"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 7/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
NY Red Bulls 5 San Jose 1 -1.5
-0.1
Seattle 4 DC United 3 +0.3
Montreal 2 Philadelphia 1 -0.2
NYCFC 2 Toronto FC 2 +0.1
+0.3
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Supporters Shield100.0*Wooden Spoon100.0*Average seed
Orlando vs Atlanta-9.3-1.5+10.5
-1.7-0.8+2.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.6-0.1+0.7
Montreal vs FC Dallas-1.5+0.4+1.2
+0.1+0.1-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls+1.1+0.4-1.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Columbus vs Philadelphia-0.8+0.9+0.1
Philadelphia vs Columbus+0.1+0.9-0.8
New England vs Los Angeles-0.7+0.3+0.5
NYCFC vs Chicago-0.6+0.1+0.5
+0.3+0.3-0.5
DC United vs Houston-0.3+0.1+0.2
Toronto FC vs Colorado-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.6+0.1+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Real Salt Lake vs Sporting KC+0.1+0.0-0.1
Vancouver vs Portland-0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inSupportersChance will finish regular season at seedWooden
TPW-D-LplayoffsShield1234567891011SpoonCount
7515-0-0In100.0%1000No135,572
7314-1-0In99.71000No3,271
7214-0-1In99.61000No4,447
7113-2-0In99.3991No17,760
7013-1-1In98.9991No46,061
6912-3-0In97.99820No88,760*
6812-2-1In96.59730No228,837
6712-1-2In94.29460No435,130*
6611-3-1In91.09190No831,672*
6511-2-2In86.3871300No1,598,485*
6410-4-1In79.9811810No2,665,237*
6310-3-2In71.7732520No4,516,382*
6210-2-3In61.56432300No7,263,657*
619-4-2In50.05440700No10,890,700*
609-3-3In37.842461110No16,193,857*
599-2-4In26.0314918100No22,803,239*
588-4-3In15.8214827300No30,722,900*
578-3-4100.0%8.31343367000No40,472,689*
567-5-3100.03.57354314100No50,786,032*
557-4-4100.01.23244623300No61,451,336*
547-3-5100.00.311443338100No72,243,940*
536-5-499.90.007334116200No46,576,521
7-2-699.90.007344116200No34,672,231*
526-4-599.50.0032242266000No88,289,279*
516-3-698.20.00112373613200No53,697,376
5-6-498.00.00111363614200No39,144,166*
505-5-594.00.00052540246000No55,890,013
6-2-794.2No0052540245000No37,670,785*
495-4-685.2No00214363413200No91,001,440*
485-3-770.8No00062639235000No46,029,875
4-6-569.6No00062539246000No39,382,080*
474-5-650.3No00214353413200No46,574,163
5-2-850.9No00214353413200No30,135,048*
464-4-730.7No0006243925600No66,325,227*
454-3-815.3No0021335351310No55,129,163*
443-5-76.1No000624402450No43,704,066*
433-4-81.9No0021437361110.0%33,172,964*
423-3-90.5No000628422120.024,054,497*
412-5-80.1No00217423260.016,514,533*
402-4-90.0No00193643120.210,754,076*
392-3-100.0No0042649211.36,625,720*
381-5-90.0No0011750324.43,804,320*
371-4-10OutNo0010464411.22,035,274*
361-3-11OutNo005395622.11,009,511*
351-2-12OutNo02316736.2451,846*
340-4-11OutNo01227751.4178,683*
330-3-12OutNo0168465.062,358*
320-2-13OutNo0109076.617,610
310-1-14OutNo79384.53,337
300-0-15OutNo049691.3135,578
Total:73.6%3.5%49151715131185210.1%1,196,441,704

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 7/19100.0*Lottery seed
NY Red Bulls 5 San Jose 1 +0.1
NYCFC 2 Toronto FC 2 -0.1
Montreal 2 Philadelphia 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 7/21100.0*Lottery seed
Orlando vs Atlanta+1.2+0.3-1.4
Minnesota vs NY Red Bulls-0.1-0.1+0.1
Montreal vs FC Dallas+0.1-0.0-0.1
Toronto FC vs Colorado+0.1-0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs Columbus-0.0-0.1+0.1
Columbus vs Philadelphia+0.1-0.1-0.0
NYCFC vs Chicago+0.1-0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516171819202122
7515-0-01000
7314-1-01000
7214-0-110000
7113-2-09901
7013-1-19901
6912-3-098020
6812-2-197030
6712-1-294060
6611-3-1910900
6511-2-286113000
6410-4-180118010
6310-3-272225020
6210-2-3623320300
619-4-25044007000
609-3-338546011010
599-2-4265490180100
588-4-31654812703000
578-3-48542236070000
567-5-343323430140100
557-4-4122044612303000
547-3-50110441233080100
536-5-400433034101602000
7-2-60043313410160200
526-4-5001217541126060000
516-3-6000175343350130200
5-6-4000165323360140200
505-5-50000232063912406000
6-2-7000232053912405000
495-4-6000018632434013200
485-3-70000024196371235000
4-6-5000024177372246000
474-5-6000026729534142000
5-2-8000027730534142000
464-4-70000015159362671000
454-3-80000259263518410000
443-5-70000151331311541000
433-4-80000241630281551000
423-3-90000015172827155100
412-5-800001617292815410
402-4-90000161830271330
392-3-10000028223226101
381-5-900002112735214
371-4-10000416353311
361-3-1100018274222
351-2-12003174336
340-4-110193851
330-3-120043065
320-2-13022277
310-1-1411585
300-0-1500891
Total:31811311521421229642211100