How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Fenerbahce 1 Sivasspor 1 +0.4
+0.4
Konyaspor 3 Altay 1 -0.1
-0.2
Besiktas 3 Malatyaspor 0 -0.1
-0.2
Rizespor 0 Hatayspor 2 -0.1
-0.2
Karagumruk 4 Adana 0 -0.1
-0.1
Alanyaspor 1 Giresunspor 0 -0.1
-0.1
Gaziantep 2 Antalyaspor 0 +0.1
+0.1
Trabzonspor 2 Galatasaray 2 -0.2
+0.0
Goztepe 2 Basaksehir 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Kayserispor vs Galatasaray-2.1-0.3+3.9
-3.8-0.4+6.6
+1.1-0.1-1.7
-0.7-0.0+1.1
Galatasaray vs Alanyaspor+2.4-1.4-2.9
+4.2-2.3-5.3
-1.3+0.5+1.9
+0.8-0.4-1.0
Basaksehir vs Fenerbahce+0.4+0.1-0.5
+0.6+0.2-0.7
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Giresunspor vs Konyaspor+0.4+0.1-0.5
+0.6+0.2-0.7
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Fenerbahce vs Giresunspor-0.3+0.3+0.5
-0.5+0.4+0.7
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor+0.3+0.1-0.5
+0.4+0.2-0.6
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Antalyaspor vs Besiktas+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.4+0.2-0.6
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Besiktas vs Adana-0.3+0.2+0.4
-0.5+0.3+0.6
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor-0.1+0.3-0.2
-0.1+0.3-0.2
Goztepe vs Hatayspor+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.3
Rizespor vs Altay+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Karagumruk vs Antalyaspor-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Malatyaspor vs Karagumruk+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.2
Malatyaspor vs Sivasspor-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Hatayspor vs Kayserispor-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Altay vs Goztepe-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Alanyaspor vs Kasimpasa-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Sivasspor vs Gaziantep+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Gaziantep vs Basaksehir-0.1+0.1+0.1
*-0.0-0.0+0.1
Adana vs Rizespor+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Galatasaray finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedFirst
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920LeagueCount
87-110YesYes100No14,637*
8624-6-4100.0%Yes1000No2,128*
8524-5-599.9Yes1000No3,653*
8423-7-499.9Yes1000No6,183*
8323-6-599.8Yes1000No10,244*
8222-8-499.6Yes1000No16,364*
8122-7-599.4Yes991No26,059*
8022-6-699.0100.0%9910No39,980*
7921-8-598.4100.09820No60,921*
7821-7-697.9100.09820No90,304*
7720-9-596.6100.09730No132,547*
7620-8-695.199.99550No190,076*
7520-7-792.999.993700No266,671*
7419-9-689.999.7901000No367,292*
7319-8-786.099.4861310No496,665*
7219-7-880.998.88118100No659,648*
7118-9-774.697.87523200No857,997*
7018-8-867.095.96729400No1,098,547*
6917-10-758.392.858357100No1,379,158*
6817-9-848.688.1494011100No1,697,681*
6717-8-938.681.3394316300No2,061,145*
6616-10-828.871.92943225100No2,449,353*
6516-9-919.860.220402991000No2,861,517*
6416-8-1012.446.9123434153000No3,286,375*
6315-10-96.933.4726362271000No3,702,140*
6215-9-103.421.03183329133000No4,100,895*
6115-8-111.411.511026332171000No4,461,185*
6014-10-100.55.2051831281441000No4,766,257*
5914-9-110.11.9029243122920000No4,999,860*
5813-11-100.00.50141528291761000No5,156,785*
5713-10-110.00.100171929261341000No5,219,677*
5613-9-120.00.00002102330221030000No5,190,123*
5512-11-11No0.0001413252919820000No5,070,008*
5412-10-12No0.0000151627271661000No4,858,925*
5312-9-13NoNo000171828261441000No4,573,737*
5211-11-12NoNo00002921292412310000.0%4,224,362*
5111-10-13NoNo0003102329221020000.03,834,659*
5011-9-14NoNo0001413252920820000.03,408,297*
4910-11-13NoNo0001515272817610000.12,974,748*
4810-10-14NoNo0001718292714410000.62,544,120*
4710-9-15NoNo000292230241120002.72,138,758*
469-11-14NoNo00031225302071008.41,762,951*
459-10-15NoNo000151629291540019.71,421,060*
449-9-16NoNo00028223225102036.11,123,488*
438-11-15NoNo0003132832185054.9869,339*
428-10-16NoNo001620332710171.9660,169*
417-12-15NoNo000312293418384.6487,720*
407-11-16NoNo0017223727792.5354,482*
397-10-17NoNo0031535351296.8252,415*
387-9-18NoNo001929412098.8174,820*
376-11-17NoNo000522442999.6117,717*
366-10-18NoNo0215433999.978,087*
356-9-19NoNo01104049100.050,002*
345-11-18NoNo0063459100.031,460*
335-10-19NoNo032869Yes19,308*
325-9-20NoNo022177Yes11,676*
314-11-19NoNo11683Yes6,751*
304-10-20NoNo11287Yes3,717*
294-9-21NoNo0891Yes2,093*
283-11-20NoNo595Yes1,074*
273-10-21NoNo496Yes558*
263-9-22NoNo496Yes286*
252-11-21NoNo199Yes142*
242-10-22NoNo100Yes56*
232-9-23NoNo397Yes29*
8-22NoNo100Yes12,039*
Total:8.4%17.3%899988776554433221103.5%96,741,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship