How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Galatasaray 2 Erzurum 0 No
+9.3
-0.8
Besiktas 3 Denizlispor 0 -1.1
+0.1
Hatayspor 4 Ankaragucu 1 -1.1
+0.1
Goztepe 1 Kasimpasa 0 -0.4
Genclerbirligi 1 Malatyaspor 1 -0.4
Antalyaspor 0 Basaksehir 0 -0.3
Rizespor 0 Sivasspor 0 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Erzurum vs Karagumruk+0.0NoNo
-12.0+2.5+10.0
+0.9-0.2-0.7
Fenerbahce vs Antalyaspor-0.2*-0.0+0.2
Malatyaspor vs Besiktas+0.6-0.1-0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Gaziantep vs Genclerbirligi-1.3-0.4+1.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Ankaragucu vs Galatasaray+1.3-0.4-1.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Basaksehir vs Konyaspor+1.3-0.3-1.1
Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor+1.0-0.2-0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Kayserispor vs Rizespor+0.5-0.5-0.0
Sivasspor vs Hatayspor+0.2*-0.0-0.2
Alanyaspor vs Goztepe-0.1*+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/6100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Goztepe vs ErzurumNoNo+0.0
+10.1+2.5-12.1
-0.8-0.2+0.9
Konyaspor vs Fenerbahce+0.4-0.0-0.3
Hatayspor vs Kayserispor-1.4-0.3+1.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Karagumruk vs Ankaragucu-1.0-0.4+1.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Antalyaspor vs Kasimpasa-0.7-0.1+0.8
Denizlispor vs Malatyaspor+0.9-0.4-0.5
Genclerbirligi vs Basaksehir+0.2-0.7+0.4
Galatasaray vs Sivasspor-0.2*-0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Erzurum finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedFirst
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL123456789101112131415161718192021LeagueCount
6714-0-00.0%0.9%01124335900No43,115
6513-1-0No0.00321462640No2,167
6413-0-1No0.0011339361110No2,633
6312-2-0NoNo0732421730No11,163
6212-1-1NoNo03204228710No27,140
6111-3-0NoNo0111363614200No53,038*
6011-2-1NoNo0052539246100No133,804
5911-1-2NoNo0214353313200No245,076*
5810-3-1NoNo0072637236100No466,338*
5710-2-2NoNo02143333143000No866,352*
569-4-1NoNo0162336258100No1,412,410*
559-3-2NoNo002133133174000No2,342,561*
549-2-3NoNo005203428112000No3,648,289*
538-4-2NoNo0011026342171000No5,321,962*
528-3-3NoNo000315313115400000.0%7,668,912*
518-2-4NoNo00162033271120000.010,414,144*
507-4-3NoNo000210253322710000.013,559,868*
497-3-4NoNo000314293117510000.017,179,000*
486-5-3NoNo00161932271220000.211,847,824*
7-2-5NoNo001518322913300000.38,811,495
476-4-4NoNo00018243323810001.523,969,451*
466-3-5NoNo00031228321951005.916,786,920
5-6-3NoNo00031329321751005.110,063,299*
455-5-4NoNo00151832291220015.016,796,236
6-2-6NoNo00141732301330016.311,926,995*
445-4-5NoNo0001824342481032.620,568,078
4-7-3NoNo0001824342471032.19,023,448*
435-3-6NoNo0003133033174054.516,789,212
4-6-4NoNo0003143133163052.312,574,447*
424-5-5NoNo000162135279172.816,795,370
5-2-7NoNo001520352810173.811,007,059*
414-4-6NoNo000211303619387.317,143,877
3-7-4NoNo000211303618386.98,176,019*
404-3-7NoNo0004203830895.211,990,154
3-6-5NoNo0005213829794.810,100,682*
393-5-6NoNo00021133391598.418,361,902*
383-4-7NoNo000524442699.614,584,225*
373-3-8NoNo000215443999.911,049,829*
362-5-7NoNo00183952100.07,910,704*
352-4-8NoNo00043165100.05,360,163*
342-3-9NoNo0022276100.03,434,747*
331-5-8NoNo0011584100.02,043,517*
321-4-9NoNo00990Yes1,130,419*
311-3-10NoNo00694Yes579,275*
301-2-11NoNo0397Yes266,666*
290-4-10NoNo0298Yes109,084*
280-3-11NoNo0199Yes38,857*
270-2-12NoNo0100Yes11,208
260-1-13NoNo0100Yes2,113
250-0-14NoNo0100Yes43,115
Total:0.0%0.0%0000000012346891112131311844.0%362,694,362

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship