Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsDirect qualifyChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920+Avg.ChangeRPI
Serbia216-3-110In+51.3Yes+30.71009.0+3.568Serbia
Republic of Ire195-4-16Out-19.450.0%+21.810017.0+1.6214Republic of Ireland
Wales174-5-17Out-31.9No-45.310022.0-6.4818Wales
Austria154-3-32OutNo10029.0+2.4023Austria
Georgia50-5-5-6OutNo10045.0-1.8742Georgia
Moldova20-2-8-19OutNo10049.0-0.2048Moldova

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/7
Austria 3 Serbia 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Serbia-11.9
-7.0
-1.9
Republic of Ire+4.2
+2.1
-0.3
Wales+7.7
+4.0
Austria+0.1
+3.1
Georgia-0.3
Georgia 0 Wales 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Serbia-10.0
-5.5
-0.7
Republic of Ire-3.1
-0.9
Wales+10.0
+18.6
+3.8
AustriaNo
+0.2
Georgia-2.4
Moldova+0.4
Republic of Ire 2 Moldova 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Serbia-7.5
-4.1
-0.5
Republic of Ire+7.5
+15.3
+3.5
Wales-2.5
-0.7
AustriaNo
-0.4
Georgia+0.3
Moldova-2.0
Bosnia-Herzegov 3 Belgium 4
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Serbia+0.5
Republic of Ire+1.4
Wales+2.1
Cyprus 1 Greece 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Serbia-0.3
Republic of Ire-1.0
Wales-1.5
AustriaNo
Sweden 8 Luxembourg 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Serbia-0.2
Republic of Ire-0.5
Wales-0.9
Belarus 1 Netherlands 3
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Republic of Ire-0.4
Wales-0.7
Kosovo 0 Ukraine 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Republic of Ire-0.3
Wales-0.6
Moldova+0.2
Turkey 0 Iceland 3
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Republic of Ire-0.3
Wales-0.4
Bulgaria 0 France 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Republic of Ire-0.2
Wales-0.5
England 1 Slovenia 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Serbia-0.2
Republic of Ire+0.2
Wales+0.3
Montenegro 0 Denmark 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Wales-0.2
Croatia 1 Finland 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Wales*-0.1
Romania 3 Kazakhstan 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Austria-0.2
Moldova+0.2
Armenia 1 Poland 6
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Serbia-0.2
Georgia+0.2
Liechtenstein 0 Israel 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Austria-0.2
San Marino 0 Norway 8
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Georgia-0.2
Week of 10/10
Serbia 1 Georgia 0
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
SerbiaIn
Yes
+4.5
Republic of IreOut
-9.9
-1.3
WalesOut
-16.9
-1.8
Georgia-1.8
Moldova+0.2
Wales 0 Republic of Ire 1
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Serbia-0.4
-0.3
-0.0
Republic of Ire+32.3
+46.9
+6.5
WalesOut
No
-6.1
Greece 4 Gibraltar 0
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Serbia-8.4
-0.3
Republic of Ire-0.5
Wales-3.1
-0.2
Slovakia 3 Malta 0
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Serbia-2.0
Republic of Ire-0.2
Wales-1.1
-0.3
Moldova+0.3
Slovenia 2 Scotland 2
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Serbia-0.1
Republic of Ire+0.3
Wales+0.8
Norway 1 N Ireland 0
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Republic of Ire+0.2
Austria-0.2
Iceland 2 Kosovo 0
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Serbia-0.3
Republic of Ire-0.2
Moldova+0.3
Denmark 1 Romania 1
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Austria-0.1
Moldova 0 Austria 1
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Austria+2.4
Moldova-2.3
Estonia 1 Bosnia-Herzegov 2
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Republic of Ire-0.3
Austria+0.2
France 2 Belarus 1
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Georgia+0.2
Poland 4 Montenegro 2
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Republic of Ire+0.2
Wales+0.2
Lithuania 0 England 1
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Georgia+0.3
Israel 0 Spain 1
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Austria+0.3
Latvia 4 Andorra 0
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Georgia-0.1
Kazakhstan 1 Armenia 1
Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Georgia+0.1
Moldova+0.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.