How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/1100.0*Chance wins title100.0*European cup100.0*Relegated
Östersund vs Häcken-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.2*+0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the AIK finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceEuropeanChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlecup12345678910111213141516RelegatedCount
65-72YesYes100No2,742*
6417-1-298.8%Yes991No255*
6316-3-198.3Yes982No534*
6216-2-299.0Yes991No1,158*
6115-4-197.7Yes982No2,271*
6015-3-296.0Yes9640No4,395*
5915-2-393.6Yes946No7,989*
5814-4-290.2Yes90100No13,395*
5714-3-385.6100.0%861400No23,277*
5614-2-478.0100.0782110No37,453*
5513-4-368.599.9692930No57,347*
5413-3-457.599.75737600No86,849*
5312-5-345.099.145431110No128,756*
5212-4-431.897.3324718300No179,352*
5112-3-520.393.1204528610No247,739*
5011-5-411.485.111383613200No329,130*
4911-4-55.572.35274022500No424,404*
4811-3-62.255.4216373211100No531,538*
4710-5-50.737.118283821400No645,350*
4610-4-60.221.3031837311010No761,380*
4510-3-70.010.101929391930No872,853*
449-5-60.04.0004193930700No972,222*
439-4-70.01.20011033401500No1,050,240*
428-6-60.00.3000424452510No1,107,677*
418-5-7No0.100214433840No1,126,732*
408-4-8No0.00073549800No1,117,280*
397-6-7No0.000325561510No1,075,436*
387-5-8NoNo01165724200No1,003,909*
377-4-9NoNo0085234500No909,490*
366-6-8NoNo04424311100No799,141*
356-5-9NoNo01294719300No680,837*
346-4-10NoNo001845297100No563,357*
335-6-9NoNo09373814200No451,428*
325-5-10NoNo04254124610No348,433*
315-4-11NoNo011436341320No260,426*
304-6-10NoNo0626392350No188,414*
294-5-11NoNo02153534131No131,534*
284-4-12NoNo0162640234No87,629*
273-6-11NoNo0215383510No56,738*
263-5-12NoNo017294419No35,105*
253-4-13NoNo002194731No20,697*
242-6-12NoNo01104346No11,857*
232-5-13NoNo053659No6,283*
222-4-14NoNo022573No3,202*
211-6-13NoNo11881No1,469*
201-5-14NoNo01090No722*
191-4-15NoNo1090No287*
181-3-16NoNo397No89*
170-5-15NoNo298No46*
12-16NoNo100No2,561*
Total:2.5%13.4%34691318231363110No16,371,408

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship