"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Turkey 0 Iceland 3 Out
-19.5
-5.6
Croatia 1 Finland 1 +6.0
+4.2
+0.8
Kosovo 0 Ukraine 2 -1.4
-1.1
-0.6
Bosnia-Herzegov 3 Belgium 4 +0.4
+0.1
Georgia 0 Wales 1 -0.4
-0.1
Cyprus 1 Greece 2 -0.4
-0.1
Scotland 1 Slovakia 0 +0.1
-0.1
Republic of Ire 2 Moldova 0 -0.1
Sweden 8 Luxembourg 0 -0.1
-0.0
England 1 Slovenia 0 *+0.1
+0.1
Belarus 1 Netherlands 3 -0.0
Week of 10/10100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Finland 2 Turkey 2 -1.3
Ukraine 0 Croatia 2 +0.5
Moldova 0 Austria 1 -0.2
Luxembourg 1 Bulgaria 1 +0.2
Denmark 1 Romania 1 +0.1
Netherlands 2 Sweden 0 -0.1
Poland 4 Montenegro 2 +0.1
Slovakia 3 Malta 0 -0.0
Slovenia 2 Scotland 2 -0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs