Washington Nationals Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Royals 717-753, playoff odds down 0.4 to 0.06%
1-9   .100

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals 717 Royals 753 -0.3
-0.5
Marlins 970 Twins 846 -0.1
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 -0.1
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 -0.1
Giants 1017 Padres 879 +0.1
Braves 595 White Sox 1119 +0.1
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 +0.1
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 +0.1
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nationals vs Athletics+0.5-0.5
Orioles vs Rockies+0.1-0.1
Braves vs Tigers-0.1+0.1
Rangers vs Padres+0.1-0.1
Astros vs Reds+0.1-0.1
Brewers vs Royals-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1211-028.6%2198262913301,485
1110-15.1050724372250013,830
109-20.51004213927710069,073
98-30.000031737329100206,381
87-4Out00214363213300413,132
76-5Out011129331951577,413
65-6Out0172235277578,633
54-7Out004204233412,959
43-8Out0042670206,133
32-9Out089268,611
21-10Out19913,627
10-11Out1001,443
Total:0.1%000001361114161616162,562,720

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Nationals finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeMarlinsDodgersCardinalsCubsGiantsMetsPiratesPhilliesDiamondbacksRedsRockies
1211-05.3%211389623000
1110-11.150122101000
109-20.11000000000
98-30.0000
1-8No
Total:0.0%0.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Nationals 717 Royals 753 +1.0
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 -0.1
Braves 595 White Sox 1119 -0.1
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 -0.1
Giants 1017 Padres 879 -0.1
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Nationals vs Athletics-1.0+1.0
Astros vs Reds-0.1+0.1
Orioles vs Rockies-0.1+0.1
Braves vs Tigers+0.1-0.1
Brewers vs Royals+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1211-001918291720146310
1110-100500261522221683100
109-21000281623221683100
98-3000028172423167200
87-4001310202723124100
76-5001616272716610
65-60015162931163
54-70017254225
43-80043066
32-900991
21-10199
10-11100
Total:0000000000011123456891012131313