How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Rizespor 0 Hatayspor 2 -0.7
-1.5
+6.3
-0.9
Fenerbahce 1 Sivasspor 1 +0.1
+0.1
-0.1
Trabzonspor 2 Galatasaray 2 +0.1
Besiktas 3 Malatyaspor 0 -0.1
Gaziantep 2 Antalyaspor 0 +0.2
Alanyaspor 1 Giresunspor 0 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Rizespor vs Altay+0.6-0.2-0.5
+1.3-0.4-1.0
-8.0+1.4+6.8
+1.1-0.2-0.9
Adana vs Rizespor-0.4-0.2+0.6
-1.0-0.4+1.3
+7.0+1.4-8.2
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Besiktas vs Adana-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.4
Basaksehir vs Fenerbahce+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.5-0.2-0.3
Giresunspor vs Konyaspor+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Fenerbahce vs Giresunspor-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3-0.2+0.5
Antalyaspor vs Besiktas+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor-0.0+0.1-0.0
Galatasaray vs Alanyaspor-0.1-0.1+0.1
Kayserispor vs Galatasaray+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Malatyaspor vs Karagumruk+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Goztepe vs Hatayspor+0.2-0.1-0.1
Karagumruk vs Antalyaspor-0.1-0.1+0.2
Hatayspor vs Kayserispor*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Gaziantep vs Basaksehir*-0.0-0.2+0.2
Altay vs Goztepe*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Malatyaspor vs Sivasspor-0.1-0.2+0.2
Alanyaspor vs Kasimpasa*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Sivasspor vs Gaziantep+0.2-0.2*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Rizespor finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedFirst
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920LeagueCount
81-103YesYes100No3,819*
8024-7-399.2%Yes991No125*
7924-6-4YesYes100No187*
7824-5-598.9Yes991No371*
7723-7-498.5Yes982No533*
7623-6-598.0Yes982No995*
7522-8-497.4Yes973No1,689*
7422-7-596.5Yes973No2,779*
7322-6-694.899.9%9550No4,545*
7221-8-592.599.993700No6,912*
7121-7-688.699.6891100No10,708*
7021-6-784.299.1841510No16,108*
6920-8-677.798.3782120No23,870*
6820-7-770.996.6712630No34,729*
6719-9-662.094.26232500No49,320*
6619-8-751.589.4523810100No68,740*
6519-7-840.882.3414215300No94,994*
6418-9-730.072.33042225100No127,819*
6318-8-819.959.420392910200No169,721*
6218-7-911.844.8123334174100No222,208*
6117-9-86.029.76243524920000No284,346*
6017-8-92.517.031530301751000No358,322*
5916-10-80.87.8172131251130000No444,981*
5816-9-90.22.8031225302082000No542,972*
5716-8-100.00.70151527281761000No649,236*
5615-10-90.00.100171828261451000No764,976*
5515-9-100.00.0000282028241341000No887,899*
5415-8-11No0.0000292128231241000No1,011,609*
5314-10-10No0.000003102128231131000No1,132,274*
5214-9-11NoNo00031022282211310000.0%1,247,180*
5113-11-10NoNo000031022282211310000.01,349,856*
5013-10-11NoNo000031122282210300000.01,437,504*
4913-9-12NoNo00013112329211020000.41,501,845*
4812-11-11NoNo001412242921820002.21,547,568*
4712-10-12NoNo000141326291971008.51,564,838*
4612-9-13NoNo000151628281651021.91,554,189*
4511-11-12NoNo00027193026123041.51,518,505*
4411-10-13NoNo00002102432228162.51,458,240*
4311-9-14NoNo0001415303115379.51,372,999*
4210-11-13NoNo00018233525790.31,269,625*
4110-10-14NoNo00031533351396.11,154,270*
4010-9-15NoNo001828412298.61,031,676*
399-11-14NoNo000420433299.6901,546*
389-10-15NoNo000213414499.9777,496*
379-9-16NoNo00183655100.0653,315*
368-11-15NoNo0043065100.0540,742*
358-10-16NoNo0022474100.0439,132*
348-9-17NoNo0011881100.0348,035*
337-11-16NoNo011387Yes270,207*
327-10-17NoNo00991Yes205,580*
317-9-18NoNo0694Yes153,369*
306-11-17NoNo0496Yes111,900*
296-10-18NoNo0397Yes79,293*
286-9-19NoNo298Yes55,342*
275-11-18NoNo199Yes37,429*
265-10-19NoNo199Yes24,644*
255-9-20NoNo0100Yes16,088*
244-11-19NoNo0100Yes10,044*
234-10-20NoNo0100Yes6,063*
224-9-21NoNo0100Yes3,622*
214-8-22NoNo100Yes2,059*
203-10-21NoNo0100Yes1,115*
1-19NoNo100Yes4,937*
Total:1.1%2.7%122233344455666789101137.4%29,567,040

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship