"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*European cup100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Sirius 0 Häcken 0 -0.5
-0.7
-0.2
-0.0
Hammarby 4 BP 0 -0.2
-0.2
Örebro 1 AIK 1 +0.2
+0.4
Östersund 2 IFK Göteborg 1 +0.2
+0.3
+0.1
IFK Norrköping 3 Kalmar 1 -0.1
-0.2
AIK 2 Djurgården 0 -0.1
-0.2
Djurgården 3 Malmö 0 +0.1
+0.1
+0.1
Kalmar 1 Östersund 1 +0.1
+0.2
-0.1
GIF Sundsvall 1 Trelleborg 0 -0.1
-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Hammarby vs IFK Norrköping-0.4+0.5+0.2
-0.2+0.5-0.1
Östersund vs Örebro+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3+0.2-0.6
+0.1-0.0-0.1
IFK Göteborg vs Dalkurd-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.0
BP vs Elfsborg-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*European cup100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Häcken vs Hammarby+3.5-1.9-4.6
+6.9-3.6-9.2
-1.4+0.5+2.0
+0.7-0.3-1.0
IFK Göteborg vs Häcken-2.8-0.5+4.8
-6.0-0.6+9.8
+1.3-0.2-1.8
-0.6-0.0+1.0
AIK vs IFK Göteborg-0.4+0.4+0.5
-0.5+0.5+0.5
-0.0+0.0+0.1
AIK vs Sirius-0.4+0.4+0.5
-0.4+0.5+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Elfsborg vs Djurgården+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.6+0.2-0.9
+0.2-0.1-0.2
IFK Norrköping vs Sirius-0.3+0.3+0.3
-0.4+0.5+0.3
-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Dalkurd vs GIF Sundsvall+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Malmö vs BP-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.3-0.0
Trelleborg vs Kalmar+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.1-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Häcken finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceEuropeanChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlecup12345678910111213141516RelegatedCount
74-85YesYes100No247,784*
7321-3-2100.0%Yes1000No9,943*
7221-2-3100.0Yes1000No19,956*
7120-4-2100.0Yes1000No38,571*
7020-3-399.9Yes1000No72,891*
6919-5-299.9Yes1000No133,276*
6819-4-399.8Yes1000No234,489*
6719-3-499.6Yes1000No404,091*
6618-5-399.4Yes9910No670,690*
6518-4-499.0Yes9910No1,086,250*
6418-3-598.4Yes9820No1,708,880*
6317-5-497.4Yes9730No2,615,536*
6217-4-595.9100.0%96400No3,910,830*
6116-6-493.8100.094600No5,685,205*
6016-5-590.8100.091900No8,065,171*
5916-4-686.6100.08713000No11,177,944*
5815-6-581.1100.08118100No15,109,006*
5715-5-674.099.97424200No19,924,228*
5615-4-765.499.865304000No25,680,402*
5514-6-655.499.555377100No32,344,756*
5414-5-744.498.64442121000No39,772,475*
5313-7-633.196.73345193000No47,844,377*
5213-6-722.792.823442771000No56,245,882*
5113-5-813.885.5143834122000No64,626,031*
5012-7-77.373.9729372051000No72,632,863*
4912-6-83.257.93193629112000No79,768,956*
4812-5-91.139.411028342061000No85,699,708*
4711-7-80.322.2041833291330000No90,022,144*
4611-6-90.19.701824342381000No92,467,775*
4511-5-100.03.10031329311751000No92,874,514*
4410-7-90.00.700151832281330000No91,183,567*
4310-6-100.00.10001822332510200000.0%87,499,411*
4210-5-11No0.0000210263221710000.082,111,890*
419-7-10No0.00000314293118510000.075,273,353*
409-6-11No0.0000151731291430000.067,402,759*
398-8-10NoNo000172132261120000.158,959,339*
388-7-11NoNo00002925332281000.650,384,823*
378-6-12NoNo00003132932185002.842,021,629*
367-8-11NoNo0001518332912208.334,192,620*
357-7-12NoNo000292535236118.427,151,302*
347-6-13NoNo0000315323314232.721,012,831*
336-8-12NoNo00017243725548.715,838,509*
326-7-13NoNo000031536351164.011,643,049*
316-6-14NoNo0001829422076.58,318,608*
305-8-13NoNo000420453185.85,781,422*
295-7-14NoNo000113434392.03,905,139*
285-6-15NoNo0017375595.72,561,766*
274-8-14NoNo004306697.91,632,239*
264-7-15NoNo002237599.01,002,902*
254-6-16NoNo01178399.6597,510*
243-8-15NoNo00118899.8343,330*
233-7-16NoNo0079299.9191,253*
223-6-17NoNo0595100.0101,609*
213-5-18NoNo0397100.052,346*
202-7-17NoNo298Yes25,679*
192-6-18NoNo199Yes11,982*
182-5-19NoNo199Yes5,354*
171-7-18NoNo0100Yes2,310*
7-16NoNo100Yes240,909*
Total:10.3%31.7%101110109887654432213.4%1,540,544,064

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship