
6117-7-8In60.38217100No885,190*
6016-9-7In49.37523200No1,136,021*
5916-8-8In37.86829400No1,437,423*
5816-7-9In26.659356000No1,782,726*
5715-9-8100.0%16.74840101000No2,167,564*
5615-8-9100.09.13843162000No2,594,118*
5515-7-10100.04.22844235100No3,048,978*
5414-9-9100.01.519413091000No3,520,526*
5314-8-10100.00.4123435163000No3,998,087*
5214-7-1199.90.1626372371000No4,455,812*
5113-9-1099.70.031734301330000No4,879,680*
5013-8-1198.80.01927342171000No5,254,684*
4912-10-1096.4No04183229133000No5,554,794*
4812-9-1191.0No021025322281000No5,769,315*
4712-8-1281.0No014163029154000No5,888,851*
4611-10-1165.9No00292332239200No5,899,125*
4511-9-1247.7No000414293117510No5,801,029*
4411-8-1330.1No000172132261020No5,605,395*
4310-10-1216.2No000313283218500.0%5,320,594*
4210-9-137.4No00162134271010.04,947,652*
4110-8-142.9No00031230341830.04,520,285*
409-10-131.0No0001622372770.14,053,212*
399-9-140.3No0003143436130.63,561,284*
389-8-150.1No00182842212.33,067,273*
378-10-140.0No00042144315.92,593,308*
368-9-150.0No000214434212.52,144,014*
358-8-160.0No0019385321.91,740,192*
347-10-150.0No0005326333.51,381,640*
337-9-16OutNo003257245.91,073,991*
327-8-17OutNo001198058.0815,387*
316-10-16OutNo01148668.8604,881*
306-9-17OutNo0099077.6440,258*
296-8-18OutNo069484.5311,604*
285-10-17OutNo049689.7215,529*
275-9-18OutNo039793.2144,921*
265-8-19OutNo029895.895,471*
254-10-18OutNo019997.560,519*
244-9-19OutNo19998.537,735*
234-8-20OutNo010099.122,718*
223-10-19OutNo010099.413,404*
213-9-20OutNo010099.67,459*
203-8-21OutNo010099.84,051*
3-19OutNo100100.016,466*
Total:57.3%4.5%910101099999883.6%109,303,708

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeRed BullsOrlandoFireNYCFCToronto FCUnionRevolutionImpactCrewDC United
66-9912.5%Yes
6518-8-612.410000
6418-7-712.51000
6318-6-812.5100000000
6217-8-712.5100000000000
6117-7-812.51000000000000
6016-9-712.51000000000000
5916-8-812.51000000000000
5816-7-912.51000000000000
15-10-712.41000000000000
5715-9-812.4990000000000
16-6-1012.4990000000000
5615-8-912.4970000000000
14-11-712.3970000000000
5515-7-1012.2951111110000
14-10-812.2941111111110
5414-9-911.8891111111111
15-6-1111.8891111111111
5314-8-1011.3812222222222
13-11-811.2802222222222
15-5-1211.3812222222222
5214-7-1110.5703333333333
13-10-910.4684333333333
12-13-710.5684333333333
5113-9-109.4535555444444
14-6-129.5555554444444
12-12-89.3525555444444
5013-8-118.2386666555555
12-11-98.0366666655555
14-5-138.1386666555555
4912-10-106.5227776666665
13-7-126.8247776666666
11-13-86.5227776666666
4812-9-115.1126666665555
13-6-135.2126666666555
11-12-94.9116666665555
4712-8-123.755555555444
11-11-103.555555554444
4611-10-112.223333333333
4511-9-121.202222222222
4411-8-130.501111111111
4310-10-120.200000000000
4210-9-130.100000000000
4110-8-140.000000000000
409-10-130.000000000000
399-9-140.00000000000
389-8-15No0000000000
379-7-16No000
368-9-15No00
3-35No
Total:4.8%28.92.12.12.12.01.91.91.81.71.71.7
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 3/11100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 -1.3
Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 +0.1
Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 +0.1
Dynamo 3 Crew 1 -0.0
Impact 2 Sounders 2 -0.0
NYCFC 4 DC United 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Revolution vs Orlando+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/18100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta vs Fire-1.3+0.3+1.1
Whitecaps vs Toronto FC-0.0-0.0+0.1
FC Dallas vs Revolution-0.0-0.0+0.1
Sounders vs Red Bulls-0.0-0.0+0.1
NYCFC vs Impact+0.0-0.1+0.0
DC United vs Crew+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
78-99100
7723-5-41000
7623-4-510000
7522-6-410000
7422-5-510000
7321-7-410000
7221-6-510000
7121-5-69910
7020-7-59910
6920-6-698110
6819-8-5972100
6719-7-6953200
6619-6-7925300
6518-8-68974000
6418-7-784106000
6318-6-878139000
6217-8-7701713010
6117-7-860221701000
6016-9-749262212000
5916-8-838302724000
5816-7-92732314600000
5715-9-8173233710010000
5615-8-9929311215120000
5515-7-10424261821250100
5414-9-911718232559010000
5314-8-1001110252510151300000
5214-7-110642220172037010000
5113-9-10031161222237130300000
5013-8-1101095221915192701000
4912-10-1000411711212171313000
4812-9-11002010421171519371000
4712-8-12001041169222191441000
4611-10-110002093211517201130000
4511-9-120000401472220201030000
4411-8-1300001072201323201030000
4310-10-120000301361726211031000
4210-9-1300010628202722113000
4110-8-14000003031022282210200
409-10-130000101312242920820
399-9-1400000151427291851
389-8-150000016183028132
378-10-14000002102534236
368-9-1500001416333312
358-8-16000029274022
347-10-15000004194234
337-9-160002124046
327-8-1700173458
316-10-1600042769
306-9-170022178
296-8-18011584
285-10-17001090
275-9-180793
265-8-190496
254-10-1800397
244-9-190298
234-8-20199
223-10-19199
213-9-200100
203-8-210100
193-7-220100
182-9-210100
3-17100
Total:4555555555555454444444