Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance will make playoffs | Direct qualify | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| P | G | W | - | D | - | L | GD | % | Change | % | Change | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20+ | Avg. | Change | RPI | |||||
| Iceland | 22 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 9 | In | +46.2 | Yes | +24.0 | 100 | 8.0 | +3.26 | 11 | Iceland | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Croatia | 20 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 11 | Out | -23.5 | 50.0 | % | +8.3 | 100 | 13.0 | +3.52 | 12 | Croatia | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ukraine | 17 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 4 | Out | -22.8 | No | -30.1 | 100 | 23.0 | -5.27 | 22 | Ukraine | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turkey | 15 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 1 | Out | No | 100 | 30.0 | -2.32 | 27 | Turkey | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Finland | 9 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | -4 | Out | No | 100 | 40.0 | -0.50 | 38 | Finland | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Kosovo | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 9 | -21 | Out | No | 100 | 50.0 | +0.28 | 52 | Kosovo | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Big Games
Who should we root for? Explain
| Week of 10/7 | ||||||
| Turkey 0 Iceland 3 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Iceland | +29.2 | +32.7 | +5.7 | |||
| Croatia | -10.4 | -5.8 | -0.5 | |||
| Ukraine | -5.7 | -3.9 | +0.1 | |||
| Turkey | Out | -20.7 | -5.2 | |||
| Kosovo 0 Ukraine 2 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Iceland | -8.2 | -6.4 | -1.3 | |||
| Croatia | -5.3 | -7.1 | -0.9 | |||
| Ukraine | +17.5 | +20.5 | +5.2 | |||
| Turkey | -4.0 | -4.2 | -1.3 | |||
| Kosovo | -1.6 | |||||
| Croatia 1 Finland 1 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Iceland | +3.7 | +2.4 | +0.2 | |||
| Croatia | -6.3 | -5.7 | -0.7 | |||
| Ukraine | +1.1 | +1.9 | +0.2 | |||
| Turkey | +1.5 | +1.2 | +0.1 | |||
| Finland | -0.1 | |||||
| San Marino 0 Norway 8 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Finland | -0.2 | |||||
| Kosovo | +0.2 | |||||
| Georgia 0 Wales 1 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Iceland | -0.3 | |||||
| Croatia | -0.5 | |||||
| Ukraine | -0.6 | |||||
| Turkey | -0.7 | |||||
| Republic of Ire 2 Moldova 0 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Iceland | -0.4 | |||||
| Croatia | -0.4 | |||||
| Ukraine | -0.6 | |||||
| Turkey | -0.5 | |||||
| Kosovo | +0.2 | |||||
| Bosnia-Herzegov 3 Belgium 4 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Iceland | +0.4 | |||||
| Croatia | +0.4 | |||||
| Ukraine | +0.5 | |||||
| Turkey | +0.4 | |||||
| Cyprus 1 Greece 2 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Iceland | -0.3 | |||||
| Croatia | -0.2 | |||||
| Ukraine | -0.4 | |||||
| Turkey | -0.4 | |||||
| Sweden 8 Luxembourg 0 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Croatia | -0.2 | |||||
| Ukraine | -0.2 | |||||
| Turkey | -0.2 | |||||
| Belarus 1 Netherlands 3 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Iceland | -0.2 | |||||
| Croatia | *-0.2 | |||||
| Ukraine | -0.2 | |||||
| Bulgaria 0 France 1 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ukraine | -0.2 | |||||
| England 1 Slovenia 0 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Turkey | +0.2 | |||||
| Gibraltar 0 Estonia 6 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Finland | -0.2 | |||||
| Kosovo | +0.2 | |||||
| Armenia 1 Poland 6 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Finland | +0.2 | |||||
| Liechtenstein 0 Israel 1 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kosovo | +0.2 | |||||
| Romania 3 Kazakhstan 1 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kosovo | +0.2 | |||||
| Week of 10/10 | ||||||
| Iceland 2 Kosovo 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Iceland | In | Yes | +3.9 | |||
| Croatia | Out | -11.8 | -1.1 | |||
| Ukraine | Out | -11.4 | -1.1 | |||
| Kosovo | -1.7 | |||||
| Ukraine 0 Croatia 2 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Iceland | -16.4 | -8.5 | -1.1 | |||
| Croatia | +39.1 | +39.6 | +6.4 | |||
| Ukraine | Out | No | -5.9 | |||
| Turkey | +0.8 | |||||
| Greece 4 Gibraltar 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Iceland | -1.4 | -0.2 | ||||
| Croatia | -2.1 | -0.2 | ||||
| Kosovo | +0.2 | |||||
| Slovenia 2 Scotland 2 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Iceland | +0.8 | +0.2 | ||||
| Croatia | +0.6 | |||||
| Serbia 1 Georgia 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Iceland | -0.5 | -0.2 | ||||
| Croatia | -0.8 | -0.2 | ||||
| Slovakia 3 Malta 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Croatia | -0.7 | -0.2 | ||||
| Ukraine | -0.2 | |||||
| Turkey | -0.2 | |||||
| Kosovo | +0.3 | |||||
| Wales 0 Republic of Ire 1 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Iceland | -0.3 | |||||
| Croatia | -0.4 | |||||
| Finland 2 Turkey 2 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Croatia | +0.7 | |||||
| Ukraine | +0.8 | |||||
| Turkey | -1.8 | |||||
| Finland | -0.2 | |||||
| Moldova 0 Austria 1 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Turkey | -0.4 | |||||
| Kosovo | +0.3 | |||||
| Poland 4 Montenegro 2 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Croatia | +0.2 | |||||
| Ukraine | +0.2 | |||||
| Macedonia 4 Liechtenstein 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Finland | -0.3 | |||||
| Kosovo | +0.2 | |||||
| Netherlands 2 Sweden 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Iceland | +0.2 | |||||
| France 2 Belarus 1 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Iceland | -0.2 | |||||
| Denmark 1 Romania 1 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Turkey | +0.2 | |||||
| Czech Republic 5 San Marino 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kosovo | +0.2 | |||||
| Luxembourg 1 Bulgaria 1 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Turkey | +0.2 | |||||
| Kazakhstan 1 Armenia 1 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kosovo | +0.0 | |||||
| Lithuania 0 England 1 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Finland | +0.2 | |||||
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-22 12:28 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
