How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 2/26100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Besiktas 3 Denizlispor 0 -0.3
+0.0
Genclerbirligi 1 Malatyaspor 1 -0.2
+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Hatayspor vs AnkaragucuNo*No+0.0
+4.7-1.3-15.1
-0.3+0.1+0.8
Ankaragucu vs Galatasaray+0.0*NoNo
-15.1-1.2+4.7
+0.8+0.1-0.3
Erzurum vs Karagumruk+2.3-0.2-1.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Galatasaray vs Erzurum-0.6+0.6+2.9
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Basaksehir vs Konyaspor+1.9-0.2-1.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Antalyaspor vs Basaksehir-1.0+0.1+2.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Kayserispor vs Rizespor+1.2-0.6-0.9
Rizespor vs Sivasspor+0.9-0.1-0.8
Gaziantep vs Genclerbirligi-0.3+0.1+1.4
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor+0.8+0.0-0.5
Goztepe vs Kasimpasa-0.4+0.1+0.8
Malatyaspor vs Besiktas+0.3+0.0-0.2
Fenerbahce vs Antalyaspor-0.0+0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 3/6100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Karagumruk vs AnkaragucuNo*No+0.0
+5.1-0.8-14.6
-0.3+0.1+0.8
Hatayspor vs Kayserispor-0.8+0.5+2.8
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Goztepe vs Erzurum-0.9+0.4+2.6
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Genclerbirligi vs Basaksehir-0.7-0.6+1.3
Antalyaspor vs Kasimpasa-0.4+0.1+0.7
Denizlispor vs Malatyaspor+0.6-0.2-0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Konyaspor vs Fenerbahce+0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ankaragucu finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedFirst
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL123456789101112131415161718192021LeagueCount
6816-0-0No0.0%0225502120No221,167
6615-1-0NoNo20402020No5
6515-0-1NoNo25251338No8
6414-2-0NoNo3214513163No38
6314-1-1NoNo103737161No147
6213-3-0NoNo042047254No285*
6113-2-1NoNo215413580No1,015
6013-1-2NoNo00833431510No2,638*
5912-3-1NoNo0323432540No6,626*
5812-2-2NoNo011240361010No16,928*
5711-4-1NoNo06294219300No38,348*
5611-3-2NoNo0021842298100No87,038*
5511-2-3NoNo019333716300No184,589*
5410-4-2NoNo0042239268100No370,742*
5310-3-3NoNo00112333516300No732,600*
5210-2-4NoNo0052236269100No1,360,842*
519-4-3NoNo002123134174000No2,435,872*
509-3-4NoNo000520352810100No4,235,103*
498-5-3NoNo0011028352050000.0%7,010,861*
488-4-4NoNo0004173431122000.011,200,970*
478-3-5NoNo001826372261000.017,299,824*
467-5-4NoNo0003153433132000.125,575,379*
457-4-5NoNo001624372461000.736,551,650*
447-3-6NoNo0002133334142002.650,363,918*
436-5-5NoNo000623382571007.566,528,219*
426-4-6NoNo00021333351520017.484,845,505*
416-3-7NoNo000523382660032.8104,162,321*
405-5-6NoNo0002133436141051.7122,627,215*
395-4-7NoNo00052441254070.2139,026,808*
384-6-6NoNo0021437379184.472,978,217
5-3-8NoNo00213373710184.878,292,860*
374-5-7NoNo0006284519293.5157,509,504*
364-4-8NoNo0002174530597.896,412,427
3-7-6NoNo002174630597.860,916,657*
353-6-7NoNo001839401299.473,277,017
4-3-9NoNo001839401299.476,905,422*
343-5-8NoNo00329472199.9136,587,778*
333-4-9NoNo001184833100.0118,491,964*
322-6-8NoNo000104347100.097,530,116*
312-5-9NoNo0053461100.075,840,185*
302-4-10NoNo0022573100.055,676,923*
292-3-11NoNo011683Yes38,351,293*
281-5-10NoNo00991Yes24,540,256*
271-4-11NoNo0595Yes14,546,843*
261-3-12NoNo0298Yes7,911,011*
250-5-11NoNo0199Yes3,844,758*
240-4-12NoNo0100Yes1,650,630*
230-3-13NoNo0100Yes612,364*
220-2-14NoNo0100Yes178,271
20-21NoNo100Yes257,857*
Total:No0.0%000000000001247111621201773.4%1,867,199,014

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship