"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Ukraine 2 Turkey 0 -6.6
-9.8
-3.0
Finland 1 Iceland 0 +2.9
+4.8
+0.9
Croatia 1 Kosovo 0 -1.4
-1.5
-0.2
Kazakhstan 0 Montenegro 3 -0.1
-0.0
Denmark 4 Poland 0 -0.1
Georgia 1 Republic of Ire 1 *+0.1
Serbia 3 Moldova 0 *-0.1
Lithuania 0 Scotland 3 -0.1
Israel 0 Macedonia 1 +0.1
Cyprus 3 Bosnia-Herzegov 2 +0.1
Czech Republic 1 Germany 2 +0.0
Greece 0 Estonia 0 +0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Turkey finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inDirectChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffsqualify123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354Count
202-0-040.5%70.2%001102902101918820129,682,820
181-1-01.39.900100161071526133001700132,561,153
171-0-10.11.0000000242814136104360138,412,854
160-2-0OutNo00268410054241033,835,040
150-1-1OutNo00024310274217200070,440,531
140-0-2OutNo0001100537421210036,490,042
Total:10.0%19.5%0002700255333497421000221151000541,422,440
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs