San Diego Padres Playoff Chances

Lost to Giants 879-1017, playoff odds unchanged at 0%
1-9   .100

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Giants 1017 Padres 879 *Out
-0.1
Nationals 717 Royals 753 +0.1
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 +0.0
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 +0.0
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 +0.0
Braves 595 White Sox 1119 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rangers vs Padres-0.2+0.8
Astros vs Reds+0.0-0.2
Orioles vs Rockies+0.0-0.2
Braves vs Tigers-0.2+0.0
Brewers vs Royals-0.1+0.1
Nationals vs Athletics-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Padres finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1211-0Out123750809
1110-1Out1003
109-2Out178211117
98-3Out0534172,026
87-4Out0205030021,474
76-5Out3296620142,635
65-6Out07771510602,785
54-7Out014839111001,618,410
43-8Out011333417402,725,279
32-9Out0621352992,770,756
21-10Out0021240461,537,766
10-11Out011486356,480
Total:Out00011718171716139,778,540
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Giants 1017 Padres 879 +0.1
Nationals 717 Royals 753 -0.0
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 -0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Rangers vs Padres+0.3-1.3
Orioles vs Rockies-0.0+0.2
Braves vs Tigers+0.2-0.0
Brewers vs Royals+0.1-0.1
Astros vs Reds-0.0+0.2
Rays vs Indians+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1211-0152139277
1110-1333333
109-2349321321
98-3011313418510
87-4041731301430
76-50016223828500
65-60011342339100
54-700829352061000
43-80019263121920
32-90172134289
21-1001124344
10-1111683
Total:00000000001479111112141612