Sevilla Title ChancesLost to Girona 1-2, title odds down 0.7 to 0.7% 0 points 0-0-3 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Segunda Division | 100.0* | Average seed | Sevilla 1 Girona 2 | -0.6 | | -3.9 | | +4.9 | | -0.8 | | Celta Vigo 0 Real Madrid 1 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | Villarreal 3 Barcelona 4 | | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | Valencia 1 Osasuna 2 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | Las Palmas 0 Real Sociedad 0 | | | +0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | Cadiz 1 Almeria 1 | | | +0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | Bilbao 4 Betis 2 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | Getafe 1 Alaves 0 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | Granada 3 Mallorca 2 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | Vallecano 0 Atletico Madrid 7 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/1 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Segunda Division | 100.0* | Average seed | Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla | -0.3-0.1+0.5 | | -3.0-0.7+4.4 | | +5.0+0.7-7.0 | | -0.7-0.1+1.1 | | Real Madrid vs Getafe | | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.3-0.0+0.5 | | | | Girona vs Las Palmas | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.3-0.1+0.5 | | | | Mallorca vs Bilbao | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.4-0.1-0.3 | | | | Osasuna vs Barcelona | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | | | Alaves vs Valencia | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | | | Betis vs Vallecano | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | *+0.0-0.1+0.1 | | | | Real Sociedad vs Granada | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.0-0.2+0.1 | | | | Cadiz vs Villarreal | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.0-0.1+0.1 | | | | Almeria vs Celta Vigo | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.1-0.3+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well Sevilla finishes out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | Segunda | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Division | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 85 | -105 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 28,921 | * | 84 | | 26 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 99.4 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 158 | * | 83 | | 26 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 291 | * | 82 | | 26 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 629 | * | 81 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 99.3 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,060 | * | 80 | | 25 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 99.0 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,955 | * | 79 | | 25 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 98.2 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,155 | * | 78 | | 24 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 97.4 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,480 | * | 77 | | 24 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 96.0 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,696 | * | 76 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 94.2 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,436 | * | 75 | | 23 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 91.9 | | Yes | 92 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,950 | * | 74 | | 23 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 88.6 | | Yes | 89 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 35,876 | * | 73 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 84.4 | | Yes | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 55,691 | * | 72 | | 22 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 79.2 | | Yes | 79 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 83,471 | * | 71 | | 22 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 72.7 | | Yes | 73 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 124,475 | * | 70 | | 21 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 64.8 | | Yes | 65 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 181,338 | * | 69 | | 21 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 56.3 | | Yes | 56 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 257,860 | * | 68 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 46.4 | | Yes | 46 | 40 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 364,918 | * | 67 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 36.7 | | Yes | 37 | 43 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 502,582 | * | 66 | | 20 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 27.2 | | 100.0 | % | 27 | 43 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 684,348 | * | 65 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 18.5 | | 100.0 | | 19 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 915,386 | * | 64 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 11.5 | | 100.0 | | 12 | 33 | 34 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,206,996 | * | 63 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 6.3 | | 99.9 | | 6 | 25 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,564,035 | * | 62 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 3.0 | | 99.4 | | 3 | 16 | 32 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,997,909 | * | 61 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 1.2 | | 98.0 | | 1 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,505,646 | * | 60 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 11 | 0.4 | | 94.2 | | 0 | 4 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,096,626 | * | 59 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 0.1 | | 85.8 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 3,770,499 | * | 58 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 70.7 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 4,519,598 | * | 57 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 49.9 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 5,321,232 | * | 56 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 28.2 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 6,179,930 | * | 55 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | 11.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 7,069,358 | * | 54 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 11 | No | 3.5 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 7,956,382 | * | 53 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | 0.7 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 8,813,497 | * | 52 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 9,612,143 | * | 51 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 10,327,781 | * | 50 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 28 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 10,916,500 | * | 49 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 11,365,744 | * | 48 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | | 11,638,011 | * | 47 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.9 | | 11,729,677 | * | 46 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 29 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 | | 11,639,595 | * | 45 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 15.4 | | 11,373,282 | * | 44 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 29.7 | | 10,924,761 | * | 43 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 30 | 14 | 2 | 47.0 | | 10,331,555 | * | 42 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 6 | 64.0 | | 9,600,184 | * | 41 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 33 | 11 | 78.0 | | 8,777,997 | * | 40 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 39 | 19 | 87.8 | | 7,893,720 | * | 39 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 43 | 28 | 93.9 | | 6,980,353 | * | 38 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 42 | 39 | 97.2 | | 6,062,946 | * | 37 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 50 | 98.8 | | 5,174,477 | * | 36 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 60 | 99.5 | | 4,337,238 | * | 35 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 70 | 99.8 | | 3,572,143 | * | 34 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 77 | 99.9 | | 2,886,028 | * | 33 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | 100.0 | | 2,293,013 | * | 32 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 89 | 100.0 | | 1,782,373 | * | 31 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 92 | 100.0 | | 1,362,174 | * | 30 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 95 | 100.0 | | 1,019,448 | * | 29 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 745,984 | * | 28 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 534,472 | * | 27 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 376,530 | * | 26 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 258,256 | * | 25 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 173,950 | * | 24 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 100 | Yes | 113,838 | * | 23 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 72,583 | * | 22 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 45,176 | * | 21 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 27,519 | * | 20 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 16,128 | * | 19 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 9,386 | * | 18 | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 5,312 | * | 17 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,817 | * | 0 | -16 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 31,602 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.7 | % | 11.0 | % | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 29.4 | % | 231,310,080 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |