How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Trabzonspor 2 Galatasaray 2 -0.8
-1.2
+0.5
-0.2
Rizespor 0 Hatayspor 2 -0.1
-0.1
Fenerbahce 1 Sivasspor 1 +0.1
+0.1
*-0.1
Konyaspor 3 Altay 1 -0.1
-0.1
Alanyaspor 1 Giresunspor 0 -0.1
-0.1
Besiktas 3 Malatyaspor 0 -0.1
-0.1
Karagumruk 4 Adana 0 *-0.1
Gaziantep 2 Antalyaspor 0 +0.1
Goztepe 2 Basaksehir 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Kayserispor vs Galatasaray-2.3-0.7+2.8
-3.9-1.2+4.8
+3.4+0.5-3.8
-1.0-0.2+1.1
Galatasaray vs Alanyaspor+2.8-0.7-2.2
+4.8-1.2-3.8
-3.8+0.5+3.4
+1.1-0.2-1.0
Fenerbahce vs Giresunspor-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.4+0.1+0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Giresunspor vs Konyaspor+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Basaksehir vs Fenerbahce+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Besiktas vs Adana-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.4+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Antalyaspor vs Besiktas+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.2-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor-0.0+0.2-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Karagumruk vs Antalyaspor-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Goztepe vs Hatayspor*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0*-0.0
Rizespor vs Altay+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Malatyaspor vs Sivasspor-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Hatayspor vs Kayserispor-0.1+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Malatyaspor vs Karagumruk*-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1*+0.0
Altay vs Goztepe-0.1+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.1*-0.0
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Alanyaspor vs Kasimpasa-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.0
*-0.0-0.0+0.1
Gaziantep vs Basaksehir-0.1*+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Sivasspor vs Gaziantep*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Adana vs Rizespor-0.0+0.1*-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Galatasaray finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedFirst
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920LeagueCount
85-110YesYes100No4,504*
8423-7-499.8%Yes1000No616*
8323-6-5YesYes100No1,053*
8222-8-499.9Yes1000No1,768*
8122-7-599.8Yes1000No2,737*
8022-6-699.8Yes1000No4,436*
7921-8-599.7Yes1000No6,938*
7821-7-699.4100.0%9910No10,764*
7721-6-798.9100.09910No16,101*
7620-8-698.2100.09820No23,753*
7520-7-797.4100.09730No34,594*
7419-9-696.3100.09640No49,318*
7319-8-794.499.99450No68,878*
7219-7-891.899.892800No95,048*
7118-9-788.299.5881100No127,890*
7018-8-883.499.1831610No169,849*
6918-7-977.398.27721200No222,346*
6817-9-869.896.57027300No284,876*
6717-8-960.793.661336000No359,144*
6616-10-850.588.8513810100No445,139*
6516-9-939.581.5404216300No542,139*
6416-8-1028.871.32943225100No651,824*
6315-10-919.258.5193929102000No765,941*
6215-9-1011.343.71132341751000No887,498*
6115-8-115.728.96233425102000No1,010,842*
6014-10-102.416.421430311751000No1,133,266*
5914-9-110.87.5172131251230000No1,245,945*
5813-11-100.22.7021125302182000No1,351,389*
5713-10-110.00.70151527281761000No1,435,763*
5613-9-120.00.100161828261551000No1,504,018*
5512-11-110.00.0000282028241341000No1,548,066*
5412-10-12No0.0000292128231241000No1,566,555*
5312-9-13No0.000003102128231131000No1,553,245*
5211-11-12NoNo00031022282211310000.0%1,517,419*
5111-10-13NoNo000031022282210300000.01,457,713*
5011-9-14NoNo0013112228221030000.01,372,466*
4910-11-13NoNo0001311232921920000.31,269,421*
4810-10-14NoNo0001412242920820002.11,154,172*
4710-9-15NoNo000141426291971008.31,031,445*
469-11-14NoNo000151628281651021.5902,220*
459-10-15NoNo00027203026123041.0775,311*
449-9-16NoNo0003112432227162.0655,698*
438-11-15NoNo0001416303115379.2539,995*
428-10-16NoNo00028233525690.0437,616*
418-9-17NoNo00041533351396.0346,829*
407-11-16NoNo001928412298.6270,185*
397-10-17NoNo00420433299.6205,335*
387-9-18NoNo00213414399.9153,142*
376-11-17NoNo00183655100.0111,421*
366-10-18NoNo0043065100.079,373*
356-9-19NoNo0022474100.055,014*
345-11-18NoNo0011881100.037,512*
335-10-19NoNo011287Yes24,634*
325-9-20NoNo00991Yes16,259*
314-11-19NoNo0694Yes9,833*
304-10-20NoNo0397Yes5,991*
294-9-21NoNo397Yes3,585*
284-8-22NoNo298Yes2,020*
273-10-21NoNo199Yes1,215*
263-9-22NoNo199Yes643*
253-8-23NoNo0100Yes354*
8-24NoNo100Yes3,976*
Total:7.2%14.2%7777666665555444333210.7%29,567,040

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship