How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Konyaspor 3 Altay 1 -2.1
-3.7
+3.7
-1.0
Trabzonspor 2 Galatasaray 2 +0.1
+0.2
Fenerbahce 1 Sivasspor 1 +0.1
+0.2
Besiktas 3 Malatyaspor 0 -0.1
-0.1
Alanyaspor 1 Giresunspor 0 -0.1
-0.1
Rizespor 0 Hatayspor 2 -0.1
-0.1
Gaziantep 2 Antalyaspor 0 *+0.1
+0.1
Kayserispor 2 Kasimpasa 0 +0.1
Goztepe 2 Basaksehir 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*First League100.0*Average seed
Altay vs Goztepe+1.9-0.5-1.5
+3.5-0.9-2.8
-5.1+0.7+4.5
+1.1-0.2-1.0
Rizespor vs Altay-1.4-0.5+1.9
-2.7-0.9+3.4
+4.7+0.7-5.2
-1.0-0.2+1.1
Giresunspor vs Konyaspor+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Fenerbahce vs Giresunspor-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.3+0.1+0.2
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Basaksehir vs Fenerbahce+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Besiktas vs Adana-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Antalyaspor vs Besiktas+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Kasimpasa vs Trabzonspor+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor-0.1+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
Galatasaray vs Alanyaspor-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Goztepe vs Hatayspor*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Hatayspor vs Kayserispor-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.1
*-0.0-0.1+0.0
Kayserispor vs Galatasaray*-0.0+0.1-0.0
*-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Karagumruk vs Antalyaspor-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Malatyaspor vs Karagumruk-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Malatyaspor vs Sivasspor-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Sivasspor vs Gaziantep*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
Alanyaspor vs Kasimpasa-0.1+0.1*-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Gaziantep vs Basaksehir-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Adana vs Rizespor-0.0+0.1*-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Altay finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedFirst
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920LeagueCount
83-108YesYes100No4,481*
8223-7-499.8%Yes1000No626*
8123-6-599.7Yes1000No1,052*
8022-8-499.8Yes1000No1,681*
7922-7-599.7Yes1000No2,743*
7822-6-699.3Yes991No4,512*
7721-8-599.0Yes991No6,891*
7621-7-698.2100.0%9820No10,807*
7521-6-797.1100.09730No15,996*
7420-8-696.1100.096400No23,668*
7320-7-793.999.99460No34,810*
7219-9-691.399.791800No49,137*
7119-8-787.899.5881200No69,243*
7019-7-883.099.0831610No95,096*
6918-9-776.598.07721200No128,441*
6818-8-869.096.36927300No170,045*
6718-7-960.093.36033610No223,231*
6617-9-849.888.4503910100No285,317*
6517-8-938.981.1394216300No358,682*
6416-10-828.270.72842236100No445,587*
6316-9-918.657.7193930112000No543,371*
6216-8-1010.942.9113234185100No649,128*
6115-10-95.528.25233425102000No765,221*
6015-9-102.315.921429311761000No887,660*
5915-8-110.87.2162031261231000No1,010,566*
5814-10-100.22.50211253021920000No1,133,023*
5714-9-110.00.70141527281761000No1,246,524*
5613-11-100.00.100161728261551000No1,348,651*
5513-10-110.00.0000281928251341000No1,436,574*
5413-9-12No0.0000292028241241000No1,502,289*
5312-11-11NoNo0003102128231131000No1,545,622*
5212-10-12NoNo00031022282311310000.0%1,565,064*
5112-9-13NoNo000031022282210300000.01,554,975*
5011-11-12NoNo00013112228221030000.01,521,065*
4911-10-13NoNo0001311232821920000.41,455,501*
4811-9-14NoNo0001412242920820002.11,372,564*
4710-11-13NoNo000141426291871008.21,269,928*
4610-10-14NoNo000161628281651021.31,154,283*
4510-9-15NoNo00028203026123040.71,030,881*
449-11-14NoNo0003112532227161.7903,570*
439-10-15NoNo0001416303115378.9776,213*
429-9-16NoNo00028243525690.0653,689*
418-11-15NoNo000041534341395.9540,717*
408-10-16NoNo001928412198.5438,770*
398-9-17NoNo000420433299.5348,288*
387-11-16NoNo000213414499.9269,882*
377-10-17NoNo00183655100.0205,005*
367-9-18NoNo0043066100.0153,890*
356-11-17NoNo0022374100.0111,344*
346-10-18NoNo011782Yes79,299*
336-9-19NoNo011287Yes55,374*
325-11-18NoNo00991Yes37,335*
315-10-19NoNo0694Yes24,820*
305-9-20NoNo0496Yes16,061*
294-11-19NoNo0298Yes9,943*
284-10-20NoNo199Yes6,173*
274-9-21NoNo199Yes3,613*
263-11-20NoNo0100Yes2,115*
253-10-21NoNo0100Yes1,141*
243-9-22NoNo0100Yes595*
6-23NoNo100Yes4,267*
Total:4.4%9.3%4555555555555555544316.4%29,567,040

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship