Villarreal CFVillarreal tied Málaga 2-2, odds of winning the cup down 2.0% to 17.9% Record: 25 points, 7 - 4 - 0 10 How are these numbers calculated? (show) Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Each match can have 2 kinds of impact on Villarreal: 1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of winning the title. 2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average regular season finishing position, with the signed flipped so negative is bad. The week’s total impact on Villarreal is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future matches show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a match to hightlight it in the standings. How do I know a matches impact? (show) | |
Week of 11/15 | Impact | | | Recre | 0 | | Barcelona | 2 | | | -1.7 | | (-0.05) | | | Málaga | 2 | | Villarreal | 2 | | | -1.5 | | (-0.12) | | | Valladolid | 1 | | Real Madrid | 0 | | | 0.8 | | (0.03) | | | Valencia | 2 | | Sporting de Gijón | 3 | | | 0.8 | | (0.02) | | | Getafe | 0 | | Sevilla | 2 | | | -0.6 | | (-0.03) | | | Worst | -8.85 | (-0.75) | -1.95 | | (-0.15) | (0.79) | 8.91 | Best | | |
Week of 11/23 | | | Win | | Win | Draw | | Villarreal | 5.1 |
(0.69)
| Valladolid | -4.2 |
(-0.61)
| -1.4 |
(-0.12)
| | 11:00 AM Sun | | | Barcelona | -1.8 |
(-0.03)
| Getafe | 1.5 |
(0.02)
| 0.5 |
(0.02)
| | 11:00 AM Sun | | | Real Madrid | -0.8 |
(-0.05)
| Recre | 0.6 |
(0.04)
| 0.2 |
(0.01)
| | 11:00 AM Sun | | | Sevilla | -0.1 | | Valencia | -0.1 | | 0.4 | | | 11:00 AM Sun | | | Numancia | 0.1 | | Atlético Madrid | -0.2 | | 0.1 | | | 11:00 AM Sun | | | Osasuna | |
(0.02)
| Almería | |
(-0.03)
| |
(0.01)
| | 11:00 AM Sun | | | | -7.11 | (-0.77) | 0.00 | | (0.00) | (0.83) | 7.98 | | |
What IfChances based on how well Villarreal finishs out the season.
Explain (show) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance team will finish the season at position | | | | W | - | D | - | L | PCT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Demoted | | Count | | | | | | | | | 27 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1.000 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,000 | | 23 | - | 3 | - | 1 | .889 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1 | | 23 | - | 2 | - | 2 | .877 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 2 | | 23 | - | 1 | - | 3 | .864 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 4 | | 23 | - | 0 | - | 4 | .852 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 11 | | 22 | - | 2 | - | 3 | .840 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 16 | | 22 | - | 1 | - | 4 | .827 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 37 | | 21 | - | 3 | - | 3 | .815 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 71 | | 21 | - | 2 | - | 4 | .802 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 137 | | 21 | - | 1 | - | 5 | .790 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 271 | | 21 | - | 0 | - | 6 | .778 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 483 | | 20 | - | 2 | - | 5 | .765 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 816 | | 20 | - | 1 | - | 6 | .753 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,486 | | 20 | - | 0 | - | 7 | .741 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 2,369 | | 19 | - | 2 | - | 6 | .728 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 3,824 | | 19 | - | 1 | - | 7 | .716 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 6,035 | | 19 | - | 0 | - | 8 | .704 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 9,048 | | 18 | - | 2 | - | 7 | .691 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 13,917 | | 18 | - | 1 | - | 8 | .679 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 20,338 | | 18 | - | 0 | - | 9 | .667 | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 29,581 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 8 | .654 | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 41,280 | | 17 | - | 1 | - | 9 | .642 | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 57,241 | | 17 | - | 0 | - | 10 | .630 | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 77,194 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 9 | .617 | 89 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 101,882 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 10 | .605 | 86 | 14 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 131,852 | | 16 | - | 0 | - | 11 | .593 | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 167,358 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 10 | .580 | 74 | 24 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 206,705 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 11 | .568 | 67 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 250,467 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 12 | .556 | 58 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 298,082 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 11 | .543 | 49 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 347,514 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 12 | .531 | 39 | 45 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 397,470 | | 14 | - | 0 | - | 13 | .519 | 29 | 46 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 444,188 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 12 | .506 | 21 | 44 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 487,312 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 13 | .494 | 13 | 39 | 34 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 524,591 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 14 | .481 | 8 | 31 | 38 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 553,708 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 13 | .469 | 4 | 22 | 37 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 572,813 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 14 | .457 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 578,611 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 15 | .444 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 35 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 572,280 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 14 | .432 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 31 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 555,737 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 15 | .420 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | | 528,049 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 16 | .407 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | | 491,723 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 15 | .395 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | | 447,270 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 16 | .383 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | | 396,801 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 17 | .370 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | | 347,727 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 16 | .358 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | | 295,810 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 17 | .346 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 29 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | | 245,780 | | 9 | - | 0 | - | 18 | .333 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | | 201,044 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 17 | .321 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | | 159,562 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 18 | .309 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 123,638 | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 19 | .296 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 93,419 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 18 | .284 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 0.4 | | 68,373 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 19 | .272 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2.3 | | 49,083 | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 20 | .259 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 7.8 | | 33,801 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 19 | .247 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 18.6 | | 23,048 | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 20 | .235 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 35.2 | | 15,016 | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 21 | .222 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 32 | 18 | 4 | 54.2 | | 9,475 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 20 | .210 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 71.4 | | 5,858 | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 21 | .198 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 38 | 14 | 83.8 | | 3,524 | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 22 | .185 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 26 | 41 | 26 | 92.5 | | 2,022 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 21 | .173 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 17 | 43 | 37 | 96.6 | | 1,084 | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 22 | .160 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 11 | 41 | 47 | 98.8 | | 592 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 21 | .148 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 59 | 99.3 | | 296 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 22 | .136 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 27 | 73 | Yes | | 158 | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 23 | .123 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 24 | 73 | Yes | | 66 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 22 | .111 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 89 | Yes | | 27 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 23 | .099 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 16 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 22 | .086 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 5 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 23 | .074 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 1 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 27 | .000 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | | 1,000 | | | | | | | | | Total: | 18 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3% | | 10,000,000 |
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