Skellefteå FF Title Chances 2018 50/50
Lost to Arameisk-Syrian 2-3, title odds down 0.2 to 0.2%
3 points 0-3-5
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 5/26 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Skellefteå FF 2 Arameisk-Syrian 3 | -0.2 | -0.4 | +9.0 | -0.7 | ||||
| Sandvikens IF 1 Västerås SK 3 | -0.8 | +0.0 | ||||||
| Carlstad United 3 FC Linköping City 1 | -0.4 | |||||||
| Team TG FF 1 Rynninge IK 3 | +0.4 | |||||||
| Umeå FC 1 Karlslunds IF HFK 1 | -0.3 | |||||||
| Assyriska FF 4 Sollentuna FF 1 | -0.4 | |||||||
| Nyköpings BIS 2 Syrianska FC 5 | *+0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Skellefteå FF vs Umeå FC | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | -10.0+2.0+8.7 | +0.8-0.2-0.7 | ||||
| FC Linköping City vs BK Forward | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | |||||||
| Rynninge IK vs Syrianska FC | +0.3-0.2-0.2 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 6/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Carlstad United vs Skellefteå FF | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | -0.2-0.1+0.3 | +8.1+2.1-9.4 | -0.6-0.2+0.7 | ||||
| Umeå FC vs Västerås SK | +0.7-0.1-0.6 | |||||||
| Västerås SK vs Team TG FF | -0.5-0.1+0.6 | |||||||
| Arameisk-Syrian vs Carlstad United | +0.9-0.2-0.8 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||||||
| Assyriska FF vs Sandvikens IF | -0.8-0.2+0.9 | |||||||
| Karlslunds IF HFK vs Akropolis IF | +1.0-0.3-0.8 | |||||||
| Akropolis IF vs Sollentuna FF | -0.6-0.2+0.7 | |||||||
| Team TG FF vs Assyriska FF | +0.4-0.1-0.4 | |||||||
| BK Forward vs Karlslunds IF HFK | -0.6-0.3+0.8 | |||||||
| Syrianska FC vs FC Linköping City | -0.1-0.2+0.2 | |||||||
| Sollentuna FF vs Nyköpings BIS | +0.2-0.3-0.0 | |||||||
| Nyköpings BIS vs Rynninge IK | +0.2-0.2-0.0 | |||||||
| Sandvikens IF vs Arameisk-Syrian | +0.2-0.4+0.0 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Skellefteå FF finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 69 | 22 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 100.0 | % | 100 | 0 | No | 1,270,177 | |||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 21 | - | 1 | - | 0 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 66 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 21 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 98.3 | 99.1 | 98 | 2 | No | 117 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 20 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.7 | 99.7 | 100 | 0 | No | 398 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 20 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 98.6 | 99.2 | 99 | 1 | No | 1,321 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 19 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 98.0 | 99.0 | 98 | 2 | No | 2,683 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 19 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 96.7 | 98.4 | 97 | 3 | No | 8,193 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 19 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 95.1 | 97.5 | 95 | 5 | 0 | No | 18,190 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 18 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 92.4 | 96.2 | 92 | 8 | 0 | No | 39,698 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 59 | 18 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 89.0 | 94.4 | 89 | 11 | 0 | 0 | No | 89,662 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 17 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 84.2 | 91.8 | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | No | 175,877 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 57 | 17 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 78.4 | 88.6 | 78 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 351,776 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 56 | 17 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 70.6 | 84.1 | 71 | 27 | 2 | 0 | No | 674,228 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 55 | 16 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 61.6 | 78.4 | 62 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,206,687 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 54 | 16 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 51.1 | 71.2 | 51 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,155,822 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 53 | 16 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 39.9 | 62.3 | 40 | 45 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 3,676,340 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 52 | 15 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 28.8 | 52.0 | 29 | 46 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 6,054,570 | * | |||||||||||||
| 51 | 15 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 18.8 | 40.5 | 19 | 44 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 9,788,046 | * | |||||||||||||
| 50 | 14 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 10.7 | 28.8 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 15,196,444 | * | ||||||||||||
| 49 | 14 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 5.2 | 18.2 | 5 | 26 | 39 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 22,979,871 | * | |||||||||||
| 48 | 14 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 2.0 | 9.7 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 33,955,868 | * | ||||||||||
| 47 | 13 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 48,535,020 | * | ||||||||||
| 46 | 13 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 31 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 67,716,123 | * | |||||||||
| 45 | 13 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 92,179,083 | * | ||||||||
| 44 | 12 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 121,887,464 | * | ||||||||
| 43 | 12 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 157,452,564 | * | |||||||
| 42 | 11 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 198,341,176 | * | |||||
| 41 | 11 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 243,320,850 | * | ||||||
| 40 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 291,706,317 | * | |||||||
| 39 | 10 | - | 6 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 341,064,120 | * | |||||||
| 38 | 10 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 388,780,230 | * | |||||||
| 37 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 30 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3.8 | 432,923,739 | * | ||||||||
| 36 | 9 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 12.2 | 470,270,617 | * | |||||||||
| 35 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 27.7 | 498,206,951 | * | |||||||||
| 34 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 2 | 47.7 | 515,330,873 | * | ||||||||||
| 33 | 8 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 37 | 25 | 5 | 67.2 | 519,783,689 | * | |||||||||||
| 32 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 35 | 35 | 11 | 82.2 | 511,312,441 | * | ||||||||||||
| 31 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 43 | 21 | 91.6 | 490,624,320 | * | ||||||||||||
| 30 | 7 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 45 | 32 | 96.5 | 458,750,816 | * | ||||||||||||
| 29 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 42 | 45 | 98.7 | 417,926,788 | * | |||||||||||||
| 28 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 36 | 57 | 99.6 | 370,999,465 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 27 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 68 | 99.9 | 320,465,711 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 26 | 6 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 77 | 100.0 | 269,324,895 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 25 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | 100.0 | 220,166,942 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 24 | 5 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 90 | 100.0 | 174,779,474 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 23 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 93 | 100.0 | 134,700,154 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 22 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 96 | 100.0 | 100,700,977 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 21 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 98 | 100.0 | 72,882,802 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 51,038,688 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 34,528,210 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 100 | Yes | 22,514,759 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 100 | Yes | 14,136,018 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 8,521,077 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 4,916,075 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,705,011 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,414,877 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 1 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 699,928 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 16 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 324,424 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 17 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 140,680 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 18 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 56,502 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 17 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 20,336 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | -7 | No | No | 100 | Yes | 1,279,348 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.2 | % | 0.4 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 24 | 53.1 | % | 8,170,075,568 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:42 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
