How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Besiktas 3 Malatyaspor 0 +2.6
+4.5
-1.5
+0.8
Fenerbahce 1 Sivasspor 1 +0.3
+0.4
Trabzonspor 2 Galatasaray 2 +0.3
+0.4
Konyaspor 3 Altay 1 -0.1
-0.2
Rizespor 0 Hatayspor 2 -0.1
-0.2
-0.1
Alanyaspor 1 Giresunspor 0 -0.1
Gaziantep 2 Antalyaspor 0 +0.1
+0.1
Karagumruk 4 Adana 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Antalyaspor vs Besiktas-3.5-1.0+4.9
-5.3-1.3+7.2
+0.7-0.0-0.8
-0.7-0.1+0.9
Besiktas vs Adana+3.2-2.3-4.6
+4.8-3.3-7.1
-0.6+0.3+1.2
+0.6-0.4-0.9
Basaksehir vs Fenerbahce+0.6+0.2-0.8
+0.8+0.3-0.9
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Giresunspor vs Konyaspor+0.6+0.2-0.7
+0.8+0.3-0.9
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Fenerbahce vs Giresunspor-0.5+0.4+0.8
-0.7+0.5+1.0
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor+0.5+0.2-0.8
+0.5+0.3-0.9
Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor-0.1+0.4-0.3
-0.2+0.5-0.3
Kayserispor vs Galatasaray+0.1+0.2-0.3
+0.1+0.3-0.4
Galatasaray vs Alanyaspor-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.3+0.3+0.2
Goztepe vs Hatayspor+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.2-0.4
Rizespor vs Altay+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.4
Malatyaspor vs Karagumruk+0.0+0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.2-0.3
Karagumruk vs Antalyaspor-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.2+0.2
Hatayspor vs Kayserispor-0.1+0.2-0.1
-0.1+0.3-0.1
Malatyaspor vs Sivasspor-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
Altay vs Goztepe-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2+0.0
Alanyaspor vs Kasimpasa-0.1+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
Sivasspor vs Gaziantep+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Gaziantep vs Basaksehir-0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Besiktas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedFirst
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920LeagueCount
90-112YesYes100No14,133*
8924-7-399.9%Yes1000No1,764*
8824-6-499.8Yes1000No3,151*
8724-5-5YesYes100No5,323*
8623-7-499.9Yes1000No8,651*
8523-6-5100.0Yes1000No14,263*
8422-8-499.8Yes1000No22,738*
8322-7-599.8Yes1000No35,671*
8222-6-699.6Yes1000No54,994*
8121-8-599.5100.0%9910No82,066*
8021-7-699.1Yes991No119,934*
7920-9-598.7100.09910No172,806*
7820-8-697.9100.09820No242,796*
7720-7-797.0100.09730No336,097*
7619-9-695.699.99640No459,249*
7519-8-793.699.994600No611,583*
7419-7-890.999.891900No801,416*
7318-9-787.299.58712000No1,029,551*
7218-8-882.499.08217100No1,296,665*
7117-10-776.498.17622200No1,608,514*
7017-9-869.196.469273000No1,953,277*
6917-8-960.593.760336000No2,334,632*
6816-10-850.989.4513810100No2,743,629*
6716-9-940.883.04142152000No3,162,394*
6616-8-1030.774.13143214000No3,580,327*
6515-10-921.562.821412881000No3,981,432*
6415-9-1013.749.6143633143000No4,354,182*
6314-11-97.835.7828362161000No4,672,814*
6214-10-103.922.941934281230000No4,929,432*
6114-9-111.612.721128322071000No5,104,028*
6013-11-100.55.9151931271331000No5,199,127*
5913-10-110.12.20210253121820000No5,193,662*
5813-9-120.00.60141628281651000No5,099,406*
5712-11-110.00.100172029251241000No4,916,425*
5612-10-120.00.0000310232922920000No4,650,948*
5512-9-130.00.00001413262819720000No4,321,846*
5411-11-12No0.00001516272716610000No3,946,203*
5311-10-13NoNo000271828261441000No3,531,661*
5211-9-14NoNo0002921292412300000.0%3,104,160*
5110-11-13NoNo0003102329221020000.02,673,565*
5010-10-14NoNo0001412252920820000.02,263,887*
4910-9-15NoNo000151527281761000.11,874,015*
489-11-14NoNo0001618292714410000.71,524,282*
479-10-15NoNo0000282130241130002.91,213,967*
468-12-14NoNo000031225302181009.1948,734*
458-11-15NoNo000151629291641020.9724,698*
448-10-16NoNo00028213225102037.8542,390*
437-12-15NoNo0003122732195056.6396,611*
427-11-16NoNo001620332811173.4284,289*
417-10-17NoNo000212283519485.6200,181*
406-12-16NoNo0016213628793.1136,192*
396-11-17NoNo0031434361397.291,058*
386-10-18NoNo001828422198.959,927*
376-9-19NoNo00421443199.637,941*
365-11-18NoNo0214424199.923,452*
355-10-19NoNo0193852100.014,299*
345-9-20NoNo053262Yes8,290*
334-11-19NoNo032671Yes4,898*
324-10-20NoNo022078Yes2,591*
314-9-21NoNo11683Yes1,389*
303-11-20NoNo01090Yes773*
293-10-21NoNo1090Yes397*
283-9-22NoNo298Yes166*
272-11-21NoNo397Yes79*
262-10-22NoNo397Yes36*
10-25NoNo100Yes12,063*
Total:15.2%28.2%1513111087665433221110001.5%96,741,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship