How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Kayserispor 2 Kasimpasa 0 +1.8
+3.3
-5.5
+1.1
Trabzonspor 2 Galatasaray 2 +0.1
+0.1
Besiktas 3 Malatyaspor 0 -0.1
-0.1
Rizespor 0 Hatayspor 2 -0.1
-0.1
Konyaspor 3 Altay 1 -0.1
-0.1
Alanyaspor 1 Giresunspor 0 -0.1
-0.1
Fenerbahce 1 Sivasspor 1 *+0.1
*-0.1
Gaziantep 2 Antalyaspor 0 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Kayserispor vs Galatasaray+2.4-0.6-1.9
+4.2-1.0-3.4
-4.4+0.6+3.9
+1.1-0.2-1.0
Hatayspor vs Kayserispor-1.9-0.6+2.4
-3.4-1.0+4.2
+3.9+0.6-4.4
-1.0-0.2+1.1
Giresunspor vs Konyaspor+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Basaksehir vs Fenerbahce+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Fenerbahce vs Giresunspor-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.2-0.1+0.2
Besiktas vs Adana-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.2-0.1+0.2
Antalyaspor vs Besiktas+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor-0.1+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Rizespor vs Altay+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Karagumruk vs Antalyaspor-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Galatasaray vs Alanyaspor-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.1*-0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Altay vs Goztepe-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.1*-0.0
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Malatyaspor vs Karagumruk*-0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Malatyaspor vs Sivasspor-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Goztepe vs Hatayspor*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Alanyaspor vs Kasimpasa-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.1*-0.0
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Gaziantep vs Basaksehir-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Sivasspor vs Gaziantep*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Adana vs Rizespor*+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kayserispor finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedFirst
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920LeagueCount
82-109YesYes100No6,202*
8122-8-499.8%Yes1000No1,676*
8022-7-599.7Yes1000No2,755*
7922-6-699.8Yes1000No4,480*
7821-8-599.4Yes991No6,863*
7721-7-699.0Yes991No10,576*
7621-6-798.4100.0%9820No15,927*
7520-8-697.5100.09820No23,902*
7420-7-796.3100.09640No34,741*
7319-9-694.399.99460No49,396*
7219-8-791.899.892800No68,951*
7119-7-888.499.6881100No95,053*
7018-9-783.899.1841510No128,221*
6918-8-877.698.27821200No169,917*
6818-7-970.096.570273000No222,290*
6717-9-861.093.66133600No284,272*
6617-8-950.988.95138101000No358,922*
6516-10-839.881.6404215300No444,651*
6416-9-929.071.52943225100No541,505*
6316-8-1019.258.6193929102000No649,595*
6215-10-911.343.61132341751000No765,166*
6115-9-105.728.86233525102000No886,348*
6015-8-112.416.221430311751000No1,010,808*
5914-10-100.87.517213125123100No1,133,316*
5814-9-110.22.6021125302182000No1,245,992*
5713-11-100.00.70141527281761000No1,350,459*
5613-10-110.00.100161828261551000No1,440,446*
5513-9-120.00.0000281928251341000No1,504,166*
5412-11-11No0.0000292028241241000No1,546,307*
5312-10-12NoNo0003102128231131000No1,565,037*
5212-9-13NoNo00031022282311310000.0%1,554,625*
5111-11-12NoNo000031022282211300000.01,517,977*
5011-10-13NoNo00013112228221030000.01,457,722*
4911-9-14NoNo0001311232921920000.31,372,104*
4810-11-13NoNo0001412242920820002.11,270,457*
4710-10-14NoNo000141426281871008.11,153,868*
4610-9-15NoNo000161628281651021.21,031,026*
459-11-14NoNo00028203026123040.5903,257*
449-10-15NoNo00003112532227161.4775,273*
439-9-16NoNo001516303115378.6654,209*
428-11-15NoNo00028243525689.8539,724*
418-10-16NoNo00041634341295.8438,327*
408-9-17NoNo0001928402198.5347,699*
397-11-16NoNo000421433199.5270,237*
387-10-17NoNo00214414399.8205,228*
377-9-18NoNo00183754100.0154,310*
366-11-17NoNo0053065100.0111,536*
356-10-18NoNo0022473100.079,742*
346-9-19NoNo011880Yes55,455*
335-11-18NoNo011386Yes37,573*
325-10-19NoNo0991Yes24,729*
315-9-20NoNo0694Yes15,903*
304-11-19NoNo0496Yes10,128*
294-10-20NoNo397Yes6,195*
284-9-21NoNo298Yes3,736*
274-8-22NoNo199Yes2,031*
263-10-21NoNo199Yes1,103*
253-9-22NoNo0100Yes634*
7-24NoNo100Yes4,292*
Total:5.7%11.6%6666666665555554443213.3%29,567,040

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship