How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Atlanta 4 Los Angeles 0 +3.5
+1.6
+0.5
Toronto FC 3 Montreal 5 -1.8
-0.1
Montreal 2 Minnesota 3 +1.4
+0.1
+0.0
Sporting KC 3 New England 1 +0.8
Chicago 3 DC United 0 -0.3
-0.5
-0.1
NY Red Bulls 0 Philadelphia 0 +0.2
+0.1
+0.0
Atlanta 3 Orlando 3 -0.2
-0.4
-0.1
-0.1
Vancouver 2 Columbus 2 +0.2
+0.1
+0.0
Los Angeles 0 Toronto FC 4 -0.2
Colorado 1 NYCFC 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win MLS Cup100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Average seed
Atlanta vs Montreal+1.9+0.9-2.5
+1.5-0.4-1.3
+0.1-0.1No
+0.5-0.1-0.4
Atlanta vs Philadelphia+1.7+0.0-1.7
+1.5-0.4-1.2
+0.1-0.1No
+0.5-0.1-0.4
Montreal vs NYCFC-1.1+0.3+0.8
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
NY Red Bulls vs DC United-0.4+0.1+0.3
-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Columbus vs NY Red Bulls-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.2-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
New England vs Toronto FC-0.2+0.1+0.1
+0.1-0.0No
Orlando vs New England+0.1+0.1-0.2
Portland vs Orlando+0.1+0.0-0.1
San Jose vs Chicago+0.5+0.2-0.6
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Philadelphia vs Chicago+0.5+0.2-0.6
+0.1+0.1-0.2
NYCFC vs Houston-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
646-0-0In23.7%24761No7,016,323
625-1-0In3.749060No30,480,704
615-0-1InNo89110No40,089,522
604-2-0InNo69291No57,950,077
594-1-1InNo663310No152,436,544
584-0-2InNo524530No100,208,420
3-3-0InNo365680No58,784,793
573-2-1InNo2758150No231,805,644
563-1-2InNo20601910No304,851,984
2-4-0InNo1159291No33,511,063
552-3-1InNo4474540No176,285,931
3-0-3InNo10553230No133,632,329
542-2-2100.0%No235521100No347,742,825
1-5-0InNo1325890No10,193,596
532-1-3100.0No125532010No304,844,975
1-4-1100.0No017582410No67,032,721
521-3-299.9No07493950No176,275,740
2-0-499.9No012503440No100,209,703
0-6-0100.0No07533640No1,291,633
511-2-399.1No33150151No231,807,248
0-5-199.6No23351130No10,197,694
501-1-496.6No118492830No152,422,431
0-4-296.8No016513030No33,518,028
490-3-389.1No063945110No58,754,727
1-0-589.5No084141100No40,072,198
480-2-471.4No120502710No57,954,798
470-1-548.9No084145600No30,483,587
460-0-626.1No0224591500No7,013,698
Total:98.1%0.1%01530301772000No2,956,868,936

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TPW-D-LWin CupByeNYCFCChicagoNY Red BullsColumbusMontrealNew EnglandOrlandoPhiladelphia
646-0-012.5%Yes
625-1-012.51000000
615-0-112.510000000
604-2-012.49910000
594-1-112.4990011000
584-0-212.39700210000
3-3-012.0920044000
573-2-111.68501761000
563-1-211.28012971000
2-4-010.6701213131000
552-3-19.4512420203000
3-0-310.3652415112000
542-2-28.5373825224000
1-5-08.3332726283000
532-1-37.82541228235000
1-4-17.21741231305000
521-3-26.3741433306000
2-0-46.81251532247100
0-6-06.5741233354000
511-2-35.4341530266100
0-5-15.5231432305000
501-1-44.3131326205100
0-4-24.2021226214000
490-3-32.802918132000
1-0-53.1021120124000
480-2-41.314861000
470-1-50.502420000
460-0-60.101100000
Total:8.5%45.02.17.118.315.53.10.30.20.0
Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 9/16100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta 4 Los Angeles 0 -1.1
Atlanta 3 Orlando 3 +0.3
Chicago 3 DC United 0 +0.3
NY Red Bulls 0 Philadelphia 0 -0.1
Vancouver 2 Columbus 2 -0.1
Toronto FC 3 Montreal 5 +0.1
Montreal 2 Minnesota 3 -0.1
Colorado 1 NYCFC 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/23100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta vs Montreal-1.0+0.2+0.8
Atlanta vs Philadelphia-1.0+0.3+0.8
Philadelphia vs Chicago-0.2-0.1+0.3
San Jose vs Chicago-0.2-0.1+0.3
NYCFC vs Houston+0.2-0.1-0.2
NY Red Bulls vs DC United+0.2-0.1-0.2
Montreal vs NYCFC-0.1-0.1+0.2
Columbus vs NY Red Bulls+0.1-0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
646-0-024761
625-1-0409060
615-0-189110
604-2-0690291
594-1-16603310
584-0-252045030
3-3-036056080
573-2-1270580150
563-1-220060019010
2-4-01105902901
552-3-14046045040
3-0-39055032030
542-2-22034052011000
1-5-01031058090
532-1-30023153020010
1-4-10016158024010
521-3-20061481390500
2-0-400112490340400
0-6-00061521360400
511-2-32129249015010
0-5-1113045101300
501-1-401144481280300
0-4-200115482300300
490-3-3003333544111000
1-0-500433744101000
480-2-401137464272000
470-1-50035329437000
460-0-6000214105219200
Total:001503002911606020000