How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/26100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Besiktas 3 Denizlispor 0 -0.5
+0.0
Genclerbirligi 1 Malatyaspor 1 -0.2
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Kayserispor vs Rizespor+0.0NoNo
-13.7+3.7+12.9
+0.7-0.2-0.7
Fenerbahce vs Antalyaspor-0.0+0.0+0.1
Malatyaspor vs Besiktas+0.3+0.0-0.2
Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor+0.9+0.0-0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Ankaragucu vs Galatasaray+3.1+0.2-1.0
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Erzurum vs Karagumruk+3.0-0.2-2.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Galatasaray vs Erzurum-0.9+0.8+3.8
+0.0-0.0-0.2
Basaksehir vs Konyaspor+2.7-0.3-1.9
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Antalyaspor vs Basaksehir-1.4+0.1+3.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Hatayspor vs Ankaragucu-0.9+0.3+3.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Gaziantep vs Genclerbirligi-0.5+0.3+2.4
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Rizespor vs Sivasspor+1.1-0.2-1.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Goztepe vs Kasimpasa-0.4+0.2+0.9
+0.0-0.0-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/6100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Hatayspor vs KayserisporNoNo+0.0
+5.0-2.9-17.6
-0.3+0.1+1.0
Konyaspor vs Fenerbahce+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Goztepe vs Erzurum-1.2+0.5+3.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Karagumruk vs Ankaragucu-1.0+0.2+3.0
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Genclerbirligi vs Basaksehir-0.7-1.0+1.6
Denizlispor vs Malatyaspor+1.1-0.3-0.6
Antalyaspor vs Kasimpasa-0.5+0.1+0.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kayserispor finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedFirst
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL123456789101112131415161718192021LeagueCount
7015-0-00.0%0.2%00638421210No221,167
6814-1-0NoNo5050No2
6714-0-1NoNo142957No7
6613-2-0NoNo2350234No26
6513-1-1NoNo41548304No113
6412-3-0NoNo1134036100No269*
6312-2-1NoNo053245162No1,064
6212-1-2NoNo0220482640No2,714*
6111-3-1NoNo0111413791No7,337*
6011-2-2NoNo00531441720No19,656*
5910-4-1NoNo02214428500No44,944*
5810-3-2NoNo011138371110No103,825*
5710-2-3NoNo05284320400No228,023*
569-4-2NoNo021741309100No464,927*
559-3-3NoNo018323818400No932,048*
549-2-4NoNo0032138289100No1,763,261*
538-4-3NoNo01113135184000No3,184,636*
528-3-4NoNo00420362810100No5,603,335*
517-5-3NoNo001102935195000No9,323,525*
507-4-4NoNo00418353011200No14,932,582*
497-3-5NoNo0001927362150000.0%23,078,604*
486-5-4NoNo00031635321220000.034,003,547*
476-4-5NoNo0001726382250000.048,193,437*
466-3-6NoNo0003153633121000.165,714,144*
455-5-5NoNo0001727392240000.385,472,946*
445-4-6NoNo00021637331110001.2106,863,985*
435-3-7NoNo001728402140004.168,138,835
4-6-5NoNo001829402040003.759,991,441*
424-5-6NoNo0003173931910010.089,377,676
5-2-8NoNo0003173932910010.357,022,046*
414-4-7NoNo001831391830021.3160,187,235*
404-3-8NoNo000319403081038.086,219,874
3-6-6NoNo000320402971036.981,229,673*
393-5-7NoNo001103338152056.0101,685,400
4-2-9NoNo001103339162056.564,433,661*
383-4-8NoNo00042241266073.8156,960,114*
373-3-9NoNo00112363713187.173,861,399
2-6-7NoNo00112363613186.666,904,938*
362-5-8NoNo0005264223494.6118,893,512*
352-4-9NoNo0002153934998.294,711,018*
342-3-10NoNo000731431899.670,848,262*
331-5-9NoNo00320463199.949,134,139*
321-4-10NoNo001114246100.031,536,746*
311-3-11NoNo0053361100.018,637,864*
300-5-10NoNo0022375100.09,850,073*
290-4-11NoNo011486Yes4,586,373*
280-3-12NoNo00793Yes1,861,476*
270-2-13NoNo00397Yes604,438
260-1-14NoNo199Yes128,820
250-0-15NoNo0100Yes233,877
Total:0.0%0.0%0000000000123610151818149545.1%1,867,199,014

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship