How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/17100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Girona 0 Valladolid 0 -0.6
-1.4
+0.7
-0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Villarreal vs Real Sociedad-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Eibar vs Huesca-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Valencia vs Atl. Madrid-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ath Bilbao vs Leganes-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Celta Vigo vs Espanyol-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Barcelona vs Alaves-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Real Madrid vs Getafe-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/24100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Segunda Division100.0*Average seed
Valladolid vs Barcelona+2.3-0.7-2.1
+6.0-1.7-5.4
-3.5+0.6+3.4
+1.0-0.3-1.0
Levante vs Celta Vigo-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Girona vs Real Madrid-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Alaves vs Betis-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Espanyol vs Valencia-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Ath Bilbao vs Huesca-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Leganes vs Real Sociedad-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Getafe vs Eibar-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Atl. Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Sevilla vs Villarreal-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Valladolid finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedSegunda
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920DivisionCount
90-112YesYes100No41,227*
8928-4-599.9%Yes1000No1,053*
8827-6-499.9Yes1000No1,864*
8727-5-599.9Yes1000No3,232*
8627-4-6100.0Yes1000No5,396*
8526-6-599.9Yes1000No9,039*
8426-5-699.9Yes1000No15,013*
8325-7-599.9Yes1000No23,766*
8225-6-699.8Yes1000No36,932*
8125-5-799.7Yes10000No57,357*
8024-7-699.5Yes1000No86,682*
7924-6-799.2Yes9910No129,355*
7823-8-698.8Yes9910No187,717*
7723-7-798.2Yes9820No270,432*
7623-6-897.3Yes9730No383,721*
7522-8-796.0Yes9640No532,479*
7422-7-894.1Yes94600No729,932*
7322-6-991.5100.0%918000No982,260*
7221-8-887.9100.08812000No1,305,933*
7121-7-983.2100.08316100No1,704,748*
7021-6-1077.2100.07721200No2,195,363*
6920-8-969.7100.07027300No2,770,041*
6820-7-1060.8100.061336000No3,457,304*
6719-9-950.899.95138101000No4,245,744*
6619-8-1040.199.84042153000No5,137,705*
6519-7-1129.599.329432251000No6,123,008*
6418-9-1019.898.12040291020000No7,178,154*
6318-8-1111.995.11233341641000No8,304,281*
6218-7-126.288.962435249200000No9,463,210*
6117-9-112.777.9315303016510000No10,621,673*
6017-8-120.961.31722312411300000No11,753,820*
5917-7-130.241.30312263019820000No12,802,518*
5816-9-120.022.401516282716510000No13,748,035*
5716-8-130.09.1002719292513410000No14,548,990*
5615-10-120.02.6000292129231131000No15,171,454*
5515-9-130.00.5000031022282210300000No15,579,020*
5415-8-14No0.0000131123282110300000No15,772,239*
5314-10-13No0.00001412232821920000No15,719,794*
5214-9-14No0.00000141224282092000000.0%15,448,393*
5114-8-15No0.0000014132428208200000.014,948,380*
5013-10-14NoNo000014132528198200000.014,238,018*
4913-9-15NoNo00001514262818710000.213,354,637*
4813-8-16NoNo0000161627271651001.012,352,107*
4712-10-15NoNo000027182926144104.411,237,351*
4612-9-16NoNo000029223024102012.510,069,012*
4512-8-17NoNo00013122631206126.58,872,790*
4411-10-16NoNo00001618312913244.57,705,205*
4311-9-17NoNo000210253523562.66,580,793*
4211-8-18NoNo000151734321177.55,529,701*
4110-10-17NoNo00021029401987.94,572,954*
4010-9-18NoNo0001522432994.13,712,241*
3910-8-19NoNo000215424097.42,970,083*
389-10-18NoNo0019385298.92,332,383*
379-9-19NoNo0005326299.61,800,144*
369-8-20NoNo003257199.91,366,246*
358-10-19NoNo0011979100.01,017,891*
348-9-20NoNo0011485100.0742,970*
338-8-21NoNo0001090100.0531,381*
327-10-20NoNo00793100.0375,349*
317-9-21NoNo00595100.0258,833*
307-8-22NoNo0397Yes174,470*
296-10-21NoNo0298Yes115,550*
286-9-22NoNo0199Yes75,325*
276-8-23NoNo0199Yes46,644*
265-10-22NoNo0100Yes29,065*
255-9-23NoNo0100Yes17,632*
245-8-24NoNo0100Yes10,577*
234-10-23NoNo0100Yes6,041*
1-22NoNo100Yes47,183*
Total:6.6%24.7%7666665555555544444311.0%321,639,840

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship