How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Fenerbahce 1 Sivasspor 1 -0.3
-0.5
+1.3
-0.2
Trabzonspor 2 Galatasaray 2 +0.1
+0.1
-0.2
Karagumruk 4 Adana 0 -0.1
Rizespor 0 Hatayspor 2 -0.1
*-0.1
Gaziantep 2 Antalyaspor 0 +0.1
Kayserispor 2 Kasimpasa 0 *+0.1
Alanyaspor 1 Giresunspor 0 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Malatyaspor vs Sivasspor-0.6-0.2+0.8
-1.3-0.5+1.7
+6.5+1.3-7.5
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Sivasspor vs Gaziantep+0.8-0.2-0.6
+1.6-0.5-1.3
-7.6+1.3+6.6
+1.1-0.2-0.9
Fenerbahce vs Giresunspor-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.4
Basaksehir vs Fenerbahce+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4-0.1-0.3
Giresunspor vs Konyaspor+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.5-0.2-0.3
Besiktas vs Adana-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.4
Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Antalyaspor vs Besiktas+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor-0.0+0.1-0.0
Galatasaray vs Alanyaspor-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Kayserispor vs Galatasaray*-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Rizespor vs Altay+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.2-0.1
Goztepe vs Hatayspor+0.1-0.1-0.1
Karagumruk vs Antalyaspor-0.1-0.1+0.2
Malatyaspor vs Karagumruk+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Alanyaspor vs Kasimpasa*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Altay vs Goztepe*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Gaziantep vs Basaksehir-0.1-0.2+0.2
Adana vs Rizespor+0.1-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sivasspor finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedFirst
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920LeagueCount
80-104YesYes100No4,147*
7924-5-598.9%Yes991No360*
7823-7-499.3Yes991No562*
7723-6-599.3Yes991No1,089*
7622-8-498.6Yes991No1,728*
7522-7-597.9Yes982No2,848*
7422-6-696.5100.0%9730No4,528*
7321-8-594.399.99460No7,034*
7221-7-691.899.79280No10,634*
7121-6-787.899.5881200No16,217*
7020-8-683.299.1831610No23,873*
6920-7-777.498.1772120No34,352*
6819-9-669.896.47027300No49,152*
6719-8-761.393.56132600No69,231*
6619-7-850.789.0513810100No95,054*
6518-9-739.681.5404215300No128,048*
6418-8-829.071.62943225100No169,954*
6318-7-919.458.6193929102000No222,004*
6217-9-811.443.81132341751000No284,430*
6117-8-95.829.062335251020000No358,296*
6016-10-82.416.52143031175100No445,466*
5916-9-90.87.617213125123100No541,971*
5816-8-100.22.7021125302182000No650,287*
5715-10-90.00.70151527281761000No765,057*
5615-9-100.00.100161828261551000No887,085*
5515-8-110.00.0000281928241341000No1,010,724*
5414-10-10No0.0000292128231241000No1,133,089*
5314-9-11NoNo0003102128231131000No1,245,660*
5213-11-10NoNo000031022282211310000.0%1,348,691*
5113-10-11NoNo000031022282210300000.01,438,523*
5013-9-12NoNo00003112228221030000.01,504,443*
4912-11-11NoNo0001311232921920000.31,549,104*
4812-10-12NoNo0001412242920820002.11,565,451*
4712-9-13NoNo000141426291971008.21,551,838*
4611-11-12NoNo000151628281651021.41,518,534*
4511-10-13NoNo000027203026123040.91,456,868*
4411-9-14NoNo00003112532227161.81,372,800*
4310-11-13NoNo0001516303115379.01,272,360*
4210-10-14NoNo00028243525690.01,155,721*
4110-9-15NoNo00041534341395.91,030,225*
409-11-14NoNo001928412198.5903,329*
399-10-15NoNo00420433299.5776,637*
389-9-16NoNo00213414399.9655,074*
378-11-15NoNo00183754100.0539,787*
368-10-16NoNo0053065100.0436,052*
358-9-17NoNo0022474100.0347,067*
347-11-16NoNo0011881100.0270,313*
337-10-17NoNo011387Yes205,330*
327-9-18NoNo00991Yes152,912*
316-11-17NoNo0694Yes111,762*
306-10-18NoNo0496Yes79,506*
296-9-19NoNo0397Yes55,164*
285-11-18NoNo0298Yes37,837*
275-10-19NoNo199Yes24,933*
265-9-20NoNo199Yes16,130*
254-11-19NoNo0100Yes9,998*
244-10-20NoNo0100Yes6,127*
234-9-21NoNo0100Yes3,592*
224-8-22NoNo0100Yes2,054*
213-10-21NoNo0100Yes1,097*
2-20NoNo100Yes4,901*
Total:1.5%3.5%1223334445556667788932.4%29,567,040

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship