Real Sociedad Title ChancesTied Las Palmas 0-0, title odds down 0.5 to 1.6% 3 points 0-3-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Segunda Division | 100.0* | Average seed | Las Palmas 0 Real Sociedad 0 | -0.3 | | -1.6 | | +0.9 | | -0.3 | | Celta Vigo 0 Real Madrid 1 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | | | Sevilla 1 Girona 2 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | | | Villarreal 3 Barcelona 4 | | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | Valencia 1 Osasuna 2 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | Cadiz 1 Almeria 1 | | | +0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | Bilbao 4 Betis 2 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | Getafe 1 Alaves 0 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | Granada 3 Mallorca 2 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/1 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Segunda Division | 100.0* | Average seed | Real Sociedad vs Granada | +0.7-0.3-0.6 | | +5.4-1.6-4.8 | | -5.1+0.9+4.9 | | +1.0-0.3-0.9 | | Real Madrid vs Getafe | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.2-0.0+0.3 | | | | Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | -0.3-0.1+0.4 | | | | Girona vs Las Palmas | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | | -0.2-0.1+0.3 | | | | Mallorca vs Bilbao | | | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | | | | Osasuna vs Barcelona | | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | | | Alaves vs Valencia | | | +0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | | | | Betis vs Vallecano | | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | *+0.0-0.1+0.1 | | | | Cadiz vs Villarreal | | | -0.1+0.2-0.0 | | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | | Almeria vs Celta Vigo | | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.0-0.2+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Real Sociedad finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | Segunda | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Division | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 86 | -105 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 29,198 | * | 85 | | 26 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 99.7 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 379 | * | 84 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 746 | * | 83 | | 25 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 99.6 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,309 | * | 82 | | 25 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 99.2 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,350 | * | 81 | | 24 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 99.1 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,104 | * | 80 | | 24 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 98.7 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,841 | * | 79 | | 24 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 98.1 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,231 | * | 78 | | 23 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 97.3 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,285 | * | 77 | | 23 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 95.9 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 29,158 | * | 76 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 94.4 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 45,805 | * | 75 | | 22 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 91.8 | | Yes | 92 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 70,094 | * | 74 | | 22 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 88.5 | | Yes | 88 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 105,720 | * | 73 | | 21 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 84.5 | | Yes | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 156,337 | * | 72 | | 21 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 79.0 | | Yes | 79 | 20 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 227,212 | * | 71 | | 21 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 72.6 | | Yes | 73 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 323,525 | * | 70 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 65.0 | | Yes | 65 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 452,958 | * | 69 | | 20 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 56.1 | | Yes | 56 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 624,214 | * | 68 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 46.5 | | Yes | 47 | 40 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 846,970 | * | 67 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 36.6 | | 100.0 | % | 37 | 43 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,125,724 | * | 66 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 27.1 | | 100.0 | | 27 | 43 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,471,179 | * | 65 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 18.4 | | 100.0 | | 18 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,893,977 | * | 64 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 11.4 | | 100.0 | | 11 | 33 | 34 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,394,173 | * | 63 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 6.3 | | 99.8 | | 6 | 25 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,985,976 | * | 62 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 3.0 | | 99.4 | | 3 | 16 | 32 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,654,084 | * | 61 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 1.2 | | 98.0 | | 1 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,406,023 | * | 60 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 11 | 0.4 | | 94.3 | | 0 | 4 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,224,293 | * | 59 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 0.1 | | 85.9 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 6,098,424 | * | 58 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 71.0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 7,003,439 | * | 57 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 50.2 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 7,919,151 | * | 56 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 28.5 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 8,801,981 | * | 55 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | 12.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 9,629,370 | * | 54 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 11 | No | 3.6 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 10,371,943 | * | 53 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | 0.7 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 10,994,718 | * | 52 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 11,472,949 | * | 51 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 11,755,268 | * | 50 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 11,862,299 | * | 49 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 11,787,449 | * | 48 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | | 11,516,250 | * | 47 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 | | 11,067,307 | * | 46 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5.8 | | 10,452,147 | * | 45 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 14.4 | | 9,713,757 | * | 44 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 28.1 | | 8,880,668 | * | 43 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 29 | 13 | 2 | 45.1 | | 7,972,559 | * | 42 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 35 | 22 | 5 | 62.2 | | 7,032,342 | * | 41 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 35 | 32 | 10 | 76.5 | | 6,104,825 | * | 40 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 18 | 86.8 | | 5,203,400 | * | 39 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 43 | 27 | 93.2 | | 4,350,699 | * | 38 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 43 | 37 | 96.8 | | 3,575,829 | * | 37 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 48 | 98.6 | | 2,882,422 | * | 36 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 59 | 99.5 | | 2,279,020 | * | 35 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 68 | 99.8 | | 1,769,511 | * | 34 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 76 | 99.9 | | 1,345,571 | * | 33 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | 100.0 | | 1,003,354 | * | 32 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 12 | 88 | 100.0 | | 732,560 | * | 31 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 92 | 100.0 | | 523,517 | * | 30 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 94 | 100.0 | | 366,324 | * | 29 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 250,441 | * | 28 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 167,408 | * | 27 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 109,311 | * | 26 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 69,578 | * | 25 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 43,355 | * | 24 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 26,217 | * | 23 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 15,283 | * | 22 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 8,835 | * | 20 | -21 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 7,383 | * | 19 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,353 | * | 3 | -18 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 29,998 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 1.6 | % | 19.0 | % | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 17.7 | % | 231,310,080 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |