How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Besiktas 3 Denizlispor 0 -1.1
+0.1
Galatasaray 2 Erzurum 0 -1.2
+0.1
Hatayspor 4 Ankaragucu 1 -1.1
+0.1
Goztepe 1 Kasimpasa 0 -0.5
Genclerbirligi 1 Malatyaspor 1 -0.4
Antalyaspor 0 Basaksehir 0 -0.3
Rizespor 0 Sivasspor 0 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Kayserispor vs Rizespor+0.0NoNo
-12.1+2.0+10.5
+1.0-0.2-0.9
Ankaragucu vs Galatasaray+1.2-0.3-1.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Malatyaspor vs Besiktas+0.6-0.1-0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Fenerbahce vs Antalyaspor-0.2*-0.0+0.2
Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor+1.1-0.2-0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Erzurum vs Karagumruk+1.6-0.3-1.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Gaziantep vs Genclerbirligi-1.2-0.4+1.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Basaksehir vs Konyaspor+1.3-0.3-1.0
Sivasspor vs Hatayspor+0.2*-0.0-0.2
Alanyaspor vs Goztepe-0.1*-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Hatayspor vs KayserisporNoNo+0.0
+9.1+2.0-10.7
-0.7-0.2+0.9
Galatasaray vs Sivasspor-0.2*-0.0+0.2
Konyaspor vs Fenerbahce+0.3-0.0-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Goztepe vs Erzurum-1.2-0.3+1.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Karagumruk vs Ankaragucu-1.0-0.3+1.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Antalyaspor vs Kasimpasa-0.8-0.2+0.9
Denizlispor vs Malatyaspor+0.7-0.4-0.4
Genclerbirligi vs Basaksehir+0.2-0.7+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kayserispor finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedFirst
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL123456789101112131415161718192021LeagueCount
7015-0-01.3%15.8%1144136700No43,027
6814-1-0No2.222548223No802
6714-0-1No1.31134236610No901
6613-2-0No0.20736411420No4,503
6513-1-1No0.10324442450No10,946
6412-3-0No0.0011440331010No22,786*
6312-2-1No0.0007314019300No59,259
6212-1-2NoNo032039298100No111,955*
6111-3-1NoNo0111333716300No222,167*
6011-2-2NoNo0052238267100No426,936*
5910-4-1NoNo0212333516300No724,636*
5810-3-2NoNo0052337268100No1,248,571*
5710-2-3NoNo002123135174000No2,013,840*
569-4-2NoNo000521362792000No3,072,291*
559-3-3NoNo0002102934195100No4,613,850*
549-2-4NoNo0004173329133000No6,537,018*
538-4-3NoNo001824342381000No8,926,377*
528-3-4NoNo0003132932175100No11,840,344*
517-5-3NoNo00151932281230000.0%14,959,921*
507-4-4NoNo00019243323810000.018,296,364*
497-3-5NoNo000313283218510000.021,628,361*
486-5-4NoNo00151832291330000.314,899,683
7-2-6NoNo00151732291430000.39,566,147*
476-4-5NoNo00018233324910001.526,801,205*
466-3-6NoNo00021228331951006.014,895,344
5-6-4NoNo00031329321851005.113,379,780*
455-5-5NoNo000151833291220015.017,886,924
6-2-7NoNo000141732301330015.910,758,805*
445-4-6NoNo0001824352481032.318,513,445*
4-7-4NoNo001825342371031.19,494,322*
435-3-7NoNo0003133033174054.112,778,800
4-6-5NoNo0003143133163051.413,562,510*
424-5-6NoNo00162136279172.323,739,341*
414-4-7NoNo000211303618386.620,582,669*
403-6-6NoNo0005213829794.617,091,487*
393-5-7NoNo00021234381498.213,557,720*
383-4-8NoNo000625442599.510,283,656*
373-3-9NoNo000216443899.97,432,382*
362-5-8NoNo00193951100.05,090,839*
352-4-9NoNo0043264100.03,298,863*
342-3-10NoNo0022375100.02,016,103*
331-5-9NoNo0011683100.01,147,681*
321-4-10NoNo001090Yes609,281*
311-3-11NoNo00694Yes296,489*
300-5-10NoNo0397Yes130,314*
290-4-11NoNo0298Yes50,502*
280-3-12NoNo0199Yes16,835*
270-2-13NoNo0100Yes4,503
260-1-14NoNo100Yes840
250-0-15NoNo0100Yes43,037
Total:0.0%0.0%0000000123467911121211108534.2%362,694,362

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship