Villarreal Title ChancesLost to Barcelona 3-4, title odds down 1.8 to 2.1% 3 points 1-0-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Segunda Division | 100.0* | Average seed | Villarreal 3 Barcelona 4 | -1.3 | | -5.6 | | +3.2 | | -0.9 | | Celta Vigo 0 Real Madrid 1 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | | | Sevilla 1 Girona 2 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Valencia 1 Osasuna 2 | +0.1 | | | | +0.1 | | | | Bilbao 4 Betis 2 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | Las Palmas 0 Real Sociedad 0 | | | +0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Cadiz 1 Almeria 1 | | | +0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Vallecano 0 Atletico Madrid 7 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Getafe 1 Alaves 0 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | Granada 3 Mallorca 2 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/1 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Segunda Division | 100.0* | Average seed | Cadiz vs Villarreal | -0.8-0.3+1.0 | | -5.2-1.6+6.0 | | +4.2+0.8-4.6 | | -0.9-0.2+1.0 | | Real Madrid vs Getafe | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1+0.2+0.0 | | -0.2-0.0+0.3 | | | | Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | | -0.3-0.1+0.4 | | | | Girona vs Las Palmas | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | | -0.2-0.1+0.3 | | | | Mallorca vs Bilbao | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | | | | Osasuna vs Barcelona | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Alaves vs Valencia | | | +0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | | | | Betis vs Vallecano | | | -0.1+0.2-0.0 | | *+0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | | Real Sociedad vs Granada | | | -0.1+0.2-0.0 | | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | | Almeria vs Celta Vigo | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.0-0.2+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Villarreal finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | Segunda | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Division | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 87 | -108 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 29,292 | * | 86 | | 26 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 99.8 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 504 | * | 85 | | 26 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 919 | * | 84 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 99.6 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,636 | * | 83 | | 25 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 99.5 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,872 | * | 82 | | 25 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 99.4 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,891 | * | 81 | | 24 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 99.1 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,095 | * | 80 | | 24 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 98.9 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,164 | * | 79 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 98.2 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,024 | * | 78 | | 23 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 97.1 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 33,083 | * | 77 | | 23 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 96.0 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 50,669 | * | 76 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 94.0 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 77,092 | * | 75 | | 22 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 91.3 | | Yes | 91 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 114,445 | * | 74 | | 22 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 88.1 | | Yes | 88 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 167,763 | * | 73 | | 21 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 83.8 | | Yes | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 240,367 | * | 72 | | 21 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 78.4 | | Yes | 78 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 340,770 | * | 71 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 71.7 | | Yes | 72 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 473,973 | * | 70 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 63.9 | | Yes | 64 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 646,357 | * | 69 | | 20 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 55.1 | | Yes | 55 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 867,603 | * | 68 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 45.5 | | Yes | 46 | 41 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,146,813 | * | 67 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 35.6 | | 100.0 | % | 36 | 43 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,491,620 | * | 66 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 26.2 | | 100.0 | | 26 | 43 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,910,992 | * | 65 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 17.7 | | 100.0 | | 18 | 39 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,403,004 | * | 64 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 10.9 | | 100.0 | | 11 | 33 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,982,137 | * | 63 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 11 | 5.9 | | 99.8 | | 6 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,638,303 | * | 62 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 2.8 | | 99.3 | | 3 | 16 | 32 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,371,242 | * | 61 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 1.1 | | 97.8 | | 1 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,173,540 | * | 60 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 0.3 | | 93.8 | | 0 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,021,271 | * | 59 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 0.1 | | 85.2 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 6,902,448 | * | 58 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 70.0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 7,788,339 | * | 57 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 49.1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 8,650,581 | * | 56 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 27.6 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 9,466,451 | * | 55 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | 11.6 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 10,188,873 | * | 54 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 12 | No | 3.5 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 10,803,029 | * | 53 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | 0.7 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 11,271,722 | * | 52 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 11,581,706 | * | 51 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 11,712,343 | * | 50 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 11,656,529 | * | 49 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 11,417,135 | * | 48 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | | 11,005,582 | * | 47 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 | | 10,428,871 | * | 46 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5.9 | | 9,731,053 | * | 45 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 14.6 | | 8,928,789 | * | 44 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 28.5 | | 8,056,808 | * | 43 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 30 | 14 | 2 | 45.6 | | 7,152,963 | * | 42 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 5 | 62.6 | | 6,233,416 | * | 41 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 35 | 32 | 11 | 76.8 | | 5,347,422 | * | 40 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 18 | 87.0 | | 4,501,263 | * | 39 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 43 | 27 | 93.4 | | 3,724,691 | * | 38 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 42 | 38 | 96.9 | | 3,024,593 | * | 37 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 49 | 98.7 | | 2,415,158 | * | 36 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 59 | 99.5 | | 1,891,900 | * | 35 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 69 | 99.8 | | 1,451,253 | * | 34 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 77 | 99.9 | | 1,092,743 | * | 33 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | 100.0 | | 806,711 | * | 32 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 88 | 100.0 | | 582,334 | * | 31 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 92 | 100.0 | | 413,233 | * | 30 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 94 | Yes | 286,498 | * | 29 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 193,989 | * | 28 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 128,406 | * | 27 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 82,668 | * | 26 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 52,315 | * | 25 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 32,239 | * | 24 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 19,194 | * | 23 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 11,050 | * | 22 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 6,387 | * | 21 | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,477 | * | 3 | -20 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 32,477 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2.1 | % | 22.3 | % | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 15.3 | % | 231,310,080 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |