Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Chance will make playoffs | Direct qualify | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| P | G | W | - | D | - | L | GD | % | Change | % | Change | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20+ | Avg. | Change | RPI | |||||
| Poland | 25 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 14 | In | +14.1 | Yes | +7.0 | 100 | 6.0 | +0.80 | 6 | Poland | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Denmark | 20 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 12 | Out | -14.1 | 50.0 | % | +0.2 | 100 | 12.0 | +1.20 | 19 | Denmark | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Montenegro | 16 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 8 | Out | No | -7.0 | 100 | 24.0 | -3.99 | 28 | Montenegro | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Romania | 13 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 2 | Out | No | 100 | 31.0 | +0.25 | 32 | Romania | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Armenia | 7 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 7 | -16 | Out | No | 100 | 42.0 | +0.57 | 44 | Armenia | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Kazakhstan | 3 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 7 | -20 | Out | No | 100 | 48.0 | +1.08 | 53 | Kazakhstan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Big Games
Who should we root for? Explain
| Week of 10/7 | ||||||
| Montenegro 0 Denmark 1 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Poland | *+0.1 | -2.1 | -0.2 | |||
| Denmark | +20.4 | +31.1 | +4.8 | |||
| Montenegro | -20.5 | -28.5 | -4.4 | |||
| Armenia 1 Poland 6 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Poland | +19.7 | +14.5 | +2.9 | |||
| Denmark | -10.1 | -7.1 | -0.8 | |||
| Montenegro | -9.6 | -7.4 | -0.8 | |||
| Romania | +0.5 | |||||
| Armenia | -2.6 | |||||
| Kazakhstan | +0.4 | |||||
| Austria 3 Serbia 2 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Romania | -0.2 | |||||
| Romania 3 Kazakhstan 1 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Romania | +2.4 | |||||
| Armenia | -0.1 | |||||
| Kazakhstan | -2.0 | |||||
| Georgia 0 Wales 1 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Armenia | +0.2 | |||||
| Kosovo 0 Ukraine 2 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kazakhstan | +0.2 | |||||
| Republic of Ire 2 Moldova 0 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kazakhstan | +0.2 | |||||
| San Marino 0 Norway 8 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Armenia | -0.2 | |||||
| Liechtenstein 0 Israel 1 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Romania | -0.2 | |||||
| Kazakhstan | +0.1 | |||||
| England 1 Slovenia 0 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Poland | -0.2 | |||||
| Malta 1 Lithuania 1 | ||||||
| Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Armenia | +0.0 | |||||
| Week of 10/10 | ||||||
| Denmark 1 Romania 1 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Poland | In | Yes | +0.7 | |||
| Denmark | Out | +0.2 | +0.4 | |||
| Montenegro | No | -0.6 | ||||
| Romania | -0.4 | |||||
| Poland 4 Montenegro 2 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Poland | In | Yes | +1.5 | |||
| Denmark | Out | -0.2 | -0.2 | |||
| Montenegro | No | -2.6 | ||||
| Albania 0 Italy 1 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Denmark | -0.2 | |||||
| Greece 4 Gibraltar 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Denmark | -0.4 | |||||
| Kazakhstan | +0.1 | |||||
| Slovenia 2 Scotland 2 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Denmark | +0.3 | |||||
| Serbia 1 Georgia 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Denmark | -0.2 | |||||
| Armenia | +0.3 | |||||
| Iceland 2 Kosovo 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kazakhstan | +0.3 | |||||
| Kazakhstan 1 Armenia 1 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Armenia | -0.8 | |||||
| Kazakhstan | -0.3 | |||||
| France 2 Belarus 1 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Poland | -0.3 | |||||
| Denmark | -0.2 | |||||
| Armenia | +0.2 | |||||
| Moldova 0 Austria 1 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Romania | -0.3 | |||||
| Kazakhstan | +0.3 | |||||
| Lithuania 0 England 1 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Poland | -0.3 | |||||
| Armenia | +0.3 | |||||
| Slovakia 3 Malta 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Montenegro | -0.2 | |||||
| Kazakhstan | +0.3 | |||||
| Norway 1 N Ireland 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Denmark | +0.2 | |||||
| Romania | -0.2 | |||||
| Estonia 1 Bosnia-Herzegov 2 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Montenegro | -0.2 | |||||
| Romania | +0.2 | |||||
| Netherlands 2 Sweden 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Montenegro | -0.2 | |||||
| Macedonia 4 Liechtenstein 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Armenia | -0.1 | |||||
| Kazakhstan | +0.1 | |||||
| Israel 0 Spain 1 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Romania | +0.3 | |||||
| Finland 2 Turkey 2 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Romania | +0.1 | |||||
| Armenia | -0.1 | |||||
| Czech Republic 5 San Marino 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Kazakhstan | +0.1 | |||||
| Latvia 4 Andorra 0 | ||||||
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Armenia | -0.2 | |||||
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-22 12:28 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
