Pittsburgh Pirates Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Diamondbacks 1048-854, playoff odds down 0.2 to 20.3%
6-4   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 +7.5
+0.9
+0.7
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 -2.1
-0.2
-0.1
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 -2.0
-0.2
Giants 1017 Padres 879 -0.9
-0.1
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 -0.6
-0.1
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 -0.5
-0.1
-0.1
Marlins 970 Twins 846 -0.3
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 -0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Pirates vs Phillies+7.5-7.5
+0.9-0.9
+0.6-0.6
Cardinals vs Red Sox-2.2+2.2
-0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.1
Dodgers vs Cubs+1.6-1.6
+0.1-0.1
Giants vs Mariners-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1
Mets vs White Sox-0.6+0.6
-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1
Marlins vs Angels-0.3+0.3
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1711-099.9%951401,470
1610-199.5778014113,564
159-296.242202324068,793
148-381.3101974517100207,010
137-446.4167333913100413,028
126-512.60039363714100577,320
115-61.200110333914200577,286
104-70.000019343816200413,221
93-8Out019303818400206,855
82-9Out016233325102068,899
71-10Out003132631197113,791
60-11Out15183332111,483
Total:20.3%333121820181273100002,562,720

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeMarlinsDodgersCardinalsCubsGiantsMetsPhilliesDiamondbacksRedsNationalsBravesRockiesPadresBrewers
1711-014.0%9600110000
1610-111.985015521000
159-210.164131111520100000
148-38.436261919941100000
137-46.2143820201261100000
126-53.232512128411000000
115-60.7001332100000000
104-70.100000000000000
93-80.000000
6-8No
Total:2.9%8.21.23.28.68.75.12.40.50.60.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 -1.7
Giants 1017 Padres 879 +0.1
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Pirates vs Phillies-1.5+1.5
Cardinals vs Red Sox+0.1-0.1
Mets vs White Sox+0.1-0.1
Rangers vs Padres+0.1-0.1
Brewers vs Royals-0.1+0.1
Dodgers vs Cubs-0.1+0.1
Orioles vs Rockies+0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1711-06333300
1610-12946204001
159-252333241020040
148-302102025176116300
137-40026141682120930000
126-500148415242314620000
115-600100391924221462000
104-7000001391824221462000
93-8001391724231562000
82-900138162424167200
71-1001281828251330
60-1101514333413
Total:012334436778877655432211100000