Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance will make playoffs | Direct qualify | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| P | G | W | - | D | - | L | GD | % | Change | % | Change | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20+ | Avg. | Change | RPI | |||||
| England | 26 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 15 | In | Yes | 100 | 5.0 | +0.17 | 4 | England | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Slovakia | 18 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 10 | Out | No | -10.0 | 100 | 18.0 | +5.06 | 21 | Slovakia | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Scotland | 18 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 5 | Out | No | -24.3 | 100 | 20.0 | -1.28 | 15 | Scotland | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Slovenia | 15 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 5 | Out | No | -4.6 | 100 | 28.0 | -2.78 | 24 | Slovenia | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Lithuania | 6 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 6 | -13 | Out | No | 100 | 43.0 | -0.77 | 41 | Lithuania | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Malta | 1 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 9 | -22 | Out | No | 100 | 51.0 | -0.72 | 50 | Malta | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Big Games
Who should we root for? Explain
| Week of 10/7 | ||||||
| England 1 Slovenia 0 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| England | In | Yes | +2.0 | |||
| Slovakia | Out | +2.9 | +0.7 | |||
| Scotland | Out | +0.8 | +0.7 | |||
| Slovenia | Out | -11.4 | -3.6 | |||
| Scotland 1 Slovakia 0 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| England | +0.7 | +0.7 | +0.1 | |||
| Slovakia | Out | -19.9 | -5.1 | |||
| Scotland | +3.2 | +16.2 | +5.0 | |||
| Slovenia | +0.7 | +3.2 | +0.1 | |||
| Georgia 0 Wales 1 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Slovakia | -0.4 | |||||
| Scotland | -0.3 | |||||
| Slovenia | -0.3 | |||||
| Lithuania | +0.2 | |||||
| Bosnia-Herzegov 3 Belgium 4 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Slovakia | +0.4 | |||||
| Scotland | +0.3 | |||||
| Slovenia | +0.3 | |||||
| Republic of Ire 2 Moldova 0 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Slovakia | -0.3 | |||||
| Scotland | -0.3 | |||||
| Slovenia | -0.3 | |||||
| Malta | +0.2 | |||||
| Cyprus 1 Greece 2 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Slovakia | -0.2 | |||||
| Scotland | -0.2 | |||||
| Slovenia | -0.2 | |||||
| Sweden 8 Luxembourg 0 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Slovakia | *-0.2 | |||||
| Slovenia | -0.2 | |||||
| Malta 1 Lithuania 1 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Lithuania | -0.2 | |||||
| Malta | -0.7 | |||||
| Kosovo 0 Ukraine 2 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Malta | +0.2 | |||||
| Armenia 1 Poland 6 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| England | -0.2 | |||||
| Lithuania | +0.2 | |||||
| Gibraltar 0 Estonia 6 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Malta | +0.2 | |||||
| San Marino 0 Norway 8 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Malta | +0.2 | |||||
| Liechtenstein 0 Israel 1 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Malta | +0.2 | |||||
| Week of 10/10 | ||||||
| Slovakia 3 Malta 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Slovakia | +16.7 | +5.2 | ||||
| Scotland | -5.5 | -2.0 | ||||
| Slovenia | No | -1.0 | ||||
| Malta | -1.7 | |||||
| Slovenia 2 Scotland 2 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Slovakia | +6.1 | +0.6 | ||||
| Scotland | -2.2 | +0.5 | ||||
| Slovenia | No | -2.4 | ||||
| Greece 4 Gibraltar 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Slovakia | -2.8 | -0.2 | ||||
| Scotland | -3.8 | |||||
| Slovenia | No | |||||
| Malta | +0.2 | |||||
| Estonia 1 Bosnia-Herzegov 2 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Slovenia | -3.5 | |||||
| Serbia 1 Georgia 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Slovakia | -1.0 | |||||
| Scotland | -0.6 | |||||
| Lithuania | +0.3 | |||||
| Wales 0 Republic of Ire 1 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Slovakia | -0.5 | |||||
| Ukraine 0 Croatia 2 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Slovakia | -0.4 | |||||
| Lithuania 0 England 1 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| England | +0.9 | |||||
| Lithuania | -1.6 | |||||
| Moldova 0 Austria 1 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Slovenia | -0.3 | |||||
| Malta | +0.3 | |||||
| Poland 4 Montenegro 2 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| England | -0.3 | |||||
| Scotland | +0.2 | |||||
| France 2 Belarus 1 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| England | -0.2 | |||||
| Lithuania | +0.2 | |||||
| Iceland 2 Kosovo 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Malta | +0.3 | |||||
| Macedonia 4 Liechtenstein 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Lithuania | -0.2 | |||||
| Malta | +0.2 | |||||
| Czech Republic 5 San Marino 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Malta | +0.2 | |||||
| Denmark 1 Romania 1 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Slovenia | +0.2 | |||||
| Luxembourg 1 Bulgaria 1 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Slovenia | +0.2 | |||||
| Latvia 4 Andorra 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Lithuania | -0.2 | |||||
| Israel 0 Spain 1 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| England | -0.1 | |||||
| Norway 1 N Ireland 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Scotland | +0.2 | |||||
| Finland 2 Turkey 2 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Slovenia | -0.0 | |||||
| Lithuania | -0.1 | |||||
| Belgium 4 Cyprus 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| England | -0.1 | |||||
| Kazakhstan 1 Armenia 1 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Malta | +0.0 | |||||
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-22 12:28 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
