"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsDirect qualifyChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920+Avg.ChangeRPI
Belgium289-1-037InYes1002.0+1.131Belgium
Greece195-4-111Out50.0%+31.3505015.5+2.5813Greece
Bosnia-Herzegov175-2-311OutNo-2.310021.0+2.1016Bosnia-Herzegovina
Estonia113-2-5-6OutNo10035.0-1.5435Estonia
Cyprus103-1-6-9OutNo10039.0-2.6434Cyprus
Gibraltar00-0-10-44OutNo10053.0-0.7346Gibraltar

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/7
Cyprus 1 Greece 2
Sat100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Greece+11.5
+4.4
Bosnia-Herzegov-4.8
-0.8
Estonia+0.6
CyprusNo
-3.9
Bosnia-Herzegov 3 Belgium 4
Sat100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Belgium+1.1
Greece+3.4
+0.9
Bosnia-Herzegov-12.8
-3.1
Estonia+0.3
Cyprus+0.3
+0.3
Georgia 0 Wales 1
Sat100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Greece-1.4
Bosnia-Herzegov-2.3
-0.2
Cyprus-0.3
Republic of Ire 2 Moldova 0
Sat100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Greece-1.2
Bosnia-Herzegov-2.0
-0.2
Cyprus-0.3
Gibraltar+0.2
Sweden 8 Luxembourg 0
Sat100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Greece-0.4
Bosnia-Herzegov-0.9
Belarus 1 Netherlands 3
Sat100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Greece-0.4
Bosnia-Herzegov-0.6
Kosovo 0 Ukraine 2
Sat100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Greece-0.3
Bosnia-Herzegov-0.5
Gibraltar+0.2
Turkey 0 Iceland 3
Sat100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Greece-0.2
Bosnia-Herzegov-0.4
England 1 Slovenia 0
Sat100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Belgium-0.2
Bosnia-Herzegov+0.3
Bulgaria 0 France 1
Sat100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Bosnia-Herzegov-0.3
Croatia 1 Finland 1
Sat100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Bosnia-Herzegov*+0.1
Gibraltar 0 Estonia 6
Sat100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Greece-0.3
Bosnia-Herzegov-0.3
Estonia+3.5
Cyprus-1.0
Gibraltar-1.3
Liechtenstein 0 Israel 1
Sat100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Gibraltar+0.2
Spain 3 Albania 0
Sat100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Belgium-0.2
San Marino 0 Norway 8
Sat100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Estonia-0.2
Gibraltar+0.2
Romania 3 Kazakhstan 1
Sat100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Cyprus-0.2
Gibraltar+0.2
Switzerland 5 Hungary 2
Sat100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Belgium-0.2
N Ireland 1 Germany 3
Sat100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Belgium-0.2
Malta 1 Lithuania 1
Sat100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Gibraltar+0.0
Week of 10/10
Greece 4 Gibraltar 0
Tue100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Greece+30.2
+2.7
Bosnia-HerzegovNo
-0.6
Gibraltar-1.4
Estonia 1 Bosnia-Herzegov 2
Tue100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Greece-0.3
-1.8
Bosnia-Herzegov+3.9
+4.4
Estonia-3.4
Cyprus+1.2
Slovakia 3 Malta 0
Tue100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Greece-0.3
Bosnia-HerzegovNo
-0.2
Slovenia 2 Scotland 2
Tue100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Greece+0.2
Bosnia-HerzegovNo
Serbia 1 Georgia 0
Tue100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Greece-0.4
Norway 1 N Ireland 0
Tue100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Greece+0.3
+0.2
Estonia-0.2
Iceland 2 Kosovo 0
Tue100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Greece-0.2
Wales 0 Republic of Ire 1
Tue100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Greece*+0.1
Belgium 4 Cyprus 0
Tue100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Belgium+1.2
Estonia+1.1
Cyprus-2.2
Macedonia 4 Liechtenstein 0
Tue100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Cyprus-0.3
Gibraltar+0.3
Israel 0 Spain 1
Tue100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Belgium-0.3
Estonia+0.2
Czech Republic 5 San Marino 0
Tue100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Bosnia-Herzegov-0.2
Gibraltar+0.3
Moldova 0 Austria 1
Tue100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Estonia-0.2
Gibraltar+0.2
Germany 5 Azerbaijan 1
Tue100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Belgium-0.2
Estonia+0.2
Cyprus+0.2
Albania 0 Italy 1
Tue100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Bosnia-Herzegov+0.2
Finland 2 Turkey 2
Tue100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Cyprus+0.2
Lithuania 0 England 1
Tue100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Belgium-0.2
Luxembourg 1 Bulgaria 1
Tue100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Estonia+0.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.