Week of 10/7 |
Austria 3 Serbia 2 |
Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Serbia | -11.9 | | -7.0 | | -1.9 | |
Republic of Ire | +4.2 | | +2.1 | | -0.3 | |
Wales | +7.7 | | +4.0 | | | |
Austria | | | +0.1 | | +3.1 | |
Georgia | | | | | -0.3 | |
|
Georgia 0 Wales 1 |
Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Serbia | -10.0 | | -5.5 | | -0.7 | |
Republic of Ire | | | -3.1 | | -0.9 | |
Wales | +10.0 | | +18.6 | | +3.8 | |
Austria | | | No | | +0.2 | |
Georgia | | | | | -2.4 | |
Moldova | | | | | +0.4 | |
|
Republic of Ire 2 Moldova 0 |
Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Serbia | -7.5 | | -4.1 | | -0.5 | |
Republic of Ire | +7.5 | | +15.3 | | +3.5 | |
Wales | | | -2.5 | | -0.7 | |
Austria | | | No | | -0.4 | |
Georgia | | | | | +0.3 | |
Moldova | | | | | -2.0 | |
|
Bosnia-Herzegov 3 Belgium 4 |
Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Serbia | | | +0.5 | | | |
Republic of Ire | | | +1.4 | | | |
Wales | | | +2.1 | | | |
|
Cyprus 1 Greece 2 |
Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Serbia | | | -0.3 | | | |
Republic of Ire | | | -1.0 | | | |
Wales | | | -1.5 | | | |
Austria | | | No | | | |
|
Sweden 8 Luxembourg 0 |
Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Serbia | | | -0.2 | | | |
Republic of Ire | | | -0.5 | | | |
Wales | | | -0.9 | | | |
|
Belarus 1 Netherlands 3 |
Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Republic of Ire | | | -0.4 | | | |
Wales | | | -0.7 | | | |
|
Kosovo 0 Ukraine 2 |
Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Republic of Ire | | | -0.3 | | | |
Wales | | | -0.6 | | | |
Moldova | | | | | +0.2 | |
|
Turkey 0 Iceland 3 |
Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Republic of Ire | | | -0.3 | | | |
Wales | | | -0.4 | | | |
|
Bulgaria 0 France 1 |
Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Republic of Ire | | | -0.2 | | | |
Wales | | | -0.5 | | | |
|
England 1 Slovenia 0 |
Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Serbia | | | | | -0.2 | |
Republic of Ire | | | +0.2 | | | |
Wales | | | +0.3 | | | |
|
Montenegro 0 Denmark 1 |
Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Wales | | | -0.2 | | | |
|
Croatia 1 Finland 1 |
Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Wales | | | *-0.1 | | | |
|
Romania 3 Kazakhstan 1 |
Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Austria | | | | | -0.2 | |
Moldova | | | | | +0.2 | |
|
Armenia 1 Poland 6 |
Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Serbia | | | | | -0.2 | |
Georgia | | | | | +0.2 | |
|
Liechtenstein 0 Israel 1 |
Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Austria | | | | | -0.2 | |
|
San Marino 0 Norway 8 |
Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Georgia | | | | | -0.2 | |
|
Week of 10/10 |
Serbia 1 Georgia 0 |
Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Serbia | In | | Yes | | +4.5 | |
Republic of Ire | Out | | -9.9 | | -1.3 | |
Wales | Out | | -16.9 | | -1.8 | |
Georgia | | | | | -1.8 | |
Moldova | | | | | +0.2 | |
|
Wales 0 Republic of Ire 1 |
Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Serbia | -0.4 | | -0.3 | | -0.0 | |
Republic of Ire | +32.3 | | +46.9 | | +6.5 | |
Wales | Out | | No | | -6.1 | |
|
Greece 4 Gibraltar 0 |
Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Serbia | | | -8.4 | | -0.3 | |
Republic of Ire | | | -0.5 | | | |
Wales | | | -3.1 | | -0.2 | |
|
Slovakia 3 Malta 0 |
Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Serbia | | | -2.0 | | | |
Republic of Ire | | | | | -0.2 | |
Wales | | | -1.1 | | -0.3 | |
Moldova | | | | | +0.3 | |
|
Slovenia 2 Scotland 2 |
Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Serbia | | | -0.1 | | | |
Republic of Ire | | | +0.3 | | | |
Wales | | | +0.8 | | | |
|
Norway 1 N Ireland 0 |
Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Republic of Ire | | | +0.2 | | | |
Austria | | | | | -0.2 | |
|
Iceland 2 Kosovo 0 |
Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Serbia | | | | | -0.3 | |
Republic of Ire | | | -0.2 | | | |
Moldova | | | | | +0.3 | |
|
Denmark 1 Romania 1 |
Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Austria | | | | | -0.1 | |
|
Moldova 0 Austria 1 |
Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Austria | | | | | +2.4 | |
Moldova | | | | | -2.3 | |
|
Estonia 1 Bosnia-Herzegov 2 |
Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Republic of Ire | | | | | -0.3 | |
Austria | | | | | +0.2 | |
|
France 2 Belarus 1 |
Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Georgia | | | | | +0.2 | |
|
Poland 4 Montenegro 2 |
Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Republic of Ire | | | | | +0.2 | |
Wales | | | | | +0.2 | |
|
Lithuania 0 England 1 |
Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Georgia | | | | | +0.3 | |
|
Israel 0 Spain 1 |
Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Austria | | | | | +0.3 | |
|
Latvia 4 Andorra 0 |
Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Georgia | | | | | -0.1 | |
|
Kazakhstan 1 Armenia 1 |
Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Direct qualify | 100.0* | Average seed |
Georgia | | | | | +0.1 | |
Moldova | | | | | +0.0 | |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.