How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/23100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Average seed
Sevilla 2 Granada 0 +2.9
+0.1
Espanyol 0 Atlético Madrid 1 -0.1
-0.1
Villarreal 2 Leganés 1 -1.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Eibar vs Athletic Club+0.4+0.3-0.5
Real Sociedad vs La Coruña-0.2+0.2+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Average seed
Sevilla vs Celta de Vigo+0.0-0.0No
+2.6-0.6-4.0
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Málaga vs SevillaNo-0.0+0.0
-4.5-0.9+2.5
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal+1.8+1.0-3.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Villarreal vs Sporting Gijón-1.2+1.6+2.1
Celta de Vigo vs Athletic Club+0.4+0.3-0.4
Athletic Club vs Real Betis-0.3+0.3+0.4
Valencia vs Real Sociedad+0.2+0.2-0.3
Real Sociedad vs Granada-0.2+0.2+0.2
Las Palmas vs Atlético Madrid+0.1*+0.0-0.0
+0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Sevilla finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedSegunda
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920DivisionCount
805-0-00.1%Yes0106921No418,021
784-1-00.0Yes025048No1,139,611
774-0-1NoYes13961No1,528,466
763-2-0NoYes02773No1,220,561
753-1-1NoYes01684No3,182,202
743-0-2NoYes01090No1,983,714
2-3-0NoYes01090No642,665
732-2-1NoYes0595No2,449,425
722-1-2No98.6%2971No2,989,469
1-4-0No98.62971No166,469
712-0-3No97.919720No1,175,718
1-3-1No97.919720No828,010
701-2-2No93.109370No1,488,694
0-5-0No93.309370No17,098
691-1-3No84.00841610No1,149,368
0-4-1No84.70851500No104,431
681-0-4No74.70752420No322,006
0-3-2No76.10762310No244,433
670-2-3No57.1573850No278,072
660-1-4No39.239471310No153,147
650-0-5No23.724482440No35,380
Total:0.0%96.4%0013833000No21,516,960
Points
Chance Will Win Championship