How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Goztepe 2 Basaksehir 1 -0.1
-0.2
+5.7
-0.6
Rizespor 0 Hatayspor 2 -0.2
Gaziantep 2 Antalyaspor 0 +0.3
Kayserispor 2 Kasimpasa 0 +0.1
Alanyaspor 1 Giresunspor 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Gaziantep vs Basaksehir-0.0-0.0+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
+5.4-0.0-10.5
-0.5-0.0+0.9
Basaksehir vs Fenerbahce+0.1-0.0-0.0
+0.2-0.0-0.1
-8.2+1.6+6.2
+0.7-0.1-0.5
Giresunspor vs Konyaspor+0.7-0.2-0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Fenerbahce vs Giresunspor-0.4*+0.0+0.9
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Antalyaspor vs Besiktas+0.6-0.2-0.5
Besiktas vs Adana-0.4+0.0+0.9
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor+0.4-0.1-0.4
Kayserispor vs Galatasaray+0.1-0.1-0.1
Karagumruk vs Antalyaspor-0.2-0.1+0.4
Sivasspor vs Gaziantep+0.3-0.3-0.1
Galatasaray vs Alanyaspor-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Hatayspor vs Kayserispor+0.1-0.1-0.0
Malatyaspor vs Sivasspor-0.2-0.1+0.6
Malatyaspor vs Karagumruk+0.1-0.1-0.1
Goztepe vs Hatayspor+0.2-0.1-0.2
Rizespor vs Altay+0.5-0.2-0.4
Alanyaspor vs Kasimpasa-0.0-0.1+0.2
Altay vs Goztepe*-0.0-0.1+0.1
Adana vs Rizespor+0.1-0.4+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Basaksehir finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedFirst
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920LeagueCount
79-102YesYes100No12,038*
7824-6-494.1%Yes946No17*
7724-5-5YesYes100No32*
7623-7-498.5Yes982No65*
7523-6-596.0Yes964No125*
7423-5-695.999.6%9640No246*
7322-7-589.099.889110No482*
7222-6-683.999.184151No791*
7121-8-578.598.978201No1,310*
7021-7-673.897.974242No2,382*
6921-6-762.494.36232500No3,955*
6820-8-652.190.352389100No6,630*
6720-7-743.384.643411320No10,550*
6619-9-632.875.8334320400No16,892*
6519-8-723.264.52341268100No26,030*
6419-7-815.351.615363213300No39,959*
6318-9-78.437.382936206100No60,080*
6218-8-84.224.24203427113000No89,012*
6118-7-91.813.621228311961000No129,134*
6017-9-80.66.516193127133100No183,511*
5917-8-90.22.4021125302182000No257,296*
5816-10-80.00.70151628281661000No352,452*
5716-9-90.00.100172029251341000No477,122*
5616-8-100.00.00003102329221030000No632,514*
5515-10-90.00.0000141325281982000No827,340*
5415-9-10No0.00001516272717610000No1,059,132*
5315-8-11NoNo000171828261451000No1,334,685*
5214-10-10NoNo0002820292512410000.0%1,652,289*
5114-9-11NoNo00002102229231130000.02,010,765*
5014-8-12NoNo0001311242921920000.02,399,383*
4913-10-11NoNo0001414262919710000.12,817,297*
4813-9-12NoNo0001616282816510000.93,251,708*
4713-8-13NoNo000272030261230003.63,685,053*
4612-10-12NoNo0000310243122920010.54,103,351*
4512-9-13NoNo000141428301751023.34,483,464*
4411-11-12NoNo00017203127122040.94,814,275*
4311-10-13NoNo0003112633216159.75,073,954*
4211-9-14NoNo0001518333012275.95,247,169*
4110-11-13NoNo000210273520487.35,327,923*
4010-10-14NoNo00015203730894.15,315,345*
3910-9-15NoNo00021333381497.65,198,335*
389-11-14NoNo0001727432299.14,984,109*
379-10-15NoNo000420443299.74,693,977*
369-9-16NoNo00213434299.94,327,491*
358-11-15NoNo00183853100.03,909,996*
348-10-16NoNo00053262100.03,465,622*
338-9-17NoNo0032671100.03,001,347*
327-11-16NoNo0012078100.02,544,444*
317-10-17NoNo011584Yes2,112,744*
307-9-18NoNo001189Yes1,713,770*
296-11-17NoNo00892Yes1,361,542*
286-10-18NoNo00595Yes1,055,148*
276-9-19NoNo0397Yes798,149*
265-11-18NoNo0298Yes588,855*
255-10-19NoNo0199Yes423,815*
245-9-20NoNo0199Yes295,938*
234-11-19NoNo199Yes202,146*
224-10-20NoNo0100Yes133,155*
214-9-21NoNo0100Yes85,800*
204-8-22NoNo0100Yes53,463*
193-10-21NoNo0100Yes32,485*
183-9-22NoNo0100Yes18,995*
173-8-23NoNo0100Yes10,466*
162-10-22NoNo0100Yes5,812*
152-9-23NoNo0100Yes2,994*
142-8-24NoNo0100Yes1,488*
132-7-25NoNo0100Yes724*
0-12NoNo100Yes12,552*
Total:0.1%0.2%00000111223345681013172363.2%96,741,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship