Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleUEFA CLChance will finish season at seedFirst League
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
Beşiktaş299-2-21632.7%-7.154.3%-7.333221410753221100000003.1-0.360.1%+0.03Beşiktaş
Fenerbahçe2718-3-1928.2+2.749.2+1.828211511854321110000003.4+0.100.1+0.01Fenerbahçe
Akhisar257-4-2812.9+5.027.8+9.0131514121087543221110004.9+1.050.5-0.72Akhisar Belediyespor
Galatasaray236-5-2127.9-0.118.4-0.681112111198765432211006.0-0.051.2-0.04Galatasaray
Başakşehir237-2-477.5-0.118.0-0.7810121211108765432211006.0-0.051.2-0.05Istanbul Başakşehir
Konya205-5-3-23.0-0.18.2-0.53578999887655432107.9-0.093.8+0.18Konyaspor
Trabzon1715-2-501.9+0.35.5+0.52456788888776544219.0+0.127.1-0.09Trabzonspor
Rize184-6-331.5-0.14.5-0.42356788888776654319.2-0.117.5+0.37Çaykur Rizespor
Kasımpaşa174-5-431.1-0.13.3-0.31245677888887765329.9-0.1310.2+0.510Kasımpaşa
Antalya174-5-4-31.0-0.13.1-0.31235677888887765329.9-0.1310.0+0.46Antalyaspor
Osmanlıspor154-3-610.5-0.01.7-0.211234566778899886311.2-0.1417.0+0.913Osmanlıspor
Bursa155-0-8-40.5-0.31.6-0.901234566788889876411.2-0.7917.0+4.411Bursaspor
Gaziantep154-3-6-90.5-0.01.6-0.201234566788898876411.2-0.1517.1+0.915Gaziantepspor
Kayserispor143-5-5-20.3+0.21.2+0.601123455678899998511.9+1.0721.4-9.514Kayserispor
Sivas132-7-4-20.2-0.00.8-0.101122345667899101010712.5-0.1627.0+1.412Sivasspor
Gençlerbirliği133-4-6-50.2-0.00.8-0.1011223456678910101010712.5-0.1727.0+1.416Gençlerbirliği
Mersin71-4-8-150.0-0.00.1-0.000000111223457913213215.7-0.6165.9+8.718Mersin İdmanyurdu
Eskişehir72-1-10-170.0+0.00.1+0.000000111223457913213215.7+0.6065.8-8.917Eskişehirspor

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/29
Beşiktaş 0 Akhisar 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Beşiktaş-8.4
-9.1
-0.5
Fenerbahçe+1.6
Akhisar+4.6
+7.9
-0.7
+0.9
Galatasaray+0.6
+0.4
Başakşehir+0.7
+0.3
Konya+0.2
+0.2
Kasımpaşa 2 Galatasaray 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Beşiktaş+0.4
+0.5
Fenerbahçe+0.4
+0.5
Akhisar+0.2
Galatasaray-0.9
-1.6
-0.1
Başakşehir+0.3
Konya+0.2
Kasımpaşa-0.2
-0.6
+0.5
-0.2
Mersin*-0.1
Sivas 2 Başakşehir 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Beşiktaş+0.3
+0.4
Fenerbahçe+0.3
+0.4
Akhisar+0.1
+0.3
Galatasaray+0.2
+0.2
Başakşehir-0.9
-1.6
-0.1
Konya*+0.1
Rize*-0.1
Antalya*-0.1
Osmanlıspor*-0.1
Bursa*-0.1
Gaziantep*-0.1
Kayserispor*-0.1
Sivas-0.2
+1.3
-0.2
Gençlerbirliği*-0.1
Mersin-0.2
Eskişehir-0.3
Rize 0 Konya 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Beşiktaş+0.3
+0.5
Fenerbahçe+0.2
+0.4
Akhisar+0.2
Başakşehir+0.3
Konya-0.5
-1.1
+0.1
-0.2
Rize-0.3
-0.7
+0.3
-0.2
Kayserispor*-0.2
Bursa 1 Kayserispor 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Konya+0.2
Trabzon+0.2
Rize+0.2
Kasımpaşa+0.3
Antalya+0.2
Osmanlıspor+0.3
Bursa-0.4
-1.1
+5.0
-0.9
Gaziantep+0.4
Kayserispor+0.2
+0.5
-9.0
+1.0
Sivas+0.5
Gençlerbirliği+0.6
Mersin+0.5
Eskişehir+0.6
Antalya 1 Osmanlıspor 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Beşiktaş+0.2
Fenerbahçe+0.3
Galatasaray+0.2
Antalya-0.2
-0.6
+0.4
-0.2
Osmanlıspor-0.1
-0.3
+0.8
-0.2
Kayserispor*-0.2
Eskişehir-0.2
Gençlerbirliği 2 Gaziantep 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Osmanlıspor-0.2
Bursa-0.2
Gaziantep-0.1
-0.4
+0.7
-0.2
Kayserispor-0.2
Sivas-0.3
Gençlerbirliği-0.2
+1.2
-0.2
Mersin-0.3
Eskişehir-0.2
Eskişehir 3 Mersin 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Osmanlıspor*-0.1
Gaziantep*+0.1
Mersin+9.0
-0.6
Eskişehir-8.9
+0.6
Fenerbahçe vs TrabzonIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Beşiktaş30.133.634.7
52.754.955.3
Fenerbahçe36.026.421.8
59.147.340.9
2.83.53.9
Akhisar11.613.313.9
26.328.328.8
Trabzon0.81.63.3
2.94.78.8
10.07.54.0
9.99.27.9
Week of 12/5
Kayserispor vs BeşiktaşIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Beşiktaş25.930.841.1
46.252.463.9
3.63.22.5
Fenerbahçe30.628.925.2
50.749.747.3
3.33.43.4
Akhisar14.113.311.4
29.128.126.2
Galatasaray8.68.16.9
19.418.717.2
Başakşehir8.37.86.5
18.918.316.7
Kayserispor0.70.20.1
2.10.90.5
14.422.527.6
10.812.112.7
Gaziantep vs FenerbahçeHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Beşiktaş34.933.529.9
55.754.852.5
3.03.13.1
Fenerbahçe22.026.335.9
41.247.358.8
3.93.52.8
Akhisar14.013.311.5
29.028.226.1
Galatasaray8.68.17.0
19.418.817.2
Gaziantep0.90.30.2
2.81.20.7
11.018.022.4
10.211.512.1
Akhisar vs SivasHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Beşiktaş31.033.234.0
52.554.755.7
3.13.13.0
Fenerbahçe26.828.629.2
47.549.850.5
Akhisar17.911.69.0
36.025.821.2
0.10.50.8
4.15.05.6
Sivas0.10.20.4
0.30.61.4
33.928.419.0
13.312.711.5
Galatasaray vs BursaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Fenerbahçe27.328.528.9
48.049.650.1
Galatasaray11.46.95.2
25.116.713.2
0.4*1.21.9
5.06.16.8
Bursa0.20.30.8
0.71.22.7
22.418.010.9
12.111.410.2
Başakşehir vs GençlerbirliğiHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Başakşehir10.96.54.9
24.416.312.9
0.4*1.22.0
5.16.16.8
Gençlerbirliği0.10.10.4
0.30.61.4
34.028.418.9
13.312.711.5
Konya vs AntalyaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Konya4.72.51.7
12.17.15.1
1.83.95.7
6.88.18.8
Antalya0.50.81.7
1.72.55.0
13.910.55.8
10.810.18.8
Trabzon vs EskişehirHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Trabzon3.11.61.1
8.24.63.4
3.67.310.5
7.99.29.9
Eskişehir73.768.056.1
16.215.815.0
Mersin vs RizeHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Rize0.81.22.5
2.73.87.0
11.17.73.8
10.19.48.1
Mersin56.268.173.8
15.015.816.2
Osmanlıspor vs KasımpaşaHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Kasımpaşa0.50.81.8
1.92.75.3
14.510.75.6
10.810.18.8
Osmanlıspor0.90.40.2
2.81.30.9
10.517.822.7
10.111.412.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you FHRFRD for adding this league.