Philadelphia Phillies Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Athletics 1047-956, playoff odds down 0.4 to 4.9%
4-6   .400

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 +2.5
+0.4
+0.7
Marlins 970 Twins 846 -1.0
-0.1
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 -0.6
-0.1
-0.1
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 -0.2
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 -0.2
+0.1
Giants 1017 Padres 879 -0.2
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 -0.1
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 -0.1
Nationals 717 Royals 753 +0.1
Braves 595 White Sox 1119 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Pirates vs Phillies-2.6+2.6
-0.4+0.4
-0.6+0.6
Marlins vs Angels-1.0+1.0
-0.1+0.1
Mets vs White Sox-0.6+0.6
-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1
Cardinals vs Red Sox-0.2+0.2
Giants vs Mariners-0.2+0.2
Dodgers vs Cubs+0.1-0.1
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks+0.1-0.1
Astros vs Reds+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1511-099.5%553111201,427
1410-192.51936112771013,439
139-263.5216192626910068,955
128-323.002138273115300207,040
117-44.10417253723400413,132
106-50.500005234524300577,477
95-60.0000042745204000577,517
84-70.000052636238100413,478
73-8Out041731291540206,107
62-9Out0210243424768,956
51-10Out001520413313,754
40-11Out0326701,438
Total:4.9%01224813212112742102,562,720

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Phillies finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeMarlinsDodgersCardinalsCubsGiantsMetsPiratesDiamondbacksRedsNationalsBravesRockiesPadresBrewers
1511-012.3%871132221
1410-110.3662387463100
139-28.0383513117751000000
128-34.11523985441000000
117-40.940122111000000
106-50.100000000000000
95-60.00000000
84-7No0
4-7No
Total:0.8%3.30.30.51.41.30.90.60.50.10.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 -1.5
Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates vs Phillies+1.5-1.5
Mets vs White Sox+0.1-0.1
Brewers vs Royals-0.1+0.1
Marlins vs Angels+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1511-08313619510
1410-1031226271751610
139-20029202210121472000
128-30017142919211572100
117-40004001615232316831000
106-500000271624241682000
95-600013918252314610000
84-700001412212621113100
73-80002818262515510
62-900016162829163
51-100017234129
40-110042472
Total:000001121123456678888765432110