How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Atlanta 2 NYCFC 2 -1.4
-0.2
-1.3
+0.0
-0.1
Chicago 0 LA Galaxy 1 +0.6
+0.1
+0.0
Colorado 2 Toronto FC 0 +0.5
+0.1
+0.0
New England 0 FC Dallas 1 +0.5
+0.1
*+0.1
+0.1
NY Red Bulls 3 Montreal 1 -0.1
DC United 1 Columbus 0 +0.1
Sporting KC 2 Seattle 2 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sporting KC vs Vancouver-0.3+0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
LA Galaxy vs Atlanta-5.4-1.5+6.4
-0.8-0.3+1.0
-3.3-1.3+4.1
+0.4+0.0-0.4
-0.5-0.1+0.6
Montreal vs LAFC-0.7+0.2+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
FC Dallas vs Philadelphia+0.6+0.2-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Houston vs Toronto FC+0.6+0.2-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Orlando vs San Jose-0.7+0.2+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Portland vs NYCFC+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.5+0.2-0.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Columbus vs New England-0.2+0.4-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0+0.1-0.1
NY Red Bulls vs Chicago-0.1+0.4-0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.1+0.1
RSL vs Colorado+0.0+0.1-0.1
Vancouver vs RSL-0.1+0.1+0.0
Seattle vs Minnesota+0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield123456789101112SpoonCount
81-97In100.0%100No153,590*
8021-4-3In99.91000No16,612*
7921-3-4In99.91000No30,696*
7820-5-3In99.91000No54,443*
7720-4-4In99.91000No94,069*
7620-3-5In99.81000No159,476*
7519-5-4In99.81000No263,600*
7419-4-5In99.71000No423,852*
7318-6-4In99.510000No666,399*
7218-5-5In99.21000No1,024,968*
7118-4-6In98.89910No1,547,030*
7017-6-5In98.19910No2,269,597*
6917-5-6In97.09820No3,264,155*
6816-7-5In95.49720No4,601,510*
6716-6-6In93.196400No6,342,370*
6616-5-7In89.995500No8,569,551*
6515-7-6In85.492800No11,336,868*
6415-6-7In79.58911000No14,697,306*
6315-5-8In71.98515100No18,689,576*
6214-7-7In62.67920100No23,282,100*
6114-6-8In51.972252000No28,422,962*
6014-5-9In40.264324000No34,041,105*
5913-7-8In28.755387000No40,000,071*
5813-6-9100.0%18.34542121000No46,045,261*
5712-8-8100.010.23445183000No51,997,458*
5612-7-9100.04.72545255100No57,572,668*
5512-6-10100.01.7164132101000No62,527,892*
5411-8-9100.00.5103336173000No66,592,108*
5311-7-1099.90.1524372571000No69,539,638*
5211-6-1199.70.02153431143000No71,183,352*
5110-8-1098.80.01826352271000No71,434,828*
5010-7-1196.40.0041732301430000No70,281,877*
4910-6-1290.8No01925332281000No67,746,057*
489-8-1180.4No004163030154000No64,009,477*
479-7-1265.0No00182333249200No59,210,856*
469-6-1346.7No000314293117510No53,682,315*
458-8-1229.1No000172133261020No47,638,447*
448-7-1315.5No000312283319500.0%41,384,081*
438-6-147.0No000162034281010.035,149,079*
427-8-132.7No00021229351830.029,220,377*
417-7-140.9No0001622372770.123,747,722*
407-6-150.2No0003143436130.318,846,853*
396-8-140.1No000182842211.414,612,529*
386-7-150.0No000042144314.111,060,450*
376-6-160.0No00021443429.58,158,146*
365-8-150.0No0018385318.05,866,876*
355-7-160.0No0005326429.04,114,602*
345-6-170.0No0002257341.42,801,700*
334-8-16OutNo001198053.91,852,462*
324-7-17OutNo01138665.31,189,951*
314-6-18OutNo0099174.9740,415*
303-8-17OutNo0069482.5446,079*
293-7-18OutNo049688.3259,208*
283-6-19OutNo029892.3146,978*
272-8-18OutNo019995.278,839*
262-7-19OutNo19997.141,042*
252-6-20OutNo010098.219,881*
242-5-21OutNo010099.09,433*
231-7-20OutNo010099.64,350*
13-22OutNo100100.0139,133*
Total:76.5%10.7%18161311108765420.7%1,259,304,326

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeNYCFCNY Red BullsNew EnglandOrlandoColumbusPhiladelphiaMontrealToronto FCChicagoDC United
68-9712.5%Yes
6716-6-612.51000
6616-5-712.510000000
6515-7-612.51000000000000
6415-6-712.51000000000000
6315-5-812.51000000000000
6214-7-712.51000000000000
6114-6-812.51000000000000
13-9-612.51000000000000
6014-5-912.51000000000000
13-8-712.51000000000000
5913-7-812.5990000000000
14-4-1012.51000000000000
5813-6-912.4990000000000
12-9-712.4990000000000
5712-8-812.3970000000000
13-5-1012.3970000000000
5612-7-912.1941111111100
13-4-1112.2941111100000
11-10-712.1941111111100
5512-6-1011.8881111111111
11-9-811.8881111111111
5411-8-911.1792333222222
12-5-1111.2802222222221
5311-7-1010.3663444433332
12-4-1210.5683444433322
10-10-810.3663444433332
5211-6-119.3525555544443
10-9-99.2515566544443
5110-8-107.8346777755554
11-5-128.0366777655554
5010-7-116.4216777766555
9-10-96.3206777766555
11-4-136.6226777766555
4910-6-125.0116777755555
9-9-104.9106777755555
489-8-113.344555544444
10-5-133.554566544444
479-7-122.113444433333
469-6-131.101222222221
458-8-120.501111111111
448-7-130.200000000000
438-6-140.100000000000
427-8-130.000000000000
417-7-140.000000000000
407-6-150.00000000000
396-8-140.00000000000
387-4-170.0000000000
376-6-16No00
13-36No
Total:7.2%47.02.12.52.52.62.41.91.91.81.71.6
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 4/14100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta 2 NYCFC 2 +0.3
New England 0 FC Dallas 1 -0.1
Colorado 2 Toronto FC 0 -0.0
Chicago 0 LA Galaxy 1 -0.0
NY Red Bulls 3 Montreal 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/21100.0*Lottery seed
LA Galaxy vs Atlanta+1.0+0.3-1.2
Portland vs NYCFC-0.1-0.0+0.1
Orlando vs San Jose+0.1-0.0-0.1
FC Dallas vs Philadelphia-0.0-0.0+0.1
Montreal vs LAFC+0.1-0.0-0.0
Houston vs Toronto FC-0.0-0.0+0.1
NY Red Bulls vs Chicago+0.0-0.1-0.0
Columbus vs New England+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223
86-97100
8523-3-21000
8423-2-31000
8322-4-21000
8222-3-31000
8121-5-21000
8021-4-310000
7921-3-410000
7820-5-310000
7720-4-410000
7620-3-510000
7519-5-410000
7419-4-510000
7318-6-499000
7218-5-59900
7118-4-699110
7017-6-598110
6917-5-6971200
6816-7-5952200
6716-6-69334000
6616-5-79055000
6515-7-68578000
6415-6-77991100000
6315-5-872131501000
6214-7-763162001000
6114-6-8522025120000
6014-5-9402430140000
5913-7-82926353700000
5813-6-9182637611010000
5712-8-81024351017030000
5612-7-95202916232501000
5512-6-10215202127410010000
5411-8-9091122279161300000
5311-7-100542022162237010000
5211-6-1102114132124713030000
5110-8-1001085212014202701000
5010-7-110004116112122713130000
4910-6-1200109421171619381000
489-8-110000411582220101451000
479-7-1200010822014191911310000
469-6-13000003014623182011410000
458-8-12000010712011212112410000
448-7-1300003012413232314510000
438-6-140000106151525251561000
427-8-13000002016162626166100
417-7-1400001002717272615510
407-6-15000000281929261330
396-8-14000000031023312491
386-7-1500000014132832184
376-6-16000000162034299
365-8-150000212303818
355-7-16000016224229
345-6-1700002154141
334-8-1600193654
324-7-1700053065
314-6-180022375
303-8-17011683
293-7-18001188
283-6-1900892
272-8-180595
262-7-1900397
252-6-20298
242-5-21199
231-7-200100
221-6-210100
211-5-220100
201-4-23199
13-19100
Total:117968665544443332222111