"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Average seed
Alanyaspor 2 Galatasaray 3 +13.1
+14.6
+0.4
Basaksehir 3 Kayserispor 1 -4.2
-3.7
-0.1
Besiktas 3 Malatyaspor 1 -2.2
-3.1
-0.1
Fenerbahce 4 Antalyaspor 1 -0.9
-2.0
-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/29100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Average seed
Galatasaray vs Besiktas+23.0-9.4-31.3
+22.7-7.8-32.7
+0.6-0.2-0.8
Osmanlispor vs Basaksehir+8.3+4.2-7.9
+6.8+1.9-5.5
+0.2+0.1-0.2
Kasimpasa vs Fenerbahce+2.7+1.8-2.8
+5.6+2.8-5.2
+0.1+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well Galatasaray finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedFirst
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL123456789101112131415161718LeagueCount
754-0-0YesYes100No1,012,180,602
733-1-092.6%Yes937No2,317,558,836
723-0-159.793.8%603460No1,635,778,897
712-2-048.890.7494291No1,985,021,011
702-1-121.465.82144296No2,770,510,105
692-0-25.836.56314618No939,069,768
1-3-08.944.69364114No751,688,719
681-2-12.220.62184732No1,553,471,762
671-1-20.36.6063855No1,034,374,159
0-4-00.47.7074052No106,133,364
660-3-10.01.8022573No288,033,457
1-0-30.01.4012375No218,365,862
650-2-20.00.3001386No281,491,700
640-1-30.00.000694No114,819,373
630-0-4No0.00298No17,808,221
Total:39.0%63.7%39252115No15,026,305,836
Points
Chance Will Win Championship