How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Rizespor 0 Hatayspor 2 +1.2
+2.5
-5.6
+1.2
Trabzonspor 2 Galatasaray 2 +0.1
+0.2
Fenerbahce 1 Sivasspor 1 +0.1
+0.1
+0.1
Konyaspor 3 Altay 1 -0.1
Besiktas 3 Malatyaspor 0 -0.1
Kayserispor 2 Kasimpasa 0 +0.1
Gaziantep 2 Antalyaspor 0 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Goztepe vs Hatayspor-1.3-0.3+2.3
-2.5-0.5+4.4
+2.0-0.1-3.0
-0.7-0.0+1.2
Hatayspor vs Kayserispor+1.6-0.8-1.8
+3.1-1.6-3.6
-2.3+0.8+3.0
+0.9-0.4-1.1
Basaksehir vs Fenerbahce+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.4+0.1-0.5
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Giresunspor vs Konyaspor+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.4+0.1-0.4
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Fenerbahce vs Giresunspor-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.3+0.2+0.5
-0.1*+0.0+0.3
Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.2+0.1-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Besiktas vs Adana-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.1*+0.0+0.3
Antalyaspor vs Besiktas+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.2-0.0-0.2
Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor-0.0+0.2-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Kayserispor vs Galatasaray+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.2
Galatasaray vs Alanyaspor-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.1
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Karagumruk vs Antalyaspor-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Rizespor vs Altay+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Malatyaspor vs Karagumruk+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Malatyaspor vs Sivasspor-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Altay vs Goztepe-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Alanyaspor vs Kasimpasa-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Sivasspor vs Gaziantep+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Gaziantep vs Basaksehir-0.0+0.0+0.1
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Adana vs Rizespor+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Hatayspor finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedFirst
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920LeagueCount
86-109YesYes100No13,054*
8524-6-499.9%Yes1000No934*
8424-5-599.8Yes1000No1,686*
8323-7-499.9Yes1000No2,723*
8223-6-599.6Yes1000No4,779*
8122-8-499.4Yes991No7,903*
8022-7-599.2Yes991No12,853*
7922-6-698.7100.0%9910No20,497*
7821-8-597.8100.09820No32,133*
7721-7-696.9100.09730No49,272*
7621-6-795.299.99550No73,584*
7520-8-693.199.993700No107,878*
7420-7-790.199.7901000No156,106*
7319-9-686.199.4861310No221,785*
7219-8-781.198.88118100No307,975*
7119-7-874.797.67523200No420,584*
7018-9-767.195.867294000No564,203*
6918-8-858.392.75834710No739,825*
6818-7-948.487.9483911100No957,508*
6717-9-838.280.83843163000No1,212,787*
6617-8-928.371.228432351000No1,511,029*
6516-10-819.459.5194029102000No1,849,137*
6416-9-912.146.0123434164000No2,221,102*
6316-8-106.732.4726362381000No2,626,426*
6215-10-93.220.33173329143000No3,042,396*
6115-9-101.310.911026322282000No3,466,709*
6015-8-110.44.9041730281541000No3,880,888*
5914-10-100.11.80292331231020000No4,264,155*
5814-9-110.00.50041427291861000No4,602,337*
5713-11-100.00.100161829261441000No4,888,191*
5613-10-110.00.0000292230231130000No5,089,119*
5513-9-12No0.000031225292082000No5,210,196*
5412-11-11No0.0000151527281761000No5,232,358*
5312-10-12NoNo000171828261451000No5,167,486*
5212-9-13NoNo0002820292412310000.0%5,000,268*
5111-11-12NoNo00003102329221020000.04,759,960*
5011-10-13NoNo0001413252919720000.04,442,447*
4911-9-14NoNo00001515272817510000.14,068,477*
4810-11-13NoNo000171929261341000.63,653,938*
4710-10-14NoNo000292230231020002.53,225,553*
4610-9-15NoNo000131326301971007.82,784,421*
459-11-14NoNo000161730281440018.62,362,422*
449-10-15NoNo0002923322492034.51,963,575*
439-9-16NoNo0014142931174053.01,599,654*
428-11-15NoNo000172133269170.21,273,400*
418-10-16NoNo000313303417383.3995,595*
408-9-17NoNo0017233726691.7760,661*
397-11-16NoNo00031635341296.4568,241*
387-10-17NoNo0001930411998.6416,192*
377-9-18NoNo000523442899.5297,374*
366-11-17NoNo00216433899.8207,064*
356-10-18NoNo01104049100.0141,615*
346-9-19NoNo0063559100.094,348*
335-11-18NoNo0032868100.060,724*
325-10-19NoNo022276Yes38,345*
315-9-20NoNo011782Yes23,416*
304-11-19NoNo001288Yes14,032*
294-10-20NoNo0892Yes8,178*
284-9-21NoNo0793Yes4,570*
273-11-20NoNo0397Yes2,469*
263-10-21NoNo397Yes1,316*
253-9-22NoNo199Yes645*
243-8-23NoNo298Yes306*
7-23NoNo100Yes12,316*
Total:4.5%10.1%466777777666554332116.8%96,741,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship