"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Cincinnati Reds Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Cubs 785-1368, playoff odds down 0.8 to 0.1%
2-8   .200

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 -0.7
-0.1
-0.6
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 -0.1
+0.1
Giants 1017 Padres 879 -0.1
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 -0.1
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 -0.1
Braves 595 White Sox 1119 +0.1
Nationals 717 Royals 753 +0.1
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 -0.1
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Astros vs Reds-0.1+0.1
-0.6+0.6
Braves vs Tigers-0.1+0.1
Orioles vs Rockies+0.1-0.1
Nationals vs Athletics-0.1+0.1
Rangers vs Padres+0.1-0.1
Brewers vs Royals-0.1+0.1
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Reds finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1311-046.2%167323814201,496
1210-111.5002930351850013,795
119-20.8001622362781069,007
108-30.000031637321010206,010
97-4Out0021537369100412,343
86-5Out00214393211200578,311
75-6Out011432331640577,821
64-7Out01102735225412,987
53-8Out017254226206,604
42-9Out016345969,166
31-10Out01148613,719
20-11Out03971,461
Total:0.1%000001371219181512952,562,720

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Reds finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeMarlinsDodgersCardinalsCubsGiantsMetsPiratesPhilliesDiamondbacksNationalsBravesPadresBrewers
1311-06.0%1434211587911
1210-12.83231095451100
119-20.500122111000000
108-30.00000000000
97-40.000000
2-8No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.10.10.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 +1.3
Braves 595 White Sox 1119 -0.1
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 -0.1
Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 -0.1
Marlins 970 Twins 846 -0.1
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Astros vs Reds+1.1-1.1
Braves vs Tigers+0.1-0.1
Orioles vs Rockies-0.1+0.1
Giants vs Mariners-0.1+0.1
Rays vs Indians+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1311-00151114114301752
1210-101567192520115100
119-2001013101923211462000
108-300002716232316831000
97-40000271523241793000
86-5001381725241561000
75-60001513242820710
64-70014142832184
53-80017244127
42-90052965
31-1001090
20-110298
Total:00000000000111223456789101010975