Valencia Title Chances 50/50Lost to Osasuna 1-2, title odds down 2.9 to 6.9% 6 points 2-0-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Segunda Division | 100.0* | Average seed | Valencia 1 Osasuna 2 | -2.8 | | -6.9 | | +2.3 | | -0.9 | | Celta Vigo 0 Real Madrid 1 | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Sevilla 1 Girona 2 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Cadiz 1 Almeria 1 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Villarreal 3 Barcelona 4 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | | | Las Palmas 0 Real Sociedad 0 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Vallecano 0 Atletico Madrid 7 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Bilbao 4 Betis 2 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/1 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Segunda Division | 100.0* | Average seed | Alaves vs Valencia | -2.1-0.7+2.6 | | -6.6-1.7+7.7 | | +2.9+0.4-3.2 | | -0.9-0.2+1.1 | | Real Madrid vs Getafe | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1+0.2*-0.0 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | | Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | -0.3+0.2+0.1 | | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | | | | Girona vs Las Palmas | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | | | | Mallorca vs Bilbao | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | | | Osasuna vs Barcelona | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Betis vs Vallecano | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Cadiz vs Villarreal | -0.0+0.1*+0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.0 | | *-0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | | Real Sociedad vs Granada | *+0.0+0.1-0.0 | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1*-0.0 | | | | Almeria vs Celta Vigo | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well Valencia finishes out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | Segunda | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Division | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 86 | -111 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,301 | * | 85 | | 25 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 99.9 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,858 | * | 84 | | 24 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,157 | * | 83 | | 24 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,255 | * | 82 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,354 | * | 81 | | 23 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,806 | * | 80 | | 23 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 99.6 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,528 | * | 79 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 99.3 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 29,420 | * | 78 | | 22 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 98.9 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 43,344 | * | 77 | | 22 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 98.3 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 63,489 | * | 76 | | 21 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 97.5 | | Yes | 97 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 90,189 | * | 75 | | 21 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 96.1 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 126,994 | * | 74 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 94.4 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 175,383 | * | 73 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 91.9 | | Yes | 92 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 239,182 | * | 72 | | 20 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 88.5 | | Yes | 89 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 318,319 | * | 71 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 83.8 | | Yes | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 419,173 | * | 70 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 77.9 | | Yes | 78 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 541,774 | * | 69 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 70.6 | | Yes | 71 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 689,861 | * | 68 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 61.8 | | Yes | 62 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 863,124 | * | 67 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 51.8 | | Yes | 52 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,065,960 | * | 66 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 11 | 41.2 | | 100.0 | % | 41 | 42 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,292,230 | * | 65 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 30.5 | | 100.0 | | 30 | 43 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,542,616 | * | 64 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 20.6 | | 100.0 | | 21 | 40 | 28 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,816,411 | * | 63 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 12.5 | | 100.0 | | 12 | 34 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,101,239 | * | 62 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 6.6 | | 99.8 | | 7 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,399,106 | * | 61 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 12 | 2.9 | | 99.2 | | 3 | 16 | 31 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,687,747 | * | 60 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 1.0 | | 97.1 | | 1 | 8 | 23 | 32 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,970,923 | * | 59 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 0.3 | | 91.4 | | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 3,235,328 | * | 58 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 13 | 0.1 | | 79.1 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 3,462,707 | * | 57 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 58.9 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 3,651,199 | * | 56 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 34.8 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 3,792,545 | * | 55 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | 15.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 28 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 3,874,099 | * | 54 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 13 | No | 4.3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 3,895,433 | * | 53 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | 0.8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 3,859,766 | * | 52 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 3,761,312 | * | 51 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 3,604,590 | * | 50 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 3,401,593 | * | 49 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | | 3,158,009 | * | 48 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | | 2,881,368 | * | 47 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3.9 | | 2,584,699 | * | 46 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 30 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 11.6 | | 2,284,954 | * | 45 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 25.2 | | 1,983,770 | * | 44 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 31 | 29 | 13 | 2 | 43.1 | | 1,688,683 | * | 43 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 5 | 61.3 | | 1,416,509 | * | 42 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 35 | 32 | 11 | 76.6 | | 1,167,997 | * | 41 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 18 | 87.2 | | 944,797 | * | 40 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 43 | 29 | 93.8 | | 749,837 | * | 39 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 42 | 40 | 97.2 | | 583,406 | * | 38 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 51 | 98.9 | | 445,963 | * | 37 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 62 | 99.6 | | 334,061 | * | 36 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 71 | 99.8 | | 245,270 | * | 35 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 79 | 100.0 | | 176,565 | * | 34 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 85 | 100.0 | | 125,124 | * | 33 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 89 | 100.0 | | 85,935 | * | 32 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | Yes | 58,176 | * | 31 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | Yes | 37,888 | * | 30 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 24,656 | * | 29 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 15,624 | * | 28 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 9,326 | * | 27 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 5,701 | * | 26 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,240 | * | 25 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,798 | * | 24 | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,024 | * | 23 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 564 | * | 6 | -22 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 10,101 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 6.9 | % | 38.1 | % | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9.1 | % | 77,103,360 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |