How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Varberg 1 BP 1 *No
-0.0
-0.7
+0.0
Öster 1 Gefle 1 +0.1
Trelleborg 5 Norrby 1 -0.3
+0.0
IK Frej 4 Helsingborg 0 +0.7
Åtvidaberg 0 ÖIS 0 -0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
ÖIS vs IK Frej-0.2-0.3+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Degerfors vs Varberg-0.0-0.0+0.1
+3.5-0.6-5.9
-0.6+0.0+1.0
BP vs Värnamo-0.1+0.1+0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Norrby vs Dalkurd+1.1+0.1-0.4
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Gefle vs Trelleborg+0.9-0.1-0.4
Falkenberg vs Åtvidaberg-0.4+0.2+1.5
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Syrianska vs Öster+1.0-0.2-0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Helsingborg vs GAIS-0.3+0.1+0.6
+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Varberg finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516RelegatedCount
5411-0-00.0%46.9%010741610No71,419
5210-1-0No29.22543760No50,258
5110-0-1No19.1137461510No85,650
509-2-0No13.50274822300No175,748
499-1-1No6.80144235900No591,217
489-0-2No3.20632431720No855,413*
478-2-1No1.303204329500No1,810,848
468-1-2No0.3011035401310No3,480,534*
457-3-1No0.1004244424300No4,872,743*
447-2-2No0.0011340369100No8,414,662*
437-1-3No0.0004274522300No8,558,770
6-4-1No0.0006314417200No3,781,071
426-3-2No0.00021744326000No12,187,268
7-0-4No0.0001144135800No3,729,204*
416-2-3NoNo006324416200No19,464,984
5-5-1NoNo00936411310No2,976,672
406-1-4NoNo0021744316000No15,373,463
5-4-2NoNo0022145274000No12,018,064*
395-3-3NoNo00093640141000.0%24,991,925
6-0-5NoNo0083441152000.06,405,667*
385-2-4NoNo00220432860000.029,230,992
4-5-2NoNo0032444244000.07,662,465*
374-4-3NoNo0011036381420000.019,785,883
5-1-5NoNo0083340172000.118,599,274*
364-3-4NoNo00320412871000.330,483,612
5-0-6NoNo00217393291000.54,561,689
3-6-2NoNo0042442255000.23,225,874*
354-2-5NoNo00830391930001.827,798,328
3-5-3NoNo01103338162001.210,050,694*
343-4-4NoNo00317393191005.318,833,993
4-1-6NoNo002153734122006.714,749,942*
333-3-5NoNo00626402350014.522,585,855
2-6-3NoNo01829392040012.03,061,664
4-0-7NoNo00422392771017.32,945,282*
323-2-6NoNo001113337162028.616,695,025
2-5-4NoNo002143634132025.27,036,382*
312-4-5NoNo0042240277040.710,198,122
3-1-7NoNo0031939308143.57,470,312*
302-3-6NoNo0019314018255.59,899,727
1-6-4NoNo0019313918255.32,635,592*
292-2-7NoNo002174033769.26,075,456
1-5-5NoNo003194130666.52,463,594*
281-4-6NoNo001732451680.05,159,853*
271-3-7NoNo00219492989.02,903,160*
261-2-8NoNo019444695.01,551,196*
251-1-9NoNo04356298.1701,134*
240-3-8NoNo01247599.4276,458*
230-2-9NoNo00158599.9101,853
220-1-10NoNo0892100.026,358
210-0-11NoNo0397100.067,867
Total:0.0%0.0%00001481316161411853110.3%416,733,216

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship