Real Madrid Title Chances 50/50Beat Celta Vigo 1-0, title odds up 3.2 to 13.1% 9 points 3-0-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Segunda Division | 100.0* | Average seed | Celta Vigo 0 Real Madrid 1 | +3.3 | | +7.9 | | -2.6 | | +1.0 | | Sevilla 1 Girona 2 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Cadiz 1 Almeria 1 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | | Villarreal 3 Barcelona 4 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | | | Las Palmas 0 Real Sociedad 0 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Valencia 1 Osasuna 2 | +0.1 | | | | +0.1 | | | | Vallecano 0 Atletico Madrid 7 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Getafe 1 Alaves 0 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/1 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Segunda Division | 100.0* | Average seed | Real Madrid vs Getafe | +4.1-1.1-3.4 | | +8.0-1.6-7.0 | | -1.8+0.2+1.7 | | +1.0-0.2-0.9 | | Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla | -0.3+0.2+0.2 | | -0.3+0.2+0.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | | Girona vs Las Palmas | -0.3+0.2+0.2 | | -0.2+0.2+0.1 | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | | | Mallorca vs Bilbao | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | | | Osasuna vs Barcelona | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Alaves vs Valencia | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Betis vs Vallecano | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Cadiz vs Villarreal | -0.1+0.1*-0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.0 | | | | | | Real Sociedad vs Granada | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | *-0.0+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Almeria vs Celta Vigo | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | +0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well Real Madrid finishes out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | Segunda | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Division | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 91 | -114 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,452 | * | 90 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 99.8 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 628 | * | 89 | | 25 | - | 5 | - | 5 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,151 | * | 88 | | 25 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,933 | * | 87 | | 24 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 100.0 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,091 | * | 86 | | 24 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 100.0 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,073 | * | 85 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,110 | * | 84 | | 23 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,588 | * | 83 | | 23 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,688 | * | 82 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 29,496 | * | 81 | | 22 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 43,600 | * | 80 | | 22 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 99.6 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 63,078 | * | 79 | | 21 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 99.4 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 90,497 | * | 78 | | 21 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 99.0 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 127,564 | * | 77 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 98.5 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 175,733 | * | 76 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 97.7 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 238,792 | * | 75 | | 20 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 96.5 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 318,376 | * | 74 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 94.9 | | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 419,320 | * | 73 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 92.4 | | Yes | 92 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 542,528 | * | 72 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 89.1 | | Yes | 89 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 688,911 | * | 71 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 84.7 | | Yes | 85 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 863,801 | * | 70 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 79.0 | | Yes | 79 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,064,783 | * | 69 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 11 | 71.9 | | Yes | 72 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,291,526 | * | 68 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 63.2 | | Yes | 63 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,541,840 | * | 67 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 53.3 | | Yes | 53 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,814,038 | * | 66 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 42.5 | | 100.0 | % | 43 | 41 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,098,924 | * | 65 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 31.7 | | 100.0 | | 32 | 43 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,398,236 | * | 64 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 12 | 21.6 | | 100.0 | | 22 | 41 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,689,820 | * | 63 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 13.2 | | 100.0 | | 13 | 35 | 33 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,971,849 | * | 62 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 7.0 | | 99.8 | | 7 | 26 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,235,136 | * | 61 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 13 | 3.1 | | 99.2 | | 3 | 16 | 31 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,464,979 | * | 60 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 1.1 | | 97.3 | | 1 | 8 | 23 | 32 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,649,459 | * | 59 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 0.3 | | 91.8 | | 0 | 3 | 14 | 27 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 3,791,589 | * | 58 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 14 | 0.1 | | 79.7 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 3,869,922 | * | 57 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 59.7 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 3,899,160 | * | 56 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | 35.4 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 3,856,467 | * | 55 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | 15.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 28 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 3,757,135 | * | 54 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | 4.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 3,603,672 | * | 53 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | 0.8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 3,401,377 | * | 52 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 14 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 3,158,252 | * | 51 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 2,883,404 | * | 50 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 2,588,972 | * | 49 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | | 2,285,338 | * | 48 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | | 1,984,355 | * | 47 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4.2 | | 1,691,379 | * | 46 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 12.4 | | 1,418,511 | * | 45 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 26.6 | | 1,167,571 | * | 44 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 31 | 29 | 13 | 2 | 44.8 | | 943,652 | * | 43 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 6 | 63.1 | | 749,452 | * | 42 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 33 | 11 | 77.9 | | 584,370 | * | 41 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 40 | 20 | 88.3 | | 447,509 | * | 40 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 43 | 30 | 94.4 | | 333,918 | * | 39 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 42 | 41 | 97.5 | | 246,257 | * | 38 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 53 | 99.0 | | 176,825 | * | 37 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 63 | 99.6 | | 124,455 | * | 36 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 72 | 99.9 | | 86,285 | * | 35 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 80 | 100.0 | | 58,367 | * | 34 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 86 | 100.0 | | 38,076 | * | 33 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 10 | 90 | Yes | 24,781 | * | 32 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | Yes | 15,462 | * | 31 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 9,545 | * | 30 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 5,630 | * | 29 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 3,248 | * | 28 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 1,837 | * | 27 | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,008 | * | 26 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 471 | * | 25 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 272 | * | 21 | -24 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 243 | * | 20 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 28 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | 80 | Yes | 5 | * | 9 | -19 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 9,588 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 13.1 | % | 52.9 | % | 13 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4.5 | % | 77,103,360 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |